Module 2 PE & FM
Module 2 PE & FM
DR. S. K. TIWARI
Department of Production & Industrial Engineering
Birla Institute of Technology, Mesra, Ranchi – 835215
Email: [email protected]
COURSE INFORMATION
Course code: PE 338
Course title: Production Economics and Financial Management
Pre-requisite(s): Nil
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COURSE OBJECTIVES
This course enables the students to:
1) Acquire the knowledge of economics and financial management needed for
economic decision making.
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2) Explores the relationship, which exists between costs, revenue, output levels and
resulting profit.
3) Assess the best feasible investment proposal among the alternatives based on the
common index.
4) Conduct a replacement or retention study, as well as a depreciation review.
5) Develop the skills to analyze financial statements.
COURSE OUTCOMES
After the completion of this course, students will be:
CO1: Evaluate the economic theories, cost concepts and pricing policies.
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CO2: Derive and use the engineering economy factors to account for the time value of
money.
CO3: Apply financial management concepts to project evaluation and capital funding
decisions.
CO4: Make replacement and retention decisions, as well as quantify capital asset
depreciation.
CO5: Recognize, quantify, and record the common business transactions, and analyze
financial statements using ratio analysis.
SYLLABUS
Module 1: Economics, Cost and Pricing Concepts [8]
Economics and economy; Concept of firm, industry, and market; Economic theories, Demand
and supply, Theory of production, Interaction between economic theory and production; Cost
analysis - Cost concepts, Elements of costs, Cost estimation and indirect cost allocation,
Economies of scale and economies of scope; Cost-volume-profit relationship - Concept of
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contribution, p/v ratio, breakeven point, and margin of safety, Break-even analysis and the
financial decision-making; Price fixation, pricing policies and pricing methods.
Module 2: Principles of Money-Time Relationships [7]
Time value of money, Interest rate and rate of return, Inflation, Economic Equivalence, Simple
and compound interest, Minimum attractive rate of return (MARR), Cash flow diagrams,
Equivalence - Single payment in the future (P/F, F/P), Present payment compared to uniform
series payments (P/A, A/P), Future payment compared to uniform series payments (F/A, A/F),
Arithmetic gradient, Geometric gradient. Multiple compounding periods in a year, Continuous
compounding.
Module 3: Project Evaluation, and Capital Financing [8]
Project evaluation - Formulating alternatives, Present, future and annual worth method of
comparing alternatives, Rate of return, Incremental rate of return, Defining mutually
exclusive alternatives, Comparison of alternatives with unequal service life; Capital
Financing - MARR relative to the cost of capital; Debt-equity mix and weighted average cost of
capital; Cost of debt capital, equity capital and the MARR; Effect of debt-equity mix on
investment risk.
SYLLABUS (continued…)
Books:
Text books:
1) L.T. Blank, A.J. Tarquin, Engineering Economy, McGraw-Hill. (T1)
2) G.J. Thusen, W.J. Fabrycky, Engineering Economy, Prentice-Hall, New York. (T2)
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Reference books:
1) P. Chandra, Financial Management: Theory and Practice, McGraw Hill India. (R1)
2) W.G. Sullivan, E.M. Wicks, Engineering Economy, Pearson, New York. (R2)
3) D.G. Newnan, T.G. Eschenbach, J.P. Lavelle, Engineering Economic Analysis, Oxford University Press.
(R3)
Time value of money, Interest rate and rate of return, Inflation, Economic Equivalence,
Simple and compound interest, Minimum attractive rate of return (MARR), Cash flow
diagrams, Equivalence - Single payment in the future (P/F, F/P), Present payment
compared to uniform series payments (P/A, A/P), Future payment compared to uniform
series payments (F/A, A/F), Arithmetic gradient, Geometric gradient. Multiple
compounding periods in a year, Continuous compounding.
(a) Interest paid over time to lender (b) Interest earned over time by investor
Borrower’s perspective:
When a person or organization borrowed money (obtained a
loan) and repays a larger amount over a specific time period
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Lender’s perspective:
When a person or organization saved, invested, or lent
money and obtains a return of a larger amount over time
is known as interest earned. Mathematically, it is
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expressed as:
Interest earned = Total amount now – Principal amount
Interest earned over a specific period of time is expressed
as a percentage of the original amount and is called rate
of return (ROR). The time period for which interest is
earned may be year, month, week, etc. Mathematically, it
is expressed as:
𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈𝐈 𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚𝐚 𝐩𝐩𝐩𝐩𝐩𝐩 𝐮𝐮𝐮𝐮𝐮𝐮𝐮𝐮 𝐭𝐭𝐭𝐭𝐭𝐭𝐭𝐭
𝐑𝐑𝐑𝐑𝐑𝐑𝐑𝐑 𝐨𝐨𝐨𝐨 𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫𝐫 (%) = × 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 %
𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏𝐏
Note: The numerical values and formulas used are the same for both perspectives, but
the interpretations are different.
rate paid.
Solution.
Here,
Principal amount = $10,000.
Amount after 1 year = $10,700.
Therefore,
Interest paid = $10,700 - 10,000 = $700.
And,
The interest rate paid for 1 year is:
$700
Percent interest rate = × 100% =7% per year.
$10,000
Time
1 2 … … … n-1 n
0
One time
period
1 2 … … … n-1 n
0
Cash flows are shown as directed arrows: + (up) for inflow & - (down) for outflow
P = $-80
Note: It is to be noted that for every transaction there are two parties - borrower and lender.
Therefore, it is important to note that the cash flow directions in the cash flow diagrams
depend upon the point of view taken.
When an investment alternative has both receipts and
disbursements occurring simultaneously, a net cash flow
may be calculated.
Net cash flow is the arithmetic sum of the receipts (+) and
disbursements (-) that occurs at the same point in time.
Let, ft is net cash flow at time t. Therefore, if ft is greater
than zero, the net cash flow is positive (+) i.e., receipt.
And, if ft is less than zero, the net cash flow is negative (-)
i.e., disbursement.
Construct the cash flow diagram from the company’s perspective and indicate
where the present worth now is located.
Solution:
Let now be time t = 0. The incomes and costs for years - 7 through 1 (next
year) are tabulated below with net cash flow computed. Figure shows the net
cash flows (one negative, eight positive). Present worth P is located at year 0.
Construct the cash flow diagram from the company’s perspective and indicate
where the present worth now is located.
Solution:
Let now be time t = 0. The incomes and costs for years - 7 through 1 (next
year) are tabulated below with net cash flow computed. Figure shows the net
cash flows (one negative, eight positive). Present worth P is located at year 0.
It reflects the effect of the time value of money on the interest also.
Compound interest for one period is calculated as:
𝒋𝒋=𝒕𝒕−𝟏𝟏
INTEREST FORMULAS
FOR
DISCRETE COMPOUNDS AND DISCRETE PAYMENTS
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Since this transaction does not provide any payments until the
investment is terminated. It means that the interest earned is
added to the principal at the end of each annual interest period.
Year Amount at the beginning of Interest earned during Compound amount at the end of the year
the year the year
1 P Pi P + Pi = P(1+i)1
F = P (1 + i)n ……..(1)
when the oldest daughter is due to graduate from college. Find the
amount of funds that will be available after 20 years and also draw
the cash flow diagram?
when the oldest daughter is due to graduate from college. Find the
amount of funds that will be available after 20 years and also draw
the cash flow diagram?
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏
𝐅𝐅 = 𝐀𝐀 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐀𝐀 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝟐𝟐 +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝟑𝟑
⋯ +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝐧𝐧−𝟐𝟐
+A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝐧𝐧−𝟏𝟏
……..(3)
Note: It is the sum of individual future amounts calculated
for each payment ‘A’ by compound amount factor.
𝑭𝑭 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 = 𝐀𝐀 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝟐𝟐 +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝟑𝟑
⋯ +A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝐧𝐧−𝟏𝟏
+A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 𝐧𝐧
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……..(4)
Now, by subtracting Equation (3) from Equation (4), we get:
𝐧𝐧
𝑭𝑭 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢 − 𝑭𝑭 = −𝐀𝐀 + A 𝟏𝟏 + 𝐢𝐢
𝒊𝒊(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏
𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐, 𝑨𝑨 = 𝑷𝑷 ……..(7)
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
𝒊𝒊(𝟏𝟏+𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏
The resulting factor, , is
(𝟏𝟏+𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
known as the equal-payment series
capital-recovery factor and is
designated as (A/P, i, n).
(𝟏𝟏+𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
The resulting factor, , is
𝒊𝒊(𝟏𝟏+𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏
known as the equal-payment series
present-worth factor and is
designated as (P/A, i, n).
Illustration 10. The president of Ford Motor Company wants to know the
equivalent future worth of a $1 million capital investment each year for 8 years,
starting 1 year from now. Ford capital earns at a rate of 14% per year.
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Illustration 10. The president of Ford Motor Company wants to know the
equivalent future worth of a $1 million capital investment each year for 8 years,
starting 1 year from now. Ford capital earns at a rate of 14% per year.
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find its future amount. Add these future amounts for all the columns of
G in Column 3. The total future amount can be represented as follows:
𝑭𝑭 = 𝑮𝑮 𝑭𝑭⁄𝑨𝑨 , 𝒊𝒊, 𝒏𝒏 − 𝟏𝟏 + 𝑮𝑮 𝑭𝑭⁄𝑨𝑨 , 𝒊𝒊, 𝒏𝒏 − 𝟐𝟐 + 𝑮𝑮 𝑭𝑭⁄𝑨𝑨 , 𝒊𝒊, 𝒏𝒏 − 𝟑𝟑 + ⋯ + 𝑮𝑮 𝑭𝑭⁄𝑨𝑨 , 𝒊𝒊, 𝟐𝟐 + 𝑮𝑮 𝑭𝑭⁄𝑨𝑨 , 𝒊𝒊, 𝟏𝟏
𝑮𝑮
= (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟏𝟏 +(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟐𝟐 +(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟑𝟑 + ⋯ + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊 𝟐𝟐 + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊 𝟏𝟏 + (𝒏𝒏 − 𝟏𝟏)
𝒊𝒊
𝑮𝑮 𝒏𝒏𝒏𝒏
= (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟏𝟏 +(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟐𝟐 +(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏−𝟑𝟑 + ⋯ + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊 𝟐𝟐 + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊 𝟏𝟏 + 𝟏𝟏 −
𝒊𝒊 𝒊𝒊
The bracketed terms constitute the equal payment series compound amount
factor for n years. Therefore,
From equal-payment
series sinking-fund factor,
𝒊𝒊
𝑨𝑨 = 𝑭𝑭
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
𝟏𝟏 𝒏𝒏
𝑨𝑨 = 𝑮𝑮 − ……..(10)
𝒊𝒊 (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
𝟏𝟏 𝒏𝒏
The resulting factor, − , is called the uniform-gradient-series
𝒊𝒊 (𝟏𝟏+𝒊𝒊)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
factor and is designated as (A/G, i, n).
Illustration 11. A local university has initiated a logo-licensing program with the
clothier Holister, Inc. Estimated fees (revenues) are $80,000 for the first year with
uniform increases to a total of $200,000 by the end of year 9. Determine the gradient
and construct a cash flow diagram that identifies the base amount and the gradient
series.
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Illustration 11. A local university has initiated a logo-licensing program with the
clothier Holister, Inc. Estimated fees (revenues) are $80,000 for the first year with
uniform increases to a total of $200,000 by the end of year 9. Determine the gradient
and construct a cash flow diagram that identifies the base amount and the gradient
series.
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Illustration 12. Neighboring parishes in Louisiana have agreed to pool road tax
resources already designated for bridge refurbishment. At a recent meeting, the
engineers estimated that a total of $500,000 will be deposited at the end of next year
into an account for the repair of old and safety-questionable bridges throughout the
area. Further, they estimate that the deposits will increase by $100,000 per year for
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only 9 years thereafter, then cease. Determine the equivalent (a) present worth and
(b) annual series amounts, if public funds earn at a rate of 5% per year.
Illustration 12. Neighboring parishes in Louisiana have agreed to pool road tax
resources already designated for bridge refurbishment. At a recent meeting, the
engineers estimated that a total of $500,000 will be deposited at the end of next year
into an account for the repair of old and safety-questionable bridges throughout the
area. Further, they estimate that the deposits will increase by $100,000 per year for
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only 9 years thereafter, then cease. Determine the equivalent (a) present worth and
(b) annual series amounts, if public funds earn at a rate of 5% per year.
Let,
𝟏𝟏 (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈)
= ……..(12)
′
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈 ) (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒊𝒊)
⇒ 𝒈𝒈′ = − 𝟏𝟏 ……..(13)
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈)
where g’ is the growth-free rate, and substitute for each term:
𝑭𝑭𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟏
𝑷𝑷 = 𝟏𝟏
+ 𝟐𝟐
+ ⋯+
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈) (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈𝒈) (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈𝒈) (𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈𝒈)𝒏𝒏
The term within the brackets constitute the equal-payment series present-
worth factor for n years. Therefore,
𝒈𝒈′(𝟏𝟏+𝒈𝒈′)𝒏𝒏
designated as (P/A, g’, n).
Cases:
Illustration 13. A coal-fired power plant has upgraded an emission control valve.
The modification costs only $8000 and is expected to last 6 years with a $200
salvage value. The maintenance cost is expected to be high at $1700 the first year,
increasing by 11% per year thereafter. Determine the equivalent present worth of
the modification and maintenance cost at 8% per year.
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Solution.
Illustration 13. A coal-fired power plant has upgraded an emission control valve.
The modification costs only $8000 and is expected to last 6 years with a $200
salvage value. The maintenance cost is expected to be high at $1700 the first year,
increasing by 11% per year thereafter. Determine the equivalent present worth of
the modification and maintenance cost at 8% per year.
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Solution.
Illustration 14. The announcement of the HAC cement factory states that the $200
million (M) investment is planned for 2012. Most large investment commitments
are actually spread out over several years as the plant is constructed and
production is initiated. Further investigation may determine, for example, that the
$200 M is a present worth in the year 2012 of anticipated investments during the
next 4 years (2013 through 2016). Assume the amount planned for 2013 is $100 M
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with constant decreases of $25 M each year thereafter. As before, assume the time
value of money for investment capital is 10% per year to answer the following
questions.
a) In equivalent present worth values, does the planned decreasing investment
series equal the announced $200 M in 2012?
b) Given the planned investment series, what is the equivalent annual amount that
will be invested from 2013 to 2016?
c) What must be the amount of yearly constant decrease through 2016 to have a
present worth of exactly $200 M in 2012, provided $100 M is expended in 2013?
Solution.
INTEREST FORMULAS
FOR
CONTINUOUS COMPOUNDS AND DISCRETE PAYMENTS
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For example, when the actual or effective rate of interest is 3% interest compounded each
six-month period, the annual or nominal interest is quoted as 6 % per year compounded
semiannually. For an effective rate of interest of 1.5% compounded at the end of each three-
month period, the nominal interest is quoted as 6% per year compounded quarterly.
The relationship between effective interest rate and nominal interest rate is as follows:
𝒓𝒓 𝒍𝒍.𝒎𝒎
𝒊𝒊 = 𝟏𝟏 + − 𝟏𝟏 ……..(16)
𝒎𝒎
𝒓𝒓 𝒄𝒄
𝒊𝒊 = 𝟏𝟏 + − 𝟏𝟏 where, c = l.m ……..(17)
𝒎𝒎
where,
r = nominal interest rate per year.
i = effective interest rate in the time interval.
l = length of the time interval (in years).
m = reciprocal of the length of the compounding period (in years).
For Example:
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CONTINUOUS COMPOUNDING
There are certain cases where the compounding period is infinite number of times per year. In
these cases, the effective annual interest rate for continuous compounding is derived from
Equation (16) with l =1 as:
𝒓𝒓 𝒎𝒎
𝒊𝒊𝒂𝒂 = lim 𝟏𝟏 + − 𝟏𝟏 Continuous compounding is present when the
𝒎𝒎
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∴ 𝑭𝑭 = 𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 ……..(18)
The resulting factor, 𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 , is called the Single-Payment Compound-Amount Factor for
continuous compounding and is designated [F/P, r, n].
𝑭𝑭 = 𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓
𝟏𝟏 ……..(19)
⇒ 𝑷𝑷 = 𝑭𝑭 𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 = 𝑭𝑭𝑭𝑭−𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓
𝒆𝒆
The resulting factor, 𝒆𝒆−𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 , is called the Single-Payment Present-Worth Factor for continuous
compounding and is designated [P/F, r, n].
𝟏𝟏 − 𝒆𝒆−𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓
𝑷𝑷 = 𝑨𝑨 ……..(20)
𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓 − 𝟏𝟏
𝟏𝟏−𝒆𝒆−𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓
The resulting factor, 𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓 −𝟏𝟏
, is called the Equal-Payment Series Present-Worth Factor for
continuous compounding and is designated [P/A, r, n].
𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓 − 𝟏𝟏
𝑨𝑨 = 𝑭𝑭 𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 ……..(22)
𝒆𝒆 − 𝟏𝟏
𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓 −𝟏𝟏
The resulting factor, 𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 −𝟏𝟏
, is called the Equal-Payment Series Sinking-Fund Factor for
continuous compounding and is designated [A/F, r, n].
𝟏𝟏 𝒏𝒏
𝑨𝑨 = 𝑮𝑮 𝒓𝒓 − 𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 ……..(24)
𝒆𝒆 − 𝟏𝟏 𝒆𝒆 − 𝟏𝟏
𝟏𝟏 𝒏𝒏
The resulting factor, 𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓 −𝟏𝟏
−
𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 −𝟏𝟏
, is called the Uniform-Gradient Series Factor for continuous
compounding and is designated [A/G, r, n].
𝒆𝒆𝒓𝒓
∴ 𝒈𝒈𝒈 = − 𝟏𝟏 ……..(25)
(𝟏𝟏 + 𝒈𝒈)
(𝟏𝟏+𝒈𝒈′)𝒏𝒏 −𝟏𝟏
The resulting factor, , is called the geometric-gradient-series factor for
𝒈𝒈′(𝟏𝟏+𝒈𝒈′)𝒏𝒏
continuous compounding and is designated [P/A, g’, n].
ECONOMIC EQUIVALENCE
Definition: Combination of interest rate (rate of return) and time value
of money to determine different amounts of money at different points
in time that are economically equivalent.
How it works: Use rate i and time t in upcoming relations to move
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0
1
Rate of return = 10%per year
$100 now
$100 now is economically equivalent to $110 one year from now, if the $100 is
invested at a rate of 10% per year.
1/25/2024
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1/25/2024
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BIRLA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY, MESRA – Ranchi PE338 PRODUCTION ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Reference:
1) G.J Thusen, W.J. Fabrycky, Engineering Economy, Prentice-Hall, New York.
2) W.G Sullivan, E.M. Wicks, Engineering Economy, Pearson, New York.
3) Blank & Tarquin, Engineering Economy, McGraw-Hill.