Futures
Futures
Futures are financial contracts obligating the buyer to purchase, or the seller to sell,
an asset at a predetermined future date and price. They are standardized contracts
traded on futures exchanges, used for hedging or speculative purposes.
Types of Futures
Commodity Futures
These futures contracts are based on physical commodities such as oil, gold, natural
gas, agricultural products (like corn, wheat, and soybeans), and metals.
Financial Futures
These contracts are based on financial instruments, including stock indices, interest
rates, and currencies. Examples include:
Stock Index Futures: Based on indices like the S&P 500 or NASDAQ.
Interest Rate Futures: Based on government bonds or Treasury bills.
Currency Futures: Based on currencies like the USD, EUR, or JPY.
Contract Size
The standardized amount of the underlying asset specified in the futures contract.
Expiration Date
The date on which the futures contract must be settled, either through delivery of
the underlying asset or by cash settlement.
Initial Margin
The initial deposit required to enter into a futures position, serving as a guarantee
for the contract.
Maintenance Margin
The minimum account balance that must be maintained to keep a futures position
open. If the account falls below this level, a margin call is issued.
Settlement
The process of fulfilling the obligations of the futures contract at expiration. This can
be done through physical delivery of the asset or cash settlement based on the
asset's price.
Futures Exchanges
Mark-to-Market
Futures accounts are marked-to-market daily, meaning gains and losses are settled
at the end of each trading day. This ensures that the account balance reflects the
current market value of the futures position.
Leverage
Futures trading involves significant leverage, as only a fraction of the contract's value
(the margin) is required to enter a position. This amplifies both potential gains and
losses.
Hedging
Businesses use futures to lock in prices for commodities they need to buy or sell,
protecting against adverse price movements. For example, a farmer might sell
futures contracts on their crop to ensure a favorable selling price at harvest.
Speculation
Traders use futures to profit from anticipated price movements in the underlying
asset. Speculators take long (buy) or short (sell) positions based on their market
outlook.
Spread Trading
Involves simultaneously buying and selling related futures contracts to profit from
changes in the price difference (spread) between them. Common strategies include
calendar spreads and inter-commodity spreads.
Arbitrage
Traders exploit price discrepancies between related markets or instruments, such as
the spot market and futures market, to make risk-free profits.
Market Risk
The risk of losses due to adverse price movements in the underlying asset.
Leverage Risk
The use of leverage amplifies both potential gains and losses, increasing the risk of
significant losses.
Margin Risk
The risk of margin calls if the account balance falls below the maintenance margin,
requiring additional funds to maintain positions.
Liquidity Risk
The risk that a futures position cannot be easily closed at a fair price due to low
market activity.
Price Discovery
Hedging
Futures provide an effective tool for managing price risk, allowing businesses to
stabilize costs and revenues.
Liquidity
Futures markets are highly liquid, enabling large positions to be entered and exited
with minimal impact on prices.
Leverage
Futures allow traders to control large positions with relatively small amounts of
capital, offering the potential for substantial returns.
Conclusion
Futures are versatile financial instruments that play a crucial role in risk management
and speculation across various markets. Understanding the types of futures, key
terms, trading strategies, and associated risks is essential for making informed
decisions in futures trading. Whether used for hedging or speculative purposes,
futures offer numerous opportunities to align with diverse investment objectives.