AIA Monthly Market Fund Update FAQ 202403
AIA Monthly Market Fund Update FAQ 202403
AIA Monthly Market Fund Update FAQ 202403
Market update
◼ Interest rate movement
◼ Stock market performance
◼ Economic highlights
Tip: Your Investment Linked Long Term Insurance Policy allows you to be in control of your investments in Unit Linked Funds. Kindly refer your
policy document to learn more about options like unit switches and premium redirections which are available for you to manage your investments.
You can also contact us if you like to know how you can use the options available to you.
Disclaimer: The information in this report should not be considered as investment advice or a guarantee of future performance of Unit-linked
funds of AIA since it is only based on historical data. AIA has tried its best to ensure accuracy of this report. AIA, its employees, or authorized agents
cannot be held responsible in any way for any errors or omissions in this document. AIA clearly denies all liabilities for any loss or damage, which may
be suffered by any person as a result of relying on this information, even if such loss or damage is occurred by any fault or negligence of AIA, its
employees or authorized agents.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Your fund performance: Growth fund
Unit Price Movement Asset Allocation
55.00 8%
52.83 18%
50.00
45.00
40.00
35.00 74%
30.00
25.00
Nov 19
Nov 20
Nov 21
Nov 22
Nov 23
Jan 23
Jan 19
Mar 19
May 19
Jan 20
Mar 20
May 20
Jan 21
Mar 21
May 21
Jan 22
Mar 22
May 22
Mar 23
May 23
Jan 24
Mar 24
Sep 19
Sep 20
Sep 21
Jul 22
Sep 22
Sep 23
Jul 19
Jul 20
Jul 21
Jul 23
Government Securities Fixed Deposits Equity Money Market
Note: The asset allocation for the fund is presented as at month end. The future
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance asset allocation may change based on market conditions and investment strategy.
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024*
Unit Price 32.36 32.90 34.40 37.60 39.56 42.81 43.68 50.63 37.48 49.18 52.83
Growth (%) 12.1% 1.7% 4.6% 9.3% 5.2% 11.2% 2.0% 15.9% -20.1% 31.22% 7.42%
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance
Sector %
Banks 30%
Capital Goods 24%
Food Beverage and Tobacco 15%
Consumer Durables & Apparel 13% 100%
Materials 9%
Diversified Financials 4%
Energy 3%
AAA Rating AA Rating A Rating
Software & Services 2% Note: The credit rating is presented as at month end for investments in fixed
deposits and does not include ratings for equity investments. All ratings are by
Transportation 0% Fitch Ratings Lanka.
Utilities 0%
Telecommunication Services 0%
Food & Staples Retailing 0%
Total 100%
Top Equity Holdings***
ACCESS ENG LTD HAYLEYSMGT KNITTING MILLS PLC
CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS PLC
COMMERCIAL BANK OF CEYLON PLC SAMPATH BANK PLC
DISTILLERIES COMPANY OF SRI LANKA SUNSHINE HOLDINGS PLC
HATTON NATIONAL BANK PLC TEXTURED JERSEY LANKA LIMITED
***Note: In alphabetical order
▪ The annual average growth rate of the unit price for the Growth fund is 9.7% per year, since the unit linked fund was
started.
▪ The unit price has increased by 7.42% for the period 01 January 2024 to 31 March 2024.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Your fund performance: Balanced fund
Unit Price Movement Asset Allocation
70.00
65.00 68.32 7%
60.00
55.00 41% 52%
50.00
45.00
40.00
35.00
30.00
Apr 19
Oct 19
Apr 20
Oct 20
Apr 21
Oct 21
Apr 22
Oct 22
Apr 23
Oct 23
Jan 22
Jan 19
Jan 20
Jan 21
Jan 23
Jan 24
Jul 22
Jul 19
Jul 20
Jul 21
Jul 23
Government Securities Fixed Deposits Equity Money Market
Note: The asset allocation for the fund is presented as at month end. The future
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance asset allocation may change based on market conditions and investment strategy.
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024*
Unit Price 32.36 32.90 34.40 37.60 39.56 42.81 43.68 50.63 50.68 64.73 68.32
Growth (%) 12.1% 1.7% 4.6% 9.3% 5.2% 11.2% 2.0% 15.9% 0.1% 27.7% 5.5%
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance
Sector %
Banks 32%
Capital Goods 21%
Food Beverage and Tobacco 17%
13% 100%
Consumer Durables & Apparel
Materials 7%
Diversified Financials 5%
Energy 3% AAA Rating AA Rating A Rating
Software & Services 2% Note: The credit rating is presented as at month end for investments in fixed deposits
Consumer Services 0% and does not include ratings for equity investments. All ratings are by Fitch Ratings
Lanka.
Telecommunication Services 0%
Food & Staples Retailing 0%
Utilities 0%
Total 100%
▪ The annual average growth rate of the unit price for the Balanced fund is 11.3% per year, since the unit linked fund
was started.
▪ The unit price has increased by 5.5% for the period 01 January 2024 to 31 March 2024.
.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Your fund performance: Secure fund
Unit Price Movement Asset Allocation
68.00 2%
63.00 65.41
58.00
53.00
48.00
43.00
38.00 98%
33.00
28.00
Apr 23
Apr 19
Apr 20
Apr 21
Apr 22
Apr 24
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Dec 22
Dec 19
Dec 20
Dec 21
Dec 23
Government Securities Fixed Deposits Equity Money Market
Note: The asset allocation for the fund is presented as at month end. The future
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance asset allocation may change based on market conditions and investment strategy.
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024*
Unit Price 24.76 26.21 28.37 31.32 34.49 38.05 40.68 42.53 50.47 63.01 65.41
Growth (%) 7.6% 5.9% 8.2% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 6.9% 4.5% 18.7% 24.8% 3.81%
Credit Rating
▪ The annual average growth rate of the unit price for the
Secure fund is 11.0% per year, since the unit linked fund was
started.
Note: The credit rating is presented as at month end for investments in fixed deposits and
does not include ratings for equity investments. All ratings are by Fitch Ratings Lanka.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Your fund performance: Protected fund
Unit Price Movement Asset Allocation
63.00 59.98 6%
58.00
53.00
48.00
43.00
38.00 94%
33.00
28.00
Aug 19
Nov 19
Aug 20
Nov 20
Aug 21
Nov 21
Aug 22
Nov 22
Aug 23
Nov 23
May 19
May 20
May 21
May 22
May 23
Feb 20
Feb 21
Feb 22
Feb 23
Feb 24
Government Securities Fixed Deposits Equity Money Market
Note: The asset allocation for the fund is presented as at month end. The future
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance asset allocation may change based on market conditions and investment strategy.
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024*
Unit Price 23.81 25.20 27.18 29.82 32.66 35.58 38.25 39.88 47.09 58.08 59.98
Growth (%) 6.9% 5.8% 7.9% 9.7% 9.5% 9.8% 6.7% 4.3% 18.1% 23.34% 3.27%
Credit Rating
▪ The annual average growth rate of the unit price for the
Protected fund is 10.5% per year, since the unit linked fund was
started.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Your fund performance: Stable Money Market fund
Unit Price Movement Asset Allocation
23.00
22.00 22.32 0%
0%
21.00
20.00
19.00
18.00
17.00
16.00
15.00 100%
14.00
13.00
12.00
11.00
Apr 20
Oct 20
Apr 21
Oct 21
Apr 22
Oct 22
Apr 23
Oct 23
Jan 21
Jan 22
Jan 23
Jan 24
Jul 20
Jul 21
Jul 22
Jul 23
Government Securities Fixed Deposits Equity Money Market
Note: The asset allocation for the fund is presented as at month end. The future
Note: past performance is not an indication of future performance asset allocation may change based on market conditions and investment strategy.
Unit Price Growth (as a percentage) *21/04/2017 to 31/12/2017 **Period from 31/12/2023 to 31/03/2024
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024**
Unit Price - - - 10.62 11.70 12.88 13.85 14.49 17.18 21.51 22.32
Growth (%) - - - 6.2% 10.2% 10.1% 7.5% 4.6% 18.6% 25.2% 3.8%
Credit Rating
▪ The annual average growth rate of the unit price for the
Stable Money Market fund is 12.3% per year, since the unit
linked fund was started.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Market Update: Interest Rates
We use the 364-day T- Bill as an indicator of how interest rates move
364-day T-bill: Since 01 Jan 2015 364-day T-bill: Since 01 Jan 2021
34.00% 34.00%
30.00% 30.00%
26.00% 26.00%
22.00% 22.00%
18.00% 18.00%
14.00% 14.00%
10.28%
10.00% 10.00%
10.28%
6.00% 6.00%
2.00% 2.00%
Nov-22
Nov-23
Jul-22
Jul-23
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-22
May-22
Mar-23
May-23
Mar-24
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
Nov-15
Jun-16
Oct-18
Nov-22
Jun-23
Dec-19
Jul-20
Apr-15
Feb-21
Sep-21
Apr-22
Aug-17
May-19
Jan-17
Mar-18
Jan-24
Note: Past performance is not an indication of future performance Note: Past performance is not an indication of future performance
May-20
May-23
Feb-15
Feb-18
Feb-21
Feb-24
Nov-15
Aug-16
Nov-18
Aug-19
Nov-21
Aug-22
notable foreign exchange purchases by the Central Bank.
Apr 16
Apr 17
Apr 18
Apr 19
Apr 20
Apr 21
Apr 22
Apr 23
Aug 15
Aug 16
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Dec 15
Dec 16
Dec 17
Dec 18
Dec 19
Dec 20
Dec 21
Dec 22
Dec 23
Oct 21
Oct 22
Oct 23
Apr 21
Apr 22
Apr 23
Jan 21
Jan 22
Jan 23
Jan 24
Jul 21
Jul 22
Jul 23
S&P SL Movement: Since 01 Jan 2015 S&P SL Movement: Since 01 Jan 2021
5,500
5,500
4,500 4,500
3,317.62
3,317.62
3,500 3,500
2,500 2,500
1,500 1,500
Oct 21
Oct 22
Oct 23
Apr 21
Apr 22
Apr 23
Jan 21
Jan 22
Jan 23
Jan 24
Jul 21
Jul 22
Jul 23
Apr 15
Apr 16
Apr 17
Apr 18
Apr 19
Apr 20
Apr 21
Apr 22
Apr 23
Aug 15
Aug 16
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Dec 15
Dec 16
Dec 17
Dec 18
Dec 19
Dec 20
Dec 21
Dec 22
Dec 23
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
ASPI and S&P SL 20 Performance (as a percentage) **Period from 31/12/2023 to 31/03/2024
Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024**
ASPI 7,299 6,894 6,228 6,369 6,052 6,129 6,774 12,226 8,490 10,654 11,444
Growth (%) 23.40% -5.50% -9.70% 2.30% -5.00% 1.30% 10.50% 80.50% -30.56% 0.57% 7.42%
S&P SL 20 4,089 3,626 3,496 3,672 3,135 2,937 2,638 4,233 2,636 3,068 3,318
Growth (%) 25.30% -11.30% -3.60% 5.00% -14.60% -6.30% -10.20% 60.50% -37.74% 1.94% 8.12%
◼ The annual average growth rate of ASPI is 9.42% per year and S&P SL20 index is 1.34% per year, since the unit linked
funds were first started.
◼ The ASPI and S&P SL 20 have increased by 7.42% and 8.12% for the period of 01 January 2024 to 31 March 2024,
respectively.
◼ The ASPI and S&P SL20 performed for the month of March 2024 by 7.44% and 9.23% respectively.
◼ Net foreign flows for the month amounted to LKR 4.26 Bn of outflows, a decrease from the prior period.
◼ The market has witnessed increased turnover for the period compared to the prior period.
Investment strategy: AIA Sri Lanka maintains a prudent investment strategy for its investment portfolios, in line
with its investment philosophy and guidelines as set out in the investment policy. The Company advocates a long-term
investment strategy supporting long-term growth. The equity strategy is driven by in-depth research with emphasis on
growth and sustainability of earnings whilst principles such as liquidity, solvency and corporate governance also play a
significant role in stock selection.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
Fund manager’s outlook
◼ Regardless of the 50 basis points (Bps) policy rate cut on March 25th, 2024, Treasury bill rates did not react in proportion.
Consequently, during March, T-bill rates experienced a slight increase of 20-28 Bps, while most other medium to long-term
tenures remained unchanged.
◼ We anticipate a gradual growth in credit to the private sector throughout 2024 as borrowing costs decrease. This moderate
level of credit demand is expected to coincide with the gradual economic recovery driven by improvements in household
disposable income.
◼ Based on fiscal provisional data for FY 2023, we observed a primary surplus of approximately LKR 160 billion, reflecting a
commendable achievement in terms of the country's fiscal stance. Looking ahead, the need for additional borrowing is
anticipated to be relatively lower due to this significant primary surplus. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the potential
utilization of these buffers for various election-targeted expenditures.
◼ Year-on-year inflation for March 2024 was reported at 0.9%, as we anticipated the negative base effect from the
corresponding month of the last year dragged the inflation down. Additionally, reductions in electricity tariffs, fuel prices,
and vegetable prices contributed to the sharp decline in inflation. The appreciation of the LKR also has a positive implication
on inflation, leading us to expect a easing of inflationary pressures in the medium term. However, the base effect's impact is
expected to correct in April 2024, potentially causing inflation to bounce back to the range of 3-5%.
. Equity outlook
◼ Year-on-year inflation for March 2024 was reported at 0.9%, as we anticipated the negative base effect from the
corresponding month of the last year dragged the inflation down. Additionally, reductions in electricity tariffs, fuel
prices, and vegetable prices contributed to the sharp decline in inflation. The appreciation of the LKR also has a
positive implication on inflation, leading us to expect a easing of inflationary pressures in the medium term. However,
the base effect's impact is expected to correct in April 2024, potentially causing inflation to bounce back to the range
of 3-5%..
◼ The top five contributors to the ASPI index movement in March 2024 were HNB Bank PLC, LOLC PLC, Ceylon Tobacco
PLC, Sampath Bank PLC, and Commercial Bank PLC, respectively. According to our estimates, these top five contributors
accounted for approximately 37% of the ASPI index growth.
◼ The market multiple increased to 9.87X, marking an 8% rise during the month, while the average daily turnover
remained around LKR 1.8 billion. However, March saw net foreign outflows from the market totaling LKR 4.7 billion,
with only six trading days showing net foreign buys. This indicates that the Sri Lankan equity market was
predominantly driven by local investor participation.
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]
AIA Unit Linked Funds
Treasury instruments refers to instruments such as Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds issued by the government of Sri Lanka. Corporate
debt refers to debt instruments issued by financial institutions and companies.
▪ Why do unit prices of the Growth & Balanced Funds fluctuate in comparison to the other Unit Linked
Funds?
The prices of all unit linked funds move in tandem with the price movements or market values of their underlying investments. The
Growth & Balanced funds invest in shares listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange. As prices of shares can be volatile at times, the unit
prices of Growth & Balanced funds too can move higher or lower in tandem with these movements in share prices.
▪ Is the All Share Price Index (ASPI) or S&P20 movement comparable with AIA Growth & Balanced Funds
Performance?
The Growth and Balance fund performance may differ from the performances of the ASPI and the S&P SL 20 stock indices due to the
fund portfolios holding different stocks and different proportions of stocks when compared to those used in the computation of the
indices. The ASPI measures the movement of share prices of all listed companies on the Colombo Stock Exchange based on market
capitalization and the S&P SL 20 measures the movement of share prices of 20 of the leading companies selected and rebased on
certain criteria including market capitalisation.
[AIA – INTERNAL]
AIA Unit Linked Funds
▪ What are Unit switches and amendment of Regular Premium Allocation Proportions?
Depending on the policy you have purchased, your Investment Linked Long Term Insurance Policy allows you to be in control of your
investments. Options such as Unit switches* and amendment of Regular Premium Allocation Proportions* may be available to you, so that
you have total control over your long term investment.
▪ Unit switches: If you request to switch units from one unit linked fund to another, the Company will cancel units of equal amount
from the fund from which the units are to be switched from at the Unit price of that fund prevailing on the day and after deduction
of switching charge, if any, and the funds so generated will be used to create units in the fund in which the amount is to be
switched to at the Unit price of that fund prevailing on the day. Note that the unit switches are not permitted into or out of the
Protected Fund and Stable Money Market Fund.
▪ Amendment of Regular Premium Allocation Proportions: At the written request of the Policy Owner, the Company will amend the
Allocation Proportion whereafter the previous Allocation Proportion will become ineffective, and the amended Allocation
▪ How often can Unit switches and Amendment of Allocation Proportions be executed?
▪ There is no limitation on frequency of Unit switches*
▪ The Company will only allow two (2) requests for Amendment of the Allocation Proportion within any Policy Year*
▪ The relevant applicable charges will be applied as stipulated in the Policy Document
[AIA – INTERNAL]
[AIA – PUBLIC]
[AIA – INTERNAL]