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Detailed Lesson Pan (Probability of Simple Events)

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
373 views8 pages

Detailed Lesson Pan (Probability of Simple Events)

Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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A Detailed Lesson Plan in Mathematics 8

(June 1, 2023)

I. Objectives
At the end of the lesson, the students will be able to:
a. define probability
b. find the probability of simple events
c. express the importance of probability of events in real-life
II. Subject Matter
Topic: Statistics and Probability
Sub topic: Probability of Simple Event
Materials: Visual aids, manila paper, marker, manipulative (dice)
References: Mathematics Learner’s Module for Grade 8, page 562 – 570,
Curriculum Guide (M8GE-IVh-1)
III. Procedure
Teacher’s Activity Student’s Activity
A. Preparation

1. Prayer
May we all stand to feel the Oh Lord God bless us today, help us to
presence of the Lord. (Name) kindly lead learn our lessons teach us to be true honest,
the prayer. courteous and helpful to our teachers and
classmates guide us to do good things
always. Amen!

2. Greetings
Good morning, class!

Before you take your seats, Students will arrange their chairs and pick
kindly arrange you chairs and pick up those up litters around them.
litters around you.

3. Checking of Attendance
Now let me check your
attendance.
B. Review
Before we discuss our new topic
for today class, let us first test your speed
and accuracy by this activity entitled
“Reduce Me”. I will show you fractions
written on the flash cards, and then try to
express them in lowest terms.

Are we clear on that class? Yes sir.

4 3 12 17 25 2 1 4 17 1
1) 10 2) 9 3) 15 4) 5) 100 1) 5 2) 3 3) 5 4) 19 5) 4
19

Congratulations! You got it right! Indeed,


your speed and accuracy are on point.
C. Motivation
Are you familiar with the game Yes sir we are very familiar with that.
“Bato-bato pick”? Okay, everyone should
find a partner to play that game. We have
five rounds to play and record the result on
the paper I will provide you.

Write W if you win and L if you lose.


Are you now ready class? Yes sir
Do you have a partner already? Yes sir

1, 2, 3 go “bato-bato pick!” (The students perform the activity and


record the result)

(After 5 rounds)
Ok class, you may now take your seats
1. Presentation

How did you find the activity? Enjoying and exciting sir

How many times did you win or lose the (Students’ answer may vary)
game?

Now compare your result with your My answer sir is the same with some of my
classmates. classmates’ result.

Okay, thank you class

Aren’t you curious class of what really is We are curious sir.


the chance of getting a win or lose in
playing “bato-bato pick” class?

So, do you have any idea what is our lesson I think sir, it is about chances.
for today? Any guess?

In this lesson we are about to learn chances


or specifically Probability of Simple
Events.
2. Discussion

Let us first define probability and simple


events.
What comes into your mind when you hear Possibilities or chances of something to
the word probability? happen sir.
Thank you for sharing your idea.

Kindly read the definition of the Probability – it is the measure of how


probability (student’s name) likely an event is to occur. The more likely
an event is to occur, the higher its
probability. The less likely an event is to
occur, the lower its probability.

Next, kindly read (student’s name) A simple event is one that can only happen
in one way - in other words, it has a single
outcome.
Thank you!

Example: In rolling a die once, what is the


probability of getting 4?

How many favorable outcomes do we 1 sir


have?

You are correct! How many possible There are five sir.
outcomes do we have in rolling a die?

Five possible outcomes? Are you sure? (Students are counting: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)


Look at this die and count the possible
outcomes.

Now, how many possible outcomes do we There are 6 sir.


have in rolling a die?

That’s it! So, there is 1 favorable outcome


and 6 possible outcomes, therefore;
1
𝑃(4) =
6

Based on the example, how are you going (Students will share their idea/s if there
to compute for the probability of simple is/are any)
events?

Again class, the probability of getting 4 is


1
, where 1 is the number of favorable
6
outcome and 6 is the number of possible
outcomes.

So? Sir, to compute the probability of event is

𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠


𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
That is exactly correct!
The probability of simple event is the ratio
that compares the number of favorable
outcomes to the number of possible
outcomes.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
𝑃(𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡) =
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠

In our activity earlier, try to solve the 1 1


𝑃(𝑤𝑖𝑛) = 2, 𝑃(𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒) = 2
probability of winning the game and losing
the game.
1
So the probability of winning is 2, and
1
losing the game is 2

Are we clear with that class? Yes sir

Okay, so let’s proceed to four probability


rules

1. The probability of an event is a


number (either fraction, a decimal, or a
percent)

Example: The weather forecast show 70%


rain.
7
𝑃(𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛 ) = 70% 𝑜𝑟 .7 𝑜𝑟
10
2. If an event will never happen, then its
probability is 0.

Example: When a single die is rolled, find


the probability of getting an 8. Since the
sample space is consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and
6. It is impossible of getting an 8.
0
Hence, 𝑃(8) = 6 = 0

3. If an event is sure to happen, then the


probability is 1.

Example: When a single die is rolled, what


is the probability of getting a number less
than 7? Solve for the probability of getting
a number less than 7.

How many possible outcomes? There are 6 sir


Good there are 6 possible outcomes. What 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
are those outcomes?
Correct!
Now what is the number of favo rable There are 6 sir, because in a die sir there are
outcomes? 6 numbers which are less than 7.

Very good! What is our event again? Getting a number less than 7 sir
That’s it!

Now, you know already know the number


of favourable outcomes as well as the
number of possible outcomes, then you can
now solve the probability of getting a
number less than 7.

Who wants to solve it on the board? Me sir.

6
Yes please. 𝑃(𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑛 7) = =1
6

Good job!

4. The sum of the probabilities of all


outcomes in the sample space is 1

Example: If a die is rolled, what is the


probability in getting number less than 4
and probability of getting number more
than 3.
3 1 3 1
𝑃 (𝑛𝑜. < 4) = 6 = 2 and 𝑃(𝑛𝑜. > 3) = 6
=2
𝑃 (𝑛𝑜. < 4) + 𝑃(𝑛𝑜. > 3)
1 1
+ =1
2 2

Are we now clear on this class?


Any questions regarding the probability Yes sir
rules? None sir
3. Application

(Group Activity)

Now, let’s apply your understanding about


the probability of simple events.

I will divide the class into four groups.


Please count 1, 2, 3, 4 starting from you.
Ok, all ones proceed to this area, all twos
here, all threes there, and all fours please
be in this area.
I will post on the board the situation and
your task in the piece of paper to be given
to you later.

I will provide the materials needed and you


will write your answer on the manila paper,
together with your task and the rubrics for
scoring your work.
I will give you 5 minutes to do the activity
and choose a leader for each group to
present your work.

Ready? Yes sir


Your timer starts now. (Students do the activity)

Situation: Liniel is asked to choose a day


from a week. What is the probability of:

Group 1: Liniel choosing a day which 2


starts with T. 𝑃(𝑑𝑎𝑦 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑇) =
7

5
𝑃 (𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑑𝑎𝑦𝑠) =
Group 2: Liniel choosing weekdays. 7
2
𝑃(𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑒𝑛𝑑) =
Group 3: Liniel choosing weekend 7

Group 4: Liniel choosing a day starts with 1


𝑃(𝑑𝑎𝑦 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑠 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑊 ) =
W 7

(Scoring rubrics attached at the back)


4. Generalization

A while ago we discussed about the


probability of simple events and
probability rules.

As a recap, what do you mean by Probability is the measure of how likely an


probability? event to occur.

𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠


𝑃(𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡) =
To find the probability of an event we 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
use the formula?

Have you experienced using chances or (students’ answers may vary)


probability class?

How can we express the importance of It is useful in giving us information like


probability of event in real-life? Kuya Kim reporting the weather forecast.
Complete the following class We can also determine our probability in
winning or losing when playing a game
such as “pula-puti, spinning the roulette and
bato-bato pick”.

1. The probability of an event is a 1. The probability of an event is a number


number either ___, ___ and ___. either a, fraction, a decimal and a percent.

2. If an event will never happen, then 2. If an event will never happen, then its
its probability is ___. probability is 0.

3. If an event is sure to happen then the 3. If an event is sure to happen then the
probability is ___. probability is 1.

4. The sum of probabilities of all 4. The sum of probabilities of all outcomes


outcomes in the sample space is ___. in the sample space is 1.

IV. Evaluation

Direction: Answer directly in ½


crosswise sheet of paper (5 points each)

A. Define probability A. Probability is the measure of how likely


an event is to occur.

B. Find the probabilities of the following:

1. If a letter chosen at a random from the 3


word SCORPIO, what is the probability of 𝑃(𝑣𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑙 ) =
7
that the letter chosen is a vowel.

2. A bag contains 6 pencils numbered from 3 1


𝑃(𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑑 < 4) = =
1 through 6. If a pencil will be drawn from 6 2
the bag, what is the probability of the
pencil to be drawn is numbered less than 4.
V. Assignment

1. A glass jar contains 40 marbles


consisting of red, green, blue and
yellow marbles. The probability of
drawing a single green marble at
1
random is 5. What does it mean?
2. List down at least five situations
from your experiences, wherein you
wondered for a probability of a certain
event.
Prepared by:

REYNANTE J. DE GUZMAN
BSEd – IV

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