A Machine Learning-Based Prediction Model of LCCO2 For Building Envelope Renovation in Taiwan

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A Machine Learning-Based Prediction Model of LCCO2 for Building Envelope Renovation

in Taiwan
2021 NCKU
Objective: create the model for LCCO2 and annual energy consumption prediction
Data: Building envelope renovation project 744 cases in Tainan
- Original design: Typical row house in Taiwan
- Construction methods: 11 of roofs, 6 of exterior walls, 15 of glass materials
o U-value (sum of heat transmitted from warm space to cold space, lower is better
insulated)
o Solar heat gain coefficient of glass, SHGC: set as 0 – 1 (lower is better blocking
heat)
o Visible transmittance of glass, VT (sensitivity of human eyes to light, higher VT
transmits more visible light)
o Under the premise that the original design of the building remains unchanged, we replaced the
building materials, with the exception of the main structure, according to the common structure of
Taiwan’s existing row houses as mentioned in Section 2.1. Among them, the short side of the
exterior wall is the street-facing facade, and the simulation was set to be affected by airflow and
sunlight. Meanwhile, the wall connected to the neighboring house (the long side of the exterior
wall) was set as an insulating wall during simulation. Indoor floors, doors, and walls were not
affected by airflow and sunlight.

- Locations: Taipei, Taichung, Kaohsiung


o Different locationsclimate zone temperature, humidity, wind speed
o All data from Typical Meteorological Years (TMY3) #data adopted by Taiwan
using Sandia Method from US
- Orientations: North, South, East, West (each side of houses will face to every direction)
- Indoor temperature: less or higher than outdoor for < 26 degree Celsius
- Ventilation methods: close or open the window, turn on the air conditioners
o Coefficient of Performance (COP) was set at 4.5 (higher COP, higher efficiency,
lower energy consumption)
o Discharge coefficient for the opening factor: 0.6 for opening window, 0.0001 for
closing window
Calculation tools:
1. EnergyPlus (energy consumption)
2. SimaPro
3. Local database: LCBA
Calculation:
1. Data collection
a. waste disposal >> LCCO2
b. materials >> LCCO2
c. construction >> LCCO2
d. air conditioning
i. The calculation of the carbon emissions of air conditioning during the use phase converts
the results of energy consumption according to the carbon emission coefficient
announced by the Ministry of Economic Affairs [39].

ii. The annual energy consumption is given by the simulation result of air conditioning
energy consumption with EnergyPlus and is then converted into the carbon emissions of
the use phase over 20 years (life cycle of a renovation building project). The simulation
settings of EnergyPlus are explained in Section 2.2.2.

iii. Life cycle for renovation building: 20 years


2. Spearman’s rank correlation
a. Annual energy consumption & LCCO2: high
b. Annual energy consumption & location
i. Temperature: high
ii. Humidity and wind: some
3. Check the accuracy
a. Two model; second model deleted U-value of roof and exterior wall as they
have low correlation #main heat go through the window
i. But second model did not work well
ii. Tuning the hyperparameters
Model training and testing:

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