AD1036337
AD1036337
AD1036337
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Flood and Coastal Storm Damage ERDC/GSL SR-17-4
Reduction Program June 2017
Final report
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Abstract
The soil water characteristic curve (SWCC) defines a constitutive
relationship between the negative pressure that develops when a soils
saturation level is less than fully saturated, and the corresponding volume
of water held in the pore space of the soil matrix. As this relationship is not
commonly measured in geotechnical laboratories, practitioners often
attempt to predict this relationship based on other commonly measured
material properties using empirical prediction methods. The performance
of five SWCC empirical predictors was evaluated through comparisons to
independently measured SWCC data for four soils. SWCC prediction
methods were selected for this investigation if they incorporated
commonly measured soil properties to predict the SWCC. The error in the
SWCC prediction was assessed in terms of both the mean squared error on
the SWCC prediction and the impact of the error on a numerical analysis
of the Green and Ampt infiltration problem. The results of the numerical
analysis were assessed in terms of a normalized saturation coefficient. The
normalized saturation coefficient provided a clear means of monitoring a
transient seepage analysis through a single measure. Results indicate that
the SWCC prediction methods yielding the lowest mean squared error did
not necessarily yield the smallest error in the transient seepage analysis.
Further, only the Rawls method consistently yielded conservative analysis
results for all soil types investigated.
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ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 iii
Contents
Abstract .......................................................................................................................................................... ii
Preface .............................................................................................................................................................v
1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 1
6 Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................36
References ...................................................................................................................................................38
Tables
Table 1. Soil classification based on hydraulic conductivity (Terzaghi 1996). ....................................... 9
Table 2. SWCC data used to estimate appropriate curve (Sleep 2011). ..............................................10
Table 3. SWCC soil data set. .......................................................................................................................14
Table 4. Material properties of the soil data set. .....................................................................................14
Table 5. Results of transient seepage analysis MSE between predicted SWCC and
laboratory-measured SWCC........................................................................................................................23
Table 6. Material properties used in the FLAC analysis. ......................................................................... 27
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 v
Preface
This study was conducted under the Flood and Coastal Storm Damage
Reduction Program. The technical monitor was Dr. Cary Talbot, Associate
Technical Director, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory.
COL Bryan S. Green was the Commander of ERDC, and Dr. David W.
Pittman was the Director.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 1
1 Introduction
The soil water characteristic curve (SWCC) is the relationship between the
soil-water suction and the water content of the soil. This relationship helps
define the magnitude of matric suction that occurs in a soil deposit when
the water content is less than saturated. The quantity of water retained in
a soil at a certain magnitude of suction depends on many factors: particle
shape, particle size, distribution of pore spaces, mineralogy, surface
activity of solid grain particles, and chemical composition of interstitial
water (Aubertin et al. 2003). The SWCC is important in geotechnical
engineering, as the degree of saturation and corresponding matric suction
greatly influences the shear strength and hydraulic conductivity of soils. A
partially saturated soil will have a decreased hydraulic conductivity and
increased shear strength as compared to a saturated soil.
In the literature, five SWCC prediction methods that use common soil
properties for curve estimation were found. The soil properties used by the
selected prediction methods were saturated hydraulic conductivity, grain
size, plasticity index, and porosity. The finite element seepage program
Seep/W©, distributed by GeoStudio, was used as the platform for the
developed Add-In functions. Each prediction method was programmed as
a function and compiled as a digital library (*.dll). The performances of
the five SWCC prediction methods were evaluated by comparing the
predicted curves to independent laboratory measurements. Finally, the
significance of the errors associated with the SWCC predictions was
assessed through a numerical transient seepage analysis.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 2
H H H θ
kx θ ky θ kz θ Q (1)
x x y y z z t
SWCCs are typically plotted on a semi-log plot with the ordinate axis
showing either saturation, gravimetric water content, or volumetric water
content; the abscissa contains the matric suction in units of pressure (kPa,
psf, or cm of water). Figure 1 shows an example SWCC.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 3
When the saturation level in a soil is less than fully saturated, negative pore
water pressures develop. The term soil suction is defined as the negative
pore water pressure. Total suction consists of two primary components:
matric suction and osmotic suction (Fredlund et al. 2012). Matric suction
(also known as capillary pressure) is the mathematical difference between
the air and water pressures (ua-uw) in the soil. The air pressure is usually
zero (gauge pressure), and the water pressure is negative due to surface
tension. Osmotic suction is associated with both saturated and unsaturated
soils and is related to the salt content in the pore water. If the salt concen-
tration in the pore fluid changes, there is a corresponding change in the
volume and shear strength of the soil (Fredlund et al. 2012). For the
purpose of this report, osmotic suction will not be considered because it is
considered to play a minor role in embankment performance when
compared to the influence of matric suction.
The air entry value (AEV) is defined as the differential pressure between
air and water that is required to cause desaturation of the largest pores.
The AEV can be defined graphically as the intersection of the line tangent
to the straight line portion of the SWCC and a horizontal line through the
saturated water content. The intersection point of these two lines is the
matric suction AEV. The residual water content is the point at high
suctions at which very little water is retained and at which pore water is
generally in the form of thin films surrounding the surface of soil grains
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 4
(Lu and Likos 2004). The residual point can be defined as the intersection
of a tangent line along the SWCC where the curve starts to drop linearly in
the high suction range (Fredlund and Xing 1994) and the tangent line used
for determining the AEV. The AEV and the residual point (ψr,θr) are shown
in Figure 1. Some fine-grained soil water curves do not exhibit a residual
suction point. Typically, a value between 1500 to 3000 kPa is an
appropriate approximation (Fredlund and Xing 1994).
θs θr
θ θr m (2)
n
1 ψ
a
where 𝜃𝜃𝑠𝑠 and 𝜃𝜃𝑟𝑟 are the saturated and residual volumetric water contents;
𝜓𝜓 is the matric suction; and 𝑎𝑎, 𝑛𝑛 and 𝑚𝑚 are curve-fitting parameters. The
parameter m is often approximated as (1-1/n). Van Genuchten (1980)
gives a detailed explanation of the derivation of the fitting parameters. The
van Genuchten equation is used to represent the SWCC analytically; the
result can then be used to define the hydraulic conductivity function
(HCF) (van Genuchten 1980).
The SWCC exhibits hysteresis as a soil cycles through wetting and drying
processes. A soil undergoing a drying process will typically have a larger
water content than a soil undergoing a wetting process at the same value of
matric suction. Figure 2 shows an example of the wetting and drying curves.
α w 2α d (3)
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 5
nw nd (4)
where 𝛼𝛼 and 𝑛𝑛 are fitting parameters used in the van Genuchten SWCC
fitting model, 𝜃𝜃𝑠𝑠 is the saturated volumetric water content, and the
superscripts w and d denote wetting and drying respectively. The van
Genuchten equation is shown in Equation 5.
SM Hysteresis
drying
wetting
0.4
Volumetric Water Content
0.3
0.2
0.1
where P200 is the percentage of material passing the #200 sieve, expressed
as a decimal, and PI is the plasticity index, expressed as a percentage. The
parameters for plastic soils (PI>0) are defined in Equations 7 to 10:
3.35
a 0.00364wPI 4wPI 11 (7)
b 0.14
2.313wPI 5 (8)
c
0.465
c 0.0514wPI 0. 5 (9)
hr 0.0186wPI
32.44e (10)
a
The parameters for granular soils (PI=0) are defined in Equations 11 to 14:
0.751
a 0.8627 D60 (11)
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 7
b 7. 5 (12)
hr 1
(14)
a D60 9.7e4
where D60 is the grain size at which 60% of the material is finer and 𝑏𝑏� is
the average value of the fitting parameter b. This method was derived from
measurements on 190 soils. The samples consisted of 70 plastic soils
(PI>0) and 120 nonplastic soils (PI=0). This method was included in the
analysis because the input parameters are common index properties used
to classify soils according to the Unified Soil Classification System (USCS),
making the method easily applicable in practice.
where:
40
m logD60
D100 10 1
(17)
30
m1 (18)
D
log 90
D
60
where:
D
1.19
b 5.39 0.29 ln P200 90 3 D00.57 0.021 P200 m10.1 (20)
D10
30
m log D30
Do 10 2
(21)
20
m2 (22)
D
log 30
D10
where:
1
c log m2
1.15
1
b f
(24)
0.3185
b f 1.421 wPI (27)
where:
where P200 is the percent passing the #200 sieve (0.074 mm), expressed as
a decimal, and PI is the plasticity index, expressed as a percentage. There
were 154 nonplastic and 63 plastic soils used in the regression analysis.
This method was included because the parameters are dependent on soil
properties used in the USCS and because a relatively large number of
samples were used to derive them.
Wetting Drying
ksat (cm/s) Average Average Boundary Boundary Soil
Range S Drying Wetting (90% conf.) (90% conf.) Category
10 to 1 0.7 0.1 0.009 8 Coarse
1.0E-01 0.1 4 0.6 0.05 13.5 Sand
4. Input the two point values into Seep/W, Data Point Function, by using
Equation 31 or 32 to convert saturation to volumetric water content:
θ100% np (31)
Figure 3 shows how the curves would look for coarse sand following the
process outlined above. The wetting and drying boundaries are based on a
90% confidence interval. The wetting curve was constructed based on an
approximation that the wetting curve is usually one order of magnitude
smaller than the drying curve. Sleep (2011) provides a more complete
discussion on the formulation of the method.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 11
0.3
Volumetric Water Content
0.2
0.1
1
B
θ θ θ ψB ψ ψB
θ r s r
ψ (33)
θs
0 ψ ψB
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 12
ψB 0.285 7.33104 Psi 2 1.3104 Psi * Pcl 3.6106 Psi 2 Pcl (34)
θs 40.61 0.165 Psi 0.162 Pcl 1.37103 Psi 2 1.8105 Psi 2 Pcl (36)
where Psi is the percent silt and Pcl is the percent clay. Some ranges of
material type may produce a small negative value for θr; in these cases, θr
should be assigned a value of 0. This method was intended for use with
tropical fine-grained soils and is based on the textural classification system.
2
θr 0.0182 0.000873 Psa 0.005135 Pcl 0.02939n p 0.000154 Pcl
2 2 2 2
(40)
0.00108 Psa n p 0.000182 Pcl n p 0.000307 Pcl n p 0.00236n p Pcl
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 13
where Psa is percent sand, Pcl is percent clay, and np is the porosity. The
bubbling pressure, otherwise known as the air entry value, ψB, is in
centimeters of water; λ is the pore size index (λ=1/B); and θr is the
residual water content. These equations (Equations 38-40) are reported to
be valid for 5%<PSa<70% and 5%<Pcl<60%.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 14
Table 4 shows the material properties necessary to predict the SWCC using
each of the five prediction methods. The CH sample was compacted at
optimum water to maximum dry density by the modified Proctor method.
ML SWCC
ML-Lab
0.4
ML-Tomasella
ML-Rawls
ML-Zapata
0.35
ML-Perera
ML-Sleep
0.3
Volumetric Water Content
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
Figure 5 shows the predicted and laboratory SWCC for the compacted CH.
Tomasella and Hodnett’s method (1998) overpredicts the SWCC by a large
margin. This overprediction is likely due to the reliance of this method on
predicting the saturated volumetric water content while the other methods
rely on user input of the saturated volumetric water content (estimated as
porosity). For this sample the closest approximation of the laboratory-
measured SWCC data was acquired by Sleep’s method (2011), which uses
the silt curve due to the absence of a clay curve for this method.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 16
CH SWCC
0.55
CH-Lab
CH-Tomasella
0.5 CH-Rawls
CH-Zapata
CH-Perera
0.45
CH-Sleep
0.4
Volumetric Water Content
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
Figure 6 shows the predicted and the laboratory-measured SWCCs for the
SM sample. The measured SWCC data are convex with regard to the
vertical axis. This shape is matched accurately by the Brooks and Corey
function utilized by Tomasella and Hodnett (1998) and Rawls et al. (1991).
The closest approximation of the laboratory data with regard to shape and
accuracy was obtained by Zapata et al. (2000).
Figure 7 shows the predicted and laboratory SWCC for the SP material.
The shape of the measured SWCC is nearly vertical after it reaches the
AEV, occurring at approximately 35 kPa. Zapata et al.’s (2000) method
most nearly approximates the measured SWCC data in shape and
accuracy.
Considering the limited data set (four samples) analyzed, Zapata et al.’s
(2000) and Sleep’s (2011) methods seem to approximate more accurately
the measured SWCC with regard to both shape and accuracy across the
range of soils.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 17
SM SWCC
0.45 SM-Lab
SM-Tomasella
SM-Rawls
0.4 SM-Zapata
SM-Perera
SM-Sleep
0.35
Volumetric Water Content
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
SP SWCC
SP-Lab
0.4
SP-Tomasella
SP-Rawls
SP-Zapata
0.35
SP-Perera
SP-Sleep
0.3
Volumetric Water Content
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
The SWCC developed for each of the samples shown in Table 4 and
Figures 4-8 was used in this analysis. The process modeled was a wetting
process, and all of the SWCCs were drying curves; but for comparison
purposes, these SWCCs were used with no adjustment. The hydraulic
conductivity ratio was assumed to be 1, and the van Genuchten hydraulic
conductivity function (1980) was used. Each analysis was run for a
simulated five days; and at the end of the simulated time, the total heads
were collected from the nodes that lie along the dashed line shown in
Figure 8.
The results shown in Figure 10 show that the SWCC predicted by the Rawls
et al. method (1991) closely matched the results of the laboratory SWCC.
This is interesting because, even though the Rawls method (as well as the
Tomasella method [Tomasella and Hodnett 1998]) matched the shape of
the lab SWCC, they were rather inaccurate. An investigation of the hydraulic
conductivity functions (HCF) (Figure 14) shows the Rawls et al. method
(1991) more closely matches the laboratory-measured SWCC HCF.
Figures 11 and 12 show that all prediction methods matched the laboratory
data more closely for the SM and CH soils than for the ML material. In the
case of the CH material, this is in part due to the limited development of
the wetting front over the period of five days. Table 5 shows the mean
squared error (MSE), which is a measure of the difference between the
pore pressures modeled using the laboratory-measured SWCC and the
pore pressures obtained using the various predicted SWCCs. Equation 42
shows how the MSE was calculated:
1 n ˆ
2
MSE Yi Yi
n i1
(42)
where n is the quantity of data points; for this case there were 26 data
points, one for each node. 𝑌𝑌𝑖𝑖 is the total head values obtained at the
26 different nodes for the analysis that used the predicted SWCC, and 𝑌𝑌�𝑖𝑖 is
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 20
the total head values from the laboratory-measured SWCC analysis. The
smaller the MSE value, the more accurately the results of the predicted
SWCC analysis matched the results of the analysis performed using the
laboratory-measured SWCC. The MSE values for the compacted CH are all
less than ten, but Sleep’s (2011) and Tomasella and Hodnett’s (1998)
methods were much smaller than one, indicating that these two prediction
methods closely matched the results of the laboratory-measured SWCC
analysis. This is an interesting result, considering that Sleep’s (2011)
prediction was derived from the silt data as a result of no clay SWCC curve’s
being available in the UNSODA database (Nemes et al. 2001). Tomasella
and Hodnett’s (1998) method was derived from mainly fine-grained soil, so
its adequate prediction of the clay SWCC should be expected.
Figure 10. Profile of pressure head values after five days for ML.
Pressure Head vs. Elevation
ML
50
ML
Lab
Tomasella
Rawls
40 Zapata
Perera
Sleep
30
Elevation (ft)
20
10
Figure 11. Profile of pressure head values after five days for compacted CH.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 22
Figure 12. Profile of pressure head values after five days for SM.
Pressure Head vs. Elevation
SM
50
40
30
Elevation (ft)
SM
Lab
20
Tomasella
Rawls
Zapata
Perera
Sleep
10
Figure 13. Profile of pressure head values after five days for SP.
Pressure Head vs. Elevation
SP
50
SP
Lab
Tomasella
40
Rawls
Zapata
Perera
Sleep
30
Elevation (ft)
20
10
Table 5. Results of transient seepage analysis MSE between predicted SWCC and laboratory-
measured SWCC.
Tomasella
Material and Hodnett Rawls Zapata Perera Sleep
ML 8.06E+02 9.34E+00 9.83E+02 8.08E+02 7.38E+02
SM 2.08E+01 5.58E-02 1.08E+01 1.27E+02 7.82E+01
CH 2.90E-06 2.02E+00 6.05E-01 3.46E+00 7.18E-03
SP 8.13E+02 8.75E+00 2.70E+00 2.71E+00 4.60E+02
Comparing the results from this rather limited analysis, Rawls et al.’s
(1991) method consistently matches the laboratory-measured SWCC
analysis’s results. Given the size of the data set, these results are very
preliminary; but each prediction method seems to give reasonable results,
with the method proposed by Rawls et al. (1991) being applicable across
the full range of soil types investigated, based on the pore pressure results.
Saturation Coefficient
Evaluating the relative significance of the differences in the SWCC
predictions on the results of a transient seepage analysis from the above
pressure profiles is rather difficult. To truly evaluate the significance of the
different SWCC curves, the solution must be described over the entire time
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 24
domain. This has been done in the past either by plotting the evolution of
the pore pressure at certain locations over time or by providing profiles of
the pore pressure at discrete points in time (Lam and Fredlund [1984],
Cedergren [1997]). Using either of these approaches for fine-grained soils is
still rather inconvenient due to the sharp transition between unsaturated
and saturated soils at the wetting front. As seen by plots of pressure profiles
at different times for the CH column in Figure 15, the response throughout
much of the sample is essentially zero until the wetting front approaches, at
which point the pressure rapidly increases to a near constant value. Plotting
numerous profiles or pressure versus time curves on the same plot to
compare the various methods would produce a figure quite cluttered and
difficult to compare. Therefore, the concept of a normalized saturation
coefficient was developed to allow a continuous comparison of the transient
seepage solutions for each of the predictive methods.
ω
S dA S dA
t i
(43)
S dA S dA
ss i
A final numerical analysis was conducted to see how the predicted SWCC
and the associated prediction error impacted a numerical analysis by using
the finite difference program FLAC (Fast Lagrangian Analysis of Continua).
The same geometry used in the SEEP/W analysis was used in the FLAC
analysis. The two-phase-flow option was used in FLAC and, with this
option, only van Genuchten’s (1980) fitting parameters are available for use.
Not all of the SWCC prediction methods use van Genuchten’s fitting
equation, so each of the predicted SWCCs had to be fitted with this
equation. It was recognized that some additional error might have been
incorporated with this procedure, but the error was assumed to be small
when compared to error already present. Figure 16 shows the SM-predicted
SWCCs fitted with van Genuchten’s (1980) equation (the solid line
represents the predicted curve, and the dashed line represents the van
Genuchten fitted curve). Zapata et al.’s (2000) and Rawls et al.’s (1991)
SWCCs fit with van Genuchten’s equation very well while Sleep’s (2011)
equation did not. The likely reason for the poor fit to Sleep’s SWCC was its
odd shape.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 26
Figure 16. Comparison of predicted method and methods fitted with van Genuchten equation (1980).
The material properties used in the FLAC analysis are presented in Table 6.
ω
S tn An Si n An
(44)
S ssn An Si n An
Equation 42) and the area were multiplied and summed over the entire
grid, and this value was stored for later use. The next step was to apply the
infiltration boundary conditions and run the analysis until steady state
conditions were reached. Once steady state conditions were reached, the
steady state zone saturations (𝑆𝑆𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 from Equation 42) and the areas were
multiplied and summed over the entire grid, and this value was stored. After
these two steps were completed, the program was reset to the initial condi-
tions and the infiltration boundary conditions were reapplied; this allowed
the saturation coefficient to be calculated and plotted against flow time.
Figure 17 shows the levee saturation coefficient plotted against time for the
ML material. The solid line represents the analysis using the laboratory-
measured SWCC data. The results that most closely matched the analysis
using the lab data were attained by the SWCCs predicted by the Rawls et
al. (1991) and Tomasella and Hodnett methods. The Perera, Sleep, and
Zapata methods all reached 90% of steady state much faster than the
laboratory analysis did. The times to reach 90% steady state for the Perera,
Sleep, and Zapata methods were 315.75, 807.87 and 873.29 days,
respectively, while at 1,000 days the analysis using lab data was at a
saturation coefficient value of 57.9%. From observation of Figure 17, it is
readily seen that all of the predictive methods except the Tomasella and
Hodnett method lead to conservative results.
0.8
0.6
Saturation Coeficient
0.4
ML
Lab
Perera
0.2
Rawls
Zapata
Sleep
Tomasella
Figure 18 shows the saturation coefficient versus time for the CH material.
The results of this analysis show that Sleep’s (2011) method most closely
approximates the results of the numerical analysis using the laboratory-
measured SWCC. Tomasella’s predicted SWCC leads to a solution that
greatly underpredicts the wetting front when compared to the laboratory
analysis. The analyses performed using Perera’s, Rawls’s, and Zapata’s
predicted SWCC overpredict the location of the wetting front. At a time of
500,000 days, the saturation coefficient for the laboratory analysis was
44.1%, while for Perera’s, Rawls’s and Zapata’s analyses the coefficient
values were 79.6%, 86.5% and 86.4% respectively. The low values for
Tomasella and Hodnett’s predicted SWCC are likely due to the higher-
than-measured saturated volumetric water content, which is nearly double
the measured value. Also, the AEV for this SWCC is extremely low
compared to the other curves shown in Figure 5. Once again, all of the
predictive methods except for the Tomasella and Hodnett method lead to a
conservative estimate of the wetting front location.
a flow time of 291.2 days, the laboratory analysis value of the saturation
coefficient was at 90% while the values for Rawls’ and Tomasella and
Hodnett’s analyses were 64% and 56%, respectively. The rest of the analyses
overpredicted the saturation coefficient, with Zapata’s most closely
matching the laboratory results. At a flow time of 291.2 days Perera’s,
Sleep’s, and Zapata’s saturation coefficients were 98.6%, 99.6%, and 99%,
respectively.
0.8
Saturation Coeficient
0.6
0.4
SM
Lab
Perera
Rawls
0.2
Zapata
Sleep
Tomasella
0.8
Saturation Coeficient
0.6
SP
Lab
0.4 Perera
Rawls
Zapata
Sleep
Tomasella
0.2
Content Fn” pull-down menu, the function that was given a unique name
by the user should be selected. The following sections give guidance on the
format of each of the prediction method’s (function’s) input parameters.
Note: Each of the five methods is programmed to use imperial units and
will work as intended only if imperial units are used.
Clay materials with a hydraulic conductivity value less than 10-7 cm/s will
be assigned the range of SWCCs used for the silt material. This is due to
the absence of clay material in the UNSODA database. This function’s
name is “Sleep_Imp.”
The porosity is not an input parameter: the function predicts the porosity
based on the two function input parameters, percent silt and clay. This
function’s name is “Tomasella_Imp”; this function predicts the drying
SWCC.
6 Conclusion
Five soil water characteristic curve prediction methods were reviewed and
compared to independent laboratory data over a range of soil types. The
significance of the error in the predictive methods was assessed through
transient seepage analyses. The relationship between matric suction and
volumetric water content is of central importance when performing a
transient seepage analysis. This relationship significantly impacts the soil
hydraulic conductivity. The results of the numerical analysis show that, in
general, the Rawls predictive method gives an adequate prediction of the
SWCC over a range of material types. The results of the analyses also
demonstrate that the closest SWCC prediction does not guarantee the best
match to the transient analysis using the laboratory data curve: the shape
of the curve and the AEV are also important.
particular soil that is to be analyzed. It seems that the best way to acquire
this information is to investigate from which soil data set the predictive
method was derived.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 38
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Wiley & Sons.
ERDC/GSL SR-17-4 39
Terzaghi, Karl. 1996. Soil mechanics in engineering practice. New York: John
Wiley & Sons.
14. ABSTRACT
The soil water characteristic curve (SWCC) defines a constitutive relationship between the negative pressure that develops when a soils
saturation level is less than fully saturated, and the corresponding volume of water held in the pore space of the soil matrix. As this
relationship is not commonly measured in geotechnical laboratories, practitioners often attempt to predict this relationship based on
other commonly measured material properties using empirical prediction methods. The performance of five SWCC empirical predictors
was evaluated through comparisons to independently measured SWCC data for four soils. SWCC prediction methods were selected for
this investigation if they incorporated commonly measured soil properties to predict the SWCC. The error in the SWCC prediction was
assessed in terms of both the mean squared error on the SWCC prediction and the impact of the error on a numerical analysis of the
Green and Ampt infiltration problem. The results of the numerical analysis were assessed in terms of a normalized saturation
coefficient. The normalized saturation coefficient provided a clear means of monitoring a transient seepage analysis through a single
measure. Results indicate that the SWCC prediction methods yielding the lowest mean squared error did not necessarily yield the
smallest error in the transient seepage analysis. Further, only the Rawls method consistently yielded conservative analysis results for all
soil types investigated.