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ECON 673 2024 Spring Lecture 2

Game Theory Presentation

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Hassan Zaidi
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
18 views23 pages

ECON 673 2024 Spring Lecture 2

Game Theory Presentation

Uploaded by

Hassan Zaidi
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Introduction

Review
Closing

ECON 673
Information, Game Theory, and Market Design
Lecture 2

David A. Ovadia
University of Maryland

1 February 2024

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 1 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Section 1

Introduction

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 2 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Recording of lectures

Please note that this lecture is being recorded (audio and video)

By joining today’s class session, you consent to being recorded

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 3 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

A Beautiful Mind failed to illustrate a NE

In the clip from the movie, Nash recognizes that all four guys
will leave the bar alone if they all try their luck
with the sole blonde woman

Instead, Nash proposes that each of four guys picks a brunette

Question: why isn’t this proposal a Nash equilibrium?

(Hint: think about the “no regrets” interpretation of NE)

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 4 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Pulse check

How were the podcast lectures?

Any other questions or concerns?

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 5 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Previous lecture

Static games of complete information


Discussion of games
Formal definition of a static game
Solution concepts
Preliminary considerations
Iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies
Nash equilibria

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 6 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Previous podcasts

IESDS & Nash equilibria


Iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies
Practice
Weakly dominated strategies
Nash equilibria
The underline method
Nash equilibria and IESDS

Application: duopoly competition


Cournot model
Graphical equilibrium derivation
Bertrand model

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 7 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Lecture outline

Review
Solution concepts
Duopoly competition and collusion
Discussion
Collusion
Mixed strategies
Expected utility
Equilibria in mixed strategies

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 8 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Lecture objectives

By the end of this lecture, you should be able to


Appreciate the applicability of Nash equilibria
to real world situations
Identify the benefits and harms of both noncooperative
and cooperative play across different scenarios
Derive mixed-strategy Nash equilibria

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 9 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Section 2

Review

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 10 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

The beauty contest exemplifies IESDS

Recall the beauty contest you played last week

Remember how (almost) all of you chose lower numbers


the second time around?

You did this because you were subconsciously carrying out IESDS!

The beauty contest game is also great at highlighting


the importance of thinking in terms of best responses

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 11 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Reviewing the battle of the sexes

Let’s consider how the various solution concepts we’ve learned


apply to the battle of the sexes game

Bob
Opera Boxing

Opera 1, 2 0, 0
Alice

Boxing 0, 0 2, 1

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 12 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Reviewing hawk-dove

Let’s consider how the various solution concepts we’ve learned


apply to the hawk-dove game

Player 2
Dove Hawk

Dove 3, 3 1, 4
Player 1

Hawk 4, 1 0, 0

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 13 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Let’s play the public goods game

You will play the public goods game as one group:


You have $20 to start the game
Choose an amount x ∈ [0, 20] to contribute to a common pot
The pot of money is totaled (call this Σ)
The pot of money is grown by a factor of 2
The grown pot (2Σ) is divided evenly and redistributed
You finish the game with 20 − x + 52 Σ

Any questions?

What observations can you make about this game?

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 14 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

How realistic are Nash equilibria?


Here’s the Prisoners’ Dilemma again, but with modified payoffs:

Player 2
Mum Fink

Mum 0, 0 −100, 1
Player 1

Fink 1, −100 −99, −99

What’s the NE in this version of the Prisoners’ Dilemma?


How realistic is this outcome?

Key takeaway: Risk neutrality is a crucial (but not necessarily


realistic) assumption to our analysis
David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 15 / 23
Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Let’s be clear about our assumptions

Having just considered the risk neutrality assumption,


let’s think about the other critical assumptions we typically make

rationality: predicting a Nash equilibrium only makes sense


when all players are rational
self-interest: this makes payoff calculations easier,
but it’s straightforward to adapt games to allow for altruism

Speaking of altruism, here’s a brilliant take


on a deep philosophical question:
Friends: “There’s no unselfish good deed”

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 16 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Do you have any questions about solution concepts?

Are there any more questions about Pareto Optimality, IESDS,


or Nash equilibria?
(If you’re struggling with a concept, then I guarantee
at least one of your classmates is struggling with it, too)

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 17 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Can a game lack Nash equilibria?

Is it possible for a game not to have any Nash equilibria?

We’ll come back to this question later tonight

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 18 / 23


Introduction
Review Solution Concepts
Closing

Zero-sum games

Let’s discuss games that require mixed strategies in equilibria

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 19 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Section 3

Closing

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 20 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Key lessons

Mixed strategies arise in game play for a variety of reasons

Mixed strategies are not inherently optimal:


an optimal mixed strategy is just a mixture
of optimal pure strategies

The specific mixture a player chooses in a Nash equilibrium


is selected to create an indifference for other players,
thus providing those other players the opportunity
to optimally play mixtures as well

The “no-regrets” interpretation of NE must be recast


when using mixed strategies

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 21 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

On your own

Podcast:
Mixed strategies

Please prepare 2 questions based on this podcast


to ask at the beginning of the next lecture

Suggested Readings:
In Game Theory: An Introduction:
Chapter 5
Chapter 6
In Game Theory for Applied Economists:
Section 1.3

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 22 / 23


Introduction
Review
Closing

Post-lecture feedback

Please remember to submit your anonymous post-lecture feedback:

Muddiest point
Eureka moment
General comments, suggestions, or concerns (or “N/A”)

David A. Ovadia ECON 673 – Lecture 2 23 / 23

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