Reading 18 Linear Regression
Reading 18 Linear Regression
In a regression analysis, the effects from independent variables that are not included in the
A) error term.
B) intercept.
D) scattergram.
Assume an analyst performs two simple regressions. The first regression analysis has an R-
squared of 0.90 and a slope coefficient of 0.10. The second regression analysis has an R-
squared of 0.70 and a slope coefficient of 0.25. Which one of the following statements is
most accurate?
The in uence on the dependent variable of a one unit increase in the independent
A)
variable is 0.9 in the rst analysis and 0.7 in the second analysis.
B) The rst regression has more explanatory power than the second regression.
The in uence on the dependent variable of a one unit increase in the independent
C)
variable is 0.7 in the rst analysis and 0.9 in the second analysis.
D) Results of the second analysis are more reliable than the rst analysis.
Joe Harris is interested in why the returns on equity differ from one company to another. He
chose several company-specific variables to explain the return on equity, including financial
return on equity is the explanatory variable, and nancial leverage and capital
A)
expenditure are the explained variables.
return on equity is the dependent variable, and nancial leverage and capital
B)
expenditures are independent variables.
return on equity is the independent variable, and nancial leverage and capital
C)
expenditures are dependent variables.
return on equity, nancial leverage, and capital expenditures are all independent
D)
variables.
where:
Rf = risk-free market
A) Rf.
B) Rm.
C) Rm − Rf.
D) Ri.
The standard error of the slope coefficient is 0.40 and the number of observations is 32. The
95 percent confidence interval for the slope coefficient, b1, is:
A) {−3.542 < b1 < 0.542}.
Sample regression coefficients are often estimated with a process known as:
B) a scattergram.
C) Ockham's razor.
Returns = b0 + b1Leverage + u
The t-value for the regression coefficient of leverage is calculated as t = −1.09. A 5 percent
level of significance is used to test whether leverage has a significant influence on returns.
The correct decision is to:
do not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that leverage signi cantly explains
A)
returns.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that leverage signi cantly explains returns.
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that leverage does not signi cantly explain
C)
returns.
do not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that leverage does not signi cantly
D)
explain returns.
Question #8 of 46 Question ID: 1268211
A) residuals are mean reverting; that is, they tend towards zero over time.
What is the predicted value of the dependent variable when the value of an independent
variable equals 2?
A) 2.83
B) −0.55
C) 6.50
D) 5.83
common stocks of medium sized companies (Mid Caps) and the return on the S&P 500
Index, using the monthly return on Mid Cap stocks as the dependent variable and the
monthly return on the S&P 500 as the independent variable. The results of the regression
are shown below:
Standard Error of
Coefficient t-Value
Coefficient
R2 = 0.599
Use the regression statistics presented above and assume this historical relationship still
holds in the future period. If the expected return on the S&P 500 over the next period were
11%, the expected return on Mid Cap stocks over the next period would be:
A) 25.6%.
B) 20.3%.
C) 18.4%.
D) 33.8%.
D) The Y values are all less than 3 standard deviations from the regression line.
The standard error of the coefficient is 0.42 and the number of observations is 22. The 95
percent confidence interval for the slope coefficient, b1, is:
D) measuring how the properties of the variables regress towards each other.
changed managers on January 2, 2000. Dummy variable one is equal to 1 if the return is
from a month between 2000 and 2002. Dummy variable number two is equal to 1 if the
return is from the second half of the year. There are 36 observations when dummy variable
one equals 0, half of which are when dummy variable two also equals 0. The following are
What is the p-value for a test of the hypothesis that the new manager outperformed the old
manager?
A simple linear regression is run to quantify the relationship between the return on the
common stocks of medium sized companies (Mid Caps) and the return on the S&P 500
Index, using the monthly return on Mid Cap stocks as the dependent variable and the
monthly return on the S&P 500 as the independent variable. The results of the regression
Standard Error
Coefficient t-Value
of Coefficient
Intercept 1.71 2.950 0.58
R2 = 0.599
The strength of the relationship, as measured by the correlation coefficient, between the
return on Mid Cap stocks and the return on the S&P 500 for the period under study was:
A) 0.130.
B) 0.599.
C) 2.950.
D) 0.774.
In the estimated regression equation Y = 0.78 − 1.5 X, which of the following is least accurate
when interpreting the slope coefficient?
An analyst is investigating the hypothesis that the beta of a fund is equal to one. The analyst
takes 60 monthly returns for the fund and regresses them against the Wilshire 5000. The
test statistic is 1.97 and the p-value is 0.05. Which of the following is correct?
If beta is equal to 1, the likelihood that the absolute value of the test statistic is
A)
equal to 1.97 is less than or equal to 5%.
For a sample of 100 beta values, the expected number of times beta would be equal
B)
to 1 is less than or equal to 5%.
The proportion of occurrences when the absolute value of the test statistic will be
C) higher when beta is equal to 1 than when beta is not equal to 1 is less than or equal
to 5%.
If beta is equal to 1, the likelihood that the absolute value of the test statistic would
D)
be greater than or equal to 1.97 is 5%.
Consider the regression results from the regression of Y against X for 50 observations:
Y = 5.0 − 1.5 X
The standard error of the estimate is 0.40 and the standard error of the coefficient is 0.45.
A) 10.
B) 20.
C) 4.5.
D) -10.
The assumptions underlying linear regression include all of the following except the:
Consider the regression results from the regression of Y against X for 50 observations:
Y = 0.78 + 1.2 X
The standard error of the estimate is 0.40 and the standard error of the coefficient
is 0.45.
Which of the following reports the correct value of the t-statistic for the slope and correctly
evaluates its statistical significance with 95 percent confidence?
An analyst has been assigned the task of evaluating revenue growth for an online education
provider company that specializes in training adult students. She has gathered information
about student ages, number of courses offered to all students each year, years of
experience, annual income and type of college degrees, if any. A regression of annual dollar
revenue on the number of courses offered each year yields the results shown below.
Coefficient Estimates
Standard Error of the
Predictor Coefficient
Coefficient
Intercept 0.10 0.50
Slope (Number of
2.20 0.60
Courses)
Which statement about the slope coefficient is most correct, assuming a 5 percent level of
significance and 50 observations?
Consider the regression results from the regression of Y against X for 50 observations:
Y = 0.78 − 1.5 X
The standard error of the estimate is 0.40 and the standard error of the coefficient
is 0.45.
Which of the following reports the correct value of the t-statistic for the slope and correctly
evaluates H0: b1 ≥ 0 versus Ha: b1 < 0 with 95 percent confidence?
A) t = 3.333; slope not signi cantly di erent from zero.
David Black wants to test whether the estimated beta in a market model is equal to one. He
collected a sample of 60 monthly returns on a stock and estimated the regression of the
stock's returns against those of the market. The estimated beta was 1.1, and the standard
error of the coefficient is equal to 0.4. What should Black conclude regarding the beta if he
uses a 5% level of significance? The null hypothesis that beta is:
education, experience, and gender is run. Gender equals one for men and zero for women.
The regression results from a sample of 230 financial analysts are presented below, with t-
statistics in parenthesis.
+ 1.2 + 0.5
Salaries = 34.98 + 6.3 Gender
Education Experience
What is the expected salary (in $1,000) of a woman with 16 years of education and 10 years
of experience?
A) 54.98.
B) 59.18.
C) 65.48.
D) 61.28.
Holding everything else constant, do men get paid more than women? Use a 5% level of
An analyst is regressing fund returns against the return on the Wilshire 5000 to determine
whether beta is equal to 1.0. The analyst is trying to determine whether the number of
observations should be increased. Which of the following is a reason why the test will have
by teenagers on the sales of accessory stores. He gathered data and estimated the following
regression of sales (in millions of dollars) on the number of hours watched by teenagers (in
Which of the following is the most accurate interpretation of the estimated results? If TV
watching:
is zero (that is, every teenager turns o the TV for a week), the expected sales of
C)
accessories is $0.
D) goes up by one hour per week, sales of accessories increase by $1.6 million.
As part of a regression analysis, an analyst finds that: Y − b1 × X = −1.8 and b1 = 3.2. Based
upon these results, for every unit increase in the independent variable, on average the
A) 1.8.
B) 1.4.
C) 3.2.
D) 5.0.
Question #30 of 46 Question ID: 1268239
Consider the following estimated regression equation, with standard errors of the
coefficients as indicated:
Salesi = 10.0 + 1.25 R&Di + 1.0 ADVi − 2.0 COMPi + 8.0 CAPi
where:
The equation was estimated over 40 companies. Using a 5 percent level of significance, what
are the hypotheses and the calculated test statistic to test whether the slope on R&D is
different from 1.0?
When interpreting the results of a multiple regression analysis, which of the following terms
represents the value of the dependent variable when the independent variables are all equal
to zero?
B) p-value.
C) t-value.
D) Intercept term.
Question #32 of 46 Question ID: 1268209
Paul Frank is an analyst for the retail industry. He is examining the role of television viewing
by teenagers on the sales of accessory stores. He gathered data and estimated the following
regression of sales (in millions of dollars) on the number of hours watched by teenagers (TV,
A) $8.00 million.
B) $2.65 million.
C) $1.05 million.
D) $9.05 million.
I. The intercept.
You have been asked to forecast the level of operating profit for a proposed new branch of a
tire store. This forecast is one component in forecasting operating profit for the entire
company for the next fiscal year. You decide to conduct multiple regression analysis using
"branch store operating profit" as the dependent variable and three independent variables.
The three independent variables are "population within 5 miles of the branch," "operating
hours per week," and "square footage of the facility." You used data on the company's
Coefficient
Independent Variables t-value
Estimate
R2 0.983
Adjusted R2 0.980
F-Statistic 360.404
Standard error of the model 19,181
Correlation Matrix
Y X1 X2 X3
Y 1.00
X1 0.99 1.00
Degrees of
0.20 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.01
Freedom
You want to evaluate the statistical significance of the slope coefficient of an independent
variable used in this regression model. For 95 percent confidence, you should compare the
A) 24 degrees of freedom and 0.05 level of signi cance for a one-tailed test.
B) 24 degrees of freedom and 0.05 level of signi cance for a two-tailed test.
C) 19 degrees of freedom and 0.05 level of signi cance for a two-tailed test.
D) 19 degrees of freedom and 0.05 level of signi cance for a one-tailed test.
The probability of finding a value of t for variable X1 that is as large or larger than |2.133|
A) True
the market return, measured by the Wilshire 5000, and two dummy variables. The fund
changed managers on January 2, 2000. Dummy variable one is equal to 1 if the return is
from a month between 2000 and 2002. Dummy variable number two is equal to 1 if the
return is from the second half of the year. There are 36 observations when dummy variable
one equals 0, half of which are when dummy variable two also equals zero. The following
are the estimated coefficient values and standard errors of the coefficients.
What is the p-value for a test of the hypothesis that the beta of the fund is greater than 1?
observations. The regression sum of squares is 119.25, and the total sum of squares is
294.45. The following are the estimated coefficient values and standard errors of the
coefficients.
2 3.21 1.5500
3 0.18 0.0818
For which of the coefficients can the hypothesis that they are equal to zero be rejected at
A) 1, 2, and 3.
B) 2 and 3 only.
C) 1 and 2 only.
D) 3 only.
Assume you ran a multiple regression to gain a better understanding of the relationship
between lumber sales, housing starts, and commercial construction. The regression uses
lumber sales as the dependent variable with housing starts and commercial construction as
the independent variables. The results of the regression are:
Commercial
1.25 0.33 3.78
construction
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the slope coefficient for Housing Starts.
A) 1.25 ± 1.96(0.33).
B) 1.25 ± 1.96(3.78).
C) 0.76 ± 1.96(8.44).
D) 0.76 ± 1.96(0.09).
Construct a 95% confidence interval for the slope coefficient for Commercial Construction.
A) 0.76 ± 1.96(0.09).
B) 1.25 ± 1.96(0.33).
C) 1.25 ± 1.96(3.78).
D) 0.76 ± 1.96(8.44).
63 monthly stock returns for a fund between 1997 and 2002 are regressed against the
market return, measured by the Wilshire 5000, and two dummy variables. The fund changed
managers on January 2, 2000. Dummy variable one is equal to 1 if the return is from a
month between 2000 and 2002. Dummy variable number two is equal to 1 if the return is
from the second half of the year. There are 36 observations when dummy variable one
equals 0, half of which are when dummy variable two also equals 0. The following are the
What is the p-value for a test of the hypothesis that performance in the second half of the
Which of the following statements regarding the results of a regression analysis is false? The:
intercept is the value that the dependent variable takes on if all the independent
A)
variables had a value of zero.
slope coe cient in a multiple regression is the value of the dependent variable for a
B)
given value of the independent variable.
C) slope coe cients in the multiple regression are referred to as partial betas.
slope coe cient in a multiple regression is the change in the dependent variable for
D)
a one-unit change in the independent variable, holding all other variables constant.
Sera Smith, a research analyst, had a hunch that there was a relationship between the
percentage change in a firm's number of salespeople and the percentage change in the
firm's sales during the following period. Smith ran a regression analysis on a sample of 50
firms, which resulted in a slope of 0.72, an intercept of +0.01, and an R2 value of 0.65. Based
on this analysis, if a firm made no changes in the number of sales people, what percentage
change in the firm's sales during the following period does the regression model predict?
A) +0.10%.
B) +0.65%.
C) +0.72%.
D) +1.00%.
Linear regression is based on a number of assumptions. Which of the following is least likely
an assumption of linear regression?
B) The variance of the error terms each period remains the same.
C) Values of the independent variable are not correlated with the error term.
There is at least some correlation between the error terms from one observation to
D)
the next.
Which of the following statements about linear regression analysis is most accurate?
When there is a strong relationship between two variables we can conclude that a
C)
change in one will cause a change in the other.
The coe cient of determination is de ned as the strength of the linear relationship
D)
between two variables.