Colliers Report Apartment Jakarta Q3 2018
Colliers Report Apartment Jakarta Q3 2018
Colliers Report Apartment Jakarta Q3 2018
2018–2021E
Summary & Q3 2018 Full Year 2018 Annual Average
Recommendations > The apartment sector will need catalysts to
cope with the current lackluster market
The overall short-term outlook until the end
of 2018 will remain subdued, whilst demand is performance. Such catalysts include tax relief, 2%
expected to be driven by end-users. Demand ease of securing a development permit and low
Meanwhile, more developers continue to interest rate. The downturn in the apartment 0.3% 0% 87%
focus on building affordable apartments (mid- market may continue until 2019, as the market
low segment) to target genuine homebuyers. will take time to absorb newly completed units,
This has also intensified the competition
amongst such products and is expected to
in anticipation of incoming supplies that will be
persist in the near term. The sluggish delivered progressively to the market. The
economy continues to plague the market, average take-up rate will be at 85-87% from
which has translated into an affordable and 2019 to 2021.
persistently weak sentiment.
The weakening sales activity is aligned with a > We expect to see 9,162 units scheduled for 5.5% 145% 7%
more prudent financing activity, as banks are completion in Q4 2018. The annual supply will
generally more cautious in approving taper off gradually by 26% per annum from
mortgage requests despite the keen interest
shown by first-time homebuyers. On the other Supply 2019 to 2021. Total apartment supply in 2021 1,074 Units 19,883 Units 14,568 Units
hand, the potential rise in interest rate will will account for 234,448 units.
increase the cost of borrowing, limiting the
access of bank financing for both consumer > We expect rent to stabilize throughout 2018 0% 0% 3 – 4%
and developer. and the overall rent to increase only by 3-4%
We believe that the buying capacity remains, per annum in 2019-2021, anticipating a tighter
but at this current time, it is not easy to competition as a result of an increasing number IDR367,947* IDR367,947* IDR380,825*
convince investor type of buyers to invest in Rent of product choices. IDR226,319** IDR226,319** IDR234,240**
property. It is in fact a good time to select
prosperous property products with good > Under the weight of multiple downside
offering price. Going forward, we maintain a pressures, the price will remain relatively flat 2% 4% 5%
positive view of Jakarta’s property market in until 2019 and would improve beyond 2020
the long term, on the back of a large and
relatively young population, better economic
with the expectation of improving market
projection and political certainty towards the Price conditions post the general elections. We IDR33.4mio IDR34.3mio IDR35-37mio
elections next year. expect the annual price increment to be at 3-
6% until 2021.
Source: Colliers International Indonesia – Research
Note: *) CBD Area; **)South Jakarta including Non-prime area
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
remains conservative, given the relatively low return in the rental market continue until 2019, as the market will take time to absorb the newly
and the wait-and-see attitude that hampered investors' appetite in buying completed units over the past years. This has yet to include the incoming
an apartment, particularly toward to the upcoming presidential elections. supply that will be delivered progressively to the market.
The weakening rupiah against the US dollar brought the currency to fall deep Take-up Comparison between Existing Projects and those Under
to about IDR14,900 per US dollar. We are in view that the depreciating
Construction
rupiah will have short- to medium-term effect, instead of long-term, on the
property market. BI is forced to increase interest rate to arrest the further
Q3 2017 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QOQ YOY
weakening of the rupiah. As the interest rate increases, the cost of
borrowing money from banks will also increase, which then affects
Existing 96.2% 94.1% 93.7% -0.4% -2.4%
borrowers' decision to purchase properties by using mortgages.
Pre-sales rate 66.5% 64.5% 66.4% 1.9% -0.1%
Take-up Rate of Existing Apartment Projects and those Under
Average 85.6% 85.6% 85.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Construction
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
Asking Price
Under the weight of multiple downside pressures, such as a negative
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research sentiment over the macro-economic condition and lackadaisical demand,
the overall apartment price still witnessed a minor increase this quarter. The
Overall, the apartment market will need catalysts from the regulator, such as YOY price growth has fallen to its lowest since Q2 2010 at 2.0% in Q3 2018,
the tax relief for luxury apartments, easier process in securing a as the much talked about economic condition continues to affect the
development permit and low interest rate. We see that only particular sentiment of buyers. The average asking price of apartments in Jakarta
projects with a good concept, specific target market and developed by registered at IDR33.4 million/sq m (based on hard-cash payment scheme
reputable developers still deliver relatively commendable results. excluding VAT) and grew only by 0.6% (QOQ) and 2% (YOY), reflecting the
Furthermore, we are in view that this lackluster market situation may challenging market condition. Therefore, developers have been adopting a
3
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
more flexible and innovative pricing approach to appeal to potential buyers also be underpinned by a robust demand from end-users who are always on
who are flooded with choices in the market. the lookout for a suitable home with affordable price.
Furthermore, in an environment with a relatively stagnant GDP growth, high
Average Apartment Asking Prices (in IDR/sq m) in Different Regions interest rates and the political uncertainty towards the general elections, it is
unsurprising that we forecast price to relatively hover as it is now until 2019.
Q3 2017 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 YOY The picture could improve beyond 2020, as after the general elections the
situation could begin to improve and consumer confidence would resume..
CBD 50,468,454 50,754,885 51,323,657 1.7%
Studio Premier 48 64
Ascott Sudirman
Jakarta 1 Bedroom Premier 65 64
Source: www.ascott.com
Average Occupancy Rates in Different Regions Average Rental Rate Changes of Apartment for Lease Based on
Region
Q3 2017 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 QOQ YOY
5
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT | JAKARTA | Q3 2018 | 3 OCTOBER 2018
Anandamaya Residences Jl. Jenderal Sudirman CBD JV. Astra Land-Hongkong Land 509
Ciputra International (San Francisco tower) Jl. Lingkar Luar Barat West Jakarta Ciputra 335
Southgate Residence (Prime Tower) Jl. Tanjung Barat Raya, Jagakarsa South Jakarta 2020 IDR39,000,000
189
South Quarter Residence Jl. R.A. Kartini, Cilandak Barat South Jakarta 2022 IDR39,000,000 TBA
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
New Pipeline
2018
Casa Domaine Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav 1 CBD Lyman Group 162 In operation
Anandamaya Residences (3 towers) Jl. Jend Sudirman CBD Hongkong Land 509 In operation
Regent Residences (tower 1) Semanggi CBD PT. Kencana Graha Global 100 In operation
The H Residence Kemayoran (Amethyst) Jl. Rajawali Selatan Central Jakarta Hutama Karya Realtindo 800 In operation
Signature Park Grande Jl. MT. Haryono East Jakarta KSO Fortuna Indonesia (Pikko) 1,100 In operation
Bassura City (Tower Jasmine) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta Synthesis Development 480 In operation
Bassura City (Tower Heliconia) Jl. Basuki Rahmat East Jakarta Synthesis Development 700 In operation
Nine Residence Warung Buncit South Jakarta Lippo Karawaci 246 In operation
Regatta London Tower Jl. Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta Intiland 186 In operation
District 8 (Tower Eternity) Jl. Senopati South Jakarta Agung Sedayu 461 In operation
District 8 (Tower Infinity) Jl. Senopati South Jakarta Agung Sedayu 440 In operation
Izzara Apartment (South and North Tower) TB. Simatupang South Jakarta Grage Group 542 In operation
Pondok Indah Residences (3 Towers) Pondok Indah South Jakarta Metro Pondok Indah 880 In operation
continued
2
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Citra Lake Suites (Tower A) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta Ciputra Group 116 In operation
Citra Lake Suites (Tower B) Jl. Raya Kresek West Jakarta Ciputra Group 140 In operation
Gayanti City Jl. Gatot Subroto CBD PT Buana Pasifik International 174 Under-construction
T - Plaza Residence (Tower A & C) Jl. Penjernihan I Kav.1 Central Jakarta PT Prima Kencana 614 Under-construction
One Casablanca Residence Jl. Pal Batu South Jakarta Forza Land 215 Under-construction
The Langham Residences Senopati South Jakarta Agung Sedayu Group 57 Under-construction
The Aspen Peak at Admiralty (Tower D) Jl. Fatmawati South Jakarta PT Harmas Jalesveva 322 Under-construction
Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Angelo) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta Pakuwon Group 350 Under-construction
Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Bella) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta Pakuwon Group 350 Under-construction
Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Chianti) Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta Pakuwon Group 350 Under-construction
Branz Simatupang (2 tower) TB. Simatupang South Jakarta Tokyuland 381 Under-construction
Vittoria Residence (tower B) Jl. Daan Mogot West Jakarta PT Duta Indah Kencana 400 Under-construction
Taman Anggrek Residence (6 towers) Tanjung Duren West Jakarta Agung Sedayu 3,000 Under-construction
continued
3
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Grand Madison Park Tanjung Duren West Jakarta Agung Podomoro Group 300 Under-construction
Puri Mansion Apartment (Tower Crystal) Puri Kembangan West Jakarta Agung Sedayu Group 700 Under-construction
West Vista (Crest Tower) Duri Kosambi West Jakarta PT Harapan Global Niaga 1,404 Under-construction
2019
The Suites Satrio Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio CBD Ciputra 200 Under-construction
Verde Two (Tower Monteverde) Jl. Rasuna Said CBD Farpoint Realty 152 Under-construction
South Hill Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD Tan Kian 611 Under-construction
The Elements Epicentrum (2 Towers) Rasuna Said CBD Sinar Mas Land 372 Under-construction
Casa Domaine Prive Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav 1 CBD Lyman Group 137 Under-construction
Arandra Residence Jl. Cempaka Putih Raya No.1 Central Jakarta Gamaland 687 Under-construction
Royal Suites Kemayoran Central Jakarta Springhill Golf Group 450 Under-construction
Menara Jakarta (Tower Equinox) Kemayoran Central Jakarta Agung Sedayu 396 Under-construction
Menara Jakarta (Tower Azure) Kemayoran Central Jakarta Agung Sedayu 860 Under-construction
Sentra Timur Residence (Tower Safir) Pulo Gebang East Jakarta Bakriland Development 605 Under-construction
Pluit Residences (Tower Ibiza) Pluit North Jakarta Binakarya Propertindo Group 500 Under-construction
Pluit Seaview (Tower Bahama) Pluit North Jakarta Binakarya Propertindo Group 650 Under-construction
continued
4
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Gold Coast Apartment (Atlantic Tower) Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 568 Under-construction
Regatta Apartment (Tower New York) Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta Intiland 186 Under-construction
Sedayu City (Tower Melbourne) Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 912 Under-construction
The Kensington Royal Suites (4 Tower) Kelapa Gading North Jakarta Summarecon 790 Under-construction
Gold Coast Apartment (Bahama Tower) Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
Gold Coast Apartment (Carribean Tower) Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
Gold Coast Apartment (Honolulu Tower) Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
Pakubuwono Terrace Grand Tower Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta PT. Selaras Mitra Sejati 435 Under-construction
Bellevue Place MT Haryono, Tebet South Jakarta Gapura Prima 240 Under-construction
Kebayoran Apartment (was Selatan 8) Jl. Raya Ulujami South Jakarta Karya Cipta Group 344 Under-construction
Synthesis Residence Kemang (3 towers) Jl. Ampera Raya No.17 South Jakarta PT. Synthesis Development 1,100 Under-construction
TBS Tower Apartment TB Simatupang South Jakarta PT Mahkota Asia Graha 162 Under-construction
The Padmayana Jl. Sinabung Raya No.58 South Jakarta Adhi Karya 145 Under-construction
continued
5
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Citra Living Apartment (Orchad Tower) Jl. Citra 7, Kalideres West Jakarta Citra Mitra Graha KSO 312 Under-construction
2020
Verde Two (Tower Terraverde) Jl. Rasuna Said CBD Farpoint Realty 182 Under-construction
Le' Parc Jl. Thamrin CBD PT. Putragaya Wahana 100 Under-construction
The Residences at The St. Regis Jakarta Jl. H.R Rasuna Said CBD Rajawali Property Group 164 Under-construction
The Newton at Ciputra World 2 Jl. Karet Sawah CBD Ciputra 450 Under-construction
The Stature Jakarta Jl. Kebon Sirih Central Jakarta Capitaland and Credo Group 87 Under-construction
The Sahid Asena Apartment and Garden Ciracas East Jakarta Sahid Group 476 Under-construction
East 8 (2 towers) Cibubur East Jakarta Karya Cipta Group 1,172 Under-construction
Sedayu City (Tower Darwin) Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 936 Under-construction
Orient Residence Jl. Yos Sudarso, No 76 North Jakarta PT Tri Raton Mega 225 Under-construction
Regatta Tokyo, Acapulco, Sydney Tower Jl. Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta Intiland 276 Under-construction
Selatan 8 (Tower Sultan) Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta Karya Cipta Group 336 Under-construction
Fatmawati City Center(5 towers) Fatmawati South Jakarta Agung Sedayu 2,080 Under-construction
Permata Hijau Suites Jl. Raya Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta PT Palmerindo Properti 649 Under-construction
continued
6
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Apple Residence Jatipadang South Jakarta PT Diamond Land Development 300 Under-construction
Southgate Residence (2 tower) Jl. Tj Barat Raya, Jagakarsa South Jakarta Sinar Mas Land 489 Under-construction
Tomang Park Apartment (2 towers) Jl. Tawakal Ujung Raya, Tomang West Jakarta PT Phoenix Property 2,000 Under-planning
Prosperity Residence (Lotus Tower) Jl. Raya Kembangan West Jakarta Prosperity Group 208 Under-planning
2021
The Hundred Residence Mega Kuningan CBD PT. Farpoint Realty Indoneasia 100 Under-planning
The Linq Kemayoran (2 towers) Kemayoran Central Jakarta KG Global 1,020 Under-construction
The Pakubuwono Menteng Jl. Sabang, Menteng Central Jakarta Pakubuwono Development 340 Under-construction
Prajawangsa City (3 towers) Jl. Raya Bogor, Cijantung East Jakarta Synthesis Development 1,500 Under-construction
Cleon Park Apartment (2 towers) Cakung, Jakarta Garden City East Jakarta Modern Land Realty 630 Under-construction
Samara Suites Jl. Gatot Subroto South Jakarta Synthesis Development 300 Under-construction
Lavish Kemang Residence Jl. Kemang Raya No.3, Bangka South Jakarta PT Kemang Karya Utama 474 Under-planning
continued
7
COLLIERS QUARTERLY APARTMENT
SECTOR | JAKARTA
| MARKET | Q3|2018
| Q2 2018 | 3 OCTOBER
DD MMMMMM 2018
2018
continuation
Kasamara Residence Jl. Kesehatan Raya South Jakarta PT MGM Propertindo 151 Under-construction
Solterra Place (2 tower) Pejaten South Jakarta Waskita Realty 2,000 Under-construction
West Point Apartment Jl. Macan Kav.4-6 Kedoya Utara West Jakarta PT Andaland Property 272 Under-construction
8
Primary Authors: For further information, please contact:
Hern Rizal Gobi Ferry Salanto
Manager | Research | Indonesia Senior Associate Director| Research | Indonesia
+62 21 3043 6727 +62 21 3043 6730
[email protected] [email protected]
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