Vaccines 09 00472
Vaccines 09 00472
Vaccines 09 00472
1 Department of Immunizations, Minhang Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai 201101,
China; [email protected] (J.L.); [email protected] (X.W.); [email protected] (Q.G.)
2 Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA;
[email protected] (M.J.); [email protected] (F.Z.)
3 Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety (Ministry of Education), Fudan University School of Public Health,
Shanghai 200433, China; [email protected]
* Correspondence: [email protected]
Abstract: Several COVID-19 vaccines have been on the market since early 2021 and may vary in
their effectiveness and safety. This study characterizes hesitancy about accepting COVID-19 vaccines
among parents in Shanghai, China, and identifies how sensitive they are to changes in vaccine
safety and effectiveness profiles. Schools in each township of Minhang District, Shanghai, were
sampled, and parents in the WeChat group of each school were asked to participate in this cross-
sectional Internet-based survey. Parents responded to questions about hesitancy and were given
information about five different COVID-19 vaccine candidates, the effectiveness of which varied
between 50 and 95% and which had a risk of fever as a side effect between 5 and 20%. Overall,
3673 parents responded to the survey. Almost 90% would accept a vaccine for themselves (89.7%),
for their child (87.5%) or for an elderly parent (88.5%) with the most ideal attributes (95% effectiveness
with 5% risk of fever). But with the least ideal attributes (50% effectiveness and a 20% risk of fever)
Citation: Lu, J.; Wen, X.; Guo, Q.;
these numbers dropped to 33.5%, 31.3%, and 31.8%, respectively. Vaccine hesitancy, age at first
Ji, M.; Zhang, F.; Wagner, A.L.; Lu, Y. child’s birth, and relative income were all significantly related to sensitivity to vaccine safety and
Sensitivity to COVID-19 Vaccine effectiveness. Parents showed a substantial shift in attitudes towards a vaccine based on its safety
Effectiveness and Safety in Shanghai, and effectiveness profile. These findings indicate that COVID-19 vaccine acceptance may be heavily
China. Vaccines 2021, 9, 472. https:// influenced by how effective the vaccine actually is and could be impeded or enhanced based on
doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9050472 vaccines already on the market.
Academic Editor: Ralph A. Tripp Keywords: COVID-19 vaccination; vaccine hesitancy; China; urban health
Figure 1. Responses to questions about vaccine hesitancy among parents of school-aged children in Shanghai, China, 2020.
Questions with an asterisk (*) have been reverse coded so that all questions have responses with higher values being more
vaccine hesitant.
Vaccines 2021, 9, 472 3 of 8
3. Results
Overall, 3673 parents responded to the survey. Demographic characteristics of the par-
ents are shown in Table 1. Most respondents (69.1%) were mothers. A plurality (37.1%)
had their first child at 25 to 29 years of age; most (67.2%) did not have a second child; and
for less than half (45.3%), the first child was elementary aged (6–11 years old).
Table 2. Acceptance of a COVID-19 vaccine, based on the safety and effectiveness profile.
Overall, about 10% of individuals would not accept a vaccine, regardless of its safety
or effectiveness profile; almost half (48.6%) were not sensitive to vaccine effectiveness;
and 31.3% would accept a 95% effective vaccine, but not a 50% effective one. There was
less sensitivity to vaccine safety as measured by risk of fever. Almost two-thirds, 63.3%,
would accept a vaccine regardless of the risk of fever, and about one-fourth, 26.8%, would
accept a vaccine with a 5% risk of fever but not a 20% risk.
Sensitivity to vaccine safety and effectiveness was significantly related to vaccine hesi-
tancy, age at first child’s birth, and stated relative income (Table 3). Having a second child
was significantly related to sensitivity to vaccine effectiveness (p = 0.0334), but not safety
(p = 0.0998). For example, those who were vaccine hesitant were 10.47 times more likely
not to accept a vaccine, and 2.60 times more likely to be sensitive to vaccine effectiveness,
compared to those who were not vaccine hesitant (p < 0.0001). Vaccine hesitancy was
associated with greater odds of not accepting any vaccine or being sensitive to the risk of
fever (p < 0.0001). Those who were younger at their first child’s birth had reduced odds of
not accepting a vaccine or being sensitive to its effectiveness or safety profile (p < 0.0001 for
effectiveness, p = 0.0055 for safety). Those whose income was less than average were less
sensitive, both to the effectiveness profile (p = 0.0035) and to the safety profile (p = 0.0067).
Vaccines 2021, 9, 472 5 of 8
Table 3. Sensitivity to COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness and safety in multinomial logistic regression models among Shanghai
parents of school-aged children, 2020.
Compared to Those Who Would Accept a Compared to Those Who Would Accept a
Vaccine, Regardless of Effectiveness Vaccine, Regardless of Risk of Fever
Characteristic Would Only Accept
Would Not Accept Would Only Accept Would Not Accept
Vaccine With 5% Risk
Any Vaccine, 95% Effective Vaccine, Any Vaccine,
of Fever,
OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI)
OR (95% CI)
Vaccine hesitant
No ref ref ref ref
Yes 10.47 (8.03, 13.67) 2.60 (2.19, 3.09) 8.45 (6.54, 10.91) 2.48 (2.09, 2.94)
Relation to child
Mother ref ref ref ref
Father 1.14 (0.87, 1.51) 0.93 (0.79, 1.10) 1.09 (0.83, 1.42) 0.84 (0.70, 1.00)
Age at first child’s birth
18–22 years 0.46 (0.27, 0.79) 0.43 (0.32, 0.58) 0.55 (0.32, 0.94) 0.53 (0.38, 0.74)
23–25 years 0.52 (0.36, 0.75) 0.54 (0.43, 0.66) 0.67 (0.47, 0.97) 0.79 (0.63, 0.99)
26–29 years 0.78 (0.57, 1.05) 0.82 (0.68, 0.99) 0.81 (0.60, 1.09) 0.85 (0.70, 1.03)
30–45 years ref ref ref ref
Have a second child
No ref ref ref ref
Yes 0.75 (0.55, 1.01) 0.83 (0.70, 0.98) 0.81 (0.61, 1.09) 0.84 (0.70, 1.01)
Age of first child
0–5 years 1.37 (0.45, 4.18) 0.67 (0.31, 1.43) 1.65 (0.56, 4.85) 0.82 (0.36, 1.84)
6–11 years ref ref ref ref
12–14 years 1.16 (0.86, 1.55) 1.03 (0.87, 1.22) 1.14 (0.85, 1.51) 0.97 (0.81, 1.16)
15–17 years 1.26 (0.88, 1.79) 0.92 (0.74, 1.15) 1.26 (0.89, 1.79) 0.84 (0.66, 1.06)
≥18 years 1.44 (0.80, 2.60) 0.89 (0.63, 1.26) 1.33 (0.74, 2.39) 0.76 (0.51, 1.14)
Gender of first child
Male ref ref ref ref
Female 0.94 (0.73, 1.21) 1.09 (0.94, 1.26) 0.87 (0.68, 1.12) 0.97 (0.83, 1.13)
Stated relative income
Less than average 0.86 (0.59, 1.28) 0.66 (0.52, 0.84) 1.00 (0.69, 1.46) 0.69 (0.53, 0.91)
About average ref ref ref ref
More than average 1.39 (0.99, 1.96) 1.05 (0.85, 1.29) 1.50 (1.08, 2.09) 1.14 (0.92, 1.42)
4. Discussion
Safety and effectiveness are the two most important indicators for evaluating a new
vaccine, and new vaccines undergo substantial tests of their safety and effectiveness before
and after coming onto the market [10,11]. Previous studies showed that most parents
express concerns about side-effects, safety, and effectiveness [12]. These concerns may be
even more prominent for the COVID-19 vaccine, based on the perceived speed of vaccine
development. Similarly, parents showed a substantial shift in attitudes towards the COVID-
19 vaccine based on safety and effectiveness. The majority of the respondents would accept
a vaccine with high levels of safety and effectiveness, but only one-third would accept
a vaccine with lower levels of safety and effectiveness. These preferences could hamper
Vaccines 2021, 9, 472 6 of 8
acceptance of the vaccine. Interestingly, the public showed a different level of sensitivity
toward safety and effectiveness, with more sensitivity towards effectiveness.
Although vaccines are currently available in some locations, safety and effectiveness
may vary. For example, for two that were approved in the U.S., Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine
was 95% and Moderna’s 94.1% efficacious in preventing the COVID-19 disease [13,14].
The AstraZeneca vaccine used in the U.K., India, and Mexico was reported to have an aver-
age efficacy of 70% [15]. For the inactivated vaccines produced by Chinese pharmaceutical
companies, efficacy ranged from 50 to over 90%, depending on the considered outcome
and study site [16]. Currently, 89 vaccines are being tested in clinical trials, and 27 have
reached the final stage [17]. As more vaccines come onto the market, the public may find
itself choosing among vaccines that have widely varying levels of efficacy.
The study found a strong relationship between vaccine hesitancy and COVID-19 vacci-
nation, and the respondents believe that the new vaccine carried more risks than the older
vaccine. The role of vaccine hesitancy, and anti-vaccine movements, has been previously
explored. For instance, Gaulano et al. found that Italian women who received information
from anti-vaccination movements were less likely to accept mandatory vaccines [18]. How-
ever, it is essential to note that people might be hesitant about the COVID-19 vaccine but
not for vaccines in general. The COVID-19 vaccine went through the process from develop-
ment to distribution worldwide at “warp speed.” It also adopted a new approach of using
mRNA, which is different from traditional vaccines that use weakened or inactive compo-
nents of the pathogen [19]. Scientists and governments are still assessing the effectiveness
after the COVID-19 vaccine was authorized for emergency use in the U.S. [20].
COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy is present not only in the general public, but also among
healthcare workers. A recent survey by Kaiser Family Foundation found that nearly
a third of the healthcare workers would probably or definitely refuse the vaccine [21].
Healthcare workers expressed concerns about not enough research having been done;
the lack of adequate transparency among pharmaceutical companies, research companies,
and governments; and fear of being part of another “Tuskegee Study” [22]. Thus, how to
break through the vaccine hesitancy among healthcare workers, who have a higher risk of
contracting the virus and play important roles in their patients’ vaccine decision making,
is of the utmost importance. Even in non-pandemic settings, health care workers have
relatively low coverage of non-mandatory vaccines, and this varied by age, with younger
personnel more likely to be vaccinated [23].
5. Conclusions
In this study of parents of school-aged children in a suburb of Shanghai, parents
showed a substantial shift in attitudes towards the COVID-19 vaccine based on the vaccine’s
safety and effectiveness. The majority of respondents would accept a vaccine with the most
ideal levels of safety and effectiveness, but only one-third would accept vaccines with
the least ideal attributes. These findings indicate that COVID-19 vaccine acceptance may
be substantially influenced by how effective the vaccine actually is. Controlling outbreaks
of COVID-19 in the presence of these strong preferences would require substantial use of
non-pharmaceutical interventions.
Vaccines 2021, 9, 472 7 of 8
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, A.L.W. and Y.L.; Data curation, J.L., X.W. and Q.G.;
Formal analysis, A.L.W.; Investigation, J.L., X.W., Q.G. and Y.L.; Writing—original draft, M.J. and
A.L.W.; Writing—review & editing, J.L., X.W., Q.G., F.Z. and Y.L. All authors have read and agreed to
the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: A.L.W. received salary support from the National Science Foundation, Division of Social
and Economic Sciences (#2027836).
Institutional Review Board Statement: This study has passed the ethical review of the Minhang
District Center for Disease Control and Prevention. EC-P-2020-009.
Informed Consent Statement: Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.
Data Availability Statement: The data presented in this study are available on request from the cor-
responding author. The data are not publicly available due to personal information contained in
some of the data fields.
Acknowledgments: We appreciate the openness of Minhang schools to participate in this project.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funders had no role in the design
of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript,
or in the decision to publish the results.
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