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SP Lesson 3.5

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19 views16 pages

SP Lesson 3.5

Uploaded by

Joice anne San juan
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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11th

Grade

& PROBABILITY

Mark Kevin C. Samson, LPT


Learning Outcomes

At the end of the lesson, the learner should be able


to:
• Illustrate and calculate the mean and variance

of a discrete random variable;


• Interpret the mean and variance of a discrete

random variable; and


• Solve problems involving mean and variance of

probability distributions.
Getting Ready !
Determine if the following distributions exhibit
a PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION or NOT
1.
Answer:
NOT a Probability Distribution

𝟐 𝟑 𝟓 𝟖 𝟏𝟖
෍𝑷 𝒙 = + + + = = 𝟐. 𝟎𝟎
𝟗 𝟗 𝟗 𝟗 𝟗
Getting Ready !
2. Answer:
Probability
Distribution

෍ 𝑷 𝒙 = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟏 + 𝟎. 𝟏𝟑 + 𝟎. 𝟒𝟐 + 𝟎. 𝟏𝟒

= 𝟏. 𝟎𝟎
Getting Ready !
3. The probability that there are 10, 20, 30, and
40 records sold in a music records outlet are
0.35, 0.25, 0.23, and 0.17 respectively.

3.1 Determine the Probability that at most 30


records has been sold.
Introduction:
Mathematicians usually consider the
outcomes of a coin toss as a random event.
That is, each probability of getting a head is
1/2 , and the probability of getting a tail is 1/2 .

However, it is not possible to predict with


100% certainty which outcome will occur.
The Mean “expected outcome” of
a discrete random variable X is
the weighted average of the
possible values that the random
variable can take.

𝜇= () 21
 x • P x = 6 = 3.5
Example No. 1
Number of dots

Consider rolling a die. What is the


average “expected” number of dots
that would appear? The following
activity will help you answer this
question.
Number of dots Probability P(X)
(X)

1 1/6
2 1/6
3 1/6
4 1/6
5 1/6
6 1/6
Uniform Probability Distribution

0.16667 0.16667 0.16667 0.16667 0.16667 0.16667

1 2 3 4 5 6
𝜇 = x•P x =
21
6
()
21
= = 3.5
6

The mean tells us the


average number of dots
that would appear in a roll
of a die. So, the average
number of dots that would
appear is 3.5.
Example No. 2
SURGERY PATIENTS
The probabilities that a surgeon
operates on 3,4,5,6, or 7 patients in
any day are 0.15, 0.10, 0.20, 0.25,
and 0.30 respectively. Find the
average number of patients that a
surgeon operates on a day.
= 5.45
Let’s Try
A. Instruction: Construct a probability distribution ,
determine the “expected outcome” and answer the
questions that follow.
1. The probabilities that a students will pass 5, 6, 7,
or 8 examinations are 0.53, 0.24, 0.08, and 0.15
respectively.
a. What is the probability that a student will pass at
least 6 examinations?
b. Determine the probability that a student will pass
at most 6 examinations.
Let’s Try
2. The grades of students in Physics and their
corresponding probabilities are listed below:
a. What is the probability
that a student will have a
grade that is exactly equal
to 86?
b. Determine the probability
that a student will have a
grade that is at least 87.
Let’s Summarize

To find the mean of the probability distribution,


STEP 1: Construct the probability distribution for the
random variable X
STEP 2: Multiply the value of the random variable X
by the corresponding probability.
STEP 3: Add the results obtained in Step 2.

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