Activity2 - Angeline Evangelista

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POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY OF THE PHILIPPINES

College of Computer and Information Sciences


Bachelor of Science in Information and Technology

“Activity 2: Simulating the World Population”

Submitted by: Angeline C. Evangelista, BSIT 1-3


Submitted to: Mr. Agie Angeles
Guide questions/instructions for the Population Simulation Activity. Answer/follow each
question based on the population simulator.

1. Based on the simulator, what is the current population of the world and its major
geographical zones? Describe each population pyramid.

- The chart of the population pyramid, or the data visualization of the population’s age
and gender array, is the most critical visual in describing the demographic patterns.
With a life expectancy estimate for the globe of 73.4 years and an average fertility rate
of 2.40 children per woman, this pyramid outlook represents the parameters. Foresee
a wide exemplification that will symbolize the important youth population since it results
from high birth rates. At the same time, as each age subset moves upwards, a stepped
decrease in the population size suggests losses caused by death rates and life
expectancy. This essentially moderately higher proportion of boys to girls, ranging
from 51.5% to 48.5%, subtly affects the pyramid’s structure. It is in fact a portrait of a
population in the process of adjustment, getting used to changes in demographics,
and anticipating the forthcoming modifications in society accompanied by resource
distribution shifts.
2. What are the different factors that influence the number of populations and shape of the
population pyramids?

- Through multiple determinants in an interrelated manner, it could be understood that


the population pyramid is generally constructed upon those specific demographic
features, or population dynamics. First of all, an influential factor in population growth
is the reproductive rate and fertility levels, respectively. Fertility races give the youths
a wider base, while restrictive fertility rates return a narrower base. Besides, mortality
rates and life expectancy are important factors; hence, greater mortality rates among
particular age groups at the narrowing base of the pyramid and slower life
expectancies at the lengthening apex indicate a tendency toward an aging population.
Also, migratory flows into and out of the country impact the number and structure of
the population and cause the lines in the pyramid to become distorted. Factors of
socio-economic nature like accessibility for health, education, and employment
opportunities also impact population trends and could involve the implementation of
governmental policies, cultural views, and the effects of epidemics and pandemics. As
the culmination of multilateral factors, the population pyramid is the natural reflection
of intertwined societal, economic, and environmental circumstances.

3. Simulate the world population 50 years into the future using the standard settings. [Life
expectancy = 73.4; No. of children per woman = 2.40; The sex ratio = 51.5% boys.
Describe the resulting population pyramid and view curve.
- Predicting the global population after 50 years with standard settings from the
simulation model demonstrates interesting demographic transformations. With a life
expectancy of 73.4 years, 2.40 children per woman representing the average, and a
sex ratio that favors boys at 51.5%, the consequent population pyramid should
manifest noticeable changes over time. Spend time allotting the bottom of the pyramid
a wide base, indicating growth in the youth population due to the augmented fertility
rate. With rising epochs, there will be a progressive decrease, which indicates a lower
birth rate due to the mortality factor, which represents life expectancy all along.
Looking ahead, the shifting age composition of the view is likely to take a curve pattern
indicating that the years will shift to the older age groups and the world will experience
an aging population, similar to the overall global trend of increased lifespan and older
population. By tracing these projections, the demographic dynamics unwrap the
multidimensional elements of biology, society, and culture, inactivating the human
landscapes for the next fifty years.

4. How increase or decrease on each factors affect the population, population pyramid, and
view curve?

a. Present and after 50 years.

Present: The rise in life expectancy would lead to an enlarged elderly group and a broader
top of the pyramid. The effect would be visible in the age curve for a lot of people in old
age groups.

After 50 years: Therefore, keeping this up will only aggravate the aging problem, with
more people belonging to the leading age brackets. The apex of the pyramid would also
lengthen, and the view curve would represent the larger segment of the older population.

b. 15 and 90 life expectancy.


At 15: A shorter span of time that people live implies that the majority of them are
physically fitter and there are fewer of the elderly. Finally pyramid's top is narrow and
viewing curve reveals that number of people in older age is also small.

At 90: Yet, in case, the life expectancy reaches the age of 90, such a demographic
pattern implies a much greater number of elderly than usual and so, puts a rather
heavier burden on the top part of the pyramid and shifts the view curve more and more
to older age groups.

c. 0.5 and 14 number of children per woman.

With 0.5 children per woman: the latter is the reason for a narrower pyramid base,
as a decreased fertility rate means fewer young people in the population. The viewer
graph for this age group demonstrates a smaller number of people in the younger
bracket.

With 14 children per woman: high fertility results in widespread growth at the base
of the pyramid, which indicates a growing cohort of youth. The view makes a visible
difference, with the respondents being mostly of younger ages.

d. 10% : 90% boys to girls ratio and 90% : 10% boys to girls ratio.

10% boys to 90% girls ratio: the problem of base narrowing is because the sex ratio is
more towards the females; women are more in the population pyramid, which affects the
distribution of the population across different age groups. The view here debates it by
displaying the lower numbers of young males, especially in the early age groups.
90% boys to 10% girls ratio: On the other side of the spectrum, a lopsided population
ratio of boys results in a broader base of the pyramid, so that the ratio between the males
and females decreases in the successive age cohorts. The trend curve shows males that
the amount is higher in the younger age categories.

5. Describe the current population of the Philippines. Simulate after 50 years what will be
the population in the Philippines. Apart from the factors cited earlier, what might be the
other factors that would influence the population of the Philippines.

Currently, the population of the Philippines is characterized by its significant size and
youthful demographic profile. With a diverse population of over 110 million people, the
country exhibits a relatively high fertility rate and a growing economy. The population
pyramid reflects a broad base, indicating a sizable youth population, while the view
curve underscores a demographic composition skewed towards younger age groups.
Factors contributing to the current population dynamics include cultural norms
promoting larger family sizes, access to healthcare, education, and economic
opportunities, as well as historical trends of migration and urbanization.

Simulating the population after 50 years reveals a substantial increase, projecting a


population of 179,801,340 in the Philippines. Apart from the previously mentioned
factors, several other influences may shape this demographic trajectory. These could
include advancements in healthcare leading to higher life expectancy, government
policies addressing family planning and reproductive health, economic development
affecting migration patterns and urbanization rates, environmental factors such as
climate change impacting living conditions and resource availability, and social
changes influencing marriage and childbearing patterns. Additionally, globalization
and technological advancements may play roles in altering demographic trends
through their impacts on employment opportunities, education, and access to
information. Understanding and addressing these multifaceted factors will be crucial
for managing the future population dynamics of the Philippines effectively.

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