Study Id44525 Fintech-Report
Study Id44525 Fintech-Report
Study Id44525 Fintech-Report
May 2020
The market outlook presents up-to-date figures and
an in-depth analysis of the FinTech market
Introduction
3
The FinTech market is divided into four segments and
8 sub-segments in this report
Overview: segments
1: Transaction value 2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
5 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Digital Payments generates the highest transaction
value within FinTech with US$3,858.6 billion in 2019
Estimated market development
8,266.9
7,314.6
6,365.0
5,404.1
4,406.4
3,858.6
2,900.6
2,476.4
2,054.1
1,627.4
1,191.6
1,000.3
Global transaction value within FinTech segments in ▪ It is not yet clear how FinTech will react on the COVID-19
million US$ in 2020 pandemic and economic lockdown
7 ▪ Until then, transaction value losses are difficult to predict
Alternative Financing 313 -11%
6
Alternative Lending 291 ▪ The most crucial factors for FinTech segments for each
Personal Finance 1.257 -7%
country are:
1.075
-14% › Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on household budgets
-5%
› Declining capital investments
› Government support
▪ Digital Payments will be least affected by COVID-19 due to
Digital Payments 4.626
revenue increase in some segments of eCommerce
4.406
▪ The strongest impact will hit on Personal Finance
1: More Information about the COVID-19 adjustment can be found in the methodology document
7 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
FinTech is a highly competitive market with fast-
changing business models
Key player landscape1
1: Key player overview does not represent the entire market landscape
8 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Technology enabler or disruptor? Where FinTech adds
value to the financial system
Core competencies of FinTech and banks
FINTECH BANKS
Technology Infrastructure
▪ Cutting-edge technology – e.g. AI1 ▪ Technology
▪ Lean “as-a-service” approach ▪ Existing connectivity
▪ Seamless integration ▪ Data access
▪ E2E2 digital processes and
communication
Expertise
▪ Market structure
▪ Regulation and compliance
Blockchain
The most frequently used buzzword within FinTech is probably blockchain. Blockchain is a distributed ledger
technology that autonomously records peer-to-peer transactions across decentralized computers without a
central authority. Information is written in blocks that are visible to everyone. The blockchain grows with the
number of transactions and information stored in it. Blockchain participants, also called “miners”, provide
computing power to append new blocks and get an incentive for their work referring to a public blockchain.
This makes fraudulent activities almost impossible, because of the immense number of equivalent replications.
The most popular application at the moment are cryptocurrencies, e.g. Ethereum and Bitcoin. A blockchain
can be characterized as a value-exchange protocol and has applications not only in the finance sector, but also
to establish better transparency in reselling and transferring intellectual property or digital goods.
Machine Learning
Machine Learning is relevant in many different aspects of the FinTech industry. One such example is an
automated investment service known as a Robo-Advisor, where a self-learning algorithm simulates market
outcomes and decides which asset class is best suited to the individual needs of an investor. It incorporates
huge amounts of real-time data and goes beyond human capabilities.
There are, however, many other areas in the financial industry where machine learning can enhance business-
related decision making. Some examples include credit scoring, personal finance management and fraud de-
tection, but also marketing and customer relationship management for banks and other financial institutions.
Machine learning can increase the accuracy and speed of decision-making and offers a huge potential when
applied to predictive analysis to reduce risks and fraud.
Companies specialized in alternative credit scoring collect public personal data from social networks and
accessible online profiles and run it through scoring algorithms based on personal preferences, location, or
other similar personal information. Enriched with transaction-related data from previous purchases,
outstanding loans, income, credit card or bank account information, these data sets allow alternative risk
profiling in addition to renowned credit rating services such as U.S.-based FICO.
These services offer new potential especially for consumers and loan seekers from the “underbanked“ parts of
the population, giving them access to P2P lending and other services that require a financial risk profile.
Peer-to-peer platforms
Peer-to-peer (P2P) platforms bring together strangers and make it possible to create digital fundraising events
for new products, distribute equity shares in small businesses, as well as source loans directly from private
investors.
P2P payments are very convenient for end-users, especially when functionality is integrated with other
applications such as social media or messaging apps. Access, processing speed and money transfer costs
through digital channels are notably superior to traditional bank transfers.
The challenge for platform providers is to ensure reliability and confidence in transactions. Fast, reliable
scoring algorithms and fraud detection processes are therefore key to building a trustworthy brand and
unlocking a new market potential that cannot be addressed by traditional banks.
Global Ø 2019
Percentage of total population using the internet on a monthly basis. High internet
INTERNET
PENETRATION
57.6% penetration means access to more choice options to an increasing number of
households.
Access to broadband internet is crucial for establishing digital services. Only an always-
BROADBAND 14.8 on mentality and a high amount of data traffic leads to consumers integrating online
SUBSCRIPTION per 100 capita shopping in their everyday lives.
Average internet connection speed in kbits/s. With rising connection speed, more
CONNECTION 17,207 sophisticated services and functions like high-quality videos and 3D simulation become
SPEED kbits/s available.
60.1% Ø 57.6%
Global
U.S.
30,815
20,291
17,208
14,391
11,845
U.S.
Global Ø 2019
GROSS DOMESTIC 12,099 Gross domestic product in US$ in relation to the total population. The GDP is a
monetary measure of the market value of all goods and services produced in one year
PRODUCT per capita in
US$ and is common to determine the economic performance.
CONSUMER 6,850 Average consumer spending per capita of private households in US$. Knowing the
expenditure per capita gives necessary insights into price developments and the average
SPENDING per capita in
US$ willingness to engage in financial operations.
FINANCIAL The percentage of population having an account (by themselves or together with
INSTITUTION 53.5% someone else) at a bank or another type of financial institution. Increasing the financial
inclusion is one of the driving forces of FinTech development.
ACCOUNT
The percentage of population using the internet to pay bills or buy something online in
ONLINE PAYMENT
USERS
42.8% the past 12 months. Growth of online payments and any digital services contributes to
the further growth of this KPI.
46,518
41,814 41,751
33,091
29,921 Ø 27,417
Europe
Ø 12,099
Global
10,295
26,199
23,059
21,943
20,108
18,082 Ø 14,747
Europe
Ø 6,850
Global
4,159
86.4%
80.9% 80.5% 79.4% 78.7% 78.3%
Ø 72.0%
72.6%
Europe
Ø 53.5%
Global
75.0%
71.8%
68.5%
Ø 42.8%
Global
21
DIGITAL
PAYMENTS
The Digital Payments market segment
includes payments for products and services
which are made over the Internet as well as
mobile payments at point-of-sale (POS) via
smartphone applications.
22
Digital Payments: products and services
Overview: market scope
▪ All consumer transactions made via the Internet which are directly ▪ Transactions at point-of-sale that are processed via smartphone
related to online shopping for products and services applications (so-called "mobile wallets")
▪ Online transactions can be made via various payment methods ▪ The payments are made by a contactless interaction of the
(credit cards, direct debit, invoice, or online payment providers, such smartphone app with a suitable payment terminal belonging to the
as PayPal and AliPay) merchant.
▪ The data transfer can be made via wireless standard NFC (Near Field
Communication) or by scanning a QR code to initiate the payment.
Note: The following are not included in this segment: transactions between businesses (Business-to-Business payments), bank transfers initiated
online (that are not in connection with products and services purchased online), and payment transactions at the point-of-sale where mobile
card readers (terminals) are used.
23 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
China is a global leader in Digital Payments
Overview: customer benefit and market development
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
24 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
A seamless integration of payment processes is
relevant in all digital commerce activities
Overview: assumptions and trends
Assumptions Trends
We observe that the payment industry is experiencing three major Large players such as PayPal, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook are
trends with sustainable long-term impact: seamless commerce, mobile investing significant amounts of money into online and mobile payment
payments & blockchain technology. solutions. The ongoing development from separate online shops
towards integrated online shopping ecosystems, in particular the merger
Seamless integration of payment processes has relevance in every of shopping and social media / messaging, opens up new business
context, be it online shopping, in-store purchases or peer-to-peer models and opportunities for digital payment methods.
payments. Usability is the key to high conversion rates and consumer
adoption. High security standards throughout the payment process will In this field, China, as a mobile-first country, sets the standards for
most likely be ensured by biometrical methods such as fingerprint mCommerce shopping as well as mobile POS solutions very high. The
authentication. successful integration of payment solutions into social messaging
services gave birth to two huge payment systems with an enormous
Another important factor is the growing impact of mobile devices not user base, namely Alipay (Ant Financial) and WeChat Pay (Tencent).
only for POS shopping but also for mobile checkout processes in the These two payment providers cover almost the entire Chinese Mobile
eCommerce world, as well as the integration of P2P payments into Payment market. Paying the taxi driver, buying a coffee to go on the way
messengers and social networks. Especially in mobile-first countries, to work, ordering cinema tickets and splitting the bill between friends –
high convenience and usability on mobile devices is inevitable. all this is covered by one single payment app. This development is
A third dimension is blockchain technology, which is closely connected predestined to sooner or later reach Europe and the U.S. as well.
to cryptocurrencies. Here we have a completely new technology without In Europe we observe an evolving FinTech start-up landscape, especially
any legacy players in the market. The technology promises to facilitate in the field of online and mobile Banking. However, market dynamics
secure direct transactions without intermediaries. However, the impact and pervasion of innovative FinTech solutions are not comparable to the
of blockchain technology on financial regulation is not yet foreseeable. situation in China or the U.S.
The European Commission states that “existing regulation will still apply”,
but like in other areas of FinTech, regulation can have a drastic impact
on the future development of the markets.
8,266.9
7,314.6
+16.5%1
6,365.0
4,154.4
5,404.1 3,407.3
2,703.8
4,406.4
2,063.0
3,858.6
1,479.7
1,066.8
3,907.3 4,112.6
3,341.1 3,661.2
2,791.8 2,926.7
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
26 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Europe shows the highest growth in Digital Payments
Market sizes: regional comparison (1/2)
+17.2%1
3,529.6
1,898.0
+18.7%1
1,572.4
1,595.5 +13.1%1
1,502.6
581.4 798.4
777.9
811.4 666.8
1,631.6
257.1 96.3
1,014.2 774.1
554.3 724.7 570.5
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
27 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
With a transaction value of US$154.9 billion, the UK is
now the biggest Digital Payments market in Europe
Market sizes: regional comparison (2/2)
+18.8%1
366.4 +13.7%1
+21.5%1
196.1
188.1
58.6
210.8
102.0 +20.2%1
+15.0%1
103.2
154.9 3.2 96.5
84.6
31.0 71.0
137.5 6.0 32.0 50.6
100.0 42.1 38.4
155.6 86.1
123.9 4.7 4.6
65.0 52.6
37.4 33.8 45.9
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
28 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Most Digital Commerce users live in China
User numbers: regional comparison (1/2)
1,231.3
1,093.0
832.9
554.2
454.6
246.9 278.3
583.1
398.4 167.5
41.8 74.7 71.4
68.2
61.0 60.0
55.2
51.3
44.6
40.3
35.4
31.7
27.3
18.1 19.7
13.0
10.0
7.1 8.1
3.6 4.7
2.6 1.9
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1,011 2,469
2019 2019
1,371 1,064
3,188 6,256
2024 2024
1,489 1,139
27.6% Diffusion
(accumulated users)
12.7%
10.5%
10.0%
3.1% 3.9% 4.3%
Innovators 2.5% Early adopters 16.0% Early majority 50.0% Late majority 84.0% Laggards 100.0%
The diffusion of innovations graph shows successive groups of consumers adopting Mobile POS Payments (the graph above shows the penetration rate
of selected countries). Innovations in general are not adopted by all individuals at the same time. Instead, they tend to adopt in a time sequence, and
can be classified into adopter categories based on how long it takes until they begin using the service. Diffusion is considered to be the rate and volume
at which innovations spread among their users (an adoption rate of 100% is theoretically possible but not realistic). Considering the convenience of
mobile payment technologies, the Mobile POS Payments market is likely to experience further growth in the next years.
34
Personal Finance: products and services
Overview: market scope
▪ Asset management providers who offer automated online portfolios ▪ Cross-border payments between individuals, not including payments
in which private investors can choose investment volumes depending for purchased goods and domestic peer-to-peer transactions
on their scope and appetite for risk
▪ “Online-pure players” such as Transferwise, WorldRemit and Currency
▪ The advantage lies in the passive role of the investor, who may not Cloud optimize the use of digital infrastructures to achieve time and
want or cannot afford ongoing personal monitoring of their portfolio cost savings
development
▪ Remittances often occur on a regular basis and the majority of
▪ In the Robo-Advisors segment, transaction value refers to the assets remittance services users are migrants and people with private
under management of automated online portfolios contacts in other countries
Note: Online brokers without automated and recommendation-based advisory functions are not included in the Robo-Advisor segment. Funds
transferred domestically are not included in the definition of Digital Remittances.
35 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
In 2019, the U.S. accounted for the highest share in
global Personal Finance transaction value
Overview: customer benefit and market development
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
36 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Key success factors for FinTech in Personal Finance
are speed, efficiency and low fees
Overview: assumptions and trends
Assumptions Trends
FinTech is penetrating areas of the consumer finance business that are All over the world, FinTech start-ups are evolving. Based on lean and
currently controlled by banks. There are three conceivable scenarios agile product development, often focused on mobile user experiences,
regarding the future of financial services: FinTechs mostly offer a more innovative product portfolio than
traditional banks.
First option: Banks will adapt to technological innovations or partner
with FinTechs. Almost all banks are intensively screening the FinTech As traditional bank branches have ignored consumers’ shift towards
landscape, many of them have own incubators or are investing actively digital technologies (especially with regard to financial products) for a
in start-ups to benefit from the technological advantage and fast and decade, there is still a broad spectrum of products and services
agile product development process. primarily covered by traditional banks with low mobile convenience or at
high costs for consumers.
Second option: Banks will ignore alternative FinTech forms. This might
be the case if FinTechs struggle to scale and gain more relevance. Many One example for an evolving FinTech trend is the replacement of cost-
start-ups are focusing on niche segments, which do not endanger the intensive offline services with a more cost-effective digital service. The
core business of banks. This could result in a peaceful coexistence with UK-based company TransferWise, for example, has focused on cross-
FinTechs occupying different niche markets. border funds transfer. They offer transparent services for their
customers without using a physical bank branch.
Third option: FinTechs will substitute banks as the primary financial
service provider for consumers. If banks are not able to improve and We further observe large investment funds actively investing in Robo-
streamline internal processes and build convenient digital customer Advisory technology (e.g. Blackrock, Goldman Sachs), as the efficiency of
touchpoints, they will probably continue to exist, but without serving portfolio management due to automated services promises high return
innovative financial products to their customers. This will dramatically rates compared to old-fashioned alternatives. One must also expect a
reduce margins and decrease the relevance of banks to consumers consolidation of players in the Robo-Advisory industry, as profitability is
accordingly. strongly related to scalability and high volumes under management.
2,639.7
152.5
2,252.7
139.7
+23.8%1
1,865.5
124.4
1,474.3
106.9
1,075.4 2,487.3
906.8 87.9 2,113.0
79.3 1,741.1
1,367.4
987.5
827.5
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
38 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Europe shows the highest growth in Personal Finance
with a CAGR1 of almost 23%
Market sizes: regional comparison (1/2)
+22.4%1
1,715.1
31.9
1,683.2
625.3
17.9 +26.0%1
348.6
+17.0%1
607.4 63.0
109.9 142.5
285.6 64.9 11.2
34.6 131.2
75.3 61.4 3.6
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
39 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
With total transaction value of US$14.0 billion in 2019,
the UK is first in Personal Finance among the EU 5
Market sizes: regional comparison (2/2)
+25.1%1
+33.4%1
50.2 +30.4%1
4.0 43.7 +25.4%1
39.3
9.9 34.4 3.3
5.5
+24.8%1
46.3
16.4 13.4
33.7 36.1
2.4 10.3 11.1 28.9 10.4 0.1
3.3 1.6 4.4
14.0 5.6 13.2
4.7 7.8 8.9 0.1
4.4
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
40 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
By 2024, almost 232 million of Robo-Advisor users will
live in China
User numbers: regional comparison (1/2)
87.8
36.7
14.4 15.0
2.8 5.6 6.6 1.3 2.6
0.2 0.4
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
3.7
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
16,047 247
2019 2019
16,203 13,133
17,331 244
2024 2024
17,623 12,764
Wealthfront 20.0
Betterment 16.4
1: Information based on latest available data, as at May 2020. We do not claim completeness of the information given
45 Sources: Statista estimates based on company information, press releases, Graphiq, Nerdwallet, CNBC, Business Insider, Backend Benchmarking
TransferWise is one of the rare U.K.-based unicorns
and offers digital services for P2P money transfers
Company profile: TransferWise (1/2)
Availability Background
TransferWise has collected almost US$773 million in funding, with a list
of prominent investors, e.g. Lead Edge Capital, Andreessen Horowitz,
and Index Ventures. With its latest funding of US$292 million, the
company has been valued at more than US$3.5 billion.
Monthly transaction value1: ~US$5 billion The used exchange rates are the real exchange rates (mid-market rates),
with the promise of no additional conversion premiums.
1: As of 9-2019 2: TransferWise can only make transfers that involve a currency conversion; transfers from one EUR account to another one are
not possible
46 Source: TransferWise.com, EU-Startups.com, Crunchbase.com, Bloomberg.com
Since its foundation in 2010, TransferWise has
collected almost US$780 million
Company profile: TransferWise (2/2)
TransferWise funding per funding round (in US$ million) Total Funding1: US$773m
Series E
US$280.0m
Secondary
Seed Series A US$292.0m
US$0.05m US$6.0m Series C
US$58.0m
1: as at 9-2019
47 Source: Crunchbase.com
ALTERNATIVE
LENDING
The Alternative Lending market segment
includes bank-independent loan allocation for
SMEs (Crowdlending) and for personal loans
(Marketplace Lending or so-called Peer-to-
Peer lending) through private or institutional
investors via online platforms.
48
Alternative Lending: products and services
Overview: market scope
▪ Crowdlending platforms (also: lending-based Crowdfunding) enable ▪ Marketplace Lending platforms offer private users the option to place
small and medium-sized enterprises to get loans from private and requests for loans in an online marketplace to find private investors
institutional investors via an online brokering platform who would invest at an appropriate interest rate
Note: Loans to companies which cannot be counted as SMEs are not included in this segment. Online comparison marketplaces for bank loans
are not included in this segment.
49 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Alternative Lending gives underserved groups of the
population and SMEs access to lending
Overview: customer benefit and market development
Crowdlending, the other segment covered in this report, is an alternative Europe shows a considerably smaller transaction value of US$8.8 billion
way of financing small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs). The in 2019. The trust in the traditional financial sector is still high in Europe
baseline mechanisms and processes are similar to P2P Marketplace and the interest rates are quite low. This deprives Alternative Lending
Lending, except that loans are not personal or consumer but business models of mass market adoption. Thanks to continuous high growth
loans. If the listing is approved, private and institutional investors can rates through to 2024, the global Alternative Lending transaction value
fund the loan and profit from a financial return, once the loan is is expected to reach US$396.9 by the same year, and again that the
refunded. major share of this growth is contributed by China, which will account
for a global market share of 88% by 2024.
Assumptions Trends
The future of alternative lending in general looks promising. Especially in One of the most predominant challenges for alternative lending is
developing countries, China in particular, as mentioned before, more insufficient government regulation, meaning that governments either
and more people are looking for consumer loans outside the traditional allow platforms to function in a legal grey area partly beyond regulation,
banking sector. The same applies for business loans due to the or ban such activities altogether.
increasing number of SMEs.
In the U.S. there is currently a growing lack of confidence in P2P and
We believe that the efficiency of alternative lending platforms, for both SME lending platforms, as existing players have not been capable of
consumer as well as business loans, can attract more borrowers and consistently limiting fraud and maintaining a high level of trust in the
investors alike. In our opinion, two of the major driving forces for the general public.
expected market development, dependent on the geographical area,
are the development of the financial sector in general (in emerging In Europe, the investor landscape is very active. A huge number of
economies) and the convenience that alternative forms of lending potential investors is looking for promising investment opportunities
contribute to the average borrowing process (in developed countries). outside the traditional financial sector, and yet the European Alternative
Lending market appears to remain considerably small. This illustrates
Many people in developing countries do not yet have access to the that in Europe it seems to be more complicated to find lucrative
traditional banking sector. Nevertheless, they still have a huge demand investment opportunities than affordable loan conditions, thus the
for loans in order to pursue their businesses or for private consumption. future growth potential is currently limited.
This is where crowdlending platforms fill the gap.
In China, the situation is completely different. Chinese platforms, such as
In comparison, low interest rate policies have been in place for almost a CreditEase, eye up to the American market in order to expand their
decade now in developed countries. This is one of the major obstacles business. With the chance of opportunity to also grant loans of higher
for further adoption of alternative lending, because as long as interest amounts in the U.S. market and get U.S. investors on board as well, the
rates are low and loans are granted widely, alternative lending is no rapid development of this industry is even expected to accelerate.
significant lever compared to a bank loan. However, if those policies
change, this situation may as well change quickly.
396.9
+8.2%1 382.7
363.6
334.3 99.2
98.0
96.2
291.5
267.1 92.7
85.4
86.3
284.7 297.6
267.4
241.6
206.1
180.8
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
52 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
China shows the highest growth in Alternative Lending
Market sizes: regional comparison (1/2)
348.2
+9.4%1
69.9
222.5
58.5
278.3
164.0 +0.7%1
+3.6%1
32.5 33.8
8.8 10.5
24.1 24.9
8.5 8.8 5.8 3.0 7.2 3.3
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
53 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
With a total loan volume of US$4.24 billion, the UK is
the biggest market among the EU 5 in 2019
Market sizes: regional comparison (2/2)
+2.2%1
4.72
4.24
1.88
1.80
+0.2%1
2.84 +13.2%1
2.44 +2.5%1
0.78 0.79 +1.0%1
0.03 0.04 0.60
0.37 0.42 0.32 0.07
0.75 0.75 0.28 0.29
0.23 0.14 0.24 0.18 0.23 0.04 0.24 0.05 0.27
0.05 0.53
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
54 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Most Crowdlending users live in China
User numbers: regional comparison (1/2)
37.110
34.130
24.790
41 45
34 37 33
21 23 21
2 4 2 5 2 3 1 1 5 7
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
6,877 2,245
2019 2019
49,448 60,049
6,594 1,987
2024 2024
50,346 77,740
Borrowers
Issuing bank
Investors
Financial benefits for parties involved
1: Includes determination of loan interest rates, based on a prior credit scoring 2: Including initially agreed interest rate 3: Interest rate is based
59 on creditworthiness of marketplace and therefore lower than for individual borrowers
Prosper is a pioneer P2P Marketplace Lending
platform
Company profile: Prosper
Availability Background
Prosper was founded in 2005 as the first peer-to-peer lending
marketplace in the United States. Since then, Prosper has facilitated
more than $16.7 billion in loans to more than 900,000 people and now
operates from two offices – in San Francisco and in Phoenix.
EBITDA (adjusted) US$3.9m (Q4 2019) Despite the general drop-off of the marketplace lending industry since
2016 and a valuation drop in 70.5 % compared to 2015, Prosper was
Net loss US$13.7m (Q4 2019) able to raise US$50 million in the latest funding round in 2017 and was
valued at US$550 million (post money). In 2019, Prosper has introduced
Employees 404 (2019)
Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs).
61
Alternative Financing: products and services
Overview: market scope
Crowdfunding Crowdinvesting
▪ Crowdfunding (also: reward-based Crowdfunding) is a form of ▪ Crowdinvesting (also: equity-based Crowdfunding) defines a variety of
financing independent from financial institutions and location of the transactions where an unspecified number of parties come together
campaign creator or investor to invest in equity shares or profit-related returns (for example,
royalties or convertible loans)
▪ Crowdfunding campaigns can be initiated for a wide range of
different purposes such as product launches, art-, music- and film-
financing, software development, scientific research etc.
Note: Not included in this segment are: investor group loans (see Crowdlending), reward-based Crowdfunding campaigns which have no
monetary value for the investor, for example product launches, art-, music- and film-financing (Crowdfunding), as well as donations
62 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Alternative Financing offers access to funding from a
global network of private and institutional investors
Overview: customer benefit and market development
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
63 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
The lack of necessary regulation creates uncertainty in
the evolving market
Overview: assumptions and trends
Assumptions Trends
All in all, the growth projections for Alternative Financing and other The growth potential for Alternative Financing models is obvious, but the
crowdsourcing instruments are very promising. However, the market lack of necessary regulation brings high uncertainty to the evolving
faces one major challenge: controlling fraudulent activities. market, in developed and developing countries alike. However, if
regulators succeed in improving trust and security for both borrowers
Crowdbased financing forms for business activities only add value to the and investors without restricting the dynamic and flexibility of this
market if borrowers and investors can trust one another. Regulation is market, projections for the future look very promising.
the key to securing this trust by establishing binding rules and
guidelines. Financial regulation on the other hand is very complex and In general, U.S. platforms provide all necessary infrastructure and can
slows down the dynamic of an evolving market. aggregate a huge audience on both sides, borrowers and investors.
Kickstarter & Indiegogo, two of the biggest players in this field, will
In Europe, financial loan-based and investment-based crowdfunding continue to dominate the reward-based Crowdfunding space.
platforms are partly regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).
Platforms offering financing services for businesses in the U.S. have to In the U.S., venture capital from private or institutional investors is
comply with SEC regulations, while China has taken a very liberal mostly not the major issue when it comes to financing a project. That
approach towards crowdbased financing forms in the past. explains the “low” growth rates compared to China and Europe. And in
Europe, the low interest rates in the banking sector make alternative
As the Alternative Financing market is basically a two-sided platform investments more and more attractive to a wide range of investors.
model – borrowers who need funds for their projects, and investors
seeking a reward or financial return for their investment – both sides In China, on the other hand, the Banking Regulatory Commission has
need to have an incentive to participate. For borrowers, this is clearly intervened in the market. Therefore, one can expect a consolidation of
flexibility and less bureaucracy. For investors, Crowdfunding offers the platforms as a result of stricter regulation, as not every single provider of
chance to receive a new product, for example. Crowdinvesting gives Alternative Financing models is expected to comply with increasing
investors the chance to receive promising financial returns, compared to security standards.
the traditional banking sector. As long as central banks flood financial
markets with money and interest rates are low, alternative financing
models stay highly interesting for potential investors.
9.5
8.9
+10.3%1
8.2
7.3
6.1
5.8
8.3
7.8
7.1
6.3
4.8 5.2
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
65 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
Europe shows the biggest growth in Crowdinvesting
with a CAGR1 of over 10.8%
Market sizes: regional comparison (1/2)
+10.8%1
3.7
+10.2%1 +6.1%1
2.2
1.7 3.3 1.8
1.0 1.3
1.9 0.8 1.2
1.0 1.7
0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
2019 2024 2019 2024 2019 2024
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
66 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
With a financing volume of US$0.8 billion, the UK is
the biggest market among the EU 5 in 2019
Market sizes: regional comparison (2/2)
+8.7%1
1.2
0.8
1.1
1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
67 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2020
U.S. users are most active in Crowdfunding
User numbers: regional comparison (1/2)
52.2 51.6
27.2
17.4
14.2
10.5 11.7
9.2
3.3
1.3
10.2
7.6
6.2 6.2
278,484 301,932
2019 2019
7,575 6,066
327,887 336,939
2024 2024
8,936 6,520
Availability Background
Kickstarter is a public-benefit corporation that maintains a global
crowdfunding platform focused on creative projects such as films, music,
stage shows, comics and video games.
Founded in 2009, the New York (Brooklyn)-based company raised
US$4.56 billion between 2012 and 2019 in funding from backers
including NYC-based venture firm Union Square Ventures and angel
investors such as Jack Dorsey.
The platform provides a facility for gathering money from the public,
which circumvents traditional ways of investment. Project creators
choose a funding goal and deadline. Kickstarter applies a 5% fee to the
total amount of the funds raised (if funding goal is met).
1: Number of successfully funded projects divided by number of all projects that have reached their deadline
2: Other includes comics, theater, photography, dance, crafts, and journalism
73 Source: Company information
One of the global top 10 and most famous crowd-
sourced projects was the Pebble Time (smartwatch)
Company profile: Kickstarter (3/3)
102.0
Star Citizen Elio Motors Glowforge Pebble Time Prison Flow Hive 2 Coolest Cooler MATE X Flow Hive Pebble 2
(video game) (three- (3D laser (smartwatch) Architect (beekeeper kit) (portable (foldable (beekeeper kit) (smartwatch)
wheeled car) printer) (video game) cooler) eBike)
Leading platform:
multiple multiple
+ independent
platforms platforms
independent
75
APPENDIX
Detailed consumer information is one key
factor for describing market developments
precisely. In this appendix, we give detailed
information on three different user
characteristics: age, income, and gender
distribution of users. The data is based on
Statista's Global Consumer Survey.
Furthermore, we provide an overview of the
market structure presented in this report.
76
Over 34% of U.S.-Americans using Mobile POS
Payments are between 25 and 34 years old
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in the U.S.
35.7%
Low income
40.8%
High income
Female 23.5%
45.5%
Users by age
54.5% Male
34.6%
27.2%
17.5%
14.7%
6.0%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=4,120
77 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
Usage of Mobile POS Payments in China is equally
spread among genders
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in China
Medium income
33.3%
Female
48.0%
Users by age
52.0% Male
36.4%
23.2%
21.2%
16.2%
3.0%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,092
78 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
A higher share of people with high incomes use
Mobile POS Payments in the UK
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in the UK
Medium income
41.7%
Users by age
58.3% 28.4%
Male 26.9%
22.8%
16.4%
5.6%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,038
79 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
Users of Mobile POS Payments in Germany are
predominantly male
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in Germany
Medium income
Female 32.9%
Low income
45.9%
28.1% High income
21.2%
Users by age
37.5%
27.1%
71.9% 18.8%
Male
10.4%
6.3%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,078
80 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
People with a high income are most likely to use
Mobile POS Payments in France
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in France
Medium income
Low income
19.3%
Female
54.5%
High income
26.1%
31.4%
Users by age
33.3%
68.6% 21.9%
20.0%
Male 16.2%
8.6%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,050
81 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
Users of Mobile POS Payments in Spain are
predominantly male
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in Spain
Medium income
34.1%
High income
Female Low income 38.4%
27.4%
38.8%
Users by age
27.9% 29.2%
61.2%
Male
18.5%
14.3%
10.1%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,055
82 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
The highest share of Mobile POS Payments users in
Italy are between 35 and 44 years old
User demographics: users of mobile POS payments in Italy
Medium income
Low income
32.2%
Female 50.7%
High income
33.3% 17.1%
Users by age
30.6%
66.7% 20.6%
18.9% 18.3%
Male
11.7%
18 -24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years
"How have you conducted payments online in the past 12 months?"; Multi pick; n=2,069
83 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at October 2019
Digital Payments market structure
Consumer transactions made via the Internet which Traditional Bank Transfers
are directly related to online shopping for products
and services. Online transactions can be made via
Digital Commerce various payment methods (credit cards, direct debit,
invoice, or online payment providers, such as PayPal
and Alipay).
Business-to-Business
Payments
Digital Payments
84
Personal Finance market structure
85
Alternative Lending market structure
86
Alternative Financing market structure
87
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