Suryoday Small Finance Bank Q1FY24 Result Update Centrum 11082023
Suryoday Small Finance Bank Q1FY24 Result Update Centrum 11082023
Suryoday Small Finance Bank Q1FY24 Result Update Centrum 11082023
Institutional Research
India I BFSI
11 August, 2023
RoA (%) 2.0 0.4 402.9 1.7 17.8 0.9 2.4 2.2 Shailesh Kanani
RoE (%) 12.1 2.0 500.4 10.1 20.1 5.0 14.5 14.4 Research Analyst, BFSI
+91-22 4215 9001
P/ABV (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1.1 0.9
[email protected]
Source: Company, Centrum Broking
Please see Disclaimer for analyst certifications and all other important disclosures.
Suryoday Small Finance Bank 11 August, 2023
Thesis Snapshot
Estimate revision Valuations
FY24E FY24E FY25E FY25E The positive transformation in business volumes through the Vikas loan and
YE Mar (Rs mn) % chg % chg
New Old New Old the improved portfolio quality with a growing share of secured assets have
NII 9,859 9,150 7.7 12,299 10,967 3.8 significantly strengthened the bank's position. Furthermore, Suryoday's
PPoP 4,703 3,734 26.0 5,507 5,038 15.2 strategic steps, such as obtaining CGFMU cover to mitigate earnings
PAT 2,495 1,806 38.2 2,871 2,601 18.7 cyclicality, have demonstrated effective management initiatives. On FY25
Loan growth (%) 31.4 31.4 - 24.4 24.5 - ABV, we assign multiple/TP at 1.25x/Rs245.
GNPA (%) 2.4 2.4 - 2.4 2.4 -
Source: Centrum Broking P/ABV mean and standard deviation
2.0
Suryoday SFB versus NIFTY Midcap 100 1.8
1.6
1m 6m 1 year 1.4
SURYODAY 6.3 67.5 96.1 1.2
1.0
NIFTY Midcap 100 4.8 22.5 24.3 0.8
Source: Bloomberg, NSE 0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Oct-21
Oct-22
Dec-21
Apr-22
Dec-22
Apr-23
Jun-22
Jun-23
Aug-21
Aug-22
Aug-23
Feb-22
Feb-23
P/ABV Mean
Mean + Std Dev Mean - Std Dev
Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Broking
Peer comparison
EPS (Rs) ABVPS (Rs) RoAA (%) RoAE (%)
Company
FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E
AUBANK 21.4 26.0 33.8 159.7 183.9 215.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 15.9 14.7 16.4
EQSFB 5.2 7.3 10.0 43.6 49.2 57.3 1.9 2.0 2.2 12.2 14.7 17.5
UJJIVANS 5.6 5.7 6.6 21.5 26.1 31.3 3.9 3.0 2.8 31.4 23.8 22.5
Average 10.7 13.0 16.8 74.9 86.4 101.4 2.5 2.2 2.3 19.8 17.7 18.8
SURYODAY 7.3 23.5 27.0 140.5 168.5 196.2 0.9 2.4 2.2 5.0 14.5 14.4
Dep.
B/S CD Ratio Borr/Liab
Growth
AUBANK 92% 27% 10%
EQSFB 107% 36% 12%
Ujjivan 95% 45% 9%
Suryoday 111% 42% 31%
Utkarsh 103% 36% 14%
Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data
PPT Snippets
Summary
The 1QFY24 results analysis reveals a positive margin profile for the bank, marked by a
strong increase in Yield on IEA to 15.6%. Resultantly, NIMs expanded to an attractive
9.8%, despite an uptick in CoF to 7.1%.
Operational efficiency improved with a lower CTI of 57.5%, while credit costs remained
high at 3.7% of AAUM (notably due to one-time provision for ARC).
Gross advances grew 24.2% YoY, driven by housing and small business loans. Liability
growth was robust at 42.3%, though CASA saw a decline.
The bank's GNPA improved at 3% (10bps QoQ). Vikas loans, the flagship product of the
bank, performed well with CE of 99% (one EMI adjusted). The bank is adequately
capitalized with a healthy CRAR of 32.7%.
Asset profile
Gross advances grew by 24.2% YoY to Rs63bn primarily led by HL (+43%/+25%
YoY/QoQ) and SBL segment (+82%/+16% YoY/QoQ).
Disbursements for the quarter grew at 17.5% to Rs11.9bn. Asset mix continues to
remain in favour of unsecured lending (60:40 vs. 61:39 QoQ). Overall CE improved to
100.4% (vs. 97% QoQ).
Liability profile
Deposits witnessed a robust growth of 42.3% with improvement in retail deposit mix
(75.7% vs. 73.1% QoQ). However, CASA continued to witness its declining trend, in line
with peers, to 14.9% (-220bps QoQ). Bank is adequately capitalized with healthy CRAR
of 32.7%, well above statutory requirement.
Branch network saw a YoY addition of 45branches to the total of 609 branches.
Concall Highlights
Business Performance
Opening remarks: India economy continues to witness robust macro-economic factors.
In line with this Banking industry is placed to do well with strong credit growth.
Suryoday is continuing its steady and sequential improving performance on QoQ basis.
Customer base of the bank stands at 24.3Lakh (+21% YoY). Vikas loan stands at
Rs1282cr which is majorly covered under CGMFU with current customer base of 2.1L;
17.5% YoY jump. Going ahead the target for Vikas loan is to reach Rs2000cr by FY24
end. Borrowings are majorly from refinancing institutions which are long term and non-
callable in nature. FY24 guidance – gross advances growth +30%; deposits +35%; RoA
– 2.25%, ROE >15%; GNPA <2%, NNPA <0.5%.
Product mix led to yield expansion for the quarter anf going ahead management is
contemplating an increase in lending rate between 25-50bps for its unsecured
portfolio.
Branch expansion expected for FY24 is 150-160 and year end CASA target is ~21%.
Going forward, CTI is expected to be ~55% on the back of operating leverage and
increase in core income. Moreover, FY25 – CTI would continue to be range bound as
the bank have invested heavily in FY23.
CoF is expected to peak in Q2; +25-30bps increase expected in next quarter.
PSLC income led to jump in other income for the quarter by ~Rs26cr (Rs1200cr
certificates sold at 2% however right now prices have come down ~0.1%). Going
forward the income visibility form this source is minimal and management doesn’t
expect much for remaining part of FY24.
RoA guidance has been increased from 2% to 2.25% for FY24 with exit RoA ~3% for the
year.
Collection team is in house except for hard bucket collections where it is outsourced.
Sourcing of business in case of RA assets is from both own sources and DSAs.
CGFMU expense is ~1% of total insured amount. In Q1FY24, bank has expended Rs10cr
as it plans to insure Rs4000cr of book by year end.
Collections have seen improvement in JLG segment and other operating parameters
have reached pre-covid levels.
Credit cost for FY24 – 1-1.5% credit cost.
ECLGS recovery is ~Rs2.5cr per month and it is expected to pick up from 3QFY24.
Incremental build up in GNPA is not expected much.
Micro HL current rate of disbursements stands at Rs12 to 15cr per month.
60000
15000
50000
40000
Q4FY23, Q1FY24, 10000 Q4FY23,
30000 Q1FY23, Q2FY23, Q3FY23, 63,720
61,150 Q3FY23, 16,880
51,322 53,784 54,082 Q2FY23, Q1FY24,
20000 Q1FY23, 12,651
5000 11,182 11,900
10,122
10000
0 0
Q1FY23 Q2FY23 Q3FY23 Q4FY23 Q1FY24 Q1FY23 Q2FY23 Q3FY23 Q4FY23 Q1FY24
Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Exhibit 5: Portfolio Mix – Product Wise Exhibit 6: Regional Portfolio Mix (Overall)
Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data
Asset Quality
Gross additions to GNPA stood at Rs48cr (3% of gross advances) vs. rollback recoveries
of Rs18cr. Write off for the quarter has been around Rs31cr leading to flattish GNPA
QoQ at Rs191cr (3% of gross advances). GNPA adjusted for provision and ECLGS stands
at Rs39cr (0.6% of gross advances).
SRs issued by ARC is required to be valued every 6 months – current value Rs76cr with
banks share of Rs65cr. Rating assigned to the ARC pool and consequently SR’s is ‘INR
RR2’ (75 – 100% recovery). One-time ARC related provision of Rs41cr was done during
the quarter. Bank expects the same to be reversed in the forthcoming quarters & to be
used as floating provision.
Vikas loan continues to exhibit superlative performance with CE of 99% (one EMI
adjusted).
CE stood at 95% (one EMI adjusted) and overall CE at 100%. There has been slight
increase (+60bps QoQ) in PAR 30+ for IF segment which can be attributed to seasonal
factors.
Exhibit 7: GNPA
Particulars Amt (RsMn)
GNPA 1,910
ECLGS(excluding till Jun-23 Rs8.8cr) 620
GNPA excluding ECLGS 1,290
Provision 900
Balance GNPA 390
Source: Centrum Broking, Company Data
Ratios Ratios
YE Mar FY21A FY22A FY23A FY24E FY25E YE Mar (Rs mn) FY21A FY22A FY23A FY24E FY25E
Growth (%) Balance Sheet (%)
Loans 12.8 19.3 26.6 31.4 24.4 Loans / Deposits 122.3 123.4 116.4 115.0 105.0
Deposits 14.3 18.2 34.2 33.0 36.2 Investments / Deposits 57.6 53.4 49.7 33.6 31.4
RWA growth 0.0 29.3 27.0 22.0 23.0 CASA 15.4 18.8 17.1 20.4 20.2
NII (16.3) 42.4 27.7 32.1 24.8 Assets/equity (x) 4.2 5.4 6.2 6.1 6.7
Other income 0.0 22.5 4.1 42.8 21.4 RWA / Total assets 50.4 53.4 56.3 59.5 58.4
Opex 20.8 25.7 22.6 29.2 29.5 Capital ratios (%)
PPoP (27.5) 67.4 27.4 39.4 17.1 Tier-1 46.7 34.1 28.2 27.1 25.5
Provisions (24.9) 144.5 (33.9) (42.1) 22.0 Tier-2 4.1 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.3
Net profit (49.5) nm nm 221.1 15.1 CRAR 50.9 36.3 30.1 28.7 26.8
Profitability (%) Asset quality ratios (%)
Yield on assets 18.1 19.8 20.4 21.8 21.1 GNPA (Rs mn) 3,937 5,974 1,913 1,912 2,690
Cost of funds 8.0 7.0 6.1 7.1 6.9 NNPA (Rs mn) 1,881 2,834 929 654 581
NIM 7.2 8.4 9.2 10.4 10.7 GNPA 9.4 11.8 3.1 2.4 2.7
Other income / Total inc. 15.7 13.8 11.5 12.4 12.1 NNPA 4.7 5.9 1.5 0.8 0.6
Other inc. / avg assets 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.3 PCR 52.2 52.6 51.5 65.8 78.4
Cost/Income 67.5 60.9 60.0 58.2 60.6 Slippage 9.5 10.6 8.3 1.9 1.8
Employee 38.2 33.7 28.7 27.9 29.7 NNPA / Equity 11.8 18.8 5.9 3.5 2.7
Other 29.3 27.3 31.3 30.3 30.9 Per share
Opex/ Avg assets 5.4 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.6 EPS 1.1 (8.8) 7.3 23.5 27.0
Provisioning cost 3.9 8.2 4.4 2.0 1.9 DPS 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tax rate 0.0 0.0 23.0 25.2 25.2 BVPS 150.5 141.8 149.3 174.6 201.7
RoE 0.9 (6.0) 5.0 14.5 14.4 ABVPS 132.7 115.1 140.5 168.5 196.2
RoA 0.2 (1.2) 0.9 2.4 2.2 Valuation (x)
RoRWA 0.7 (2.4) 1.6 4.1 3.8 P/E 160.2 nm 24.4 7.6 6.6
Du-pont (%) P/BV 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9
Interest income 12.8 12.6 13.1 15.0 15.2 P/ABV 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9
Interest expenses 6.1 4.8 4.8 5.7 5.6 Source: Company, Centrum Broking
NII 6.8 7.8 8.3 9.3 9.6
Other income 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.3
Total income 8.1 9.1 9.4 10.6 10.9
Operating expenses 5.4 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.6
Employee 3.1 3.1 2.7 3.0 3.2
Other 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.4
PPOP 2.6 3.6 3.7 4.4 4.3
Provisions 2.4 4.8 2.6 1.3 1.3
PBT 0.2 (1.3) 1.1 3.1 3.0
Tax 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8
RoA 0.2 (1.2) 0.9 2.4 2.2
Source: Company, Centrum Broking
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Suryoday Small Finance Bank
400
300
200
100
0
Aug-21 Dec-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Dec-22 Apr-23 Aug-23
Suryoday Small Finance Bank Ltd
Source: Bloomberg
1 Business activities of Centrum Broking Centrum Broking Limited (hereinafter referred to as “CBL”) is a registered member of NSE (Cash, F&O and Currency Derivatives
Limited (CBL) Segments), MCX-SX (Currency Derivatives Segment) and BSE (Cash segment), Depository Participant of CDSL and a SEBI registered
Portfolio Manager.
2 Details of Disciplinary History of CBL CBL has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority from accessing /dealing in securities market.
3 Registration status of CBL: CBL is registered with SEBI as a Research Analyst (SEBI Registration No. INH000001469)
Suryoday Small Finance
Bank
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No
immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.
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No
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research report
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in the past twelve months;
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13 No
services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
PORTFOLIO MANAGER
Research Analyst
SEBI Registration No. INH000001469
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