Toronto Phase 3
Toronto Phase 3
Toronto Phase 3
Abstract
The 4- to 6-year outcome of initial endodontic treat-
ment was assessed for phase III (1998-1999) of the
Toronto Study. Of the 532 teeth treated, 248 were from
E ndodontic treatment is performed to prevent or cure apical periodontitis and to
retain the treated tooth in function. The predictability of achieving these goals has
recently been questioned (1–3), as the inconsistent outcomes reported for endodontic
discontinuers (excluded), 142 from dropouts, 10 ex- treatment contrast with consistently favorable outcomes reported for implant-sup-
tracted, and 132 (50% recall) examined for outcome: ported single-tooth replacement. Thus, the outcome of endodontic treatment has re-
healed (no apical periodontitis [AP], signs, symptoms) cently come to the forefront as the focus of a debate regarding tooth retention or
or diseased. Phase III was analyzed alone and com- replacement.
bined with phases I, II (n ⫽ 373 teeth). Logistic regres- The outcome of initial (first-time) endodontic treatment has been assessed in
sion performed on the combined phases I-III sample many studies during the past decades; however, the results have varied considerably
identified significant (p ⱕ 0.05) outcome predictors: (4). This wide variation of the reported outcomes, attributed mainly to differences in
preoperative AP (OR ⫽ 3.5; CI 1.7-7.2; healed: absent, methodology (4), has caused considerable confusion in the profession, and it interferes
93%; present, 80%), number of roots (OR ⫽ 2.2; CI with attempts to establish evidence-based guidelines for endodontic practice. To pro-
1.0-4.7; healed: 1 - 92%; ⱖ2 - 83%), and intraopera- vide the evidence base to support endodontic treatment, outcome studies must conform
tive complications (OR ⫽ 2.2; CI 1.1-4.5; healed: ab- to design and methodology criteria consistent with an adequate (at least mid-range)
sent, 88%; present, 76%). Treatment technique (OR ⫽ level of evidence (5, 6), e.g. they should be randomized controlled trials or method-
2.8; CI 1.3-6.1; healed: Schilder, 89%; alternative, 73%) ologically sound observational cohort studies. A recent review (7) has highlighted the
was suggested as an outcome predictor in teeth with shortage of such studies, identifying only 14 (8 –21) that appear to methodologically
AP, requiring confirmation from randomized controlled conform to the mid-range level of evidence. Adding three more recent studies (22–24),
trials. (J Endod 2006;32:299 –306) the short list now comprises 17 studies. However, because several of these studies
(8 –12) include treatment techniques that have been modified in the recent years, they
Key Words may no longer be considered as reflecting the outcome of state-of-the-art endodontic
Apical periodontitis, endodontic treatment, prognosis, treatment (4, 7). The remaining 12 studies comprise the evidence base for current
root canal therapy, treatment outcome
initial endodontic treatment; clearly, additional studies are required to broaden this
evidence base.
Of the current studies, two have reported on phases I (20) and II (21) of the
From the MSc Program in Endodontics, University of To- prospective Toronto Study project. This modular project was initiated in 1993 and
ronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. designed as a continuous investigation of the 4- to 6-year outcome of endodontic
Address requests for reprints to Dr. Shimon Friedman, treatment performed by graduate endodontics students. Patients have been recalled in
Department of Graduate Endodontics, University of Toronto, 2-year “phases,” and the sample size multiplied with each successive phase added, so
124 Edward Street, Room 348, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
0099-2399/$0 - see front matter
as to increase the statistical power for assessment of significant outcome predictors.
Copyright © 2006 by the American Association of Thus, the analyzed sample for initial treatment has multiplied from 120 teeth in phase
Endodontists. I (20) to 242 teeth in phases I and II combined (21). Consequently, the number of
doi:10.1016/j.joen.2005.10.050 significant outcome predictors suggested by a multivariate analysis increased from one
(20) to two (21). Preoperative apical periodontitis (AP), shown by the majority of
previous studies (8 –10, 12–14, 18) to influence the outcome of treatment, was clearly
identified as a significant outcome predictor. In addition, treatment technique was
highlighted as warranting investigation in randomized controlled trials, with a better
outcome observed after flared canal preparation and vertical compaction of warm
gutta-percha, as described by Schilder (25, 26), than after step-back canal preparation
and lateral compaction of gutta-percha. It was expected that by extending the Toronto
Study project onto an additional phase, the increased sample size and statistical power
would allow corroboration of the previously identified outcome predictors and the
identification of additional ones.
The objectives of this study were 2-fold: (a) to systematically assess the 4- to 6-year
outcome of initial endodontic treatment in phase III of the Toronto Study project, and
(b) to assess associations between the outcome of treatment and pre-, intra-, and
postoperative variables, by combining the phase III sample with those of the previous
two phases for increased statistical power.
JOE — Volume 32, Number 4, April 2006 Treatment Outcome in Endodontics 299
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Materials and Methods Analysis
The protocol of the Toronto Study project was established before Separate statistical analyses were performed on the data of this
subjects were recruited and treated. The study protocol and informed study (phase III) and on the pooled data from phases I, II, and III.
consent forms were approved by the University of Toronto Health Sci- Pooling of the data was justified by the consistency of the methodology
ences Research Ethics Board. The same methodology as described in for all phases of the Toronto Study project. Univariate analysis (percent
the previous reports (20, 21) was followed in this study. It is briefly frequencies) characterized the data. Bivariate analysis (2 test of pro-
summarized below. portions and Fisher’s exact test) examined associations between the
treatment outcome and pre-, intra-, and postoperative variables, to sug-
1. Cohort: The inception cohort comprised all 532 teeth in 468 gest potentially important variables for inclusion in the multivariate
patients who had received initial endodontic treatment from Jan- analysis. Multivariate analysis (logistic regression) was performed on
uary 1998 to December 1999. the pooled data only, incorporating the variables found significant in the
2. Intervention: Supervised graduate students provided treatment in bivariate analysis into a prediction model, in order to identify significant
accordance with two main treatment techniques: (a) step-back/ outcome predictors. The dependent variable in all analyses was the
lateral compaction (SBLC), and (b) flared preparation/vertical dichotomous outcome, healed versus disease. All tests were performed
compaction (FPVC). Ten teeth in total were treated with different as two-tailed and interpreted at the 5% significance level. In addition to
the analysis of the complete sample, stratified analyses were performed
root filling techniques, either single gutta-percha cone with a
for teeth treated without or with preoperative radiolucency. Table 1 lists
glass-ionomer cement sealer (Ketac-Endo, 3M ESPE, St. Paul,
all of the 17 investigated variables.
MN), or injectable gutta-percha (Obtura II, Obtura Spartan, Fen-
ton, MO). Each technique was performed only in specific ses-
sions during the week. Allocation of treatment techniques was Results
quasirandomized by allowing patients to select clinical sessions Unweighted Cohen’s kappa scores for the intraexaminer agreement of
according to their availability and convenience. the phase III examiner ( ⫽ 0.96) indicated “very good agreement” (28).
The intervention in the phase III cohort differed from that in The interexaminer agreement between the phase III examiner and the phase
phases I and II in three ways: (a) engine-driven NiTi instruments I and II examiners ( ⫽ 0.67 and 0.63, respectively), and the co-investi-
were used routinely rather than hand stainless steel files; (b) The gator ( ⫽ 0.65) indicated “good agreement” (28).
FPVC technique was modified from the classic Schilder technique
(25, 26) by treating all canals concurrently rather than in se- Phase III Sample
quence, by using the System B (SybronEndo, Orange, CA) and The inception cohort of 468 patients and 532 teeth was distributed into
Obtura II (Obtura Spartan) devices rather than sectional gutta- the following categories: (a) discontinuers (excluded)—248 teeth from
percha and conventional heat carriers, and by using engine- 222 relocated subjects who could not be contacted; (b) dropouts—142
driven instruments as mentioned above; and (c) operating mi- teeth from 21 subjects who declined the recall and 105 subjects who did not
croscopes were used routinely in all treated cases, rather than respond; and (c) attending—142 teeth (50% recall rate after exclusion of
loupes. discontinuers) from 120 subjects, including 132 teeth examined for out-
All preoperative and intraoperative data were uniformly recorded come (study sample) and 10 extracted teeth (five for restorative consider-
by the providers of treatment and entered into a database in real ations, three for fractures, one for advanced periodontal disease, and one
time. for unknown reasons). The examined study sample is compared to the
3. Recall: All subjects were recalled by letters, invited to attend a inception cohort in Table 1. Response bias analysis (not shown) suggested
follow-up examination, and offered compensation for work time that the attending and lost-to-follow-up (dropouts and discontinuers) pop-
lost and travel expenses incurred by attending. Nonresponders ulations differed significantly with regards to age.
were contacted by telephone and encouraged to attend. When At the end point of the phase III study, 113/132 teeth (86%) were
treated teeth were reported to be lost, subjects were questioned classified as healed. One of these teeth presented with vertical root fracture
and the records of those who received regular care at the Faculty associated with severe bone loss, and was excluded from further analysis.
of Dentistry examined, to establish the reasons for extraction. Nineteen teeth (14%) were classified as having disease. The bivariate anal-
4. Outcome assessment: All follow-up examinations were per- ysis (Table 2) suggested only one statistically significant association, with a
formed by the phase III-designated examiner (V.M.). Before ex- higher healed rate for teeth without than with preoperative radiolucency.
amining subjects, he was calibrated for use of the Periapical Four additional variables (tooth type, number of treatment sessions, root
Index (PAI) (27) in the same manner as the examiners for phases filling voids, and type of coronal seal material) were associated with healed
I and II and the co-investigator (S.F.) for the project. Interexam- rate differentials of ⱖ10%, which were not statistically significant.
iner and intraexaminer agreement scores were calculated by us- Of the 112 teeth classified as healed (one fractured tooth excluded),
ing weighted Cohen’s kappa statistics. PAI scores were dichoto- seven teeth (6%) presented with a slight tenderness to percussion. Of the 19
mized to reflect absence (PAI ⱕ 2) or presence (PAI ⱖ 3) of AP. teeth classified as having disease, three teeth (16%) presented signs and
The evaluated unit was the tooth as a whole, with multirooted symptoms (pain), of which two had a PAI score ⱕ2 (no AP). Thus in total,
teeth assigned the highest score of all roots. All postoperative data 121 teeth (105 healed and 16 having disease) of 131 analyzed (92%) were
recorded at the follow-up examination were immediately entered fully functional, without any signs or symptoms and without tenderness to
into the database. percussion. In the 16 teeth with PAI ⱖ 3, the lesion was smaller than
preoperatively in four teeth (25%), unchanged in five teeth (31%), and
Based on clinical and radiographic measures, the outcome was increased or new in seven teeth (44%).
dichotomized either as “healed” (absence of AP, signs and symptoms Sixty-one of 65 teeth (94%) without preoperative radiolucency
other than tenderness to percussion), or as “disease” (presence of healed. Stratified analysis showed no variables associated with sta-
either AP, signs or symptoms). Teeth presenting without clinical signs or tistically significant or large healed rate differentials. Of 66 teeth
symptoms were considered “functional” regardless of the PAI score. with preoperative radiolucency, 51 teeth (77%) healed. Stratified
analysis (Table 3) suggested only two statistically significant asso- defect, number of treatment sessions, type of sealer, sealer extru-
ciations, with a higher healed rate for maxillary than mandibular sion, complications, and restoration at follow-up) were associated
teeth, and for coronal seal with a definitive than a temporary restor- with healed rate differentials of ⱖ10% that were not statistically
ative material. Seven additional variables (tooth type, periodontal significant.
JOE — Volume 32, Number 4, April 2006 Treatment Outcome in Endodontics 301
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TABLE 2. Bivariate analysis of associations between selected factors§ and the healed rate 4 to 6 yr after treatment, presented for phase III (n ⫽ 131) and the
pooled phases I–III (n ⫽ 369)
Phase III Phase I-III Combined
Prognostic Factor Healed Healed
n p Value n p Value
(% n) (% n)
Preoperative
Gender
Female 201 89 0.041
Male 168 82
Tooth type
Anterior 21 95 0.167
Posterior 110 84
No. of roots
1 114 92 0.018
ⱖ2 255 83
Radiolucency
Absent 65 94 0.007 160 93 < 0.001
Present 66 77 209 80
Intraoperative
Treatment sessions
1 22 96 0.195*
ⱖ2 109 84
Root-filling voids
Absent 113 88 0.140*
Present 18 72
Complications
Absent 306 88 0.019
Present 63 76
Coronal seal material
Temporary† 20 75 0.169*
Definitive‡ 111 87
Bold type face highlights statistical significance.
*Fischer’s Exact test, 2 test otherwise.
†Cavit, ZOE, IRM.
‡Amalgam, composite resin, glass ionomer cement, crown.
§Only factors associated with a healed rate differential of ⱖ10%, or significant variables, presented.
TABLE 3. Bivariate analysis between selected factors§ and preoperative radiolucency, presented for the pooled phases I-III (n ⫽ 369)
Preoperative Radiolucency
Prognostic Factor
Absent n (%) Present n (%) p Valuea
Preoperative
Gender
Female 100 (50) 101 (50) 0.007
Male 60 (36) 108 (64)
Signs and symptoms
Absent 73 (51) 69 (49) 0.014
Present 87 (38) 140 (62)
Pulp status
Responsive 104 (78) 29 (22) < 0.001
Nonresponsive 56 (24) 180 (76)
Intraoperative
Treatment sessions
1 47 (70) 20 (30) < 0.001
ⱖ2 113 (37) 189 (63)
Root-filling voids
Absent 144 (46) 167 (54) 0.008
Present 16 (28) 42 (72)
Sealer extrusion
Absent 87 (50) 86 (50) 0.012
Present 73 (37) 123 (63)
Bold type face highlights statistical significance.
§Only factors significantly associated with preoperative radiolucency presented.
a2 test.
Pooled Phases I, II, and III Sample were associated with healed rate differentials of ⱖ10% that were not
The pooled examined sample included 373 teeth (50% recall rate) statistically significant. The three variables were further assessed in a
in 325 patients. Table 1 compares the examined study sample to the stratified multivariate analysis.
inception cohort (1370 teeth in 1151 patients). Response bias analysis Stratified multivariate analysis performed on teeth with preopera-
(not shown) confirmed that the attending and lost-to-follow-up popu- tive radiolucency (Table 6) revealed an increased risk of persistent
lations differed significantly only with regards to age. disease for the SBLC technique (OR ⫽ 2.83; CI 1.31-6.13) and com-
Of the pooled sample, 317/373 teeth (85%) were classified as plications (OR ⫽ 2.67; CI 1.13-6.32).
healed and 56/373 (15%) as having disease. Four teeth (one healed and
three diseased) were found to be fractured; as they could potentially
confound the investigation of other variables, they were excluded from Discussion
further analysis reducing the analyzed sample to 369 teeth. Of the 316 Methodology
teeth classified as healed (one fractured tooth excluded), 12 teeth (4%) Clinical outcome research is intended to support decision-mak-
presented with a slight tenderness to percussion. Of the 53 teeth clas- ing, such as selecting between tooth retention via endodontic treatment
sified as having disease (three fractured teeth excluded), five teeth (9%) or extraction and replacement. Because the evidence base for current
presented signs and symptoms (three had pain, one had a sinus tract, endodontic treatment outcome is limited to only few studies that con-
and one had pain and swelling), of which three had a PAI score ⱕ2. form to an adequate level of evidence (13–22, 24), additional studies
Thus, in total, 352/369 teeth (95%) (304 healed and 48 having disease) may add important information to the existing knowledge. On this
were fully functional, without signs, symptoms, or tenderness to per- premise, the Toronto Study project was established in 1993 as a pro-
cussion. In 49 teeth with PAI ⱖ 3, the lesion was smaller than preop- spective, modular observational cohort study designed to assess the 4-
eratively in 21 teeth (43%), unchanged in 10 teeth (20%), and in- to 6-year outcome of endodontic treatment. The first two phases of the
creased or new in 18 teeth (37%). project have been summarized in reports on the outcome of initial
The bivariate analysis (Table 2) suggested only four statistically endodontic treatment (20, 21), orthograde retreatment (29), and api-
significant associations, with a higher healed rate for teeth: (a) in fe- cal surgery (30).
males than males, (b) without than with preoperative radiolucency, (c) The present study assessed the outcome of initial endodontic treat-
single-rooted than multirooted, and (d) without than with intraopera- ment in phase III of the Toronto Study project. The methodology and
tive complications. All other variables were associated with healed rate protocol of this study were consistent with those of the previous phases
differentials of ⬍10%. A further analysis (Table 3) revealed that the (20, 21) except for a few updates to comply with current endodontic
variable “gender” was significantly associated with the variable “preop- techniques. Furthermore, the univariate analysis suggested that the
erative radiolucency,” both in the study sample (p ⫽ 0.007) and in the phase III study sample was comparable to those of phases I and II in
inception cohort (p ⫽ 0.026, not shown). Complications, observed in 63 regard to size and frequencies. The uniformity allowed the pooling of
teeth (17%), comprised a variety of preoperative complexities, including the study samples from all three phases, previously suggested as a ben-
aberrant anatomy (20 teeth) and crack observed in the pulp chamber (3 efit of the Toronto Study design (21). The increased statistical power
teeth), as well as intraoperative complications, including perforation (18 was expected to facilitate the assessment of outcome associations with
teeth), file breakage (11 teeth) and apparently calcified canals that could variables, particularly in the stratified analyses for which the sample size
not be negotiated (14 teeth). The four variables were considered potentially was roughly half that of the entire study sample. Indeed, in the preop-
important and further assessed in the multivariate analysis. erative presence of AP, the outcome was significantly associated with
Multivariate analysis performed on the pooled study sample (Ta- only one variable (number of roots) in the phase I study (20), two
ble 4) revealed an increased risk of persistent disease for preoperative variables (number of roots, treatment technique) in the pooled phases
radiolucency (OR ⫽ 3.55; CI 1.75-7.23), multirooted teeth (OR ⫽ I and II (21), and three variables (number of roots, treatment tech-
2.17; CI 1.00-4.69), and intraoperative complications (OR ⫽ 2.23; CI nique, and complications) as shown herein for the pooled sample of
1.10-4.52). phases I through III. Clearly, a large sample size is essential for assess-
Of 160 teeth without preoperative radiolucency, 149 (93%) ment of outcome predictors in a multifactorial disease process such as
healed. Stratified analysis did not show any significant associations, and apical periodontitis.
all healed rate differentials were ⬍10%. Of 209 teeth treated with ra- The study methodology has already been discussed in detail in the
diolucency present, 167 (80%) healed. Stratified analysis (Table 5) previous reports (20, 21, 29, 30). Arguably, it conformed to criteria
suggested only three statistically significant associations, with a higher defining an adequate level of evidence in regards to the study cohort,
healed rate for: (a) single-rooted than multirooted teeth, (b) FPVC than intervention, outcome assessment, and analysis, with the exception of
SBLC technique, and (c) teeth without than with intraoperative compli- the low recall rate. Despite the monetary compensation offered and
cations. Two additional variables (tooth type, coronal seal material) numerous attempts to contact discontinuers and to encourage dropouts
JOE — Volume 32, Number 4, April 2006 Treatment Outcome in Endodontics 303
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TABLE 5. Stratified bivariate analysis of associations between selected factors§ and the healed rate in teeth treated with preoperative radiolucency 4 to 6 years after
treatment, presented for phase III (n ⫽ 66) and the pooled phases I-III (n ⫽ 209)
Phase III Phases I-III pooled
Prognostic Factor Healed Healed
n p Value n p Value
(% n) (% n)
Preoperative
Tooth type
Anterior 7 100 0.336* 40 90 0.076
Posterior 59 75 169 76
Tooth location
Maxilla 25 64 0.045
Mandible 41 85
No. of roots
1 62 89 0.039
ⱖ2 147 76
Periodontal defect
No 62 76 0.567*
Yes 4 100
Intraoperative
Treatment sessions
1 3 100 1.000*
ⱖ2 63 76
Technique
SBLC 103 73 0.005
FPVC 96 89
Other* 10
Type of sealer
ZOE 65 78 0.227*
Non-ZOE 1 0
Sealer extrusion
Absent 21 86 0.353*
Present 45 73
Complications
Absent 54 82 0.125* 180 83 0.008
Present 12 58 32 63
Coronal seal material
Temporary† 6 33 0.021* 34 68 0.051
Definitive‡ 60 82 175 82
Postoperative
Restoration at follow-up
Temporary 1 100 1.000*
Definitive 63 78
Bold type face highlights statistical significance.
SBLC ⫽ modified step-back preparation, lateral compaction of gutta-percha; FPVC ⫽ flared preparation, vertical compaction of warm gutta-percha.
§Only factors associated with a healed rate differential of ⱖ10%, or significant variables, presented.
*Fischer’s Exact test, 2 test otherwise.
†Cavit, ZOE, IRM.
‡Amalgam, composite resin, glass ionomer cement, crown.
to attend the follow-up examination, the recall rate of 50% in the phase analysis revealed that the proportion of young (ⱕ45 yrs) subjects was
III study was similar to that in the previous two phases (20, 21). The significantly higher in the latter than in the former; however, because
recall rate fell below the guidelines suggested for high level of evidence age was not identified as a significant outcome predictor, the study
(6). Theoretically, examination of the lost-to-follow-up population results were unlikely to be impacted by the low recall rate.
(discontinuers and dropouts) could strongly pull the outcome towards The majority of the study cohort comprised a specific dental
healing or disease, according to this population’s characteristics. The school population that could differ from that treated in private practice
recall bias analysis was performed, therefore, to compare the charac- in regards to demographic characteristics or disease severity (6). Be-
teristics of the study sample and the lost-to-follow-up population. The cause the study cohort did not represent the population at large, the
TABLE 6. Logistic regression model of the outcome of initial endodontic treatment in teeth treated with preoperative radiolucency 4 to 6 years after treatment for
the pooled phases I-III. (n⫽ 209)
Predictor Odds Ratio 95% Confidence Interval p Value
Intraoperative
Technique 2.83 1.31-6.13 0.008
(0 ⫽ Schilder, 1 ⫽ alternative)
Complications 2.67 1.13-6.32 0.026
(0 ⫽ absent, 1 ⫽ present)
Bold type face highlights statistical significance.
JOE — Volume 32, Number 4, April 2006 Treatment Outcome in Endodontics 305
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