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Poisson Exercises

Tutorial Questions

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sinesiphodlongodlongo
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36 views2 pages

Poisson Exercises

Tutorial Questions

Uploaded by

sinesiphodlongodlongo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Poisson exercises

Please note: Question 1, 2 and 3 on page 65 of your Class Notes have answers/solutions already,
hence I will not be doing them here.

Question 4

Used formula
𝑒 −𝜇 𝜇 𝑥
𝑃(𝑥) =
𝑥!

a) µ = 4 per 60 years
𝑒 −4 47 0.0183 × 16384
𝑃(𝑋 = 7) = = = 0.0595
7! 5040

b) µ = 4 per 60 years
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 3) = 𝑃(3) + 𝑃(4) + 𝑃(5) + ⋯
= 1 − 𝑃(0) − 𝑃(1) − 𝑃(2)
𝑒 −4 40 𝑒 −4 41 𝑒 −4 42
=1− − −
0! 1! 2!

= 1− 0.0183- 0.0732- 0.1464


= 0.7621

Question 5

a) µ = 4 per 7 years

P (X = 7) = 0.0595 done the same way as (a) above

b) P (X≥2) = P (2) + P (3) + P (4) + P (5) +⋯


=1- P (0) – P (1)
= 1 – 0.0183 – 0.0732
= 0.9085 (note P (0) and P (1) are the same as in the previous question since µ = 4)

c) If µ = 4 per 7 years then µ = 4/7 = 0.57 per single year

𝑒 −0.57 0.571 0.5655×0.57


𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 1
= 1
= 0.322

Question 6
a) µ = 8 per 15 years
𝑒 −8 85 (0.0003)(32768)
𝑃(𝑋 = 5) = = = 0.082
5! 120
b) 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2) = 𝑃(0) + 𝑃(1) + 𝑃(2)
𝑒 −8 80 𝑒 −8 81 𝑒 −8 82
= 0!
+ 1!
+ 2!

= 0.0003+0.0024+0.0096
= 0.0123

c) If µ = 8 per 15 years then µ = 16 per 30 years

𝑒 −16 1620
𝑃(𝑋 = 20) = 20!
≅ 0.0559

This question is unlikely to be examined since it contains very big and very small numbers.
Such a probability is usually evaluated using Poisson tables, which are not covered in your
syllabus.

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