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Probt 1

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29 views2 pages

Probt 1

Uploaded by

shwilliam.26
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Test 1: Open books. Written questions must be answered legibly or typed.

Your solutions to this test are time-stamped when submitted on LMS. You are
within the 1hr 50 min allotted during class time Oct 5, except for students in
Asian time zones who will be allowed the period 7 - 8:50 pm Eastern Standard
Time on Oct 5.

No late solutions will be entertained, except by written permission from the


Dean. The full score for this exam is 20 pts divided as stated in exam. NO
questions to instructor nor TA will be allowed. By submitting this test to LMS
on Oct5 you are pledging that this is your own work and you have had only 1
hr 50 min to work on it.

(I) 6 Multiple choice questions worth 2 pts each where you answer YES or
NO:

(i) In ten trials of a fair coin, is the probability of {five heads, 5 tails} equal
1/2 ?

(ii) In ten trials of a fair coin, is the probability of {3 heads, 7 tails} greater
than the probabiliy of {3 tails, 7 heads} ?

(iii) Is the probability that the last (10th) toss comes up head, equal to 3/4?

(iv) Is the size (cardinality) of the universal set of all outcomes in ten tosses
of a fair coin, equal to 25 ?

(v) Is P (A [ B) = P (A) + P (B) for all A, B?

(vi) In the alphabet of 26 letters, used randomly to form words, is the prob-
ability of a four letter word starting with the letter ”s” equal to 1/26 ?

(II) 3 Word problems

(i) (4 pts) The first question concern three cards in a hat, one is blue on
both sides, the second is red on both sides, and the third card has one side blue
and the other red. The experimental procedure of (1) drawing a card at random
from hat and choosing one side to show, and (2) showing side 2. 红
(a) Calculate the probability of the event {side 2 is red}
红蓝 《 蓝蓝
专
(b) Calculate the probability of the event { both sides are blue}
为
(c) Calculate the probability of the event {Red side first followed by Blue
side}

RA 913) : 吣 冰㢫 )
1
⼆
去 。 与
ǜ
p 以3 ) :
蔡 ⼆
⾔⾔
(d) Calculate the conditional probability that {side 2 is Blue} given the event
{side 1 is Red}

(ii) (2 pts) Without replacement in an urn with 10 balls, 5 of which is Red


and the others Blue, randoml;y draw balls; for instance, the notation for first
three balls drawn being Blue, Blue and Red, is {BBRx..x}

(a) What is the universal set of all outcomes?


汹 '
n =
pn
y
(b) Prove that the following two events are NOT independent: A ={RBx...x}
⼀⼀
and {BRx....x}.
A 1 13 = 4 阳吲 ⽜ 。 仙炒 ⼲ 0
(iii) (2 pts) In consecutive independent coin tosses with a fair coin, prove
the following:

(a) P rob({xxHT x......}|{T Hx.....}) = P rob({T Hx.....}|{xxHT x......})

(b) Prob(≠| ¡) = 1

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