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25
20
Term to Maturity
15
10
0
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96
Quotation Date
0.18
Unsmoothed Fama-Bliss 0.18
Smoothed Fama-Bliss
0.16 0.16
0.14 0.14
0.12 0.12
WMAE
0.10 0.10
0.08 0.08
0.06 0.06
0.04 0.04
0.02 0.02
0.00 0.00
70 75 80 85 90 95 70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date Quote Date
0.18
McCulloch Cubic Spline 0.18
Extended Nelson-Siegel
0.16 0.16
0.14 0.14
0.12 0.12
WMAE
0.10 0.10
0.08 0.08
0.06 0.06
0.04 0.04
0.02 0.02
0.00 0.00
70 75 80 85 90 95 70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date Quote Date
0.60
Fisher, et al. Cubic Spline
0.50
0.40
WMAE
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date
q 7KH /RQJ 'DWD 6HW ZDV DOWHUQDWHO\ GLYLGHG LQWR HVWLPDWLRQ DQG KROGRXW VXEVDPSOHV
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100
Unsmoothed Fama-Bliss 100
Smoothed Fama-Bliss
80 80
Hit Rate (Percent)
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
70 75 80 85 90 95 70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date Quote Date
100
McCulloch Cubic Spline 100
Extended Nelson-Siegel
80 80
Hit Rate (Percent)
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
70 75 80 85 90 95 70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date Quote Date
100
Fisher, et al. Cubic Spline
80
Hit Rate (Percent)
60
40
20
0
70 75 80 85 90 95
Quote Date
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