Family Background, School Choice, and Students' Academic Performance: Evidence From Sri Lanka
Family Background, School Choice, and Students' Academic Performance: Evidence From Sri Lanka
Harsha Aturupane
Tomokazu Nomura
Mari Shojo
September 2018
Discussion Paper No.1811
KOBE UNIVERSITY
Tomokazu Nomura 2
Osaka University of Economics and Kobe University
Mari Shojo 3
The World Bank
Abstract
Sri Lanka has made great strides in increasing access to schooling. Despite this past progress, Sri Lankan
students still display weak academic performance. The key challenge now is to enhance the quality of education
and improve student academic performance. This paper analyzes the data from National Assessment of
Achievement for grade 8 students administered by the National Education Research and Evaluation Centre
(NEREC). We investigate how the student- and school-level factors are related to the scores of achievement
tests in mathematics, science and English. We also analyze the factors related to school choice and how the
school choice affects the students’ academic achievement. The results of the study suggest that there is large
dispersion of test scores both between and within the schools. Regarding within-school dispersion, Type 1AB
schools outperforms the other types of schools. It is also shown that the students who come from a family with
high socioeconomic status are more likely to attend Type 1AB school. Family backgrounds also explains a
significant part of dispersion of academic achievement within a school. However, the result does not clearly
show the observable characteristics of the teachers and schools are significantly correlated with the students’
academic achievement.
1
We are grateful to Sri Lanka Ministry of Education and National Education Research and Evaluation Centre at the
University of Colombo for extensive collaboration with and support to us. We thank the World Bank staff who also
supported this study, in particular Amit Dar, Keiko Miwa, Upul Sonnadara, Visaka Dissanayake, Pius Fernando, Alejandro
Welch and Anita Lakshmi Fernando. Financial support for the study from the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs
and Trade (DFAT) and the World Bank is gratefully acknowledged. Its findings and conclusions are the authors’ alone, and
do not represent the World Bank.
2
Nomura is grateful to Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University for accepting him as a research fellow and
providing research resources.
3
Correspondence: Mari Shojo, Education Global Practice, The World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington DC
20433, USA; Email: [email protected].
1
1 Introduction
Sri Lanka has made a great deal of effort to improve its education system and achieve education goals such as
education Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). As a result, net primary school enrollment ratio has reached
99 percent, while the secondary school enrollment ratio also improved from 78 percent in 2006 to 84 percent in
2012. Gender parity is also high in primary and junior secondary education enrollment (World Bank 2015).
Despite these achievements, however, some recent reports show that Sri Lankan students still display weak
academic performance when compared to their international peers (World Bank 2012).
There is broad agreement, backed by international research findings, that education is a powerful driver of
improved quality of skills, and is one of the significant instruments for increased individual earnings, labor
productivity and economic growth. High-quality education (that is, fostering high learning achievement)
enhances people’s ability to control their fertility rate and family health. It also facilitates gender equality, peace,
and stability (World Bank 2011b; UNESCO 2014). However, recent studies suggest that the expansion of
enrollment is not necessarily associated with the improvement of human capital quality in many developing
countries (Hanushek and Woessmann, 2007, 2012).
It is common understanding that the cognitive skills measured by international achievement tests (e.g. PISA 4
and TIMMS 5) work as good proxies for the quality of human capital, and are the keys for the economic growth
(E. A. Hanushek & Kimko, 2000). Thus, the nature of quality of education and its association with good learning
outcomes have been of great interest to educators and researchers in recent decades.
Learning is a product of the combination of formal schooling and factors related to students’ families,
communities, and peers (Rothstein 2000). Numerous attempts have been made by researchers to investigate the
determinants of student achievement; however, consensus has yet to be achieved concerning factors influencing
student academic performance, and the findings of these numerous studies are mixed and inconclusive. For
instance, Coleman et al. (1966) asserted the importance of family characteristics to explain variation in student
achievement and the relatively small impact of school-level characteristics on student achievement. This
“Coleman Report” generated a flurry of research and debate on student achievement. Based on data from both
developed and developing countries, Heyneman and Loxley (1983) concluded that in low income countries, the
impact of school characteristics on student achievement is comparatively greater than in higher income countries.
Student-level characteristics that have been identified in the literature as potentially contributing to
difference in student achievement include gender, socioeconomic status, family size, parental education level,
attendance at private lessons/tuition, self-confidence, presence of books at home, and doing homework at home.
School-level characteristics such as school resources, school type, location, class size, teachers’ years of
experience, and teachers’ training were also found to influence student achievement. While some research has
shown that both student- and school-level factors have a strong impact on student performance, some studies
have found further that some specific factors have less impact or a negative impact (for literature review, see
4
Programme for International Student Assessment.
5
Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study.
2
for instance, Hanushek 1995; Glewwe et al. 2011). Debates continue regarding factors influencing student
performance in general.
There has been only few studies which examined factors associated with the learning achievements of Sri
Lankan students so far. Aturupane et al. (2013), investigating the determinants of academic performance as
measured by achievement tests conducted in 2004 for grade 4 students, claimed that among student-level
variables, educated parents, better nutrition, frequent attendance, enrollment in private tutoring classes, access
to exercise books, electric lighting at home, and children’s books at home positively influence the academic
performance of the students. Among school-level variables, principals’ and teachers’ years of experience,
collaboration with other schools in a “school family,” and frequent meetings between parents and teachers have
positive impacts on the test scores. However, since then there has been no analysis of the determinants of
students’ performance in Sri Lanka.
In the present study, we examine the determinants of academic performance among grade 8 students using
recent data from the Sri Lankan National Assessment of Achievement conducted in 2012. This was the first
assessment that used new instruments to test students’ cognitive skills in ways keeping with the new curriculum
and the only one in recent years which collected detailed information on characteristics of students, their families,
classrooms, teachers, principals, and schools in general. The 2012 National Assessment was intended to serve
as a baseline for monitoring the level and distribution of learning outcomes over time. The findings have wide
implications for future programs and policies to enhance the quality of education and improve learning outcomes
in Sri Lanka.
This paper investigates student and school factors affecting learning outcomes for Mathematics, Science
and English represented by the scores of achievement test among grade 8 students (aged 12-13) in Sri Lanka. It
also analyzes the factors related to school choice and how the school choice affects the students’ performance.
It contributes unique and important information to understanding these factors, as it is still unclear what
characteristics of students and schools affect student performance at the secondary education in Sri Lanka.
The reminder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides general information about public
education in Sri Lanka. Section 3 describes the data we use in the empirical analysis and presents the descriptive
features of the test score distributions. Section 4 examines the relation between students’ family background
and school choice, and estimates the treatment effects of attending a Type 1AB school (see Section 2 for school
type) on learning outcomes. Section 5 analyzes the association between characteristics of students, and schools
and students’ test scores. Section 6 discusses the nature and implications of the relations between the
student/teacher/school characteristics and the test scores and concludes the paper.
After the end of a long period of civil conflict in 2009 with the government’s defeat of the Liberation Tigers
of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) and with Sri Lanka’s concurrent overcoming of the effects global recession that began
in 2008, the national economy has grown at an average of over 7 percent annually over the past several years.
3
The country is now classified as a lower middle income country, with per capita gross national income (GNI)
of US$3,550 in 2015, and outperformed nearby country comparators on most of the 2015 MDGs; in general,
human development indicators are impressive by regional and lower middle income standards.
The education system in Sri Lanka is organized into three cycles: primary education (grades 1–5), junior
secondary education (grades 6–9), and senior secondary education (grades 10–13). Primary schooling
commences at age 5 or 6 years. The net enrollment rate in primary education for both boys and girls is 99 percent,
and at junior secondary level, 85 percent for boys and 84 percent for girls. There is thus a high degree of gender
parity at these levels, which, however, declines somewhat at senior secondary level, with 67 percent of boys
and 72 percent of girls. 6
The government (public) school system in Sri Lanka is well developed and widely accessible around the
county. Private schools are rare, accounting for less than 5 percent of total enrollment. Government schools are
classified into four functional types that cover different grades and offer different curriculum streams: Type
1AB, Type 1C, Type 2, and Type 3: (a) Type 1AB schools (9 percent of total), which either cover the full primary
and secondary cycle (grades 1–13) or secondary education alone (grades 6–13) and offer all three curriculum
streams for the General Certificate of Examination Advanced Level (GCE A/L) courses (arts, commerce, and
science); (b) Type 1C schools (19 percent of total), which also span grades 1–13 or 6–13 but offer only GCE A-
level two streams (arts and commerce); (c) Type 2 schools (37 percent of total ), which offer classes only up to
grade 11 and prepare students for GCE O-level examinations; and (d) Type 3 schools (35 percent of total),
which go up only to grade 5 or 8. While most 1AB schools are in cities and towns, Types 1C and 2 are mainly
in semi-urban and rural areas and Type 3 are mostly in rural areas. Since 1985, some 1AB schools have been
designated “National” schools, funded and administered by the national Ministry of Education. The rest are
“Provincial” schools, run by provincial councils.
The Government announces criteria for grade 1 admissions every year. Parents/legal guardians who expect
to admit their children to grade one in schools should forward the relevant applications to the principals of
schools. Applications could be made to more than one school. When the number of applicants received exceeds
the number of students that could be accommodated in a certain school, the students will be called for an
interview. Although admission to grade 1 is based, in principle, on residence, there is other marking criteria (e.g.
children of parents who are past pupils of the school, siblings of students already studying in the school).
At the end of primary education, the majority of children sit the grade 5 scholarship examination, which was
originally intended to be a basis for allocation of financial support for able but poor students and to facilitate
access to high-quality schools for them. The scholarship examination is supposed to widen the school choice of
students and increases the competition. Some research, however, indicates that the examination is now
predominantly used by parents as a tool to gain entry for their children into popular national schools in urban
areas (e.g., Little, Aturupane and Shojo 2013).
6
There are a few possible explanations for the lower survival rates for boys than for girls. First, some boys drop out of
school and take up various jobs involving physical labor (World Bank 2011a). Another reason could be that some
households appear to invest additional resources in girls’ education (Himaz 2010).
4
There are several demand- and supply-side policies in effect in Sri Lanka to promote school enrollment and
attendance. Education is provided free of tuition costs in all government schools. Education up to grade 11 is
compulsory, and all students from grades 1 to 11 receive free textbooks and uniforms. Students are entitled to
subsidized transport in buses and trains. Free school meals are provided for primary students in disadvantaged
areas. Supply-side policies complementing and supplementing the above-mentioned demand-side policies to
promote participation and retention in schools include the existence of a comprehensive network of primary and
secondary schools, with access to primary education available within two kilometers from home and to
secondary education within five kilometers from home for all children. There is automatic progression through
the education system up to grade 11. Special education programs are available for children with special
education needs, and non-formal education programs are also available for adolescents who either never
enrolled in school or dropped out at a young age (World Bank 2011a).
3 Data
This study uses the 2012 National Assessment of Achievement for grade 8 students, funded by the national
Ministry of Education and administered by the National Education Research and Evaluation Centre (NEREC)
at the University of Colombo. To assess the achievement level of students completing grade 8, NEREC
constructed tests in mathematics, science and English based on the competency-based curriculum introduced
nationwide in 2009. The National Assessment covered the entire country; a multi-stage sampling approach was
used to enable analysis by province, type of school, student gender, and linguistic medium of instruction
(Sinhala or Tamil). In the first stage, sample schools were selected within strata with probability proportional to
size, without replacements. In the second stage, a group of students were selected from the sampled schools
using a cluster sampling approach. In sample selection, the province was taken as the main stratum (explicit
stratum). The final sample consisted of 12,821 grade 8 students in 438 public schools. In addition to the tests,
information on characteristics of students, their families, classrooms, teachers, principals, and the schools in
general was also collected through questionnaires administered to students, parents/guardians, teachers, and
principals. Data collected through achievement tests were analyzed on a national and provincial basis, and were
weighted in order to minimize the effect of the discrepancy between the expected and the achieved sample
(NEREC 2013).
An overview of our dataset is presented in Tables 1 and 2. Table 1 shows representative statistics for test
scores in mathematics, science, and English, while Table 2 provides descriptive statistics for the student
variables, in panel (a), teacher and principal variables, in panel (b), and school characteristics, in panel (c). Test
scores are measured out of 100 points. The outcome variables used for this study were student test scores in
mathematics, science, and English. Based on both theoretical considerations and findings from previous
empirical studies, several student- and school-level variables were selected to determine their associations with
student learning achievement. At the student level, we include the gender of the student, number of siblings,
distance from home to school, whether the student has an undisturbed learning environment at home, whether
5
the student uses English for communication at home, days absent from school over a two-month period, and
time utilization for studying at home. We also include the family backgrounds of the students: educational
attainment of the parents, family income, number of books available for the student to read at home, and tuition
fees spent on the student. The school-level variables consist of characteristics of the teacher of each subject, the
principal of the school, and the school as an institution. The information considered on the teachers includes
gender, years of experience as a teacher, educational attainment, and whether they provide remedial teaching.
The information on the principal includes gender, years of experience as a principal, and educational attainment.
The school characteristics include location, school type, whether the school is managed by the national
government or a provincial government, linguistic medium of instruction, index of school facilities 7, number of
students in the class, number of students in grade 8 in the school, proportion of students who have had their
property stolen in the classroom, and proportion of students who have experienced violence in the classroom.
Before performing empirical analysis, we will present descriptive features of the test score distributions.
Figure 1 shows the estimated kernel densities of test scores, both for individual students and school averages,
in each subject―mathematics, science, and English. Figure 1 considered together with Table 1 suggests that the
academic performance of students in Sri Lanka as a whole is quite poor 8. Mean scores are higher than the
medians for all three subjects, and the distributions are considerably skewed to the right. The distributions of
school average scores are similar in shape to the distributions of scores for individual students, suggesting that
a substantial proportion of test score variance is due to variation between the schools.
Among three focal subjects, achievement in English is particularly poor, with a mode of distribution of just
a little over 20 points. Since the questions are mostly multiple-choice, this means that the majority of students
achieved no more than the score that could be got by randomly choosing the answers. Mathematics and science
show slightly better scores, which are also less skewed and show considerably higher densities in the right tails
of the distributions.
7
The questionnaire for the principals includes a question about the availability of various school facilities and
materials (10 types of teaching aids, 5 additional facilities, and 21 physical facilities). Principals were asked to choose
answers for each facility from the following options. 1: adequate in number and all in good condition and functioning; 2:
adequate in number but not all in good condition/functioning; 3: not adequate and not all functioning; 4: not available. We
constructed an index of school facilities for each school by counting facilities for which the principal chose 1 or 2.
8 Although the scores are not internationally comparable, the problems are standard and the scores can be considered
as indicating the level of the understanding as proportions of required comprehension.
6
It is worth noting that the distributions of test scores show multiple modes, especially for mathematics and
English. The distribution of test scores in mathematics seems to have peaks at around 60–80 points and at around
40 points. The distribution of test scores in English has a peak at around 90 points and another peak at around
20 points. The existence of multiple modes in the distributions implies that the samples possibly represent
multiple distinct populations.
The correlation between the test score of each subject is also high; the students who score high in a subject
tend to perform well in the other subjects as well. The coefficients of correlation are 0.80 for between the scores
of mathematics and science, 0.72 for between mathematics and English, and 0.66 for between science and
English. Figure 2 shows the estimated joint kernel densities for each pair of subjects. It is clear that the densities
along the diagonal line are high in joint distribution of the scores of mathematics and science. The correlations
between English and other two subjects are not that clear. The distribution of English score is polarized as seen
in Figure 1, and no strong correlations between the English score and the scores of other two subjects are
observed for the group performing less in English. Nevertheless, the scores of mathematics and science are very
high for the group performing well in English. It might suggest that the students in less performing group
randomly choose the answers and the variation of the English score in such group are not caused by the
differences of cognitive skills.
To investigate the source of this multimodality, we divided the whole sample into sub-samples according to
characteristics of school (province, location, type of school, whether the school is managed by the national or
provincial government, and linguistic medium of instruction). Figure 2 shows the distributions of test score for
the sub-samples: (a) location; (b) school type; (c) school management; and (d) linguistic medium of instruction.
To test differences in means of scores by school characteristics, we regressed the test scores on the dummy
variables for province, location, type of school, national or provincial government management, and linguistic
medium of instruction.
Table 3 presents the result of OLS regression for each subject. In Panels (a), (b) and (c) of Column (1) in
Table 3, we find some mean differences in test scores among provinces. The students in the Western and
Southern provinces perform relatively well for all three subjects, while, the students in the Eastern, Northern,
North Central and Uva provinces perform relatively poorly. However, the dispersion of test scores among the
provinces is not very large. Mean scores diverge significantly from the Western province, which is the best-
performing province, only in North Central and Uva for mathematics, Northern and Uva for science, and Eastern,
Northern and North Central for English.
7
[Table 3 is inserted around here]
In Panels (a), (b) and (c) of Column (2) in Table 3, we see that the dispersion of student achievement is larger
by location than by province. In our dataset, schools are categorized into three groups according to location:
municipal council, urban council, and Pradeshiya Sabha (divisional councils). The results suggest that the
schools located in areas administered by municipal councils have higher scores in all three subjects than in those
administered by urban councils or Pradeshiya Sabha. For all three subjects, schools in urban councils perform
slightly worse than schools in municipal councils—indeed, the difference is not statistically significant for
mathematics—whereas schools in Pradeshiya Sabha perform significantly worse than schools in municipal or
urban councils: Average test scores in Pradeshiya Sabha are about 16 points less than those in municipal
councils for all three subjects.
Going back to Figure 2, Panel (a) shows estimated kernel densities of test score distributions by location of
school for each subject. The distributions are clearly multimodal in municipal and urban councils, for all three
subjects. This suggests that the academic achievements of students in municipal and urban councils are polarized
into two groups. On the one hand, there are a considerable number of students in municipal and urban councils
who perform quite well; on the other hand, there is also a low-performing group in municipal and urban councils
that shows a similar peak to the one in Pradeshiya Sabha.
As seen in Panels (a), (b) and (c) of Column (3) in Table 3, the largest dispersion of student achievement is
the one by school types. As discussed earlier, junior secondary schools in Sri Lanka are categorized into three
types: Type 1AB, Type 1C, and Type 2. Mean scores in Type 1C and Type 2 schools are roughly 20 points lower
than those in Type 1AB schools for all three subjects. Panel (b) of Figure 2 shows estimated kernel densities of
test score distributions by school type. The distributions in Type 1C and Type 2 schools are similar and not so
skewed, although performance is poor as a whole, whereas the distributions of Type 1AB schools are
significantly different from the other types, with higher mean scores and wider-spread distributions. In
mathematics, the mode of the distribution in Type 1AB schools is around 80 points and the distribution is skewed
to the left, suggesting that the majority of the students in Type 1AB schools perform very well in mathematics.
However, the density is also high around the modes of the distributions for the other two types of school,
suggesting that a substantial minority of students in Type 1AB schools perform only as well as the majority in
the other types of schools. In science and English, however, students in Type 1AB schools perform much better
than those in the other types of schools.
Another important consideration is whether the school is managed by the national government or the
provincial government. Column (4) of Table 3 shows that the mean scores in national schools are 20 points
higher than those in provincial schools for all subjects. Panel (c) of Figure 2 shows estimated kernel densities
of test score distributions by school administration type. Since most of the national schools are Type 1AB, this
figure looks at the difference between national and provincial schools among Type 1AB schools only; a large
difference is found even among these schools.
8
Finally, we compare academic performance by linguistic medium of instruction, Sinhala and Tamil.
Column (5) of Table 3 shows that mean scores for education in Tamil are 4–7 points lower across subjects. This
is a statistically significant difference, but not a very large one. As can be seen in panel (d) of Figure 2, the
distributions of test scores are similar between Sinhala and Tamil, for all subjects.
We now consider all dummy variables together (see Column (6) of Table 3). After controlling for other
factors, significant effects remain for school type, location of Pradeshiya Sabha, and school management
(national or provincial), although the coefficients have attenuated. On the other hand, the coefficients for
linguistic medium of education and province turn out to be insignificant.
Figure 4 shows breakdown of students into school types by province and location. The number of students
in Type 1AB schools can be seen to vary by province and location, suggesting that a substantial part of the
differences in test scores among provinces and locations can be explained by school type.
As discussed in the previous section, the academic performance of the students varies by school type:
Type 1AB schools perform much better than the other types. If these differences come from the quality of
education provided by schools, parents who care about children’s education might want to send their children
to Type 1AB schools (which are indeed apparently known as better schools). In this section, we analyze the
relationship between the family backgrounds of students and their (families’) school choices. If we find that
only parents who have better educational backgrounds or higher income send their children to better schools,
this will imply that there is very limited opportunity to access good education for students with low
socioeconomic status, a situation of concern that will require specific policy interventions.
We employ the probit model to analyze factors related to school choice. Let 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖 be a dummy variable
that takes the value of 1 if the student 𝑖𝑖 is in a Type 1AB school, and 0 otherwise. The model is specified as
the following equation.
where 𝐱𝐱 𝑖𝑖 is the vector of family background variables of student 𝑖𝑖 , Φ() is the cumulative distribution
function of the standard normal distribution, 𝛄𝛄 is the vector of parameters to be estimated, and 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 is the error
term.
Theoretically, the explanatory variables of school choice should represent the family background
characteristics of the students at the time they enter school. Since these students are in grade 8, the school choice
was made eight years before the survey. However, most of the variables used here might be considered not to
change frequently, and to be relatively persistent. For example, the educational attainment of the parents will
9
not change frequently, and although family income and the other variables could change, their present value
should be closely correlated with their value at the time school choice was made. Thus, we assume that the
present values of these variables work as a reasonable proxy for their values at time of school choice.
The results of the estimation for equation (1) are shown in Table 4. The explanatory variables used are gender
of the student, mother’s educational attainment, father’s educational attainment, family income, number of
books available for the student to read at home, amount of tuition fees spent on the student, and number of
siblings the student has. Geometrical conditions (province and location) are also controlled for.
The results suggest that the family backgrounds of the children indeed affect their school choice. Students
whose parents have higher educational background, particularly GCE O/L level and higher, are more likely to
attend Type 1AB schools. It is noteworthy that the coefficient for father’s education is larger than that for the
mother.
Family income also affects school choice, even after controlling for the parents’ education. Students from
families with higher income are more likely to be in Type 1AB schools than other students.
The number of books available to the student at home and the amount of tuition fees spent on the student
both also have significant effects. These are considered to be proxies for how much attention and importance
are given by parents to children’s education, implying that those who pay more attention to the education of
their child have a greater tendency to send their child to Type 1AB schools.
The number of siblings has a negative effect on choice of Type 1AB schools. This is likely because resources
spent on a child decrease when the family has many children. These results suggest that the opportunity to
acquire a good education is constrained by the resource available for each child.
The most important question here is whether school choice affects the student’s academic performance.
Since the school choice is not random, the difference in test scores between students in Type 1AB schools and
in other schools cannot be interpreted as a treatment effect. The family backgrounds of the students significantly
affect the school choice, and if such family backgrounds also influence the academic achievement of the students,
the observed difference of the test scores between school types is spurious. Thus, we apply the propensity score
matching method, which estimates the average treatment effect of attending a Type 1AB school by comparing
test scores of students with the similar propensity scores across school types.
The estimated average treatment effect for each subject is reported in Table 5. It is suggested that attending
a Type 1AB school makes students’ test scores roughly 10 points higher than attending other types of school.
10
5 Factors affecting test scores
𝑀𝑀
𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝛼𝛼 𝑀𝑀 + 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗𝑀𝑀 + 𝐳𝐳𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑀𝑀 𝑀𝑀
𝛃𝛃1 + 𝐪𝐪𝑀𝑀 𝑀𝑀 𝑀𝑀
𝑗𝑗 𝛃𝛃2 + 𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 , (2)
𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑆𝑆 = 𝛼𝛼 𝑆𝑆 + 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗𝑆𝑆 𝑆𝑆 𝑆𝑆
+ 𝐳𝐳𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝛃𝛃1 + 𝐪𝐪𝑗𝑗𝑆𝑆 𝛃𝛃2𝑆𝑆 + 𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝑆𝑆
, (3)
𝐸𝐸
𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝛼𝛼 𝐸𝐸 + 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗𝐸𝐸 𝐸𝐸 𝐸𝐸
+ 𝐳𝐳𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝛃𝛃1 + 𝐪𝐪𝐸𝐸𝑗𝑗 𝛃𝛃𝐸𝐸2 + 𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝐸𝐸
, (4)
where superscript M, S, E represents mathematics, science and English respectively. 𝑦𝑦𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 represents the test
score of student 𝑖𝑖 in school 𝑗𝑗, 𝛼𝛼 is an intercept, 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 is the school-specific effect of school 𝑗𝑗, 𝐳𝐳𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 is the
vector of the characteristics of student 𝑖𝑖 in school 𝑗𝑗, 𝐪𝐪𝑗𝑗 is the vector of the characteristics of school 𝑗𝑗, 𝑢𝑢𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
is the idiosyncratic error term, and 𝛃𝛃1 , 𝛃𝛃2 are the vectors of parameters we intend to estimate.
The method employed to estimate the parameters depends on the assumption regarding the school-specific
effect, 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 . If we assume that 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 is non-random in the sense that it is correlated with the explanatory variables,
we will employ the fixed-effect model, whereas if we assume that 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 is random in the sense that it is not
correlated with the explanatory variables, we can employ the random-effect model.
Using the fixed-effect model, we can estimate the effects of the characteristics of the students and their
families on the test scores, controlling for the effects of the school each individual belongs to. The advantage of
using the fixed-effect model is that it can control for any school characteristics affecting the student learning
performance, including unobservable ones. However, we are not able to include school-level variables using the
fixed-effect model, because the effect of school characteristics cannot be identified from 𝜃𝜃𝑗𝑗 by this model.
To estimate the effect of school characteristics, we regress the average scores of each school on the school-
level variables, controlling for the mean values of student-level variables employed in the fixed-effect model.
We are able to estimate the effect of student-level and school-level variables simultaneously by the random-
effect model. However, the assumption of random-effect model seems to be difficult to be satisfied. We employ
the random-effect model without considering the validity of the assumption, because we believe that the results
are anyway informative.
As we have seen in Figure 2, test scores are highly correlated between the subjects. Thus, it is natural to
consider that the error terms in equation (2), (3) and (4) are also correlated. Taking the correlation of the error
terms into account, we have employed the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) and estimate equation (2), (3)
and (4) simultaneously. Although estimated correlation of the error terms is high, the results of regression are
not very different from the that obtained by estimating the equations separately. Thus we are not reporting the
results of SUR 9.
9
The detail results are available upon the request.
11
5.2 Fixed-effect model
We now estimate the fixed-effect model. As discussed in the previous subsection, this model estimates the
association of student-level variables with intra-school variation in learning performance. The variables we use
to represent the characteristics of the student are gender, number of siblings, distance from home to school,
whether the student has an undisturbed learning environment at home, whether the student uses English for
communication at home, number of days absent from school, educational attainment of the parents, family
income, number of books available for the student’s reading at home, and amount of private tuition fees spent
on the student.
In addition, information about the student’s amount of time spent learning at home—on homework,
receiving additional private instruction, self-study, etc.—is available for analysis. It should be noted, however,
that using such information reduces the sample size by more than 30 percent due to the low response rate on
these questions. Thus we estimate the model without information on the student’s time learning at home (model
1), and with it (model 2).
Table 6 shows the results for the fixed-effect estimation. In Sri Lanka, girls outperform boys on all three
subjects, and the differences are statistically significant when we do not control for the student’s time spent
learning at home. However once time spent learning at home is controlled for, the differences are not significant.
This suggests that the girls study at home more than the boys do, and this is what explains differences in
academic performance by gender.
Number of siblings correlates negatively with academic performance for all three subjects. We estimated the
coefficients of the number of elder siblings and the number of younger siblings separately, and found that the
coefficients of the younger siblings are larger than those of the elder siblings. The coefficients are even larger
in model 2, which controls for the student’s time used for learning at home, than in model 1, suggesting that
students who have many siblings perform worse for some other reason than because they do not have enough
time to study at home.
Distance from home to school does not correlate with scores in mathematics and science, but it does
correlate with scores in English. The negative coefficients of home distance in English may suggest that students
living in remote areas do not have many opportunities to use English and do not perform well in English.
Students who have an undisturbed learning environment at home perform significantly better. The effect is
relatively large. Thus, it seems important to provide students with an undisturbed learning environment at home
in order to improve their academic performance.
Students who speak English at home perform better not only in English but also in mathematics and science.
This may reflect the generally high socioeconomic status of families using English, beyond what is already
captured by family income, parental education, and so on.
12
The number of days absent from school does not decrease scores, and even increases them in some models.
We cannot give a reasonable explanation for this.
The coefficients of family income are mostly statistically insignificant. This is because family income is
closely correlated to parents’ education; if we exclude the parents’ education, the coefficients of family income
variables became significant. Nevertheless, students from families with very high incomes perform well even
after controlling for parents’ education.
The coefficients of parents’ educational attainment are mostly significant, even after controlling for income.
Students whose parents have higher educational background are more likely to perform well.
The number of books available to the student at home and the amount of private tuition fees spent on the
student both have significant coefficients, as expected. These variables can be viewed as measuring the
socioeconomic status of the family and how much the parents care about their children’s education. The results
suggest that the amount of resource spent on education by parents plays an important role in children’s academic
performance.
The time spent on homework also significantly affects students’ academic performance. Students who spend
15 to 30 minutes on homework daily perform better than who spend no time on homework, and students who
spend 30 minutes to 1 hour perform even better. However, students who spend more than 1 hour on homework
perform only as well as those who spend 15–30 minutes. This suggests that efficient time use on homework is
important for the better academic performance. The coefficients are relatively large in science and mathematics,
but small in English.
The time spent on private tuition has a significant effect only if it is more than 1 hour. Combined with the
insignificant coefficient for days of absence from school and the significant coefficient of tuition fees, this result
suggests that private tuition works as a supplement to public school and plays an important role in the academic
performance of the students. It should be also noted that time spent on self-learning has a significant effect only
in science.
13
[Table 7 is inserted around here]
In model 2, we include school-level variables: index of school facilities, number of students in the classroom,
number of students in grade 8 in the school, proportion of students who have ever had their property stolen in
the classroom, and proportion of students who had ever experienced violence in the classroom. Including school
characteristics does not change the coefficients of the student-level variables much, although some coefficients
are attenuated; the signs of the coefficients of the school-level variables are mostly as expected, and they are
statistically significant. However, the index of school facilities is significant only in science, plausibly because
studying science requires more facilities than studying mathematics or English. Finally, the coefficients of
number of students in the classroom and number of students in grade 8 are somehow mixed. Because class size
and the school size could be endogenous, we cannot interpret these coefficients simply. Regardless, overall,
stealing and violence in the classroom correlate negatively with academic performance, as expected.
In model 3, we add the characteristics of the teachers of each subject and the principal of the school. Most
coefficients are not significant. This may suggest that the characteristics of teachers and principal are not
associated with student learning performance. s. The insignificance of the coefficients here could possibly have
several causes. First, these students are in grade 8 and would have been taught by many teachers in their school
careers so far. Thus, the characteristics of their current teachers will carry less weight for their current academic
performance. Second, teachers and principals are not randomly assigned. For example, students who do not
perform well may possibly be assigned to good teachers, and principals who have got a good reputation may be
sent to schools with low learning performance. Such endogeneity might affect the results. To identify the effect
of the teacher precisely, we need information about all teachers who have taught the student. Although we have
information on average characteristics of the teachers in the school (education attainment, qualification,
attendance, attitude, and so on) from the principal questionnaire, the response rate was low and the measurement
errors are problematically large. Thus, we omitted these from the analysis.
Table 8 shows the results of mixed-effect regressions. We estimated three models for each subject, with the
underlying assumption is that school-specific effects are not correlated with the explanatory variables. The
results are mostly consistent with those of the fixed-effect model and regression on school means (Table 6 and
Table 7). However, the teacher and school characteristics are not significantly correlated with the test scores.
We discuss the results further in the conclusion.
6 Conclusion
In this paper, we examined students’ family background, school choice, and academic performance. The
findings can be summarized as follows. First, there is a large difference in test scores between Type 1AB schools
14
and other types of schools. Students from families with high socioeconomic status are more likely to be in Type
1AB schools, and the treatment effects of attending Type 1AB school on academic performance are large. These
results suggest that for students of low socioeconomic status, the opportunity to achieve better academic
performance is limited. Second, the fixed-model results suggest that the socioeconomic status of the student’s
family is also closely correlated to students’ test scores. In contrast, there is no clear evidence that teacher and
school characteristics other than type of school are associated with academic performance.
It is worth discussing why teacher and school characteristics are not associated with academic performance.
If differences in academic performance between Type 1AB and the other schools are due to differences in the
quality in education provided, the characteristics of the schools should also differ in consistent and significant
ways. However, no clear effects of teacher and school characteristics on students’ academic performance were
observable in the data, especially given the issue of measurement error mentioned above. If teachers are
allocated in light of characteristics that are unobservable in the present research, it may be these qualities that
correlate with the academic performance of the students, remaining uncaptured by the data.
It is also important to be aware of the limitations of our dataset. Although the present survey is well designed
to assess academic performance, the measurement error is quite large. Many responses are inconsistent with one
another, which may attenuate the regression coefficients. Aturupane et al. (2013) pointed out the problem of
measurement error in the NEREC test score data from 2002. They argued that the teacher and school variables
in particular contain inconsistent and missing values because teachers and principals completed the
questionnaire without any assistance. Aturupane et al. (2013) addressed this problem using an additional dataset
collected by National Education Commission (NEC), providing more detailed information for a random
subsample of the NEREC respondents. Since the NEC survey was conducted by trained interviewers, the
collected information should be more accurate. Aturupane et al. (2013) used teacher and school variables from
the NEC, but most of them did not turn out to be significant. Therefore, the differences between Type 1AB
schools and other types of schools remain mostly unobservable and are not captured by the survey.
In addition, since the data were obtained by the survey at specific point in time and are therefore not
experimentally sound, the coefficients estimated in the regression models might not be interpreted as causal
effects on the test scores. However, our results at least tell us what kind of students we need to pay more attention
to in strengthening education system, that is, what kind of students are left behind. Our results suggest that
students from families with low socioeconomic status, who do not have enough educational resources at home
are the ones who tend to be left behind and to need special attention and care in their education. However, we
still need to further investigate the relevance of differences in teacher and school characteristics for difference
in academic performance between Type 1AB and other types of schools. This will be done in future research.
15
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17
Table 1. Distributions of test scores
Obs Mean Std Dev Min 10% 25% 50% 75% 90% Max
Mathematics 12,814 51.4 21.0 0.0 25.0 35.0 47.5 67.5 82.5 97.5
Science 12,874 41.9 21.4 0.0 16.0 25.0 39.0 58.0 81.0 100.0
English 12,817 40.0 23.3 0.0 16.0 22.0 32.0 56.0 80.0 100.0
Science teacher
Gender Male 0.275
Female 0.725
English teacher
Gender Male 0.254
Female 0.746
Principal
Gender Male 0.855
Female 0.145
(a) Mathematics
Gender Male -1.190 *** -0.809 -1.915 *** -1.104 * -3.641 *** -3.560 ***
(base=female) (0.404) (0.516) (0.436) (0.563) (0.418) (0.522)
Number of elder siblings -0.348 ** -0.248 -0.819 *** -0.787 *** -0.458 *** -0.468 **
(0.153) (0.203) (0.167) (0.243) (0.145) (0.195)
Number of younger siblings -0.628 *** -0.670 *** -0.816 *** -0.790 *** -0.517 *** -0.664 ***
(0.093) (0.122) (0.108) (0.131) (0.096) (0.141)
Distance from school 15 ― 30 min -0.173 -0.316 0.390 0.132 -0.584 -0.873 *
(base=less than 15 min) (0.400) (0.512) (0.420) (0.547) (0.381) (0.495)
30 min ― 1 hour 0.252 -0.127 1.227 ** 0.805 -1.023 ** -1.831 ***
(0.494) (0.612) (0.531) (0.650) (0.503) (0.635)
More than 1 hour -0.646 -0.771 -0.739 -1.029 -1.537 ** -2.364 **
(0.618) (0.812) (0.722) (0.871) (0.683) (0.935)
Home environment -3.942 *** -3.871 *** -5.021 *** -3.877 *** -2.797 *** -2.079 ***
(0.605) (0.948) (0.617) (0.993) (0.500) (0.771)
Using English 1.074 *** 1.213 ** 0.990 ** 1.025 * 2.789 *** 3.090 ***
(0.392) (0.517) (0.411) (0.570) (0.409) (0.549)
Log(days of absense) 0.345 * -0.226 0.435 ** 0.300 0.497 *** 0.356 *
(0.183) (0.214) (0.199) (0.279) (0.163) (0.209)
Time spent on homework 15 ― 30 min 3.332 *** 3.848 *** 2.317 ***
(base=less than 15 min) (0.711) (0.769) (0.592)
30 min ― 1 hour 4.233 *** 5.111 *** 2.634 ***
(0.707) (0.788) (0.659)
More than 1 hour 2.881 *** 3.958 *** 0.546
(0.779) (0.780) (0.796)
Time spent for tuition 15 ― 30 min 0.228 1.148 0.964
(base=less than 15 min) (0.829) (0.980) (0.727)
30 min ― 1 hour 1.558 * 0.914 0.856
(0.793) (0.814) (0.683)
More than 1 hour 4.143 *** 3.336 *** 3.572 ***
(0.801) (0.803) (0.722)
Time spent for self- 15 ― 30 min 0.092 1.446 ** 0.530
learning (0.529) (0.615) (0.486)
(base=less than 15 min) 30 min ― 1 hour -0.289 1.840 *** 0.225
(0.634) (0.679) (0.585)
More than 1 hour -0.147 1.162 -0.688
(0.665) (0.801) (0.690)
Family income Rs.10,001― 0.476 -0.195 0.266 -0.180 0.252 -0.079
(base = < Rs.10,000) Rs.20,000 (0.363) (0.491) (0.399) (0.562) (0.368) (0.559)
Rs.20,001― 0.651 -0.200 1.052 * 0.715 0.946 * 0.388
Rs.30,000 (0.498) (0.615) (0.541) (0.707) (0.556) (0.695)
Rs.30,001― 0.649 -0.286 0.808 0.808 1.231 * 0.523
Rs.40,000 (0.730) (0.845) (0.810) (0.970) (0.700) (0.818)
Rs.40,001― 0.414 -0.459 2.628 ** 2.105 * 2.420 ** 1.542
Rs.50,000 (0.832) (0.947) (1.143) (1.192) (0.976) (1.071)
Rs.50,001― 1.189 0.295 2.335 ** 2.048 3.962 *** 4.240 ***
(0.888) (1.098) (1.146) (1.334) (1.005) (1.131)
Mother's education No education -2.656 *** -1.879 -1.579 ** -1.783 * -1.700 *** -1.319
(base=GCE O/L) (0.741) (1.146) (0.742) (0.998) (0.581) (0.902)
Up to Grade 5 -2.700 *** -2.722 *** -2.395 *** -2.043 *** -1.854 *** -1.804 ***
(0.558) (0.720) (0.581) (0.776) (0.440) (0.604)
Up to Grade 10 -2.187 *** -2.741 *** -2.111 *** -2.024 *** -1.720 *** -1.724 ***
(0.503) (0.622) (0.545) (0.767) (0.425) (0.573)
GCE A/L 1.301 ** 1.417 ** 1.868 *** 1.247 * 1.447 ** 1.252 *
(0.520) (0.605) (0.596) (0.737) (0.599) (0.729)
Vocational course 0.988 0.762 1.802 ** 1.878 ** 1.215 1.092
post O/L or A/L (0.710) (0.776) (0.806) (0.942) (0.785) (0.816)
Bachelor's Degree 2.576 ** 1.711 4.664 *** 3.745 * 3.686 ** 2.101
(1.224) (1.385) (1.681) (2.117) (1.558) (1.750)
Post-graduation 4.728 *** 4.149 *** 5.328 *** 4.544 ** 5.709 *** 5.113 ***
and above (1.387) (1.378) (1.606) (1.816) (1.414) (1.476)
Unkown -1.584 *** -2.010 ** -1.895 *** -1.863 ** -1.222 ** -0.793
(0.592) (0.798) (0.600) (0.854) (0.496) (0.752)
Father's education No education -1.585 * -1.647 -3.553 *** -2.593 ** -1.517 ** -0.931
(base=GCE O/L) (0.821) (1.318) (0.791) (1.143) (0.641) (0.991)
Up to Grade 5 -1.794 *** -1.544 ** -2.980 *** -2.169 *** -0.686 -0.343
(0.527) (0.744) (0.549) (0.815) (0.452) (0.580)
Up to Grade 10 -1.242 *** -1.077 * -2.178 *** -1.670 ** -0.556 -0.519
(0.469) (0.647) (0.473) (0.728) (0.468) (0.651)
GCE A/L 2.680 *** 2.397 *** 3.621 *** 4.375 *** 2.493 *** 2.395 ***
(0.514) (0.602) (0.540) (0.717) (0.612) (0.732)
Vocational course 2.466 *** 2.541 *** 1.783 ** 1.821 * 2.314 *** 1.921 **
post O/L or A/L (0.694) (0.791) (0.779) (0.982) (0.672) (0.813)
Bachelor's Degree 6.363 *** 6.638 *** 5.345 *** 7.219 *** 5.598 *** 4.521 ***
(1.197) (1.200) (1.520) (1.802) (1.383) (1.564)
Post-graduation 5.800 *** 5.910 *** 6.368 *** 6.657 *** 3.317 ** 3.460 **
and above (1.250) (1.374) (1.615) (1.734) (1.330) (1.557)
Unkown -2.124 *** -1.425 -2.917 *** -1.702 * -0.096 0.727
(0.693) (0.981) (0.760) (1.028) (0.729) (1.171)
Log (tuition fees) 4.811 *** 4.189 *** 4.276 *** 4.922 *** 2.314 *** 2.507 ***
(0.394) (0.563) (0.389) (0.598) (0.380) (0.546)
Log (number of books at home) 0.497 *** 0.512 ** 0.586 *** 0.739 *** -0.568 *** -0.554 **
any book (0.173) (0.208) (0.203) (0.264) (0.193) (0.243)
Log (number of books at home) 0.670 ** 0.476 1.135 *** 0.672 2.765 *** 2.772 ***
books for the subject (0.316) (0.363) (0.345) (0.430) (0.327) (0.392)
Constant 47.634 *** 46.365 *** 38.359 *** 32.512 *** 37.461 *** 36.429 ***
(0.778) (1.307) (0.840) (1.472) (0.760) (1.250)
Gender Male 1.763 2.901 * 4.440 ** -0.894 0.851 1.485 -3.033 ** -2.362 -1.341
(base=female) (1.403) (1.479) (1.729) (1.520) (1.572) (1.874) (1.469) (1.564) (1.855)
Number of elder siblings -1.604 -1.369 -1.347 -1.699 -1.197 -1.358 -2.638 ** -2.575 ** -2.568 **
(0.983) (0.984) (0.990) (1.084) (1.066) (1.124) (1.022) (1.035) (1.087)
Number of younger siblings -2.042 *** -1.970 *** -2.010 *** -2.447 *** -2.170 *** -1.790 ** -1.580 ** -1.560 ** -1.158
(0.644) (0.640) (0.648) (0.699) (0.682) (0.725) (0.678) (0.681) (0.706)
Distance from school 15 ― 30 min -7.604 *** -8.089 *** -8.820 *** -8.032 *** -7.116 *** -6.831 ** -9.379 *** -9.974 *** -8.092 ***
(base=less than 15 min) (2.548) (2.554) (2.646) (2.785) (2.738) (2.877) (2.647) (2.685) (2.862)
30 min ― 1 hour 0.486 -0.741 -5.018 * 4.455 2.674 0.524 1.624 1.111 -1.053
(2.702) (2.689) (2.769) (2.954) (2.882) (3.143) (2.792) (2.811) (3.034)
More than 1 hour -6.068 -9.020 ** -11.370 *** -4.348 -6.988 * -7.841 * -4.076 -5.808 -5.632
(3.841) (3.880) (4.144) (4.149) (4.100) (4.546) (3.988) (4.083) (4.415)
Home environment -8.081 *** -9.712 *** -9.344 *** -11.072 *** -12.410 *** -12.016 *** -6.304 ** -7.376 ** -6.921 **
(3.046) (3.044) (3.056) (3.358) (3.290) (3.448) (3.173) (3.209) (3.342)
Using English 1.283 1.614 -0.049 -0.151 0.517 -0.753 3.876 ** 4.049 ** 2.812
(1.778) (1.770) (1.850) (1.924) (1.879) (2.017) (1.855) (1.868) (2.012)
Log (days of absense) -1.646 *** -1.584 *** -1.731 *** -0.466 -0.344 -0.692 -0.165 -0.154 -0.138
(0.570) (0.568) (0.589) (0.619) (0.604) (0.661) (0.590) (0.595) (0.632)
Mother's Education Up to Grade 5 -1.597 -1.566 1.214 -2.511 -4.001 -3.274 -4.438 -3.960 -0.451
(base=no education) (6.608) (6.559) (6.630) (7.286) (7.088) (7.710) (6.839) (6.869) (7.154)
Up to Grade 10 -3.175 -2.141 -2.450 2.863 2.184 2.677 -4.190 -3.118 -1.251
(6.422) (6.372) (6.461) (6.990) (6.795) (7.416) (6.656) (6.686) (6.924)
GCE O/L 3.799 2.997 7.503 7.362 5.516 9.578 -6.073 -5.967 -2.326
(6.561) (6.494) (6.532) (7.151) (6.945) (7.500) (6.790) (6.802) (7.056)
GCE A/L 15.005 ** 12.629 * 11.937 14.075 * 11.633 12.230 20.113 *** 18.901 ** 23.199 ***
(7.344) (7.305) (7.522) (8.037) (7.855) (8.454) (7.637) (7.677) (8.166)
Vocational course 10.741 9.694 13.099 17.614 * 15.582 * 12.587 15.311 * 14.885 14.437
post O/L or A/L (8.752) (8.668) (9.144) (9.465) (9.205) (10.259) (9.100) (9.118) (9.782)
Bachelor's Degree 6.504 4.584 27.912 * 13.408 10.992 51.172 *** -0.793 -0.333 11.996
(13.169) (13.080) (14.415) (13.100) (12.721) (16.299) (13.616) (13.691) (15.820)
Post-graduation 22.623 * 21.563 18.828 21.291 20.381 35.556 ** 13.961 13.711 16.314
and above (13.398) (13.242) (13.484) (14.685) (14.236) (15.736) (13.887) (13.891) (14.615)
Father's Education Up to Grade 5 1.245 2.397 0.754 -5.315 -3.128 -4.590 2.675 3.126 0.191
(base=no education) (6.259) (6.214) (6.295) (6.997) (6.811) (7.201) (6.534) (6.569) (6.831)
Up to Grade 10 5.361 5.647 5.617 -3.114 -1.018 -2.556 10.944 10.479 9.934
(6.710) (6.640) (6.659) (7.372) (7.160) (7.815) (6.955) (6.970) (7.176)
GCE O/L 0.497 -0.394 -0.930 -0.333 -0.788 -3.123 1.960 1.136 -1.058
(6.163) (6.098) (6.160) (6.748) (6.551) (7.103) (6.369) (6.380) (6.614)
GCE A/L 24.799 *** 23.372 *** 25.271 *** 8.065 7.545 5.378 29.693 *** 28.964 *** 26.409 ***
(7.292) (7.232) (7.576) (7.999) (7.777) (8.495) (7.573) (7.599) (8.095)
Vocational course 13.713 12.216 3.769 -0.834 -1.317 -3.711 28.343 *** 27.711 *** 25.886 ***
post O/L or A/L (8.679) (8.587) (9.008) (9.324) (9.050) (9.822) (9.072) (9.077) (9.617)
Bachelor's Degree 50.453 *** 47.228 *** 42.178 *** 45.395 *** 47.301 *** 42.510 ** 55.346 *** 51.918 *** 47.346 ***
(13.467) (13.438) (15.070) (14.859) (14.545) (16.953) (13.939) (14.065) (16.075)
Post-graduation 24.552 * 26.019 * 21.962 32.768 ** 33.403 ** 10.900 60.090 *** 60.796 *** 51.915 ***
and above (14.359) (14.299) (14.816) (16.138) (15.750) (17.030) (14.844) (14.950) (16.111)
Log (tuition fees) 2.011 *** 1.871 *** 1.962 *** 1.645 *** 1.566 *** 1.604 *** 0.918 *** 0.862 *** 0.817 ***
(0.236) (0.249) (0.255) (0.252) (0.262) (0.284) (0.247) (0.263) (0.286)
Log (number of books at home) -1.493 -1.918 * -1.459 -2.937 ** -3.793 *** -2.125 -5.892 *** -5.865 *** -5.691 ***
any book (1.109) (1.109) (1.177) (1.338) (1.318) (1.440) (1.246) (1.258) (1.337)
Log (number of books at home) 2.771 2.765 2.372 7.572 *** 7.824 *** 5.109 * 13.586 *** 13.158 *** 11.659 ***
books for the subject (2.489) (2.472) (2.559) (2.593) (2.531) (2.701) (2.381) (2.405) (2.586)
School facilities -0.010 0.023 0.069 * 0.075 -0.045 -0.066
(0.036) (0.043) (0.039) (0.049) (0.038) (0.047)
Log(number of students in the class) 0.418 -0.265 4.100 ** 3.593 * -0.982 -0.069
(1.630) (1.685) (1.743) (1.894) (1.721) (1.842)
Log(number of students in the grade) 1.758 ** 1.730 ** 0.712 0.555 1.154 1.116
(0.757) (0.820) (0.813) (0.894) (0.803) (0.878)
Stealing in the classroom -3.854 * -2.767 -2.449 -0.469 -3.187 -2.408
(2.181) (2.260) (2.336) (2.568) (2.285) (2.470)
Violence in the classroom -4.538 * -4.823 * -9.551 *** -8.735 *** -1.138 -1.427
(2.492) (2.621) (2.653) (2.822) (2.626) (2.748)
Teacher variables
Gender Male 0.284 -0.312 -0.730
(base=female) (0.731) (0.865) (0.861)
Years of teaching 0.026 -0.144 0.033
(0.123) (0.137) (0.157)
Years of teaching squared -0.002 0.003 -0.001
(0.004) (0.004) (0.005)
Education GCE A/L 0.170 0.079 -0.656
(base=GCE O/L) (1.397) (1.955) (1.501)
Bachelor's Degree 0.735 -0.326 -1.353
(1.551) (2.123) (1.820)
Master's Degree 0.155 -0.872 0.240
(1.886) (2.332) (2.272)
Ph.D. -12.026
(8.326)
Remedial Teaching 1.304 1.170 0.464
(0.808) (0.875) (0.832)
Log (time spent for lesson planning) -0.136 0.083 0.048
(0.241) (0.261) (0.260)
Principal variables
Gender Male -0.065 1.158 -2.179 *
(base=female) (1.081) (1.164) (1.179)
Years of experience as a principal 0.261 0.114 -0.059
(0.173) (0.189) (0.186)
Years of experience as a principal squared -0.008 -0.001 0.003
(0.007) (0.008) (0.008)
Education GCE A/L -0.507 -2.512 -0.984
(base=GCE O/L) (1.785) (1.961) (1.848)
Bachelor's Degree -0.599 -1.821 0.534
(1.794) (1.995) (1.873)
Master's Degree -1.401 -1.189 0.567
(1.805) (1.987) (1.880)
Ph.D. -0.813 0.149 5.725 *
(3.236) (3.391) (3.463)
Constant 37.106 *** 33.217 *** 32.993 *** 32.798 *** 19.657 ** 20.874 ** 27.120 *** 28.677 *** 27.638 ***
(5.750) (7.467) (7.854) (6.437) (8.190) (9.510) (6.063) (7.887) (8.608)
Observations 435 435 385 435 435 378 435 435 382
R2 0.778 0.787 0.796 0.726 0.746 0.761 0.834 0.836 0.830
Gender Male -0.987 ** -0.980 ** -0.979 ** -1.643 *** -1.944 *** -1.948 *** -3.722 *** -3.769 *** -3.776 ***
(base=female) (0.430) (0.437) (0.437) (0.469) (0.482) (0.482) (0.448) (0.473) (0.473)
Number of elder siblings -0.322 * -0.317 * -0.322 * -0.699 *** -0.795 *** -0.801 *** -0.474 *** -0.444 *** -0.447 ***
(0.170) (0.177) (0.177) (0.182) (0.191) (0.191) (0.163) (0.170) (0.170)
Number of younger siblings -0.588 *** -0.511 *** -0.517 *** -0.780 *** -0.790 *** -0.795 *** -0.544 *** -0.586 *** -0.587 ***
(0.094) (0.097) (0.097) (0.108) (0.115) (0.115) (0.104) (0.111) (0.111)
Distance from school 15 ― 30 min -0.241 -0.511 -0.481 0.196 -0.105 -0.074 -0.680 * -0.802 * -0.785 *
(base=less than 15 min) (0.401) (0.423) (0.423) (0.438) (0.467) (0.468) (0.412) (0.435) (0.434)
30 min ― 1 hour 0.241 -0.055 -0.027 0.904 0.765 0.797 -1.236 ** -1.299 ** -1.283 **
(0.515) (0.548) (0.548) (0.560) (0.577) (0.578) (0.526) (0.571) (0.571)
More than 1 hour -0.733 -1.067 -1.042 -1.185 -1.444 * -1.417 * -1.718 ** -1.946 *** -1.936 ***
(0.636) (0.655) (0.655) (0.754) (0.816) (0.814) (0.714) (0.736) (0.736)
Home environment -4.707 *** -4.167 *** -4.183 *** -5.740 *** -5.437 *** -5.445 *** -3.192 *** -2.806 *** -2.820 ***
(0.701) (0.702) (0.701) (0.684) (0.717) (0.716) (0.583) (0.574) (0.573)
Using English 1.026 ** 1.161 *** 1.143 *** 0.701 0.677 0.658 2.767 *** 2.484 *** 2.481 ***
(0.404) (0.416) (0.415) (0.434) (0.473) (0.472) (0.449) (0.457) (0.457)
Log (days of absense) 0.248 0.173 0.196 0.394 * 0.458 ** 0.477 ** 0.465 *** 0.382 ** 0.396 **
(0.200) (0.216) (0.217) (0.209) (0.226) (0.226) (0.174) (0.181) (0.181)
Mother's Education Up to Grade 5 -0.013 0.020 0.021 -0.830 -0.545 -0.539 -0.202 0.085 0.086
(base=no education) (0.751) (0.757) (0.756) (0.732) (0.765) (0.764) (0.571) (0.552) (0.552)
Up to Grade 10 0.514 0.573 0.565 -0.725 -0.661 -0.660 -0.209 -0.134 -0.137
(0.780) (0.796) (0.795) (0.759) (0.799) (0.798) (0.614) (0.592) (0.592)
GCE O/L 2.622 *** 2.696 *** 2.685 *** 1.406 * 1.544 * 1.540 * 1.489 ** 2.067 *** 2.060 ***
(0.805) (0.817) (0.816) (0.778) (0.809) (0.808) (0.611) (0.584) (0.584)
GCE A/L 4.071 *** 4.169 *** 4.142 *** 3.225 *** 3.600 *** 3.577 *** 3.209 *** 3.630 *** 3.618 ***
(0.914) (0.958) (0.957) (0.888) (0.933) (0.932) (0.803) (0.841) (0.840)
Vocational course 3.786 *** 3.902 *** 3.878 *** 3.067 *** 3.273 *** 3.253 *** 3.478 *** 4.248 *** 4.235 ***
post O/L or A/L (1.032) (1.109) (1.107) (1.044) (1.108) (1.107) (0.898) (0.957) (0.955)
Bachelor's Degree 5.502 *** 5.585 *** 5.556 *** 6.114 *** 6.641 *** 6.613 *** 6.291 *** 6.783 *** 6.764 ***
(1.434) (1.647) (1.647) (1.771) (2.004) (2.004) (1.627) (1.976) (1.975)
Post-graduation 7.386 *** 7.328 *** 7.292 *** 6.551 *** 6.976 *** 6.935 *** 8.388 *** 9.271 *** 9.241 ***
and above (1.566) (1.799) (1.801) (1.698) (1.747) (1.750) (1.417) (1.630) (1.631)
Father's Education Up to Grade 5 -0.014 -0.275 -0.282 0.882 0.644 0.635 0.933 0.715 0.710
(base=no education) (0.852) (0.881) (0.881) (0.853) (0.916) (0.916) (0.673) (0.676) (0.677)
Up to Grade 10 0.486 0.413 0.413 1.638 * 1.505 1.497 1.329 * 1.586 ** 1.580 **
(0.855) (0.884) (0.883) (0.853) (0.922) (0.922) (0.699) (0.707) (0.707)
GCE O/L 1.443 * 1.291 1.310 3.578 *** 3.745 *** 3.752 *** 1.750 *** 1.680 ** 1.691 **
(0.861) (0.893) (0.892) (0.840) (0.909) (0.908) (0.669) (0.663) (0.663)
GCE A/L 4.130 *** 3.764 *** 3.771 *** 7.431 *** 7.303 *** 7.297 *** 4.484 *** 4.286 *** 4.291 ***
(0.942) (0.995) (0.994) (0.981) (1.066) (1.065) (0.845) (0.880) (0.879)
Vocational course 4.082 *** 3.818 *** 3.819 *** 5.986 *** 5.930 *** 5.917 *** 4.335 *** 4.199 *** 4.205 ***
post O/L or A/L (1.071) (1.162) (1.161) (1.083) (1.155) (1.155) (0.938) (0.974) (0.974)
Bachelor's Degree 8.410 *** 8.122 *** 8.105 *** 10.176 *** 10.321 *** 10.293 *** 8.535 *** 7.831 *** 7.820 ***
(1.402) (1.674) (1.673) (1.687) (1.975) (1.974) (1.590) (1.802) (1.802)
Post-graduation 7.609 *** 7.584 *** 7.559 *** 11.162 *** 11.421 *** 11.393 *** 6.494 *** 6.379 *** 6.367 ***
and above (1.567) (1.644) (1.645) (1.848) (1.920) (1.920) (1.577) (1.658) (1.658)
Log (tuition fees) 0.708 *** 0.745 *** 0.745 *** 0.648 *** 0.671 *** 0.671 *** 0.370 *** 0.388 *** 0.388 ***
(0.053) (0.053) (0.053) (0.054) (0.056) (0.056) (0.055) (0.059) (0.059)
Log (number of books at home) 0.462 *** 0.585 *** 0.593 *** 0.574 *** 0.646 *** 0.654 *** -0.487 ** -0.419 ** -0.412 **
any book (0.177) (0.184) (0.184) (0.214) (0.238) (0.238) (0.196) (0.205) (0.205)
Log (number of books at home) 0.737 ** 0.601 * 0.596 * 1.371 *** 1.304 *** 1.294 *** 2.586 *** 2.471 *** 2.465 ***
books for the subject (0.324) (0.335) (0.335) (0.371) (0.420) (0.420) (0.332) (0.374) (0.373)
School facilities 0.040 0.088 * 0.091 * 0.123 *** 0.141 *** 0.136 *** 0.025 0.031 0.018
(0.044) (0.052) (0.048) (0.044) (0.051) (0.049) (0.061) (0.065) (0.054)
Log (number of students in the class) -0.041 -3.222 * -0.311 0.052 1.142 3.340 * -0.157 * -6.113 ** -2.473
(0.058) (1.699) (1.648) (0.061) (1.870) (1.835) (0.086) (2.496) (2.138)
Log (number of students in the grade) 7.689 *** 7.358 *** 3.404 *** 5.554 *** 4.962 *** 1.177 10.785 *** 9.383 *** 3.628 ***
(0.633) (0.723) (0.805) (0.618) (0.708) (0.831) (0.939) (1.012) (0.984)
Stealing in the classroom -4.636 * -2.628 -6.865 *** -3.237 -1.429 -4.683 * -8.141 *** -3.297 -8.157 ***
(2.411) (2.559) (2.654) (2.358) (2.617) (2.697) (2.756) (2.735) (2.733)
Violence in the classroom -2.187 -2.131 -4.240 -7.255 *** -5.243 * -7.206 *** -1.603 0.224 -2.362
(2.890) (2.884) (2.786) (2.704) (2.794) (2.705) (3.422) (3.254) (2.947)
Teacher variables
Gender Male 0.357 -0.830 -0.542 -1.130 -0.133 0.654
(base=female) (0.875) (0.798) (0.962) (0.873) (1.081) (0.957)
Years of teaching -0.085 0.041 -0.112 0.032 0.025 0.008
(0.154) (0.140) (0.153) (0.140) (0.208) (0.179)
Years of teaching squared 0.001 -0.001 0.002 -0.001 0.001 0.002
(0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.004) (0.007) (0.006)
Education GCE A/L 0.732 1.490 0.879 0.281 0.028 0.693
(base=GCE O/L) (1.617) (1.505) (2.351) (2.123) (1.441) (1.308)
Bachelor's Degree 1.301 1.989 -0.334 -0.760 -0.809 0.141
(1.818) (1.686) (2.618) (2.368) (1.857) (1.682)
Master's Degree 3.353 2.481 0.926 0.558 -2.985 -1.163
(2.516) (2.313) (2.752) (2.564) (2.472) (2.361)
Ph.D. 7.545 ** -0.687
(3.193) (3.422)
Remedial teaching 1.927 * 0.863 1.132 0.713 1.406 0.922
(1.005) (0.887) (0.904) (0.915) (1.101) (0.913)
Log (time spent for lesson planning) -0.120 -0.039 -0.133 0.137 -0.338 -0.439
(0.292) (0.253) (0.282) (0.276) (0.360) (0.299)
Principal variables
Gender -0.831 0.659 0.438 1.799 * -5.133 *** -2.626 *
(base=female) (1.045) (0.998) (1.068) (1.012) (1.678) (1.437)
Years of experience as a principal 0.014 0.061 -0.015 -0.028 -0.095 -0.077
(0.191) (0.167) (0.201) (0.175) (0.240) (0.199)
Years of experience as a principal squared 0.000 -0.003 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.001
(0.007) (0.007) (0.008) (0.007) (0.010) (0.008)
Education GCE A/L -2.028 -2.789 * -3.632 * -4.161 * -1.519 -2.363 *
(base=GCE O/L) (1.866) (1.621) (2.193) (2.167) (1.557) (1.330)
Bachelor's Degree -1.395 -2.270 -2.253 -3.011 0.457 -0.865
(1.909) (1.697) (2.247) (2.208) (1.696) (1.429)
Master's Degree -1.542 -3.013 * -1.354 -2.868 1.118 -1.008
(1.971) (1.747) (2.324) (2.271) (1.846) (1.512)
Ph.D. 2.221 0.174 3.467 1.246 12.306 *** 9.806 **
(2.793) (3.287) (4.063) (3.908) (4.347) (4.308)
Observations 9,464 8,330 8330 9,257 8,063 8,063 9,478 8,260 8,260
.03
.03
.03
.02
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.02
.01
.01
.01
0
0
0
.025
.025
.02
.02
.02
.015
.015
.015
.01
.01
.01
.005
.005
.005
0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
.03
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.02
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.01
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0
0
0
.02
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.015
.015
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.01
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.005
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0
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
National National National
Provincial Provincial Provincial
.03
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0