LEARNING AREA: Quarter: 4
DLP No. 49 STATISTICS AND Grade Level: 11 Week: 10 Duration: 1 hour
PROBABILITY Day: 1 & 2
LEARNING COMPETENCY/ES: Code: M11/12SP-IVj-1, 2
The learner
1. predicts the value of the dependent variable given the
value of the independent variable.
2. solves problems involving regression analysis.
Key Concepts/ Content Standard: The learner demonstrates understanding
Understandings to be developed of key concepts of correlation and regression analysis.
Performance Standard: The learner is able to perform
correlation and regression analyses on real-life problems in
different disciplines.
1. Objectives In this lesson, the student is able to draw a scatter plot for a
set of ordered pairs and draw the best fit line; calculate the
y-intercept of the regression line, test the significance of the
correlation coefficient, interpret the calculated slope and y-
intercept of a regression line and predict the value of a
given dependent variable given the value of the
independent variable.
2. Content Correlation and Regression Analysis
3.
4. Learning Resources References: Statistics and Probability by Danilo de
Guzman, pp. 238-240
5. Procedures
4.1.Introduction 4.1.a. Preliminary Activities (5 minutes)
of the 1. Opening prayer.
Lesson/ 1. Checking of attendance and housekeeping.
Activity 2. Presentation of objectives.
(10 minutes) 4.1.b. Introductory Activity (5 minutes)
Teacher’s Activity Students’ Activity
In our previous lesson, you have Expected Students’ Responses:
learned about the use of Pearson’s r
and Spearman’s rho correlation
(Y)
coefficients to assess the strength of Sales
(X) No. of XY 2 2
linear relationship of two quantitative minutes in in x Y
variables. In this lesson you will TV million
learn to forecast values of x and y ads/month
95 110 10,450 9,025 12,100
variables by using a trend line in
82 90 7,380 6,724 8,100
linear regression analysis. 75 82 6,150 5,625 6,724
Given the table of values on the 79 65 5,135 6,241 4,225
number of minutes of TV ads per 65 80 5,200 4,225 6,400
month and its sales in millions. 75 50 3,750 5,625 2,500
80 70 5,600 6,400 4,900
40 35 1,400 1,600 1,225
∑ X=591 ∑ Y =582
∑ XY =45,065
∑ X 2=¿∑45,645
2
Y =46,174
¿
Mean of X: x=
∑ X = 591 =73.875
n 8
222
Mean of Y: y=
∑ Y = 582 =72.75
n 8
Trace the regression line by plotting
the X and Y coordinates to make sure
the data has a trend line as basis for
predicting values of variables.
Solving for slope m, we have
m = n ( ∑ XY )−¿ ¿
8 ( 45,065 ) −(591)(582)
=
8 ( 45,645 )−¿ ¿
16,558
= 15,879
= 1.04.
Solving for b, we have:
b = y−m¿
= 72.75 – (1.04)(73.875)
= -4.08.
Equation of the line: Y = 1.04 X –
223
4.08.
a) How much will the sales be if
the number of television
advertisements per month is
120?
Given that X = 120, we have:
Y = mX+b
mX = Y – b
Y −b
X=
m
It is given that Y = 85. Then we have:
Y −b
X=
m
85−(−4.08)
=
1.04
= 85.65 minutes
Hence, it takes 85.65 minutes of tv
ads in a month to obtain a sales of
P85 million.
4.3.Analysis How did you arrive with 85 million? Expected Student’s Responses
(10 minutes)
How do we construct a scatter plot Q1. Explain the steps undertaken to
based on the given table? arrive with 85M
Q2. The student will show how to plot the
TEACHER INPUT. data in a graph.
(Extract from the students to arrive at
the Definition of Linear Regression)
4.4.Abstraction Trace the regression line by plotting
(3 minutes) the X and Y coordinates.
4.5.Application In an attempt to assess the effect of Expected Student’s Responses
(17 minutes) the length of time spent in using a)
social media to the academic
performance of the students, a
survey was conducted to ten
randomly selected students to
determine the number of minutes
per week using social media and
their scores in a department
224
examination in mathematics which
consists of a 50-item test.
It is given that N = 10,
∑ X=1,895 , ∑ Y =335 , ∑ XY =56,970 , a nd ∑
Then solving for solving for x and y ,
we have the following:
For the mean of X:
x=
∑ X = 1,895 =189.5
N 10
For the mean of Y:
y=
∑ Y = 355 =35.5
N 10
b) Solving for the slope m, we have:
m = n¿¿
( 10 ) (56,970 )−(1,895)(355)
=
( 10 ) (503,325 )−¿ ¿
−103,025
=
1,442,225
= -0.0714
c) Solving for the y-intercept b, we
have:
b = y - (m)x
= 35.5 – (-0.0714)(189.5)
≈ 49.
d) The equation of the line must be:
Y = -0.0714X + 49
e) If X = 100, then
Y = -0.0714(100) + 49
≈ 42.
4.6.Assessment 1 whole sheet of paper
225
(10 minutes)
The data shows the scores of 8
students in an admission test and
their academic performance.
1. Trace the regression line
2. What is the slope of the line?
3. What is the y-intercept?
4. What is the equation of the
line?
5. Predict the student’s grade if
his/her score in the student’s
admission test is 68?
Score in Grade (Y)
admission test
(X)
52 80
61 79
86 95
79 90
45 75
58 82
60 80
45 70
4.7.Assignment Given the following:
(5 minutes)
(X) No. of (Y) Popularity
hours in TV Rating
ads/month
5 7
9 9
7 8
6 7
4 6
2 4
10 8
3 5
13 9
Q1. What must be the popularity
rating if the number of hours in TV
advertisement is 14 hours per
month?
Q2. How many hours is required for
TV ad to gain a popularity rating of
10?
Minutes spent
using social Score in the
media per week department exam
(X) (Y)
30 45
45 48
60 42
120 40
226
180 38
200 43
240 20
300 29
320 35
400 15
1. Trace the trend line
2. Compute for the slope of the
line
3. Compute for the y-intercept
4. What is the equation of the
line?
5. Predict the score of student
who spend 100minutes/week
using social media.
6. Remarks
7. Reflections
A. No. of learners who earned 80% on
the formative assessment.
B. No. of learners who required
additional activities for remediation.
C. Did the remediation lesson work? No.
of learners who have caught up with
the lesson.
D. No. of learners who continue to
require remediation.
E. Which of my teaching strategy work
well? Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I encounter
which my principal or supervisor can
help me solve?
G. What innovation or localized
materials did I use/discover which I
share?
227
DLP NO. 5 LEARNING AREA: GRADE QUARTER: DURATION:
STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LEVEL: 11 FOURTH
LEARNING COMPETENCIES: CODE:
At the end of the discussion, the student is able to solve M11/12SP-IVj-2
problems involving regression analysis.
Key Concepts/
Understandings The learner is able to perform correlation and regression analyses on real-life
to be problems in different disciplines.
Developed:
Objectives: In this lesson, the student is able to draw a scatter plot for a set of ordered pairs
and draw the best fit line; calculate the y-intercept of the regression line, test the
significance of the correlation coefficient, interpret the calculated slope and y-
intercept of a regression line and predict the value of a given dependent
variable given the value of the independent variable.
Content The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of correlation and
regression analyses.
Learning
Statistics and Probability by Danilo de Guzman, pp. 238-240
Resources:
Procedures: Introduction of the Class
Preliminary Activities (2 minutes)
1. Opening Prayer
2. Checking of attendance
Teacher’s Activity Student’s Activity
Introductory In our previous lesson, you have learned Expected Student’s Responses
Activity/ about the use of Pearson’s r and
Strategy Spearman’s rho correlation coefficients to
(10 mins) assess the strength of linear relationship of
two quantitative variables. In this lesson
you will learn to forecast values of x and y
variables by using a trend line in linear
regression analysis.
228
Given the table of values on the number of (Y)
(X) No. of Sales
minutes of TV ads per month and its sales in XY x
2
Y
2
in millions. minutes in
TV million
ads/month
95 110 10,450 9,025 12,100
(X) No. of (Y) Sales in 82 90 7,380 6,724 8,100
minutes in TV million 75 82 6,150 5,625 6,724
ads/month 79 65 5,135 6,241 4,225
95 110 65 80 5,200 4,225 6,400
82 90 75 50 3,750 5,625 2,500
80 70 5,600 6,400 4,900
75 82
40 35 1,400 1,600 1,225
79 65
65 80 ∑ X=591 ∑ Y =582
∑ XY =45,065
∑ X 2=¿∑45,645
2
Y =46,174
¿
75 50
80 70
40 35
1. How much will the sales be if the number
of minutes in television advertisements per
month (X) is 120? Mean of X: x=
∑ X = 591 =73.875
2. How many minutes required to get of 85 n 8
million as sales?
Mean of Y: y=
∑ Y = 582 =72.75
n 8
Trace the regression line by plotting the
X and Y coordinates to make sure the
data has a trend line as basis for
predicting values of variables.
229
Solving for slope m, we have
m = n ( ∑ XY )−¿ ¿
8 ( 45,065 ) −(591)(582)
=
8 ( 45,645 )−¿ ¿
16,558
= 15,879
= 1.04.
Solving for b, we have:
b = y−m¿
= 72.75 – (1.04)(73.875)
= -4.08.
Equation of the line: Y = 1.04 X – 4.08.
b) How much will the sales be if the
number of television
advertisements per month is 120?
Given that X = 120, we have:
Y = mX+b
mX = Y – b
Y −b
X=
m
It is given that Y = 85. Then we have:
Y −b
X=
m
85−(−4.08)
=
1.04
= 85.65 minutes
Hence, it takes 85.65 minutes of tv ads
in a month to obtain a sales of P85
million.
Analysis How did you arrive with 85 million? Expected Student’s Responses
230
(15 mins)
Q1. Explain the steps undertaken to
How do we construct a scatter plot arrive with 85M
based on the given table? Q2. The student will show how to plot the
data in a graph.
TEACHER INPUT.
(Extract from the students to arrive at
the Definition of Linear Regression)
Abstraction Trace the regression line by plotting the X and Y coordinates.
(3mins)
Application In an attempt to assess the effect of the Expected Student’s Responses
(17 mins.) length of time spent in using social a)
media to the academic performance of
the students, a survey was conducted to
ten randomly selected students to
determine the number of minutes per
week using social media and their
scores in a department examination in
mathematics which consists of a 50-item
test.
Minutes spent
using social Score in the
media per week department exam
(X) (Y) It is given that N = 10,
30
45
45
48
∑ X=1,895 , ∑ Y =335 , ∑ XY =56,970 , a nd ∑
60 42
Then solving for solving for x and y , we
120 40
180 38 have the following:
200 43
For the mean of X:
240 20 x=
∑ X = 1,895 =189.5
300 29 N 10
320 35
400 15 For the mean of Y:
y=
∑ Y = 355 =35.5
6. Trace the trend line
N 10
7. Compute for the slope of the line
8. Compute for the y-intercept
b) Solving for the slope m, we have:
9. What is the equation of the line?
10. Predict the score of student who m = n¿¿
spend 100minutes/week using
( 10 ) (56,970 )−(1,895)(355)
social media. =
( 10 ) (503,325 )−¿ ¿
−103,025
=
1,442,225
= -0.0714
c) Solving for the y-intercept b, we have:
b = y - (m)x
231
= 35.5 – (-0.0714)(189.5)
≈ 49.
d) The equation of the line must be:
Y = -0.0714X + 49
e) If X = 100, then
Y = -0.0714(100) + 49
≈ 42.
Assessment 1 whole sheet of paper
(10 mins)
The data shows the scores of 8 students in an admission test and their academic
performance.
6. Trace the regression line
7. What is the slope of the line?
8. What is the y-intercept?
9. What is the equation of the line?
10. Predict the student’s grade if his/her score in the student’s admission test is
68?
Score in Grade (Y)
admission test
(X)
52 80
61 79
86 95
79 90
45 75
58 82
60 80
45 70
Assignment
(3 mins)
(X) No. of (Y) Popularity
hours in TV Rating
ads/month
5 7
9 9
7 8
6 7
4 6
2 4
10 8
3 5
13 9
Q1. What must be the popularity rating if the number of hours in TV advertisement
232
is 14 hours per month?
Q2. How many hours is required for TV ad to gain a popularity rating of 10?
Remarks
Reflections
A. No. of learners who earned 80%
on the formative assessment
B. No. of learners who required
additional activities for
remediation
C. Did the remediation lesson work?
No. of learners who have caught
up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who continue to
require remediation.
E. Which of my teaching strategy
work well? Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I encounter
which my principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or localized
materials did I use/discover which
I share?
233
