Devolved Finance DIIS Report 2022 02
Devolved Finance DIIS Report 2022 02
Devolved Finance DIIS Report 2022 02
Abstract. 4.
Abbreviations. 7.
Notes. 65.
References. 66.
3
ABSTRACT.
Since the Paris Agreement in 2015, adaptation debates have increasingly shifted
from focusing narrowly on finance to considerations around governance of
programming, implementation and impact of support for climate change mitigation
and adaptation. The character of finance for climate change adaptation and
debates around it are currently in a time of potentially significant transition. Much
focus of UNCC Conference of the Parties (COP) negotiations has been on agreeing
on a common rulebook and on ensuring Global South access to finance for climate
change action. These goals have now largely been reached and international
attention is shifting to how and at what scale climate change actions take place and
are governed. Most of the finance for climate change adaptation is currently used
and governed at international and national levels. That being said, new international
agendas and forms of cooperation are emerging with enhanced focus on devolved
finance and governance of climate change adaptation. This report presents an
overview of the state of climate change adaptation finance, with focus on devolved
governance and use in Least Developed Countries (LDC).
This study illustrates the highly skewed character of how finance is shared between
mitigation and adaptation and between middle-income countries and LDCs. It
further addresses where finance for climate change adaptation is spent, who
decides what type of adaptive action is financed and points to the challenge of
devolved finance and governance of climate change adaptation in LDCs. What is
lacking, however, is robust national level data on domestic use of adaptation finance,
i.e. trustworthy data on whether finance for adaptation is used at the central ministry
level or devolved to sub-national levels.
This report identifies and discusses four categories of actors that each in their own
way advances the agenda for devolved finance and governance of climate change
adaptation. First, a few influential international policy think tanks have spearheaded
locally-led adaptation within international climate diplomacy, since 2017 under the
umbrella of Global Commission on Adaptation (GCA). Secondly, the World Bank,
through its Pilot Programmes for Climate Resilience (PPCR), has initiated devolved
adaptation financing programmes, drawing on its past experience with performance
based service provision. Thirdly, international and national civil society organisations
have contributed to the advancement of the devolved finance for climate change
Few systematic empirical studies have focused on the political economy of climate
change adaptation at the local government level and fieldwork-based research is
needed to fill this knowledge gap. Drawing on development literature and inspired by
the local led adaptation principles, the study identifies and discusses seven
governance aspects that are important for successful climate change adaptation at
sub-national levels, namely: 1) subsidiarity; 2) integration in local government
planning and decision-making; 3) spaces for public deliberation and participation; 4)
devolution of decision-making over climate change; 5) decision-making informed by
local knowledge and knowledge needs; 6) predictability of financial flows; and 7)
supportive national policy environment.
This report uses these governance aspects to assess four promising models
supported by international development agencies that aim to lay the foundation for
devolved finance and governance of climate change adaptation. For three of the
models (PPCR in Zambia, ALP in Ghana and CCCF in Kenya) the assessment is
based on field visits, while assessment of the fourth model (LoCAL in Mozambique)
is based on secondary literature only. It should be stressed that further research is
clearly needed to provide a clearer and deeper understanding, including that of the
political economy of local government implementation of climate change adaptation
support.
Based on these assessments, this report seeks to draw conclusions and perspectives
regarding the strengths and shortcomings of the models. The analysis reveals and
proposes explanations for similarities as well as differences between the models.
For example, LoCAL in Mozambique and CCCF in Kenya score high in terms of
integration in local government planning and decision-making. The likely explanation
is that these models most clearly take their point of departure in existing local
government political and administrative institutions. Another example is ALP in
Ghana, which is clearly better at creating and using sub-local government spaces
for public deliberation and participation. The likely explanation is that this programme
is facilitated by an NGO.
We first explore the benefits of devolved adaptation finance and governance and
gives a brief overview of current devolved adaptation finance. Next we presents an
overview of the current landscape of devolved adaptation finance and governance
efforts, outlining main drivers of devolved finance and governance with focus on key
actors and their differing approaches. We then focuses explicitly on the governance
of devolved adaptation, proposing seven factors that can be used to operationalise
and evaluate devolved adaptation governance. These factors are then used to
analyse existing models of devolved adaptation finance and governance. Thereafter
we take a donor perspective using the case of Denmark. It illustrates how devolution
can be assessed within donors’ adaptation commitments, despite limited available
information on sub-national adaptation finance. Finally, the report provides
recommendations for ways forward in devolved adaptation finance and governance.
As noted above, climate change hazards are highly localised. The same climate
variation will have different impacts in different environmental settings, e.g. the
same reduction in rainfall will have different implications in a temperate versus arid
area. Climate change impacts are also highly dependent on local socio-economic
conditions, such as economic activities, infrastructure, demographics, etc. For
instance, an arid area with irrigation may be less affected by rainfall variation than
one without; while one agricultural area might be less affected than another
agricultural area. Take rural Africans who depend on natural resource management
for their livelihood. A recent World Bank report identifies them as most exposed to
climate change hazards and most likely to fall into poverty because of low adaptive
capacity (Hallegatte et al., 2016). Poorly serviced parts of the urban populations are
also at risk (Filho et al., 2018). Yet, African rural natural resource managers are
Research points to two key aspects of devolved adaptation: devolved finance and
devolved governance. The first merely ensures that funding reaches lower
administrative levels, closer to the affected populations on the ground. The second
aspect, devolved governance of adaptation finance, is also crucial, but has received
less attention. Devolved adaptation governance allows decision-making to take
place in the districts and communities affected, rather than at higher administrative
levels. Evidence suggests that localising the way we plan, finance and deliver
climate, nature and poverty solutions will not only result in more just solutions
because of proximity to those most affected and with the least voice, but also
‘deliver more integrated, context specific, agile, efficient, democratic and accountable
solutions to and for the poorest and most excluded people’ (Soanes et al., 2020). In
the recent Evaluation of Danish Support to Climate Change Adaptation (2020),
devolved adaptation was shown to improve outcomes for marginalised and
vulnerable groups, who are often most affected by climate change. Overall, devolved
adaptation finance and governance enables local input and accountability,
supporting locally-relevant interventions that can better address needs on the
ground. This effectively makes adaptation efforts more sustainable and cost-
effective by contributing more directly to creating resilient communities (Fedele et
al., 2019; Funder et al., 2020; Friis-Hansen, 2017; IIED, 2017; Taylor, 2015; Caldecott,
2021). Cost- effectiveness is in itself a key consideration in a situation of increasing
need and limited funding. While devolution does not guarantee improved outcomes,
it is a crucial foundation for more effective, relevant and inclusive adaptation efforts.
The most recent report on the provision of climate finance towards the United
Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) target of USD 100
billion annually by 2020 is provided by the OECD1. The overview shows that climate
finance provided to developing countries reached USD 78.9 billion in 2018, up from
USD 71.2 billion in 2017, see Figure 1. This was primarily provided by bilateral public
finance and multilateral public finance attributable to developed countries (USD
62.2 billion) — also called public climate finance — while the rest was provided
through export credits and private mobilised funding.
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Climate finance provided and mobilised 2013-2018 (OECD, 2020) in USD millions (accessed from
https://www.oecd.org/environment/cc/Key-Highlights-Climate-Finance-Provided-and-Mobilised-by-Devel-
oped-Countries-in-2013-18.pdf ).
The Copenhagen Accord and the subsequent Paris Agreement agreed to provide
funds ‘balanced’ between mitigation and adaptation while having a specific focus
on the LDCs and Small Island Developing States. While the term ‘balance’ is
contested, the most commonly used definition is a 50/50 split between mitigation
and adaptation. Of the USD 78.9 billion climate finance in 2018 only 21% was
targeting adaptation while 70% targeted mitigation and 9% cross-cutting (OECD,
2020). Danish international commitments to climate change were closer to meeting
the 50/50 balance with 21% for adaptation, 25% for mitigation and 54% for cross-
cutting projects from 2013 to 2017, though it is unclear to what extent cross-cutting
commitments achieved a balance between adaptation and mitigation (Funder et al.,
2020).
IIED reports the share of climate finance which reaches the local
level to be 10%. This figure has been referred to by many, most
recently in the new Oxfam Shadow Report2, but is in fact a very
rough estimate based on only 7% of climate change finance
between 2003 and 2016, that was channelled exclusively
through International Climate Funds.
In addition, the UNFCCC goal of prioritising the Most Vulnerable Parties (LDCs and
Small Island Developing States) in adaptation finance is far from being met. Instead,
84% of global climate finance was invested in middle-income countries (and
unallocated investments) in 2018, while only 15% of the financing was channelled to
the LDCs, together amounting to USD 12 billion (OECD, 2020). This imbalance is an
effect of the fact that 70% of total climate finance is allocated to mitigation (as
mentioned above) and that this primarily goes to middle-income countries. The
significant global imbalance between adaptation and mitigation financing is,
however, less evident in funding to Most Vulnerable Parties. In 2018, 41% of finance
to LDCs was focused on adaptation objectives, representing 6% of total climate
change finance (OECD, 2020).
IIED reports the share of climate finance which reaches the local level to be 10%.
This figure has been referred to by many, most recently in the new Oxfam Shadow
Report2, but is in fact a very rough estimate based on only 7% of climate change
finance between 2003 and 2016, that was channelled exclusively through
International Climate Funds. It is, therefore, not representative of total climate
finance flows. (See Annex 1 for a detailed discussion of methodology used by
IIED, Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) and International Fund for Agricultural
Development (IFAD) to estimate devolved climate finance.) IIED notes that this
figure is indicative, at best, of the small proportion of international climate funds
within total climate finance and that this is due to a lack of relevant data and
in-depth analysis of all project documents reviewed. Despite this, the figure has
been widely used in reference to climate finance generally, without acknowledgement
of its methodological limitations. The 10% figure should therefore be used with
caution. While it gives an indication of limited devolved funding within a subset of
climate finance, it does not provide a sound basis for claims on the overall climate
finance landscape or for broader policy recommendations.
Over the past five years, there has been a shift in focus among actors involved with
climate change adaptation. In particular, during the past two to three years, the
overarching focus on access to additional finance has broadened, with increased
focus on process of implementation, including issues of governance, accountability,
sustainability and cost-effectiveness (Global Commission on Adaptation, 2019).
Next, we have identified four broad categories of actors that, each in their own way,
contribute to developing a model for devolved finance and governance of climate
change adaptation. These include influential international policy think tanks,
Multilateral Development Banks, international and national civil society organisations
and national governments. Below, we outline each category of actor and the
approach they put forward.
A small number of influential international policy think tanks, including IIED, WRI,
ODI and GCA, have carried out policy studies on climate change adaptation
commissioned by development organisations. In consultation with stakeholders
within international development organisations and NGOs, and since 2017 under
the umbrella of Global Commission on Adaptation, these organisations have sought
to merge lessons from development cooperation with climate change adaptation.
This process culminated in 2020 with the definition of Locally Led Adaptation as
action planned to address the direct and indirect impacts of climate change that is
The Multilateral Development Banks have also been initiators of devolved adaptation
financing programmes. The Pilot Programmes for Climate Resilience (PPCRs), a
suite of national climate change adaptation programmes funded via the global
Climate Investment Funds (CIF), with approximately USD 1.2 billion so far allocated
in loans and grants to adaptation activities in 28 developing countries, are particularly
noteworthy. The funds are sourced from 14 donors — including Denmark — and
managed by the World Bank with additional support from the regional development
banks. The PPCRs have two overall aims:
For the past 10 years, international and national civil society organisations, such as
Care International, DanChurchAid and Oxfam Ibis, have approached climate change
adaptation in a project-centred fashion, addressing bottom-up initiatives for climate
change adaptation rather than necessarily pushing for structural changes to
enhance decentralised financial flows and decision-making (Care International,
2014; Oxfam International, 2010).
In 2008, the Government of India formulated the National Action Plan on Climate
Change (NAPCC) which emphasises adaptation to climate change impacts within
eight determined missions.3 Following the NAPCC objectives, India’s individual state
governments have each prepared a State Action Plan on Climate Change (SAPCC).
The SAPCCs are divided into sector foci4 to enable national financial support to state
level adaptation activities. In 2015, the National Adaptation Fund for Climate Change
(NAFCC) was set up as India’s National Implementing Entity for the Adaptation Fund
under the Kyoto Protocol to scale-up adaptation finance for interventions at the sub-
national state. The NAFCC supports concrete state-driven adaptation projects that are
not covered through other national programmes and which must aim to build resilience
within SAPCC sectors and NAPCC mission areas in vulnerable states. The NAFCC can,
for instance, fund mainstreaming of technological innovations. The National Bank for
Rural Development and Agriculture (NABARD) was organised to be Implementing Entity
for agriculture on behalf of NAFCC. With this role, the NABARD is responsible for a
long list of activities along the flow of adaptation finance, including the identification
and formulation of projects from SAPCCs, appraisal and disbursement, monitoring
and evaluation of stakeholders and state governments, and overall mainstreaming
of the implemented projects (NABARD, 2020). As executing entities, Ministries and
Departments of the National Government of India and State Government Departments
can access funds from the NAFCC through the submission of proposals. With
permission from the NAPCC, implementation of all projects can be undertaken at the
national, community or transboundary levels (GoI, 2008).
These four categories of actors engage with devolved finance differently. There are
important differences in how they envision devolution taking place and through
which sub-national institutions. The principles of Locally Led Adaptation formulated
by the international climate and development organisations form a normative
guideline of good practice within the project cycle. The proposed principles do not
adequately address climate change adaptation as a political process with conflicting
interests within nation states. This is, for example, reflected in principle three that
In contrast, the World Bank’s PPCR programme, the United Nations Capital
Development Fund (UNCDF) Local Climate Adaptive Living (LoCAL) programme and
the national policies in Kenya and India all seek to integrate climate change
adaptation into the government’s existing decentralised administrative and political
structures. The World Bank PPCR programme works through the Ministry of Finance
to facilitate national political ownership and ensure implementation through the
existing local government structures. This is in contrast to the UN international
climate funds and bilateral development organisations that work through the
UNFCCC national focal point that in many countries is the Ministry of Environment.
The most promising model is perhaps the Kenyan County Climate Change Fund
that enable meso-level elected government structures (Counties) that meet a set of
capacity requirements to apply for finance for climate change adaptation.
Many of these issues have been taken up in the principles for Locally Led Adaptation
(LLA), endorsed during the online international Adaptation Summit in early 2021.6
The endorsed principles include:
1. Subsidiarity .
Does the adaptation governance allow for decision-making at the lowest appropriate
level? Here we explore in more detail the enabling factors for first principle of LLA,
i.e. devolving adaptation to the lowest appropriate level. In so doing, we also
incorporate the third principle of predictable and accessible funding, as this cannot
be separated from the governance factors.
Subsidiarity is defined in research literature as the way to organise each task to the
lowest level with the capacity to conduct it satisfactorily. The justification for
subsidiarity is its perceived political and economic advantages for enhancing
representation and efficiency, as well as its inherent practical value of decision-
making being directly informed and directed by expertise on the ground (Marshall,
2008; Stoa, 2014). The concept of subsidiarity differs from decentralisation and
local control through its explicit recognition of the need for self-organisation
concurrent with a need for centralised coordinating institutions in order to meet
demands on externalities, economies of scale or inadequate capacity (Pritchett and
Woodcock, 2004, Garrick et al., 2012). The principle of subsidiarity emphasises that
complex decision-making is often best done as close as possible to the issue at
hand, while also recognising that coordination at higher levels may be needed to
govern wider socio-ecological systems, address externalities and ensure economies
of scale (Garrick, 2018; Marshall, 2008; Soanes et al., 2021).
So, what is the implication of subsidiarity for climate change adaptation? The
assignment of responsibilities according to the principle of subsidiarity may foster
adaptive capacity to climate change by enabling the advantages of decentralising
Adaptive action on one scale interacts with adaptive action on other scales and can
either interact positively with or constrain local priorities (Adger et al., 2005). Scales
of adaptation are, thus, not independent from each other, and adaptation action is
embedded in social and political processes within the wider political economy.
Climate change adaptation actions on the local scale are frequently guided by policy
decisions taken by higher level units of governance, i.e. national government or
international development organisations. Other adaptive action on the local scale
takes place to enhance opportunities of well-being without specific reference to
climate change hazards (Thornton and Manasfi, 2010).
Cornwall (2008) makes a useful distinction between invited and claimed spaces of
political influence, arguing that invited spaces are ‘structured and owned by those
who provide them, as compared to (claimed) spaces that people create for
themselves’ (ibid: p. 275). The ‘Participation, Inclusion and Social Change’ cluster at
Institute of Development Studies (IDS) Sussex explored empirical cases of claimed
spaces of political influence and found that while they hold great potential for
ownership and legitimacy of decisions, only few local development programmes are
governed through spaces that people have create for themselves (Gaventa, 2005).
Three general lessons can be drawn from the development literature that can be useful
for unpacking participatory elements in Locally Led Adaptation.
The first lesson is that in much of the mainstream support for participatory governance,
participation is framed narrowly as a methodology to improve project performance,
rather than seen as a process of fostering critical consciousness and decision-making
capacity and, thereby, nurturing inclusive citizenship (Friis-Hansen and Kyed, 2007).
This depoliticised and technical approach to participatory development, practised by
many development programmes, led critics to argue that participation can be used as a
form of political control by obscuring local political differences and a means of gaining
control over development activities (Cooke and Kothani, 2001). The subsequent debate
argued for repoliticisation of participation and for external development actors to pay
closer attention to the power politics of participatory spaces. Over the past decade,
many international and national civil society organisations have engaged in advocacy
for locally inclusive approaches to doing development.
The second lesson is to acknowledge that even the best designed participatory
programme is likely to be challenged as long as the democratic spaces for participation
are not created by people themselves but rather outside agents of change. One may
identify three challenges for socially inclusive and participatory local development:
who’s knowledge; who’s institutions; and who’s process (Friis-Hansen et al., 2018).
The first challenge is how we think about knowledge: who sets the initial agenda and
defines the challenge(s) around a community. In most cases it is outside experts who
are seen as possessing all the relevant knowledge for development. This assumption
undermines a much needed dialogue between partners, who together may possess
knowledge that is complementary. The second challenge is to decide whose institutions
to use. Institutions include not only the organisational structures but also the ‘rules
of the game’ that guide human interactions (North, 1990). Development agencies are
permeated by both formal and informal institutions, and communities also have their
institutions. The institutional challenge of participation arises when formal institutions
of development dominate in the engagement with informal institutions of communities.
The third challenge for community development practise is to think about participation
from the other direction, or, how to become participants in other people’s processes.
Participation, as typically understood and practised, retains a legacy of a top-down view
of social change: it invites ‘communities’ into development processes and development
decision-making, it respects their voices and their presence, but it asks them, in effect,
to leave their knowledge and institutions at the door (Eversole, 2010).
IPCC, through its consolidated global reports and ‘science speak to policy’ approach,
has become the focal point and source of inspiration for mainstream climate
change adaptation projects. While recognising indigenous knowledge to enhance
adaptation, IPCC’s emphasis on climate science has reduced the impotence of non-
scientific knowledge to a question of local perceptions. This is, for instance, evident
in the way the IPCCs work is characterised by unidirectional communication of
scientific experts outwards, rather than reciprocal communication that also invites
contributions from other forms of experts and expertise, for instance, local
knowledge (Dudman and de Wit, 2021).
Predictable funding can come from various sources. It may derive from national
government budgets, through domestic resource mobilisation in the form of taxes.
However, as underlined in global climate agreements, those least responsible and
most affected should receive financial support to address climate impacts. Global
funding schemes, for instance climate funds, are set to play a central role in
providing adaptation finance. This support should include long-term (i.e. projects
beyond four to five years) funding possibilities.
PPCR activities in Zambia form part of the broader suite of 28 PPCR country
programmes funded under the Climate Investment Funds and administered by the
World Bank. While the PPCRs have been strongly donor-driven (Seballos and Kreft,
2011; Shankland and Tambote, 2011), there is some evidence that the programmes
have helped trigger climate finance planning and coordination at national and sub-
national levels (Bird et al., 2019; ITAD, 2019).
4 Subsidiarity
3
Supportive national Integration in local government
policy environment 2 planning and decision-making
0
Predictability of financial flows Spaces for public deliberation
– or project and budget and participation
Source: Scoring intervention using principles of devolved governance and finance of climate change
adaptation.
Integration in local The PPCR project design emphasises development of district level 3
government planning adaptation plans. However, donor criteria for what can be supported and
and decision-making what cannot have, in some cases, complicated integration with planning
(e.g. district development plans cover the entire district but PPCR funding
can only be provided to climate vulnerable communities).
Spaces for public These have been limited to individual project proposals in which citizens 2
deliberation and and community groups can participate, sometimes with technical support
participation by NGOs recruited as service-providers. Broader spaces for public
deliberation on ‘what kind of adaptation do we want here’ have, to some
extent, been provided through community groups. Opportunities for
expressing grievances beyond the formal planning process have, however,
not been emphasised.
Supportive national Zambia has a long-standing decentralisation policy, and the PPCR 2
policy environment support, in principle, builds on this. In practise, roll-out of the broader
decentralisation policy has been slow, and despite recent progress,
national level ministries relevant to adaptation remain reluctant to
relinquish power and funding in many sectors.
4 Subsidiarity
3
Supportive national Integration in local government
policy environment 2 planning and decision-making
0
Predictability of financial flows Spaces for public deliberation
– or project and budget and participation
Source: Scoring of intervention using principles of devolved governance and finance of climate change
adaptation.
Spaces for public Joint spaces for community/ Civil Society Organisation (CSO)/local 4
deliberation and government analysis and debate on adaptation planning. Community
participation monitors trained to foster communication, monitor progress and perform
advocacy role a community representatives vis-à-vis local and central
government actors.
Devolution of 2
Self-generated funding for adaptation through e.g. micro-credits, but
decision-making
external climate financing dependent on donor funding and priorities.
over climate finance
Supportive national National climate policy supports devolved adaptation planning and
2
policy environment guidelines developed for incorporating adaptation in local government
development plans. However, de facto fiscal decentralisation lags behind
and decision-making authority remains centralised on many aspects of
adaptation (Rasmussen et al., 2018; Sova et al., 2017).
Source: Draws on DIIS field research in Ghana by authors (Rasmussen & Friis-Hansen, 2017; Rasmussen
et al., 2018) and review of ALP project documents.
The UN Capital Development Fund’s (UNCDF) Local Climate Adaptive Living (LoCAL)
Facility (Dinshaw and McGinn, 2019) offers a practical mechanism to integrate
climate change adaptation into local governments’ planning and budgeting systems,
increase awareness of and response to climate change at the local level, and
increase the amount of finance available to local governments for climate change
adaptation. It provides performance-based climate resilience grants that add
additional finance for climate change adaptation to existing local government
infrastructure projects. Financial resources are combined with technical and
capacity-building support that allow local government authorities to align adaptation
concerns with established decision-making processes and public planning and
budgeting cycles. Compared with PPCR, LoCAL is relatively small in terms of
funding, with a total of USD 84 million mobilised during 2014–2019, but has,
nevertheless, operated in 280 local governments in 14 countries and has established
a viable model for locally led adaptation (UNCDF, 2020).
4 Subsidiarity
3
Supportive national Integration in local government
policy environment 2 planning and decision-making
0
Predictability of financial flows Spaces for public deliberation
– or project and budget and participation
Source: Scoring intervention using principles of devolved governance and finance of climate change
adaptation.
Integration in local The LoCAL model enables full integration of climate change adaptation in 4
government planning local government planning and decision-making. The LoCAL model is
and decision-making guided by principles of performance-based service delivery, which provide
local governments with clear incentives to integrate climate change
adaptation concerns in their overall planning.
Spaces for public LoCAL has no specific provisions for public deliberation and participation 2
deliberation and at sub-local government levels. In the case of Mozambique this has
participation resulted in few joint spaces for interaction with respect to adaptation
planning between local government and community members/civil
society organisations in adaptation planning.
Supportive national A strong and positive interaction exists between the LoCAL programme 3
policy environment and the ongoing political process of decentralization reforms in
Mozambique. However, the parliaments passing of central elements in the
decentralization reform has been subject to delays, indicating uneven
political support. Further the practical implementation the decentralization
reform is lacking behind.
4 Subsidiarity
3
Supportive national Integration in local government
policy environment 2 planning and decision-making
0
Predictability of financial flows Spaces for public deliberation
– or project and budget and participation
Source: Scoring intervention using principles of devolved governance and finance of climate change
adaptation.
Integration in local According to the system for implementing the CCCFs, each county must 4
government planning monitor and report their climate information through the local extension
and decision-making offices of the National Drought Management Authority (NDMA), who then
mainstreams the information into the national planning. It is on the basis
of this reported information that counties get access to the CCCFs and
can distribute funds to locally founded adaptation measures. The priority
areas of the CCCFs are also closely tied to each county’s development
priorities (in their County Integrated Development Plans), not least
because each county is obliged to set aside 1–2% of their annual
development budget to the county’s climate change projects8. As such,
the development funds from the counties and the CCCFs are expected to
be integrated into climate-compatible development initiatives.
Spaces for public Based on the five pilot counties, the model with WCCPCs have shown 3
deliberation and great results in terms of inviting and motivating local-level participation in
participation planning, implementing and managing climate change initiatives.
However, with incomplete implementation it is not yet possible to
determine how this will work in the remaining counties. Specifically,
whether decision-making and funds are effectively controlled by national
or county level institutions (such as the NDMA) despite the setup of
formal involvement of the WCCPCs. This uncertainty is important because
especially counties in arid and semi-arid areas in Kenya have a history of
struggles with weak government institutions, which has previously
resulted in a disconnect between government planning and community
planning, where consultation and involvement of community-based
institutions have been absent or excluded from planning processes
(Odhengo et al., 2019).
Devolution of If the requirements for the CCCF structure are successfully implemented 3
decision-making by all counties as planned, the county level and local institutions will have
over climate finance extensive control over the climate funds from the CCCF. However, while
devolution in Kenya may seem impressive on paper, in practise, centralised
institutions have shown a degree of resistance in relinquishing power. Due
to the incomplete implementation, the county-specific implications for the
CCCF are yet unknown.
Decision-making The funds are linked to the county’s own reported climate information 4
informed by local regarding vulnerabilities, hazards, food security and risks as well as
knowledge and actions proposed by the counties themselves. With the use of community
knowledge needs resource mapping, participatory vulnerability and resilience assessments
and systems for resilience monitoring (designed to track the link between
adaptation, resilience and economic development), the CCCF model
includes a very high degree of participatory planning and locally driven
initiatives. The participatory tools used in all wards in the county assist the
county institutions in prioritising investments that best targets
communities in terms of climate resiliency and vulnerability. The NDMA
have also piloted efforts to empower the county and community level
institutions to be able to apply for external funds directly. The strong
inclusion of the ward levels and the WCCPCs in planning, as well as in
implementation, as strengthened accountability, for instance with the
WCCPCs close monitoring of contractors.
Predictability of The CCCF is receiving funds from a variety of channels, including from 4
financial flows global/multilateral funds/institutions, national budgets, bilateral donor
funds, and private sector partners. The CCCF model is designed to blend
these resources and, therefore, has a low dependency on single sources of
finance. The additional contribution from the counties themselves (1-2%
of annual county development budgets) only adds to the relatively strong
stability of these funds, which creates a high predictability of the financial
flows.
The assessment presented here, while focused on the case of Denmark, can offer
relevant insights for other actors in their engagement with adaptation. Many donors
and development actors are increasingly engaging with adaptation, for instance as
countries boost their adaptation finance towards a balance between adaptation and
mitigation. This will entail strategic considerations of how best to direct increased
adaptation finance for successful outcomes on the ground – both in the short term,
and also in laying the groundwork for future resilience and adaptation. The
assessment provided supports such consideration, drawing on the governance
considerations put forward earlier.
We first provide a brief overview of the data and approach used and then assess the
current state of devolution in Danish adaptation support. We subsequently discuss
this status and possible ways forward in reference to the seven governance
considerations for devolution.
For this assessment, we draw both on international climate finance data as well
as project documentation of adaptation commitments. We draw specifically on
OECD DAC climate finance data as this also offers some additional information
on recipients when compared to UNFCCC data. We look specifically at Danish
climate Official Development Assistance (ODA) commitments for 2018 marked
as adaptation-related, either significant or principal. The majority of the 2018
commitments are for multi-year development engagements or are recurring
commitments. The findings, thus, provide some insight into Danish adaptation
support in recent years. For further information on methods and limitations see
Annex 2.
For these adaptation commitments, we have identified and assessed the four
indicators noted below that provide insight into aspects of devolution in Danish
support to adaptation:
Funding modality refers to the manner in which finance is disbursed. Here we look
specifically at core funding and project funding as two main modalities for
adaptation finance, both with implications for devolution. As discussed in the
considerations for governance, predictability of funding is important for successful
devolution. Short-term pilots and projects, and even five-year programmes with the
possibility of extension, fail to provide predictable funding. Funding modality has
been determined by information in OECD DAC data and through document review.
The assessment of Danish adaptation support in 2018 has produced the following
key findings, further elaborated on below:
14
12
10
0
IOs Os nts en
ts BO
s
up
s tor nts Os he
r
ING rnme /C gro ec lta NG Ot
e e rnm e s e d a t es n su
ov ov iti lis Pri
v Co
lg lg un ina
na na mm Marg
a tio a tio C o
N b-n
Su
Implementer Targeted
Source: Source: Authors’ analysis, OECD DAC Climate-related development finance dataset 2018
(accessed from https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-to-
pics/climate-change.htm). For more on methodology see Annex 2.
This gap between implementing and targeted entities in Danish adaptation support
may have negative implications for efficiency and outcomes. In documenting this
contrast, Figure 6 can provide a benchmark for assessing devolution of Danish
adaptation support going forward. This comparison can also be a simple and useful
tool for other development actors aiming to assess and improve devolution in the
implementation of their adaptation support.
This major role for multilateral organisations is not only of significance for devolution
of funding and decision-making, but also in terms of the sectors that are addressed
by adaptation commitments.
Funder et al., 2020 argue that there is a stark difference between sector engagements
of Danish adaptation commitments when comparing bilateral and multilateral
commitments in previous years. This difference underlines that adaptation
commitments directed through multilateral institutions support fewer and different
adaptation sector engagements than the more diverse engagements of Danish
bilateral adaptation support. While both are valuable, there is a need for strategic
consideration of the aims of Danish support to adaptation and which implementing
agencies (closely linked to channel of delivery) can best support them. These
considerations are becoming more important as Danish development funding is
increasingly channelled through multilateral organisations and Danish climate
finance and support to adaptation specifically is pledged to increase.
2%
■ Multilateral
20%
26% ■ INGOs
■ Bilateral
■ Research/Think tank
15% ■ Other
36%
Source: Source: Authors’ analysis, OECD DAC Climate-related development finance dataset 2018
(accessed from https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-to-
pics/climate-change.htm). For more on methodology see Annex 2.
2%
10%
15% ■ National governments
■ Sub-national governments
19%
■ Communities/community
organisations
22% ■ Marginalised
■ Private sector
■ NGOs
32%
Source: Authors’ analysis, OECD DAC Climate-related development finance dataset 2018 (accessed from
https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-topics/climate-chan-
ge.htm). For more on methodology see Annex 2.
This is not to say that Denmark does not provide core funding. In fact, 38% of Rio-
marked Danish adaptation support in 2018 was provided as core funding. Yet this
modality was used only for international organisations, including multilaterals,
international NGOs and a think tank. If also counting imputed multilateral shares
provided to multilateral institutions, this number would be even higher. This contrast
in who receives different funding modalities is striking, and it will be important to
consider how Denmark can shift towards longer-term funding modalities to support
those affected by climate change. While institutional frameworks to support core
funding for those affected, particularly sub-nationally, are in many cases lacking,
Danish adaptation support could be geared towards supporting the development of
such institutions, building on experiences from countries like Kenya and India.
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
National entity Multilateral
(Bilateral)
Source: Source: Authors’ analysis, OECD DAC Climate-related development finance dataset 2018
(accessed from https://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/development-finance-to-
pics/climate-change.htm). For more on methodology see Annex 2.
second is multilateral institutions, for instance UNDP, FAO, and IBRD, among others.
Though again, this does not include commitments to multilateral institutions that
do not have a Rio marker.
With inspiration from the LLA principles, the study identifies and further unpacks the
governance aspects of devolved finance for climate change adaptation and
subsequently uses them to assess four models used by international donors to
support devolved finance for climate change adaptation. We draw the following
conclusions and perspectives.
■ Two local government-based models (LoCAL and CCCF) score high on devolving
of decision-making over climate change adaptation finance. Local Government
institutions have extensive control over financial resources within the framework
for invited political space set by the models. The PCR and ALP models score low
on devolution of decision-making as local decisions in practise have to be
approved by external higher-level institutions.
■ The ALP and CCCF models score high on decision-making informed by local
knowledge and knowledge needs. In both models, planning is based on locally
generated information and analysis regarding climate vulnerability and hazards.
The two other models (PPCR and LoCAL) are primarily based on the technical
knowledge of local government bureaucrats.
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When UNFCCC’s so-called ‘Annex II countries’ report climate finance towards the
USD 100 billion goal, they do so in their Biennial Reports. These reports, however,
provide very limited information as to where and how the funds are provided, which
is why researchers often turn to climate finance data presented by the OECD. While
the OECD data on climate-related development finance provides the most extensive
source of information on global climate finance flows, the information on devolved
climate finance is lacking. The first recipient of climate finance is well documented
whereas information on the final recipient is not.9
To work around the inadequate aggregated source data of the final recipient, several
reports resort to a word search in project documents to discern whether the project
reaches the local level or not, such as the 10%10 calculated by IIED and the 1.7%11 of
climate finance reaching small-scale farmers as calculated by CPI and IFAD.
However, the IIED word search of project documents only cover a small share of
international climate funds’ climate finance allocation to local level implementation
between 2003 and 2016. The international climate funds committed USD 17.4
billion during that period but only 7% of the projects approved were sufficiently
transparent to analyse/apply a word search for locally led significance. As such, the
presented percentage is based on USD 1.2 billion of the total provision of climate
finance between 2003 and 2016. Comparatively, nearly USD 60 billion climate
finance was reported in 2016 alone.12
The necessary global reporting modalities are simply not yet established to
accurately calculate the share of climate finance which reaches the local level/is
devolved. The 2017 working paper from IIED13 presents these limitations in their
annexes, rightly concluding that the presented figures are indicative at best for the
small proportion that is international funds (not total climate finance) due to lack of
relevant data and in-depth analysis of all project documents.
This study draws on OECD DAC Climate-related development finance dataset 2018.
We have also removed all commitments where adaptation was not scored as
principal or significant according to the Rio markers. This means that imputed
multilateral contributions, which are not given a Rio marker, are not included.
Imputed multilateral contributions ‘are calculated by estimating, per international
organisation, the climate-related share within its portfolio and attributing it back to
bilateral providers, based on their core contributions (disbursements) to the
organisation in a given year.’14 Denmark’s adaptation support channelled through
multilateral contributions is, therefore, even higher than indicated in this analysis.
We have also removed specific research and evaluation projects marked as
adaptation in order to focus to a higher degree on adaptation practise and
international engagement.