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Hidden Markov Model PPT Part 2

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
28 views

Hidden Markov Model PPT Part 2

Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Amit Sagu

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Start of the Day
0.2
0.4 0.4

0.2 Sunny
Rainy
Cloudy
0.2
0.4
Initial Probability Matrix
Initial Probability Cloudy Sunny Rainy
0.4 0.4 0.2

Transition Probability Matrix

Cloudy Sunny Rainy


Cloudy 0.5 0.2 0.3
Hidden States
Sunny 0.4 0.4 0.2
Rainy 0.3 0.2 0.5

Emission Probability Matrix


Umbrella Normal Raincoat
Observable States Cloudy 0.7 0.2 0.1
Sunny 0.3 0.6 0.1
Rainy 0.5 0.1 0.4
? ? ? ?
( Cloudy / Sunny /Rainy ) ( Cloudy / Sunny /Rainy ) ( Cloudy / Sunny /Rainy ) ( Cloudy / Sunny /Rainy )

3 * 3 * 3 * 3 = 81

81
Cloudy Sunny Rainy Cloudy

Emission Probability Matrix


P( Umbrella | Cloudy ) * P(Normal | Sunny ) * P(Umbrella | Rainy ) * P (Raincoat | Cloudy ) Umbrella Normal Raincoat
Cloudy 0.7 0.2 0.1
*
Sunny 0.3 0.6 0.1
P( init prob. Of Cloudy) * P (Sunny | cloudy ) * P (Rainy | Sunny ) * P(Cloudy | Rainy ) Rainy 0.5 0.1 0.4

Transition Probability Matrix


Cloudy Sunny Rainy
Initial Probability Matrix
Cloudy 0.5 0.2 0.3
Cloudy Sunny Rainy
Sunny 0.4 0.4 0.2
0.4 0.4 0.2
Rainy 0.3 0.2 0.5
=P1

=P2

= P 81

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