Carbon Pricing MITI ESGright 1
Carbon Pricing MITI ESGright 1
Carbon Pricing MITI ESGright 1
Pricing
26 March 2024
1. Introduction
4. Case Study
Content of the Presentation
5. Designing Carbon Tax
6. Conclusion
1 Introduction
THE CLIMATE CHANGE
2000:
0.240C
1980: 0.300C
Dec 1900:
-0.060C
1900: 1980:
1.2 4.4
tonne/person tonne/person
Antonio Guterres,
UN Secretary General
Source: FAO, Climate Data, World Bank.
EMISSIONS OUTLOOK
• The pre-Paris policy baseline, illustrated in grey, reflects the IEA’s anticipation
of continued emissions growth for decades leading up to the COP21 summit
(2015)
• Post-2015, the adoption of new climate policies and the rapid spread of low-
carbon technologies have resulted in a notable slowdown in global emission
growth.
• The latest outlook for 2023 (dark blue) foresees emissions peaking even
sooner than previously expected in 2022, underlining a more rapid decline
following the peak.
• Additionally, achieving these climate pledges would still fall significantly below
the required measures to restrict global warming to less than 1.5 degrees
Source: International Energy Association World Energy Outlook. Celsius above pre-industrial levels, as indicated by the yellow line.
WHAT IS CARBON PRICING?
Carbon pricing is an instrument that captures the external costs of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions—the costs of emissions that the public
pays for, such as damage to crops, health care costs from heat waves and droughts, and loss of property from flooding and sea level rise—and
ties them to their sources through a price, usually in the form of a price on the carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted.
A price on carbon helps shift the burden for the damage from GHG emissions back to those who are responsible for it and who can avoid it.
Instead of dictating who should reduce emissions where and how, a carbon price provides an economic signal to emitters, and allows them to
decide to either transform their activities and lower their emissions, or continue emitting and paying for their emissions. In this way, the overall
environmental goal is achieved in the most flexible and least-cost way to society.
5 Carbon Offset
4 Carbon Credits
Credits given based on CO2 emissions reduction
the amount of carbon made in order to offset an
kept in the biosphere emission made elsewhere
Output through human actions
About 23% of total global GHG emissions are covered by operating CPIs…
Australia March 2023: passed a legislation to reform the Safeguard Mechanism effective July 1, 2023. The Safeguard Mechanism assigns emissions
baselines for over 200 large facilities. Facilities emitting above their baseline must offset excess emissions. The reforms will reduce
emissions baselines for covered facilities and allow the issuance of credits to facilities that overachieve on their baseline. This in effect will turn
the Safeguard Mechanism into a rate-based ETS.
Indonesia Feb 2023: launched a mandatory, intensity-based ETS for the power sector. This will cover 99 coal-fired power plants that accounts for 81.4%
of the country’s national power generation capacity.
Japan Feb 2022: Green Transformation League – a baseline-and-credit system, building upon existing carbon trading system (Joint Crediting
Mechanism).
Singapore 2019: Carbon tax was introduced and from 2024, the price will increase to 25 SGD.
China ETS was operationalized in 2021 covering more than 2,000 big emitters in the power sector. The current scope of the ETS includes annual
emissions close to 4.5 billion tonnes of CO2 per year, or around 40% of China’s total.
EU Dec 2022: introduced a tighter cap for the existing EU ETS for electricity, industry, and aviation and a phase-in of the maritime sector from
2024 onward. A phase-out of free allocation of allowances for the industrial sector will be accompanied by a phase-in of the EU Carbon Border
Adjustment Mechanism beginning in 2026. Moreover, the EU decided to introduce an “EU ETS 2” for buildings, road transport, and process
heat in industry in 2027 or, if energy prices remain high, in 2028
Norway Increased carbon tax by 28% for most fossil fuels in 2022 and 21% in 2023. Norway also introduced a tax on waste
incineration at the rate of USD 18.32/tCO2, as well as on natural gas and liquified petroleum gas at the rate of USD 7.34/tCO2 in 2022.
Thailand Early 2022: launched the Voluntary ETS and published rules and guidelines for carbon credit trading with the launch of the carbon credit
trading platform – Federation of Thai Industries Exchange
Vietnam July 2022: announced a Roadmap for the implementation of an ETS with a declining cap corresponding to Vietnam’s nationally-determined
contribution. The pilot ETS is expected to start in 2026 and fully operationalized by 2028.
MALAYSIA’S GHG EMISSIONS
The energy sector in Malaysia accounts for ~80% of emissions,
while LULUCF removals address ~65% of emissions…
Energy Sector
2019 GHG Emissions (removals), MtCO2e
Malaysia's Oil Production and Petroleum-related Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Selected Countries Electricity Generation by Source
Revenue as Percentage of Total Government Revenue
CPI incentives the transition to low carbon energy sources and products
WHY IS THE NEED FOR CPI IN MALAYSIA? (4)
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) could affect up to 57% of Malaysia’s exports to the EU
by 2026 if the equivalent emissions standards are not complied by domestic manufacturers…
Impact Estimation of CBAM on Malaysia’s Exports to the EU • Malaysia’s trade competitiveness and
investment attractiveness would be further
eroded should other countries impose similar
1000
Malaysia’s CDM Projects
500 344 258 192 149 148 144 112 CERs since 2006 13,777,247
0
Investment USD453.26 million
TOTAL 149
Tech-based Nature-based
RE Agriculture / Soil
EE Carbon
Transport
CCS Forestry
Industrial Gases
Waste Disposal Other Land Use
Household
Devices Blue Carbon
Source: Bursa Malaysia.
VOLUNTARY CARBON MARKET (2)
Module A: Impact Analysis and Module B: National MRV and Module C: Domestic Crediting Module D: Capacity Building and
Policy Review Registry Development Scheme Development Stakeholder Engagement
(i) Carbon pricing impact (i) Evaluation of MRV gaps and (i) Recommendations for offset (i) Assessment of capacity
analysis needs assessment standards and protocols building needs [Lot 1]
(ii) Study on international (ii) Recommendations for a (ii) Integration of nature-based (ii) Communications /
lessons learned from carbon facility-level MRV platform credits into the national CPIs awareness raising strategy
taxes (iii) Recommendations for a (iii) Recommendations for a just
(iii) National policy evaluation national registry system transition action plan
and CPI option analysis (iv) Legislative analysis to (iv) Capacity building support to
(iv) Assessment of the regulatory support the MRV elements of private participants [Lot 1]
requirements for a carbon the CPI (v) Arrange study tours
tax (v) Training and technical
support
i-ESG Framework
To enhance ESG
practices
4 Case Study
SINGAPORE
Singapore was the first country in ASEAN to implement a carbon tax through a phased-
approach
• Implemented in 2019 under the Carbon Pricing Act (CPA) covering 6 gases: CO2, methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O),
hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluoro carbons (PFCs) and Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)
• Covers 80% of total GHG emissions and implemented at the upstream facilities which emit more than 25,000 tCO2 per
annum
• Implementation of support measures such as financial support for businesses and support for low-income households
through the Climate Friendly Households Programme
From 2024, the price will be S$25, including nitrogen trifluoride Emission Intensive Trade Exposed (EITE)
(NFs) and allow up to 5% of taxable emissions to be offset by Key Administrations
“high-quality” international carbon credits
Transition Framework
• National Climate Change Secretariat is
responsible for the design and adoption of
• EITE entities are defined as businesses
Carbon Price (S$ per tCO2e)
Indonesia outlined the design of a carbon tax in October 2021 as one of a number of
initiatives set out under the Carbon Pricing Roadmap
• Carbon Pricing Roadmap was signed in October 2021 which outlined design and implementation of an ETS and carbon
crediting mechanism to complement carbon tax.
• Carbon tax passed in law in October 2021 as part of law for tax regulation harmonization which is levied upstream on coal-
fired power plants; however, implementation has been postponed.
• Carbon tax envisaged as a “cap-and-tax” system; but broader carbon pricing policy mix is to be implemented by 2025 with
mandatory ETS launched for power generation sector in 2023 for coal-fired plants >100MW
The EU has the oldest ETS in the world and largest in terms of trading volume
• Started in 2005 and operates in 30 countries (all 27 EU countries + Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein)
• In 2022, the value of the trading exceeded 1.7 trillion euro
• Applies to emissions from the electricity and heat generation, industrial manufacturing and aviation within Europe
• Covers about 36% of the EU’s GHG emissions (8500 stationary installations and 400 aircraft operators)
• In 2023, the ETS Directive was reviewed:
✓ Stronger: more stringent cap
✓ Larger: covers new sectors – maritime (2024) and building and road transport (2027)
The EU ETS is based on a cap and trade system that places European Green Deal
a market-based price on carbon emissions of specified goods • European Climate Law
in certain covered sectors. Improved Revenue
✓ Climate neutrality by 2050
Allocated free allowances Allocated free allowances ✓ Reducing emissions by 2030 to at least • Current carbon price: 80 – 90 euro/tCO2
55% as compared to the 1990 levels • Emission reductions: -37.3% below 2005 in
Excess
Allowance
✓ Carbon pricing plays a key role in 2022
emissions Unused allowances achieving EU’s climate target • Total revenue from 2013 - today: 152 b
auctions for sale
• Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism euro
• ETS Modernization Fund: to modernize
Emissions (CBAM) energy systems in lower-income Member
✓ CBAM sector represents 54% of the State, focusing on investments
total free allocation between 2021-25 • ETS Innovation Fund: to focus on innovate
Allowances
✓ Free allocation under the ETS and technologies
CBAM are interlinked – free allocation • ETS 2 Social Climate Fund: To provide
Money will be phased out as CBAM is phased temporary income support
in
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
5 Designing Carbon Tax
DESIGNING CARBON TAX
The World Bank Partnership for Market Readiness (PMR) Carbon Tax Guide (2017) outlines five broad
elements of carbon tax design
1 2 3
Tax Base Tax Rate Unwanted Effects
Define the tax base and Determine the tax rate charged Address the potential
determine the scope of for emissions and how it may undesirable effects from the
coverage of the carbon tax evolve over time implementation of carbon
to meet policy objectives taxes
4 5
Revenue Use Institutions
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
DESIGNING CARBON TAX: TAX BASE
Defining the tax base requires careful analysis of the sectors and gases a proposed carbon tax will consider…
Key
considerations
for defining
the tax base
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
DESIGNING CARBON TAX: TAX RATES
Tax rates can be determined via three different approaches, implementation requires economic impact and
political feasibility assessment
1 3
Social Cost of Carbon Economic & political feasibility
What is the total estimate of economic Most common approach – start slow and
damages from the emission of an ramp up
additional ton of CO2
2
Target-Based Approach
What is the carbon price necessary to
meet specific climate targets?
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
DESIGNING CARBON TAX: UNINTENDED EFFECTS
In designing a carbon tax, it is important to consider the potential for unintended effects to arise, and to
develop measures to address these. Two potential effects are particularly important in this context:
1 2
Carbon Leakage Distributional Impacts
Market shares shift from covered to uncovered firms,
promoting emissions in areas not covered by CPIs
Reduction in Increase in
emissions emissions Unequal impacts on different Unequal impacts on
regions due to differences in different income groups
CPI Covered CPI Not Covered economic structure and resulting due to differences in
emission intensity consumption patterns
Flow of resources
Geographical Income
Potential Solutions
Policy Coordination Eliminating the price differential with competing jurisdictions through tax measures or border-carbon adjustments
Subsidy Direct payments or support provided to groups that have been disproportionately affected by the tax
Transitory Allowances Support existing companies in EITE sectors as they transition towards lower-carbon operations to minimize the impact on their
competitiveness
Supporting Actions Provide direct support to companies or sectors through technical assistance programme
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
DESIGNING CARBON TAX: HOW THE REVENUE IS USED
Carbon taxes can raise significant revenue, it is important for policy makers to consider how that revenue will be
used; as it will have implications for the overall economy, the efficiency of the tax system, and public welfare…
Redistributing revenue back Able to increase the Moved into general Constrain the allocation of
to households (transparent efficiency of the tax budget for unrestricted new carbon tax revenue
and popular) or businesses system as carbon taxes spending. to specific uses
(to address leakage) typically have fewer
inefficiencies and social
costs Debt reduction
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
DESIGNING CARBON TAX: INSTITUTIONS
Effective tax administration requires effective institutions and processes to implement the tax and enforce
compliance with tax obligations…
5 2
Map existing
a. Ensure appropriate leadership a. Determine existing institutions can assume
Ensure competences
b. Designate decision makers coordination and assign those functions
c. Establish special working groups functions b. Establish new structure if there is no
d. Develop communication channels institution to undertake the tasks required
4 3
a. Identification of capacity building needs a. MRV
Strengthen Establish
b. Methods and tools for capacity building capacities procedures b. Tax assessment and payment
c. Learning by doing c. Claiming rebates
d. Audit and inspection
e. Investigation of fraud and prosecution
Source: World Bank PMR’s Carbon Tax Guide and MOF PMI Project.
6 Conclusion
CONCLUSION
1. Carbon Pricing Instruments (CPIs) are pivotal tools in combating climate change
2. It offers various approaches for nations to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
3. Malaysia, actively engaged in climate action, is designing CPIs tailored to its commitments and needs.
4. The successful implementation of these CPIs relies heavily on factors such as tax rate, coverage, and
governance.
5. It is also imperative to analyse not just the environmental but also the social impacts of these policies to
ensure they are equitable and beneficial for all segments of society.
Thank You
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