Whalestox
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Technical analysis involves studying historical market data such as stock prices and
traded volume. By utilizing insights from market psychology, behavioral economics, and
quantitative analysis, technical analysts aim to forecast future market behavior based on
past performance.
There are numerous methods and strategies available for forecasting future market
behavior through technical analysis. However, one of the most effective approaches is
Image (1.1)
Topic : 4
Candlesticks or bars are representations of price in the trading world. There are various types of
candlesticks or bars available, but the most effective ones are Japanese candlesticks.
Japanese candlesticks represent four types of price : High, Low, Open, Close.
A bullish candlestick indicates a buying signal, and it is effective when it forms on a support
level.
A bearish candlestick indicates selling, and it is only effective when it forms on a resistance
level.
If a Doji candlestick forms on support, there is a 90% chance that it will create buying pressure
and the market will go up. Conversely, if a Doji candlestick forms on resistance, there is a 90%
chance that it will create selling pressure and the market will go down.
Let's understand this in an image. :
Now, there are four additional important candlestick patterns, including bullish and bearish
candlesticks. This time, two or three candles combine together to provide buying or selling
signals.
These two or three candles combine together to Indicate buying or selling signals.
Morning star indicates a buying signal, and it is effective when it forms on a support level.
Bottom tweezer indicates a buying signal, and it is effective when it forms on a support level.
Evening star indicates selling, and it is only effective when it forms on a resistance level.
Top tweezer indicates selling, and it is only effective when it forms on a resistance level.
Let's understand this in an image. :
Topic : 5
of supply. The concept of Support and Resistance is based on the principles of demand and
supply in trading. Support and resistance are technical terms used to describe specific
1.It is advisable to avoid buying or going long at resistance levels or resistance zone, as well as
2.It is advisable to always buy or go long at support levels or support zone and sell or go short
3.To identify support and resistance levels, always watch for major reversals on either side.
Topic : 6
Market behavior depends on buying and selling activities. The market typically moves in a
zigzag or wave pattern due to these transactions. When buying activity is high, the market tends
to move in an upward direction, whereas when selling activity is high, the market tends to move
in a downward direction.
In this market structure, prices move upwards due to increased buying activity, and It moves
Always remember, the market never moves in a straight way; It always moves in a zigzag
pattern.
market, there is limited upward or downward movement, and the price tends to trade within a
Whether the market is moving upward or downward, every trend is marked by three phases.
○ Accumulation phase
○ Distribution phase
traders lose hope of the prices rising upward. So, although the prices may have touched the
lowest possible point for that cycle, buyers remain hesitant to purchase the stock. Because of
At this point, astute institutional investors enter the market. They recognize that the market has
touched a low, and in a bid to accumulate the stock at such low prices, they begin to purchase
large volumes of the stock regularly, over a prolonged period of time. This is what results in the
formation of support levels, since the huge volumes of stock purchase by these smart investors
kickstarts the sluggish demand and gives the stock price a much-needed upward push.
who follow technical trends, notice the activity that’s taking place and enter the markets. They
begin buying the stock as well, causing a quick rise in the price of the asset. In this manner, a
bullish trend is established, which is why this phase is also known as the mark-up phase. This
rising trend is generally swift and steep, so a large segment of the public is initially left out of the
trading rally. Soon, the news about the markets becomes generally positive, causing more
buyers to enter the trading arena. Analysts and researchers see high price trends, and this
At the peak of the mark-up phase, the price of the stock reaches new high levels. As news of
these trends become more publicly available, everybody begins to invest in the stock. Here’s
where the smart investors again enter the picture. Contrary to what occurred in the
accumulation phase, here, institutional investors start to sell off their holdings systematically.
The supply of the stock thus constantly increases. And whenever the stock price attempts to go
past a certain point, the increased sell-off from institutional investors prevents it from rising past
that mark, leading to the formation of resistance levels. Eventually, the huge sell-off stagnates
the price at certain levels and keeps it from rising further. And then, a downtrend begins, leading
to a bear market.
In the image below, notice how the market is on a primarily downward trend from January 2000
to around August 2001? Then, nearabout September 2001, there’s a panic price action point
after which the institutional investors come in, making the period from around January 2002 to
May 2003 an accumulation phase. Notice how there are many support levels that are formed in
this phase.
Then, in the response phase, as short-term traders throng to the markets, we see a sharp rise in
the index price from around 900 during May 2003 to around 2000 during January 2004. At this
point, there’s a resistance that builds up since institutional investors start to sell off their
Now, I hope everyone is now clear about price action. Let's proceed to the strategy segment.
Each candlesticks (price) movement forms distinct patterns that signal either buying or selling
opportunities.
There are Some price action patterns that work very accurately. They are :
The triangle pattern is a commonly observed chart pattern in technical analysis, which
represents a consolidation phase or accumulation phase in the market. And this pattern
monitor the price action pattern within the triangle and look for a breakout. If the breakout
occurs upward, the market is likely to move in an upward direction. Conversely, if the breakout
happens downward, the market is expected to move in a downward direction.When the overall
market is in an uptrend, the pattern is more likely to break out to the upside and continue its
upward trajectory. Conversely, when the market is in a downtrend, the pattern is more likely to
The double bottom pattern is a technical analysis chart pattern that indicates a potential bullish
reversal in the price of an asset. It typically occurs after a prolonged downtrend and consists of
two consecutive troughs at a similar price level, separated by a peak in between. This pattern
suggests that the selling pressure has exhausted, and buyers are stepping in, leading to a
The double top pattern is a technical analysis chart pattern that occurs when the price of
an asset reaches a high point, pulls back, and then retests the previous high before
A trendline breakout strategy is a trading strategy that involves identifying a trendline on a price chart
and entering a trade when the price breaks above or below the trendline.Implementing a trendline
breakout strategy involves using technical analysis tools to draw trendlines on a price chart and
Identify a trend, whether it is upward or downward, and draw a line connecting the reversals of the
trend.
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5. range breakout strategy :
A range breakout strategy is a popular trading strategy used by traders to identify potential
breakouts from a range-bound market. It involves identifying a price range within which the price
has been trading for a significant period of time , this phase also known as accumulation or a
consolidation phase. And then placing trades when the price breaks above or below that range.
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