BR4. Spending Plans
BR4. Spending Plans
BR4. Spending Plans
Government has revised its spending plans in light of weak economic growth and lower-than-expected
revenue collection. As announced in the 2016 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), the
2017 Budget proposes to lower the spending ceiling over the medium-term expenditure framework
(MTEF) period by reducing spending on non-core goods and services, and compensation of employees.
A significant portion of funding has been reprioritised to safeguard the provision of social services,
bolster public health programmes, mitigate the increasing costs of higher education for students from
low- and middle-income households, and maintain infrastructure investment. Apart from debt-service
costs, post-school education is the fastest-growing spending category, followed by health and social
protection.
Consolidated spending is expected to increase from R1.4 trillion in 2016/17 to R1.8 trillion by 2019/20,
growing by an average of 7.9 per cent per year. This translates to real annual expenditure growth of
1.9 per cent, down from an annual average of 2.3 per cent between 2013/14 and 2016/17.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
Basic education2 226 643 242 968 261 292 280 139 17.5% 7.3%
Health 170 888 187 483 201 377 217 131 13.5% 8.3%
Defence, public order and safety 190 036 198 702 210 814 224 956 14.2% 5.8%
Defence and state security 52 341 53 983 56 279 59 998 3.8% 4.7%
Police services 87 521 93 790 99 876 106 528 6.7% 6.8%
Law courts and prisons 41 448 43 756 46 506 49 663 3.1% 6.2%
Home affairs 8 727 7 173 8 152 8 767 0.5% 0.2%
Post-school education and 68 952 77 550 80 856 89 839 5.5% 9.2%
training
Economic affairs 201 658 215 047 227 995 244 003 15.3% 6.6%
Industrial development and trade 28 438 28 939 31 662 34 218 2.1% 6.4%
Employment, labour affairs and social 72 275 75 935 79 936 84 462 5.4% 5.3%
security funds
Economic infrastructure and network 81 258 89 523 94 792 101 845 6.4% 7.8%
regulation
Science, technology, innovation and 19 686 20 650 21 606 23 478 1.5% 6.0%
the environment
Human settlements and municipal 179 834 195 751 210 170 226 402 14.1% 8.0%
infrastructure
Agriculture, rural development and 25 998 26 534 27 923 29 826 1.9% 4.7%
land reform
General public services 69 977 70 694 72 462 75 616 4.9% 2.6%
Executive and legislative organs 12 976 14 340 15 202 16 089 1.0% 7.4%
General public administration 45 185 43 943 44 584 46 775 3.0% 1.2%
and fiscal affairs
External affairs and foreign aid 11 816 12 412 12 677 12 752 0.8% 2.6%
Social protection 164 936 180 046 193 548 209 088 13.0% 8.2%
Allocated by function 1 298 923 1 394 774 1 486 437 1 597 001 100.0% 7.1%
Debt-service costs 146 281 162 353 180 652 197 320 10.5%
Contingency reserve – 6 000 10 000 20 000
Consolidated expenditure 1 445 205 1 563 127 1 677 089 1 814 321 7.9%
1. The main budget and spending by provinces, public entities and social security funds financed from own revenue
2. Includes arts, sports, recreation and culture
Source: National Treasury
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
Health
The NDP envisions a health system that works for everyone, with a sharp reduction in the country’s
disease burden and a strong public health system. Spending in this function will grow from
R170.9 billion in 2016/17 to R217.1 billion in 2019/20. Health expenditure growth is mainly driven by
expanded provision of antiretroviral treatment, which now reaches 3.5 million people. Since September
2016, government has been implementing a universal test-and-treat policy, offering all patients
diagnosed with HIV antiretroviral treatment. To sustain this initiative, R1 billion has been earmarked for
the comprehensive HIV, AIDS and TB conditional grant in 2019/20. As indicated in Chapter 1,
government plans to launch a national health insurance fund during 2017/18.
Health expenditure has grown in real terms by about 1.3 per cent between 2012/13 and 2018/19. Public
health budgets remain under pressure as a result of increased personnel costs, higher expenditure on the
antiretroviral programme and currency depreciation. Although centralised procurement of medicine has
resulted in estimated savings of R1.6 billion per year, these savings have largely been offset by the
weaker rand, which drives up the cost of imported medicines.
Government has responded by limiting staff numbers, improving efficiencies in medicine procurement
and distribution, delaying large infrastructure projects and reprioritising budgets. To compensate
provincial health departments and protect them from future currency depreciation, R1 billion will be
added to the provincial equitable share in 2019/20.
In 2017/18, the South African Health Products Regulatory Authority will be established as a public
entity. It will regulate the registration, licensing, manufacturing and importing of active pharmaceutical
ingredients, medicines and medical devices. It will also conduct clinical trials. The new entity will be
funded through R397.6 million in transfers from the Department of Health over the medium term and
fees collected from the pharmaceutical industry.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
Social protection
Government aims to provide a social safety net for all South Africans, particularly the young, elderly
and disabled, and to standardise social welfare practices as highlighted in the NDP. Spending on this
priority is set to rise from R164.9 billion in 2016/17 to R209.1 billion by 2019/20, growing at an annual
average of 8.2 per cent over the medium term.
Early childhood development services for children 0-4 years’ old have grown over the past five years,
but only half of the 2.4 million children from poor households who should benefit are accessing the
services. Government has allocated an additional R1.1 billion over the MTEF period for early child
development. This will provide subsidies for 113 889 more children.
The number of social grant beneficiaries is expected to reach 18.1 million by the end of 2019/20. The
child support grant will reach an estimated 12.8 million beneficiaries and the state old age grant
3.6 million beneficiaries. Due to increases in beneficiary numbers and inflationary adjustments to grant
amounts, expenditure on grants is expected to increase at an average annual rate of 8.2 per cent over the
medium term, reaching R175.6 billion in 2019/20. Grant amounts are adjusted according to inflation
projections to maintain their real
value, as shown in Table 5.9. The Table 5.9 Average monthly social grant values
state old age grant is expected to Rand 2016/17 2017/18 Percentage
increase by R95 per month in State old age 1 505 1 600 increase
6.3%
2017/18, while the foster care and State old age, over 75 1 525 1 620 6.2%
child support grants will increase by War veterans 1 525 1 620 6.2%
R30 and R25 respectively. Disability 1 505 1 600 6.3%
Foster care 890 920 3.4%
Care dependency 1 505 1 600 6.3%
Child support 355 380 7.0%
Source: National Treasury
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
Of this amount, 42.7 per cent is for university subsidies, 21.9 per cent for the National Student Financial
Aid Scheme (NSFAS), and 9.7 per cent for technical and vocational education and training.
Over the MTEF period, R21.1 billion has been added to the spending envelope for the sector. This
includes the R5 billion provisional allocation in 2019/20 mentioned earlier. It also includes R7.3 billion
to compensate universities and technical and vocational education and training colleges for the shortfall
caused by the zero per cent fee increase for students from households earning up to R600 000 per year in
the 2017 academic year.
A total of 615 000 university students will receive NSFAS loans and bursaries over the next three years.
The scheme receives additional allocations of R7.7 billion over this period to help unfunded NSFAS
university students from the 2016 academic year continue their studies. Transfers to NSFAS is expected
to rise from R11.4 billion in 2016/17 to R13.9 billion in 2019/20.
University enrolments are expected to increase from 1 million in 2016/17 to 1.1 million in 2019/20.
Enrolments in technical and vocational education and training colleges will remain stable at 710 535
per year as government works to resolve institutional challenges. Enrolments at community education
and training colleges, which target youth and adults who did not attend or complete school, will increase
from 310 000 in 2016/17 to 340 000 in 2019/20. Government has allocated a total of R4.2 billion for
operational and capital expenditure at the recently opened University of Mpumalanga and the Sol Plaatje
University over the medium term. New facilities and student accommodation will allow them to enrol a
combined total of 3 875 students for the 2017 academic year.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
Basic education
This function group supports the NDP goal of improving the quality of and access to basic education.
Outcomes in this sector need to improve for it to make the necessary contribution to skills and economic
growth. Spending in this category is expected to increase from R216.9 billion in 2016/17 to
R268.8 billion in 2019/20, accounting for 17.5 per cent of government expenditure. Spending growth is
largely driven by employee compensation, particularly in provinces.
In total, R12.7 billion will be spent on learner and teacher support materials over the medium term,
including expanding access to and improving the use of information and communications technology.
The Department of Basic Education aims to increase the number of teachers by providing 40 500 Funza
Lushaka bursaries for subjects such as mathematics, science and technology. A total of R3.5 billion has
been allocated for this purpose.
The national school nutrition programme grant feeds about 9 million learners at 19 800 schools each
school day. Over the medium term, an additional R390 million is added to the grant to keep pace with
food price inflation, bringing the total allocation to R20.4 billion. And R460 million is added to a new
conditional grant to provide access to quality, publicly funded education and support for 8 000 learners
with severe intellectual disabilities. The grant will fund training for teachers and officials in
155 identified schools, 31 special schools and 280 special care centres.
Spending on the education infrastructure grant will reach R14.1 billion by 2019/20 to support the
construction of new schools, upgrading and maintenance of existing infrastructure, and provision of
school furniture. The indirect school infrastructure backlogs grant will be incorporated into the
education infrastructure grant from 2018/19. This merger was delayed by a year to allow the
Department of Basic Education to complete outstanding infrastructure projects. By 2018/19, the
department expects to have replaced 510 inappropriate and unsafe schools, and provided water to
1 120 schools, sanitation to 741 schools and electricity to 916 schools.
Table 5.11 Basic education expenditure
2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Percentage Average
Revised Medium-term estimates of total annual
estimate MTEF MTEF
growth
R million
Arts, sports, recreation 9 760 10 389 10 797 11 290 4.1% 5.0%
and culture
Basic education 216 884 232 579 250 495 268 849 95.9% 7.3%
Compensation of employees 165 513 178 244 192 585 207 320 73.7% 7.8%
of which:
Provincial compensation of 164 936 177 657 191 962 206 652 73.5% 7.8%
employees
Goods and services 20 572 21 300 23 268 25 259 8.9% 7.1%
of which:
Workbooks 1 009 1 048 1 109 1 172 0.4% 5.1%
National school nutrition 6 060 6 426 6 802 7 186 2.6% 5.8%
programme
Learner and teacher support 3 495 3 771 4 313 4 594 1.6% 9.5%
materials
Transfers and subsidies 17 500 18 936 20 370 21 578 7.8% 7.2%
of which:
Subsidies to schools 1 13 839 15 077 16 155 17 095 6.2% 7.3%
Payments for capital assets 13 209 14 013 14 215 14 633 5.5% 3.5%
of which:
Education infrastructure grant 9 933 10 046 13 390 14 141 4.8% 12.5%
School infrastructure 2 181 2 595 – – 0.3% -100.0%
backlogs grant
Total 226 643 242 968 261 292 280 139 100.0% 7.3%
1. Includes some provision for learner teacher support material
Source: National Treasury
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
Economic affairs
Spending in this function supports the NDP objectives of growing the economy and employment. Over
the medium term, spending is expected to increase to R244 billion by 2019/20 at an average annual
growth rate of 6.6 per cent, with a focus on developing infrastructure and industry, and creating jobs.
Industrial development
To promote industrialisation, economic transformation and inclusive growth, government continues to
provide incentives for special economic zones, critical infrastructure and manufacturing. Over the
medium term, R4.2 billion will be allocated for industrial infrastructure projects, with 32 strategic
projects expected to be approved for special economic zones and industrial parks. About 1 450
companies are expected to benefit from the Manufacturing Incentive Programme, which is allocated
R9.6 billion over the medium term, including R1.3 billion to bolster competitiveness. Government will
allocate R95 million to the Industrial Development Corporation to support the establishment of the Steel
Development Fund, intended to improve the competitiveness of foundries and steel fabricators.
Economic infrastructure
Road infrastructure expenditure is expected to increase from R40.8 billion in 2016/17 to R47 billion in
2019/20. To improve spending efficiency, a new performance incentive is introduced in the provincial
roads maintenance grant in 2017. Despite a budget reduction of R687 million over the medium term,
the South African National Roads Agency Limited plans to resurface 3 200km and strengthen 1 475km
of national roads, ensuring that 95 per cent of the national network meets global standards.
Efforts to expand access to high-speed internet to low-income households have been delayed. With
R1.9 billion allocated to broadband over the medium term, the Department of Telecommunications and
Postal Services plans to connect 6 135 schools and public buildings to internet services at a speed of
10 megabits per second by 2020. Migration to a digital broadcasting system is expected to be delayed
pending the Constitutional Court process. As a result, in 2017/18, R193 million has been shifted from
manufacturing of set-top boxes to Sentech for dual illumination, which allows for both analogue and
digital broadcasting.
Despite a reduction of R584.5 million, growth in spending on water infrastructure remains strong. The
Water Trading Entity, which is responsible for water resource management, receives a medium-term
allocation of R6.2 billion. These funds support a long-term solution for acid mine drainage in the
Witwatersrand basin, bulk distribution infrastructure for the Olifants River Water Resource
Development Project, and improvements to dam safety and storage capacity.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
Over the next three years, R189 billion is allocated to the local government equitable share for providing
basic services to poor households. Government is also prioritising 27 underserviced district
municipalities to ensure universal access to electricity by 2030. Spending on the electrification
programme, expected to reach R7.8 billion by 2019/20, will provide 723 000 additional households with
grid connections and 60 000 households with non-grid access to electricity. The Department of Water
and Sanitation will provide R37.7 billion over the three-year spending period to municipalities and
implementing agencies to complete 115 regional and 185 small interim water and sanitation projects.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
Of the baseline allocation, 43.5 per cent is for compensation of employees, and 28.6 per cent for goods
and services.
Spending on general public administration and fiscal affairs is expected to grow from R45.2 billion in
2016/17 to R46.8 billion by 2019/20. This will support improved responsiveness of the public service
through the revitalisation of the Batho Pele programme and the implementation of the Public Service
Charter. Systems for overseeing and inspecting service-delivery sites, and for using citizen feedback to
drive improvements in service delivery, will be strengthened.
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
District municipalities play a coordination and support function for local municipalities in their area.
They also provide several services directly. In 2006, the Regional Services Council and Joint Service
Board levies were abolished, removing a major revenue source for district municipalities. Since then,
districts have been receiving the Regional Services Council/Joint Service Board levies replacement
grant to compensate them for funds they would have collected under the previous system.
Government intends to introduce a new funding model for district municipalities once the Department of
Cooperative Governance has completed its review of their functional role. In the meantime, some
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EXTRACT FROM THE 2017 BUDGET REVIEW
adjustments will be made to the way the annual increases in the Regional Services Council/Joint Service
Board levies replacement grant are determined. The growth rate of allocations to the wealthiest district
municipalities will be reduced so that districts with the smallest allocations (which tend to be in very
poor areas) will receive increased funding.
Conditional grants fund the expansion of municipal infrastructure to serve poor households. A review of
this grant system has already resulted in several changes. These include allowing grant funds to be used
to refurbish ageing infrastructure. Other rules for the appropriate use of these refurbishment funds will
be introduced in 2017/18. Several conditional grants have been merged in previous years and the
consolidation trend is expected to continue. The National Treasury will work with the Department of
Energy and Department of Human Settlements to implement the parliamentary recommendation to
consolidate electrification funding for metropolitan municipalities into the urban settlements
development grant.
To account for the lower expenditure ceiling and make resources available for urgent priorities, four
large infrastructure conditional grants are being reduced over the medium term. Despite the reductions,
however, the grants continue to grow by at least 5 per cent annually over the medium term.
Table 6.4 Transfers to local government
R million 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 MTEF total
Equitable share and related1 51 169 57 012 62 732 67 473 187 217
General fuel levy sharing 11 224 11 785 12 469 13 167 37 420
with metros
Direct conditional grants 40 863 43 727 46 270 49 836 139 833
Municipal infrastructure 14 914 15 891 16 788 17 734 50 413
Water services infrastructure 2 845 3 329 3 559 3 757 10 646
Urban settlements development 10 839 11 382 11 956 12 631 35 969
Integrated national 1 946 2 087 2 204 3 328 7 619
electrification
Public transportprogramme
network 5 593 6 160 6 583 6 962 19 704
Neighbourhood development partnership 624 663 702 741 2 106
Local government financial management 465 502 531 561 1 594
Regional bulk infrastructure 1 850 1 865 2 060 2 175 6 100
Municipal demarcation transition 297 112 – – 112
Other direct grants 1 488 1 735 1 886 1 947 5 569
Total direct transfers 103 255 112 524 121 470 130 477 364 471
Indirect transfers 7 824 7 338 7 596 8 015 22 948
Integrated national electrification 3 526 3 846 3 962 4 182 11 991
programme
Neighbourhood development 22 28 29 31 88
partnership
Regional bulk infrastructure 3 479 2 774 2 881 3 037 8 692
Water services infrastructure 362 587 608 642 1 838
Municipal systems improvement 84 103 115 122 340
Bucket eradication programme 350 – – – –
1. Excludes provisional allocations
Source: National Treasury
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GOVERNMENT SPENDING PLANS
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