1, The following circuit operates only if there is a path of functional devices from left to right.

The probability that each device functions is shown on the graph. Assume that devices fail
independently. What is the probability that the circuit operates?

a. 0,986537
b. 0,99
c. 0,9965
d. 0,975
e. 0,09965

2, Suppose that we have a population of people, 10% of which are known to be insane.
Assume that there are exactly 100 people in this population and that we select three people
from this population, without replacement.
Let A be the event, “at least one of the people selected is sane,” and let B be the event
“none of the people selected is insane.”
Then P(A|B) =?
a. 0.352
b. 0
c. 1
d. 0.433
e. Impossible to calculate this probability from the information given.

3, Each message in a digital communication system is classified as to whether it is received

within the time specified by the system design. If four messages are classified, how many
possible outcome does the sample space have?
a. 16
b. 32
c. None of the above
d. 4
e. 8

4, At the International Pancakes Hut, there are 4 different ways to have an egg cooked, 7
different choices of pancakes, 5 different types of syrups and 8 different beverages. How
many different ways are there to order an egg, a pancake with a choice of syrup and a
beverage?
 a. 1120
b. 25
c. None
d. 980
e. 42

5, A student buys 1000 integrated circuits (ICs) from supplier A, 2000 ICs from supplier B
and 3000 ICs from supplier C. He tested the ICs and found that the conditional probability of
an IC being defective depends on the supplier from it was bought. Specifically, given that an
IC came supplier A, the probability that it is defective is 0.05; given that an IC came supplier
B, the probability that it is defective is 0.15; given that an IC came supplier C, the probability
that it is defective is 0.20. If ICs from the three supplier are mixed together and one is
selected at random, what is the probability that it is defective?
a. 0.06635
b. 0.1583
c. None of the other choices is correct
d. 0.09167
e. 0.08721

6, Given that the tree diagram with detail probabilities assigned below:

What is the probability of a randomly selected part being defective?

a. None of them
b. 28/400
c. 108/360
d. 372/400
e. 192/360

7, The following circuit operates only if there is a path of functional devices from left to right.
The probability that each device functions is shown on the graph. Assume that devices fail
independently. What is the probability that the circuit operates?
a. 0,986537
b. 0,09965
c. 0,9965
d. 0,99
e. 0,975

8, Suppose that we consider a lot of product, 20% of which are known to be defective. We
randomly select 2 products from this lot. Let A be the event: "Both of the products selected
are defective" Let B be the even "At least one of the products selected is not defective" Then
the events A and B are?
a. Independent
b. Impossible
c. Mutually exclusive
d. Complimentary
e. None of the above

9,

a. a
b. d
c. c
d. e
e. b
10,

A. a
b. c
c. b
d. d
e. e

11, Suppose that a test for a particular form of cancer is known to be:
1, 98% accurate for those who truly have cancer.
2, Moreover, 90% accurate for normal people (that means do not have cancer).
Suppose next that, we know roughly 5% of the population has this form of cancer. What is
the probability that a person who tests positive for this form of cancer actually has this form
of cancer? (Use Bayes formula)
a. 34,027%
b. 25,42%
c. 76,112%
d. 52,11%
e. None of the others

12, The following table classifies the students in the senior class at Johnson County
High School by whether they attended Johnson County as freshmen and where they
expect to be living when they are age 30 (in state or out of state).
What is the probability of a freshmen attended Johnson County expects to live in state when
he/she is 30?

a. 0.4
b. None of the above

c. 0.6

d. 0.719048
e. 0.280952

13, A car rental company has 23 American cars and 17 foreign cars. What is the probability
of selecting two different cars at random and both being American?
a. 0.324
b. 0.575
c. 0.564
d. 0.321

14, Suppose you and a friend each choose at random an integer between 1 and 8, where
your number is written first and your friend's number second. Which the following statement
is TRUE ?
a. P (sum of the two numbers picked is < 4) = 3/64
b. P (both numbers match) = 8/64
c. P (you pick 5 and your friend picks 8) = 1/64
d. All of the others.

15, A campus program evenly enrolls undergraduate and graduate students. If a random
sample of 4 students is selected from the program to be interviewed about the introduction of
a new fast food outlet on the ground floor of the campus building, what is the probability that
all 4 students selected are undergraduate students?
Hint: evenly enrolls that means???
a. 1
b.0.9375
c. 0.0625
d. None of them
e. 0.16

16, Suppose that we have a box containing 5 white balls, 6 blue balls and 4 yellow balls.
We draw 4 balls from this box randomly and without replacement.
Let A be the event: "Draw at least 3 white balls"
Let B be the event: "Draw at least 3 blue balls"
The the events A and B are:
a. Mutually exclusive
b. Independent
c. None of the above
d. Impossible
e. Complimentary

17, Three events are shown on the Venn diagram in the figure below.

What is the best expression for the shaded region?

a. (C and A) and (C and B)

b. (A and B) or (not C)
c. A and (not C)
d. C and (A or B)
e. None of them

18, In a certain community 40% of the families have dogs, 30% have cats, and 15% have
both dogs and cats. Given that a family has a dog, what is the probability that they also have
a cat?
a. 0.250
b. 0.150
c. 0.375
d. 0.5

19, The following data from a sample of 1,051 families show the record of university
attendance by fathers and their oldest sons:

 In 231 families, both father and son attended university;

  In 326, neither father nor son attended;
 In 126 families, the father attended while the son did not;
 And in 368 families, the son attended but the father did not.

What is the probability that a son attended university given that his father did not attended
university? That is, what is p (son yes | father no)?
a. 0.6332
b. 0.4634
c. 0.2589
d. 0.5303

20, Events E1 and E2 have probabilities p(E1)=0.75 and p(E2)=0.25; and suppose that E1
and E2 are 2 mutually exclusive events.
For another event, E3, p(E3|E1)=0.30 and p(E3|E2)=0.50.
What are p(E1|E3) and p(E2|E3)? Hint.
Using tree diagram and Bayes Theorem
a. p(E1|E3)=0.6429 and p(E2|E3)=0.3571
b. p(E1|E3)=0.7500 and p(E2|E3)=0.2500
c. p(E1|E3)=0.7000 and p(E2|E3)=0.3000
d. p(E1|E3)=0.3571 and p(E2|E3)=0.6429

21, The probabilities of poor print quality given no printer problem, misaligned paper, high ink
viscosity, or printer-head debris are 0, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.6, respectively.
The probabilities of no printer problem, misaligned paper, high ink viscosity, or printer-head
debris are 0.8, 0.02, 0.08, and 0.1, respectively.
Determine the probability of high ink viscosity given poor print quality.
Hint. Use Tree Diagram and Bayes

a. 0,061224
b. None of them
c. 0,612245
d. 0,326531
e. 0

22, Given that the tree diagram with detail probabilities assigned below:

What is the probability of a randomly selected part being defective?

a. 372/400
b. 28/400
c. 108/360
d. None of them
e. 192/360

23, Three events are shown on the Venn diagram in the figure below.

What is the best expression for the shaded region?

a. C and (A or B)
b. (C and A) and (C and B)
c. (A and B) or (not C)
d. None of them
e. A and (not C)

24,

a. 0,24
b. 0,27
c. 0,15
d. 0,39
1, Thickness measurements of a coating process are made to the nearest hundredth of a
millimeter. The thickness measurements are uniformly distributed with values 0.15,
0.16, 0.17, 0.18, and 0.19.
Determine the mean and variance of the coating thickness for this process.
a. E(X)=1,7 and V(X)=0,0002
b. E(X)=17 and V(X)=2
c. E(X)= 0,15 and V(X)=0,224
d. E(X)=0,17 and V(X)=0,0002
2, The lengths of plate glass parts are measured to the nearest tenth of a millimeter. The
lengths are uniformly distributed with values at every tenth of a millimeter starting at 590.0
and continuing through 590.9.
Determine the mean and variance of the lengths.
a. E(X) = 590,45 and V(X)=0,0825
b. E(X) = 590,45 and V(X)=8,25
c. E(X) = 590,5 and V(X)=0,0825
d. E(X) = 590,5 and V(X)=0,825
3, The probability of a successful optical alignment in the assembly of an optical data
storage product is 0.8. Assume the trials are independent. What is the probability that the
first successful alignment requires exactly 5 trials?
a. 0.1332
b. 0.0064
c. 0.00128
d. 0.4332
e. none of them
4, Suppose X has a hypergeometric distribution with N=20, n=4, and M=4. Find P(X=3) and
P(X ≤ 3).
a. 0.00021 and 0.99979
b. 0.9866 and 0.0134
c. None of the other choices is correct
d. 0.0132 and 0.99979
5, The random variable X has a hypergeometric distribution with N = 40, M=30 and n = 5.
What value of X is most likely?
a. 4
b. 5
c. 2
d. 3
6, Suppose that E(X)=10 and V(X)=20.
Compute the mean value of X^2 (or in other words, E(X^2))?
a. 120
b. 90
c. 150
d. 140
e. 80
7, The random variable X has the following probability distribution:
Determine the value of C.D.F at 5 (that means F(5)=?)
a. None of them
b. 0.1
c. 0.9
d. 0.6
e. 0.4
8, A dice game involves rolling three dice and betting on one of the six numbers that are on
the dice. The game costs $8 to play, and you win if the number you bet appears on any of
the dice. The distribution for the outcomes of the game (including the profit) is shown below:

Find your expected profit from playing this game.

a. - 0.5 $
b. 8.19 $
c. -1.04 $
d. 4.42 $
9, The number of e-mail messages received per hour has the following distribution:

The mean and variance of the received message?

a. None of them
b. E(X)=10,5; V(X)=1,85
c. E(X)=12,5; V(X)=18,5
d. E(X)=12,5; V(X)=1,85
e. E(X)=18,5; V(X)=1,25
10, The following table contains the probability distribution for X = the number of traffic
accidents reported in a day in Hanoi.
X 0 1 2 3 4 5
P(X 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
) 0 0 5 5 5 5
The probability of more than 2 accidents is
a. 0.7
b. 0.45
c. 0.75
d. 0.25
e. 0.3
11, Determine the constant c so that the following function is a probability mass function:
f (x) = cx for x = 1, 2, 3, 4.
a. c=0,15
b. c=0,1
c. c=0,05
d. c=0,2
12, The number of 113 calls in Hanoi, has a Poisson distribution with a mean of 10 calls a
day. The probability of seven calls in a day is?
a. None of them
b. 0.42
c. 0.22
d. 0.09008
e. 0.24
13, The human resources department of a manufacturing firm found the average number of
absences to be 3.4 per day. In the five days following unsuccessful labor negotiations there
were a total of 39 absences, but the negotiators claimed that they were from ordinary
illnesses. What is the probability of at least 39 absences in 5 days? Assume a Poisson
distribution.
a. 0.0203
b. 0.0337
c. 0.0000
d. 0.0544
14,The number of arrivals of delivery trucks per hour at a loading station is an example of
which of the following processes?
a. Binomial
b. Geometric
c. Hypergeometric
d. Negative Binomial
e. Poisson
15,Suppose that we have a box of marbles, 40% of which are blue. We reach in and draw
five marbles from this box without replacement. In computing the probability of obtaining at
most two blue marbles,
I. An exact answer is impossible to obtain.
II. Using a binomial distribution with success probability 40% will give the exact answer.
III. Using a binomial distribution will approximate the probability in question if the number of
marbles in the box is relatively large.
a. I and II
b. III only
c. I only
d. II only
16,The probability that an individual is left-handed is 0.11. In a class of 40 students, what is
the probability of finding at least five left-handers?
a. 0.1825
b. 0.45321
c. None of them
d. 0.3251
e. 0.21442
17,Suppose that we have a box of marbles, 40% of which are blue. We reach in and draw
five marbles from this box with replacement. If we interested in the number of blue marbles
taken out, which distribution can be applied to this random variable?
a. Hypergeometric
b. Geometric
c. Poisson
d. Negative Binomial
e. Binomial
18,Suppose the probability that item produced by a certain machine will be defective is 0.2.
Find the probability that 10 items will contain at most one defective item. Assume that the
quality of successive items is independent.
a. None of them
b. 0.3758
c. 0.6778
d. 0.8926
e. 0.6241
19,Thickness measurements of a coating process are made to the nearest hundredth of a
millimeter. The thickness measurements are uniformly distributed with values 0.15,
0.16, 0.17, 0.18, and 0.19.
Determine the mean and variance of the coating thickness for this process.
a. E(X)=17 and V(X)=2
b. E(X)= 0,15 and V(X)=0,224
c. E(X)=1,7 and V(X)=0,0002
d. E(X)=0,17 and V(X)=0,0002
20, The lengths of plate glass parts are measured to the nearest tenth of a millimeter. The
lengths are uniformly distributed with values at every tenth of a millimeter starting at 590.0
and continuing through 590.9.
Determine the mean and variance of the lengths.
a. E(X) = 590,5 and V(X)=0,825
b. E(X) = 590,5 and V(X)=0,0825
c. E(X) = 590,45 and V(X)=8,25
d. E(X) = 590,45 and V(X)=0,0825

1, Suppose X has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval [-3; 7]. Determine the
mean, variance, and standard deviation of X.
a. 3; 4; 5
b. b. 2; 25/3 and 2.887
c. c. 2; 4 and 2
d. d. 4; 8 and 2.828
e. e. None of them
2, Find the area under the standard normal curve to the right of z = -1.25.
a. 0.8944
b. b. 0.7193
c. c. 0.5843
d. d. 0.6978
3, Find the area under the standard normal curve to the right of z = -1.25.
a. 0.8944
b. b. 0.6978
c. c. 0.5843
d. d. 0.7193
4, Calculate the standard deviation of the following distribution.
Days Probability
0 .010
1 .054
2 .314
3 .535
4 .074
5 .013
a. 0.789
b. b. 0.622
c. c. 0.722
d. d. 0.793
5,A dice game involves rolling three dice and betting on one of the six numbers that are on the dice.
The game costs $8 to play, and you win if the number you bet appears on any of the dice. The
distribution for the outcomes of the game (including the profit) is shown below:
Number of dice with your Prof Probabil
number it ity
0 -$8 125/216
1 $8 75/216
2 $10 15/216
3 $24

Find your expected profit from playing this game.

a. - 0.5 $
b. b. 8.19 $
c. c. 4.42 $
d. d. -1.04 $
6, Assume that the number of asbestos particles in a squared meter of dust on a surface follows a
Poisson distribution with a mean of 10.000. If a squared meter of dust is analyzed, approximate the
probability that less than 8050 particles are found. Let P( Z<-4) = 0; P(Z <5) = 1; P( Z<0) = 0.5 given
that Z is a standard normal random variable.
a. 1.02
b. b. None
c. c. 0
d. d. 0.5
e. e. 1
7, Assume that Z scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. If P(-
a < Z < a) = 0.4314, find a. Let P(Z < -0.18) = 0.4286, P(Z < 0.33) = 0.6293, P(Z < 0.57) = 0.7157
and P(Z < 1.49) = 0.9319.
a. -0.18
b. 1.49
c. 0.75
d. d. None of them
e. e. 0.57
8, Let the random variable X represent the profit made on a randomly selected day by a certain store.
Assume that X is Normal with mean 360 $ and standard deviation 50$. What is P(X >400)?
P(Z<0.7)=0.7580, P(Z<0.8)= 0.7881, P(Z<0.9)=0.8159
a. 0.2315
b. b. 0.1508
c. c. 0.2119
d. d. 0.3085
e. e. None
9, Assume that X has a normal distribution with the mean is µ= 15.2 and the standard deviation is σ =
0.9. Find the probability that X is greater than 16.1. Let P(Z < 0.1) = 0.8413, P(Z > 0) = 0.50, where Z
is a standard normal distribution.
a. 0.8413
b. b. 0.3085
c. c. 0.0228
d. d. 0.1587
10, If we are using the normal approximation to determine the probability of at most 28 successes in a
binomial distribution P(X ≤28) the normal distribution probability that is used to make the estimate is:
(i) P(X ≤28.5) (ii) P(X <28) (iii) P(X ≤27.5) (iv) P(X ≤28)
a. (iii)
b. b. (iv)
c. c. None of them
d. d. (i)
e. e. (ii)
11, Assume X is normally distributed with a mean of 30 and a standard variation of 3. Determine the
value for x that holds: P( X >x) = 0.5. Let P(Z<0)= 0 .5; Z is a standard normal random variable.
a. 20
b. b. None
c. c. 30
d. d. 40
e. e. 10
12, Assume that the number of asbestos particles in a squared meter of dust on a surface follows a
Poisson distribution with a mean of 10.000 (ten thousand). If a squared meter of dust is analyzed,
approximate the probability that less than 8050 particles are found. Let P( Z<-4) = 0; P(Z <5) = 1;
P( Z<0) = 0.5 given that Z is a standard normal random variable.
a. 0.5
b. b. None
c. c. 1.02
d. d. 1
e. e. 0
13, Compare the scores: a score of 220 on a test with a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 21
and a score of 90 on a test with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 8.
a. You cannot determine which score is better from the given information
b. b. A score of 220 with a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 21 is better
c. c. A score of 90 with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 8 is better.
d. d. The two scores are statistically the same.
14, Assume that the heights of women are normally distributed with a mean of 64.9 inches and a
standard deviation of 1.6 inches. Find Q3, the third quartile that separates the bottom 75% from the
top 25%
a. 66.7
b. b. 63.8
c. c. 66.0
d. d. 66.9
15, The thickness of a conductive coating in micrometers has a density function of 600x-2 for 100
µm < x < 120µm. Find the standard deviation of the coating thickness.
a. 102
b. b. 112
c. c. 109.39
d. d. none of them
e. e. 121
16, If X is a continuous random variable with probability density function f( x ) = 1.5x2, for -1 <
x<1. Find the a such that P(X>a) =0.05.
a. 0.3215
b. b. 0.6455
c. c. 0.4688
d. d. None of them
e. e. 0.9655
17, Let X be the continuous random variable with cumulative distribution function F(x) = 1 – e-
0.2x , x>0; find the probability density function of X.
a. f( x) = -0.2e-0.2x , x>0
b. b. f( x) = 0.2e-0.2x , x>0
c. c. f( x) = 1-0.2e-0.2x , x>0
d. d. None of others
18, Let X be a continuous random variable with PDF as below: f(x)=c, -3<x<15 Then the constant
c is:
a. 1/18
b. b. 1/12
c. c. 1/9
d. d. 1/3
19, The figure below shows the cumulative percentage plotted against grade point averages for a
large public high school.What is the median grade point average?
Hint. Median is the value of which in the middle of probability distribution (other words, it is the
point that has 50% of cumulative probability)

a. 2.4
b. b. 2
c. c. 0.8
d. d. 1
e. e. 3

20, If X is a continuous random variable with probability density function f( x ) = x/4 , 1 < x <3 . Find
the mean of X.

a. None of the others choice are correct

b. b. 13/6
c. c. 14/6
d. d. 2
e. e. 15/6

In a clinical study, volunteers are tested for gên that has been found to increase for risk a disease. The
probability that a person carries the gene is 0.1.

What is the probability that ten or more people need to be tested to detect three with the gene ?

a, 0,0124

b, 0,97875

c, 0,94703

d, 0,01722

If X a continous random variable with probability density function f(x)= 1.5x^2. For -1<x<1.
Find the a such that P(X>a)=0.05

a, 0.9655

b, None of them

c, 0,6455

d, 0,4688

e, 0,3215

A probability density function is given by f(x)= b/x^2 when 1<x<5 . What is the value of b?

a, 5/4

b, 5

c, 4/5

d, 4

e, 1

Suppose for a test for particular form of cancer is knowwn to be 98% accurate. Suppose next that we
know that roughly 0,5% of the population has this form of cancer. What is probability that a person
who tests positive for this form of a cancer actually has this form of cancer?

a, 2%

b, 0,5%

c, 25%

d, 20%

e, 98%

Which of the following is not a characteristic of binomial probability distribution?

a, the trials must be independent of each other

b, Each tria has a finite number of possible outcomes

c, there is a fixed number of identical trials

d, The process must be consistent in generating successes and failures.

Which of the followig is not a characteristic of binomial probability distribution?

a, the trials must be independent of each other

b, Each tria has a finite number of possible outcomes

c, there is a fixed number of identical trials

d, The process must be consistent in generating successes and failures.

Asume that each of yours calls to a popular ratio station has a probability of 0.02 of connecting that is,
of not obtaining a busy signal. Assume that your calls are independent.

What is the probability that it requires more than five calls for you to connect?

a, 0.90392

b, 0.92237

c, other number

d, 0.94119

e, 0.01845

Let random variable X have a discrete uniform distribution on the intergers 0<x<100. Find the mean
and variance of X

a, 50 and 816.6667

b, 49.5 and 816.6667

c, 50 and 850

d, None of them

e, 50 and 816.6667

A player of video game is confronted with a series of opponents and has an 80% probability of
defeating each one. Success with any opponent is independent of previous encounters. Until defeated,
the player continous to contest opponents. What is the probability that a player deafeats at least two
opponents in a game?

a, 0.8

b, 0.668

c, None

d, 0.64
Suppose you anf friend each choose at random an integer between 1 and 8, where your number is
written first and your friend’s number second. Which of following statement is True?

a, P ( you pick 5 and your friend picks 8)= 1/64

b, P ( sum of the two nmbers picked is <4) = 3/64

c, all of the others

d, P ( both number match )= 8/64

If X is discrete uniform distributed over the interval [0,10] with consecutive integer values. Compute
the probability that 2<x<9

a, None of them

b, 7/10

c, 8/11

d, 6/11

e, 6/10

Let X be a continous random variable with PDF as below:

f(x)=c, -3<x<15

Then the constant c is:

a, 1/9

b, 1/12

c, 1/18

d, 1/3