Yemen Co R
Yemen Co R
Yemen Co R
I. Introduction:
The Republic of Yemen is a 19-year- young democracy on the south east
corner of the Arab peninsula and, also, Asia. It was born in may 1990 after the
reunifying the whole Yemen Land peacefully and merging the two different
systems of its previous two LDC states, the socialist in the south and the
semi-opened in the north. Since then, Yemen has been enjoying one
constitutional, republican, and pluralistic system with parliamentary-
presidential regime; the Cabinet reports to both the president who appoint it
and the parliament which approve it. Meanwhile, the newly emerging state,
from its year inception, had to face many hardly tolerated challenges
presented, for instance, by (1) The high costs of the reunifying process at the
expense of the development resources (2) Being part of a troubled region
affected by the break out of the First Gulf War in 1991 which forced the return
of about one million Yemeni Emigrants in the Gulf States and changed the
attitudes of the main donors to decrease sharply the ODA to Yemen. (3)
Fixing the foundations of the unity and oppressing the bloody and destructive
armed conflict fueled by a secessionist group, which threatened the unity to
failure. (4) The low social and economic indicators inherited from the past in
both parts and still remain far below the international standards. The country
is still suffering from the consequences of these challenges up to today.
The situation has been more stable since 1995, when the social solidarity and
the political well for good governance prevailed. By then, the government had
started adopting a comprehensive agend for Economic, financial, and
administrative reforms to deal with the development determinants and meet
the prerequisites of integration with the new world system. The second free
and parliamentary elections were undertaken in 1998. The First Five-year
development plan had been designed and implemented for the period 1995-
2000. The decade 1991-2000 ended with tangible development improvements
scoring about 7% GNP growth rate in 2000. Neverthless Yemen is still in the
LDC class with respect to the UN LDC criteria and the other indicators on the
development scale. It is still living the same position in the current decade, the
period of the ongoing BPoA 2001-2010 which is the domain of this report.
A. Policy Framework:
1. On National Side
a) Yemen Strategic Vesion 2002-2025: This vision encompasses a
total long run ambitions, perspectives, and goals that the people
inspires to attain. The overall objective of the vesion is to place
Yemen by 2025, among the countries of inclusion middle human
development. It predicts the future growth. It serves, generally, as a
background and reference for the medium and short term planning,
strategies and policies.
b) The second 5-year-Economic and Social Development Plan (DP),
2001-2005, and the poverty reduction strategy paper (PRSP) 2003-
2005. This two frameworks were separated but interrelated,
interdependent, and similar in most of their features and policies.
They were the first cycle of the Vision 2025, and they served the
same priorities to realize economy growth with average of 5.5%
annual growth rates, to reduce poverty rates, generate jobs, and
ensure social welfare and economic stability.
• The Third 5-year- Economic and Social Development Plan for
Poverty Reduction, (DPPR) 2006-2010. Based on the lessons
learned, the 5-year-Plan and the PRSP are merged in one policy
framework.
This merge is justified, in one hand, by the importance of (1)
unifying the frameworks of knowledge, approaches, and planning
policies, (2) ensuring efficiency of resources and allocations against
the priorities, and (3) preventing conflicts, duplications, and overlaps
in the development process. In the other hand, it emphasizes that
the main development focus is on growth for poverty reduction. In
addition, the third plan was designed to reflect the political well and
the government resolves to implement the National Agenda for
reforms, which aim at, inter alia, (1) improving enabling environment
for local and foreign investment and enhancing international trust in
Yemen Economy, (2) stimulating the economic growth with annual
average of 7.1%, (3) promoting private sector and civil society
involvement and partnership at all levels.
The Public Investment programme, PIP, 2007-2010:
• The government put in place this programme, PIP, as a policy
framework to implement the DPPR. It contains about 85 projects
serving the various sectors. The finance of the PIP was projected to
come from the government and self resourcies by 45% and from the
external sources by 12%, and about 43% estimated by $ 6.3 billion
remained as a finance gap.
Table:
UNDAF CCA Challenges MDGs DPPRR
Outcomes
Governance Accountability Millennium
Enhancing good
and participation Declaration
governance +
decentralization
Gender Equality Gender Equality MDG3 Empower women in
and Women economic, social &
Empowerment political activities
Population & Population, youth MDGs 2-7 Improving human
basic social & children capital and social
services protection
Pro-poor growth Population, youth MDGs 1,7 & Economic reforms
& children 8 and openness
Economy Developments:
Economic Dialogue:
• Paris Meeting: An international donors meeting on Yemen
convened in Paris in October 2002 to mobilize additional support to
help implement the second – 5 – Year– DP and the PRSP (2003-
2005). The meeting concluded with agreement on a package of
further economic support for $2.3 billion.
• London Meeting: The Government, the WB and the Gulf
Cooperation Council, GCC organized a Consultative Group
Meeting, CGM, in London in November 2006. The meeting was a
further launch to strengthen partnership with the donors community.
It was meant, in particular, to qualify Yemen economy to meet the
minimum requirements of integration with the GCC Economy. The
government presented its policies as outlined in the DPPR and the
PIP with concern to fill the financing gap which was estimated at
that time by $6.3 billion. Up to end 2007, the total of $5,312 billion
pledges (50% GCC bilateral) had been announced, ($2921 billions
as grants, 2,391 as loans), to represent 84% of the PIP finance gap.
Three post – CG meetings had been held, the last of which was on
5 April, 2009. The table below shows the status of the pledges as of
Feb. 2009.
Table ( ) The Status of CG Pledges as of February 2009 (in million
US$)
Donor Pledged Allocated Signed Disbursed
I. GCC 2677 2129 711 12
Bilateral
II. GCC 1226 1006 382 2
multilateral
III. Bilateral 1678 1386 1139 362
(OECD DAC
and Others)
Total 5581 4521 2232 376
Source: MOPIC (official data exhibits some minor inconsistencies).
Macroeconomic Developments
Oil Situation: Yemen economy is revolving up down around the oil situation
in terms of amount and price, export, and consumptions, subsidies and
derivatives import. Oil was discovered in the 1990s with lowest quantity of all
the region producing states, and the extraction trend is turning downward from
a peals of 460,000 barrels a day in 2002, falling by 12% in 2007, to the current
rate of 300-350,0000 barrels a day. Yemen's oil sectors provided 90% of
export earnings, 50% foreign trade and 75% of governance revenue. The
economic developments of surplus or deficit is governed by this situation:
The government with the DPs intervention is committed to narrow gender gap
at all levels. A special strategy for girl education is being implemented, and
special unit has been established in the ministry of Education to pursue this
trend. In addition, tens of community based training centers spread all over
the country just for woman skills and handcrafts development. Women occupy
more than 22% of the educational manpower and a little less in the other
component of the civil servant system. In accordance with the national lows
and the relevant ratified conventions, all kind of discrimination and violence by
gender is eliminated giving women the same rights, opportunities and
protection. Nevertheless, woman has now only one seat out of 301 seats in
the parliament. The Government Plans to allocate for women a quota in
parliament and the local council and enhance economic equalities where
Yemen still lags behind.
Health: A modest progress achieved;
Child mortality: infant mortality declined from 98 to 75 per 1000 life births
within the period 1991-2005, planned to be reduced by 2% per annum.
Under-5 mortality in the same period declined from 138 to 104 per 1000 life
births. In 2005, 76% of one-year-old children were immunized against males,
planned to reduce infection to 95% by the year 2010.
Material mortality: in Yemen, maternal mortality dropped from about 1,400 per
100,000 life births in 1990 to 366 in 2000, and birth attendance per
percentage by skilled health professional increased by 16% points to 28%
(Arab League). The DPPR records the same figure, 336, in 2005 and plans to
reduce the death cases to 238 and the proportion of skilled attendance to 45%
by 2010.
HIV/AIDS: Yemen response to HIV/AIDS has developed substantially by
adopting 3 principles, (1) one national action plan, (2) one coordinating
authority, and (3) one monitoring and evaluation framework. Other key sectors
are also involved including education, health, police, and civil society. Only
248 cases were reported officially in 2007. Treatment, information, and
awareness are sufficiently available for all.
Malaria: Notified cases of malaria decreased from 9,655 in 1990 to 3329 per
1,000,000 population in 2005. The DPPR plans to reduce the cases by 76%,
and to protect 60% of adult women and under 5 children in the malaria risk
area by Insecticide – treated bed nets. Malaria represents 48% of all cases
reported in 2007 (CSO,2007).
Tuberculosis: The average incidence rate of TB was 191 per 100,000
population in 2005. The cases reported in 2007 were 1694 (CSO, 2007). The
DPPR plans to raise the recovery rate to 85%, and cover 100% of population
with daily monitor, and raise notification to 75% of annual incidence.
A considerable support in this priority is received, mainly, from the Global
Fund to Fight Aids, Malaria, and Tuberculosis, the WB bilateral relations, and
the UN/UNDAF. however, education and health are still underfunded sectors.
C. commitments
1: fostering people centered policy frameworks:
The successive governments, have committed themselves, as reflected in
the various policy frameworks, to work effectively toward sustainable
human development with decent life for all especially the poor people.
Exerted efforts toward economic growth and poverty reduction resulted in
modest progress in growth of GDP and investment and in poverty
reduction. Assessment of the 2nd DP (2002-2005 shows (1) average GDP
growth rate of 4.1, below the targeted 5.6%, (2) non-oil average growth
below the target of 8% but with increased sare in GDP from 83% to 87%
while oil share declined from 17% to 12.4% (3) average per capita growth
was 1.1% against 2.3% targeted, and (4) employment growth by average of
2.8% below the annual average growth of labor force by 3.9% increasing
unemployment from 12 to 16.8%. in the period (2002-2005).
Total investment, in the same period was dominated by increasing public
investment at the express of decreasing private investment. It grew by
average of 17.6% (close to 19.9% targeted) due to high increase of public
investment expenditure by 25% average (exceeding 18% planned)
increasing from 38,3% to 53.7% of total investment, and growing as
average ratio to GDP by 9.4%.
Meanwhile, local and foreign private sector investment grew by annual
average of 11.5% (below 23.5% targeted) retreating from 60.4% to 46.3%
of total investment.
The GDP growth attained the PRSP target of 4% due to exceptional growth
in 2005, but the investments disappointed the PRSP target within the same
period. After that, the economy continued with annual GDP growth rate
below 4% to remain so far at a midway milestone to reach the rate of 7%,
the target of both the DPPR and the BPoA in 2010. This slow progress is
attributed inter alia, to (1) imbalance in economy stature by relying on
declining scores, e.g. oil and agriculture, and public investment (2)
privatization delays (3) week investment environment.
This modest economic growth helped, hence, achieving modest progress
on poverty reduction at all levels as summarized by the HBS 2005/06 in the
table below.
The poverty indicators confirm the belief that poverty (moderate and
severe) is of rural nature: 27% of total population in urban areas but
account for only 16% of the poor; 72.6% in rural areas, and account for
84% of total poor. Regionally, poverty in Yemen is deeper and more severe
than in other MENA countries.
The Government, in collaboration with the civil society, private sector, and
donors innovated social safety net (SSN) to ensure social protection and
alleviate the adverse impacts of economic reforms such as removing the
subsidies of oil prices and as well of the main food commodities. The SSN
includes (1) insurance authorities (Civil & Military), Social Welfare Fund for
cash help, though minimal, (2) Social Development Fund SDF for
community developments institutional support, capacity building, and small
scale enterprise development, (3) Public Work Project (PWP) to provide job
opportunities through infrastructure development, (4) Agriculture and
Fishery Exports. Promotion Fund to provide support through cooperatives
and the Cooperative and Agricultural Credit Bank (CACB).
Nevertheless, economic growth could not make a big difference in poverty
reduction because of high population growth (3%), high fertility rating (5.5
Per women), difficult geography, and concentrating economic growth
revenues on sectors of intense capital (services, tourism, banking
operations), and the persistent social attitude against woman work.
Further efforts needs to be exerted for restructured economy and reduced
poverty through, more focused pro-poor strategy under the umbrella of
overall strategy. Special attention in future needs to be paid to the rural
areas in terms of human and institutional capacity including health,
education, (basic and vocational), empowering local authorities, linking the
rural activities to those of tourism and service sectors and removing the
social and economic constraints that deter woman involvement in all
development process, completing the infrastructure and introducing the
modern technologies.
Commitment 2. Good governance at national and international levels
The government has been implementing a comprehensive national reform
agenda (NRA) to reinforce economic integration and partnership, improve
the government efficiency, stimulate economic growth, and expand political
participation. The reform priorities and the key achievements are briefed as
follows:
a. Judicial reforms: (1) enhanced judicial autonomy (separate the supreme
judiciary council from the president authority) (2) reformed commercial
and public funds courts, (3) improved judicial inspection and
accountability, and (4) developed juvenile justice and judicial human
resource; increasing trained judges by 6% and including 30 female
judges (one in supreme court). This reforms aimed at enhanced public
and investors confidence in the judicial system.
b. Accountability, transparency and anti-corruption. (1) Supreme National
Anti-Corruption Authority established and the Financial DIS Closure Low
activated, developing institutional capacity finalizing and implementing
National Anti-Corruption Strategy to improve corruption perception up to
8 points (2) Yemen joined the Extractive Industry Initiative, EII, and
established the Yemen Council for it (YEITI) aiming at improving
transparency in managing hydrocarbon resources. (3) Budgetary
transparency improved, setting up the automated financial, management
information system to share the budgetary information with the public, (4)
the law of Public Procurement and Tenders and new high Tender Board
assisted by technical committee established.
c. Civil service reforms and modernization: Bio-metric system applied, the
cabinet and some ministries restructured, and internal audits law
prepared aiming at quality and cost effective service and high productivity
levels; and expanded decentralization.
d. Economic, fiscal, and Investment Reforms: (1) Promising sectors studied
to increase non-oil revenues and export by 36% and 26.6% respectively,
(2) income tax and customs laws revised to insure justice, upgrade
efficiency of revenue generation, prevent higher rate of evasion; (3)
finalized one stop shop for investors, land registration law and new
investment law, and simplified business startups.
e. Human rights and woman empowerment (1) The Government and the
UNCT though (UNDAF) collaborate to strengthen human right capacities,
adopt a National Human Rights Strategy, harmonize several laws with
international human rights standards, strengthen the role of CSOs raise
awareness, and implement the ratified human rights treaties including the
convention on the child rights, elimination of all forms of discrimination
against women (CEDAW) and the wrost from of child labor. (2) The
government plans to increase woman participation. (15% candidates,
30% votes) 42% of allegeable woman voters are registered.