Wcms 810859
Wcms 810859
Wcms 810859
Title: A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
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Table of contents
Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................6
1. Introduction.....................................................................................................................................................................9
2. Sector Structure.......................................................................................................................................................... 13
4. Opportunities .............................................................................................................................................................. 37
5. Conclusion.............................................................................................................................................. 42
Executive Summary
Within the German Federal Ministry for Economic for a supplementary income to more productive,
Cooperation and Development (BMZ) funded commercial farmers that can earn a solid income
ProAgro Ethiopia project, the International Labour with poultry farming being their core business.
Organization (ILO) was tasked to conduct market
In view of the sector’s poor competitiveness and
systems analyses (MSAs) in three agriculture sec-
the relative inability of women to progress to
tors - fruits and vegetables, edible oils and poultry.
more productive roles, this analysis has flagged
These analyses have been conducted to provide
that high input costs, a lack of opportunities
the project with a strong basis for a more targeted
to graduate from household to commercial
project design and implementation1.
farming, and poor sector investment policy are
In this light, this MSA looks into the poultry sector the three most pressing issues. These issues are
in the Amhara and Sidama regions to identify the limited by a series of market constraints, which
key market constraints to both SME growth and include: feed input supply shortages, poor
the creation of more and better jobs for women. animal health services, poor orientation and un-
Based on this analysis, a series of practical, evi- availability of extension services and business
dence-informed interventions have been identi- development services; poor access to finance;
fied to address those constraints, enhance market foreign currency controls; import duties and
and SME growth and create more and better jobs. taxes; poor sector coordination and limited
sector regulations and policies.
The poultry sector is characterised as largely
uncompetitive, completely domestic-oriented While not all constraints can be addressed in this
and more reliant on egg production than meat project, this assessment has identified eight prac-
production. More than 90% of Ethiopian pro- tical intervention ideas. These interventions intend
ducing chickens are indigenous breeds, which are to cut key input costs and enhance opportunities
common in household farming and have mortality for female farmers, such that the sector can trans-
rates in excess of 70% and much lower produc- form from being traditional, to more commercial
tivity potential – producing about one-fifth to one- and competitive. If done inclusively, this trans-
third of the number of eggs of imported breeds2. formation can serve as a pull to create more and
While the sector has seen steady growth over the better jobs for women. In this regard, the interven-
last 15 years, in part due to entry of commercial tions are concentrated in three key areas:
businesses, growth has been much less impres-
1. Reduce costs to input supply by addressing
sive than that of the potential consumer base of
key input cost drivers in day-old chicks and
the emerging Ethiopian urban middle class. This
feed production;
is large part due to increases in feed costs, which
typically make up about 70% of the cost in poultry 2. Enhance commercial orientation of
production. semi-intensive female farmers through
In looking at the role of women in the sector, sev- better targeted extension services, business
eral key challenges prevail. For starters, about four development services and access to finance;
in five household poultry farmers are women, but and
they are rarely found owning or managing more
3. Support sector investment policy to make
commercial, small and medium-scale poultry
it easier for new entrants, and in particular
farms. Their work in poultry farming is usually
women, to get into commercial poultry pro-
done on top of their already demanding house-
duction as well as produce raw materials for
hold work, which makes it difficult for women to
feed, to address key feed input shortages.
shift from being part-time poultry farmers looking
1 The study was commissioned by the ILO ProAgro Ethiopia project. It received inputs from Ruchika Bahl and Meseret Shiferaw
from ProAgro project and several other Specialists from different technical units in ILO.
2 FAO. 2019. Poultry Sector Ethiopia. FAO Animal Production and Health Livestock Country Reviews. No. 11. Rome.
Executive Summary
7
Notes
On confidentiality. All data collected through primary research have been made anonymous so that
individuals cannot be identified. Instead, we refer in generic terms to ‘interviewee(s)”, “informants” or
“respondents”.
On study limitations. The study is largely developed based on the perceptions and opinions of key sector
stakeholders. Although information was triangulated by different sources where possible, it is recognised
that not all opinions and perceptions could be cross-checked and validated.
On the views and opinions. The views and opinions in this assessment are those of the authors and not
of the International Labour Organization or its country office in Addis Ababa.
1 Introduction
3 Sectors were selected through a sector selection study completed in November 2020.
10 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
4 I nternational Labour Organization: Value Chain Development for Decent Work – How to create employment and improve
working conditions in targeted sectors (2021).
5 International Labour Organization: Market Systems Analysis for Decent Work: A User-friendly Guide
Introduction
11
20%
11% 10%
10%
0%
Eggs Chickens Population
6 FAO. 2019.
7 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC, 2020.
8 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC, 2020.
9 Figures for 2019, calculated from FAOStat and WorldBank Data. Accessed 19 March 2021.
14 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
Another contributing factor to low productivity is Low productivity clearly has an impact on cost,
that most of Ethiopia’s poultry farming is done at but compounding this is that feed, the key input in
the rural household level where it is not the prin- poultry production, is extremely expensive. Feed
cipal income generating activity. For example, in makes up about 70%-75% of the chicken farm gate
Amhara, estimates suggest that between three- cost12, and as of 2020, the cost of feed in Ethiopia
fifths and three-quarters of rural households have was more than twice that of the global average or
poultry10. However, for the households that have that in South Africa13. This issue is becoming more
chickens, 82% have less than 10 chickens, and just problematic as a number of stakeholders indi-
0.2% own more than 50 chickens11 - a size consid- cated that feed costs had increased substantially
ered to be sufficient for commercial production. in the last year due to an input shortage, princi-
pally soy and nueg cake. As a result of this and
Ethiopia's
Ethiopia’s poultry poultry consumption
consumption (kg/person/year) other cost drivers such as import costs for day-old
(kg/person/year) chicks and losses throughout production, prices
0,8 for chickens at the farm are about 50% higher
0,66 than those in South Africa and about three times
0,6 more than those in Brazil14.
0,4 0,36 Low productivity and high costs have two neg-
ative implications. Firstly, Ethiopia is largely not
0,2
competitive on the export market and it seems
0 unlikely that it will export more than very minor
Eggs Chicken meat amounts at any stage during the ProAgro Ethiopia
project. Secondly, local consumption is very low
- standing at less than 10% of the average per
capita chicken meat consumption in Africa and
the equivalent of about a half an egg per month
Poultry meatPoultry
consumption (kg/person/year)
meat consumption per person (see graphs to the left)15. Another con-
(kg/person/year) tributing factor to relatively low consumption is
8 that chicken rarely features in Ethiopian cuisine,
6,7
apart from in a traditional stew that is prepared
6 infrequently.
4 While these are the principal challenges at hand, a
1,6 series of additional constraints stand in the way of
2
0,66 inclusive poultry sector growth and development.
0 Some of these constraints include a lack of farm
Ethiopia East Africa Africa management skills, poor sector coordination, gov-
ernment regulation and strategy, imposed import
controls and a lack of adequate animal health ser-
vices. All of these are further unpacked in section 3.
10 ailemichael, Aklilu, Berhanu Gebremedhin, Solomon Gizaw and Azage Tegegne. Analysis of village poultry value chain in Ethiopia:
H
Implications for action research and development. International Livestock Research Institute. January 2016.
11 A
gricultural Sample Survey 2019/20 [2012 E.C.] Volume II: Report On Livestock And Livestock Characteristics (Private Peasant Holdings).
Federal Democratic Republic Of Ethiopia Central Statistical Agency. March 2020.
12 From a farmer interview and verified through: Desalegn, Paulos. Poultry Value Chain in West Amhara. Agro-Business Induced
Growth in the Amhara National Regional State. August 2018
13 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC, 2020.
14 Ibid.
15 Both rates are from 2013, and the rates along with the graphs are calculated from section 3.1.2 of FAO 2019.
Sector Structure
15
Tigray
Amhara
Amhara is the largest poultry producing region Afar
in Ethiopia. It has solid production conditions
Amhara
as about 60% of its area has sufficient moisture
conditions for poultry production and it is home Benishangul-
Gumuz Dire Dawa
to about one-third of all of Ethiopia’s chickens16.
However, its poultry production is less commer- Addis Ababa
Harari
cially oriented as the region has just 20% of the
nation’s imported (or improved) breeds17. Gambela Oromiya
Operational (with
Febela Edible Oil Sunflower, niger seed, 1.4M litres/day (60%
Bure IAIP, Amhara imported crude palm
Factory and Palm Oil of local demand)
oil)
Richland Bure IAIP, Amhara Soybean ~90,000 litres/day Operational
Debremarkos, Sesame, niger seed,
WA Edible Oil Factory N/A Under construction
Amhara peanut and soybean
24 FAO 2019.
25 E
thiopia livestock master plan Roadmaps for growth and transformation. Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock Resources Development
Sector. August 2015.
26 Berkhout, Natalie. Covid-19: Millions of chicks destroyed in Ethiopia. Poultry World. O4 August 2020.
27 The Poultry Market System in Ethiopia: Challenges from COVID-19. Agrilinks. 09 June 2020.
18 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
2.3
Role of the target group
The project’s target group is both women and companies set wages, which were reported as
SMEs, and thus, intends to support SME growth extraordinarily low.
as a vehicle for creating more and better jobs for
women. This analysis looks at decent work and X Weak enforcement: So far, the government,
the role of women through the lens of SME de- which has been plagued by high leadership
velopment. turn-over, has not been as active in enforcing
the law.
33 Hailemichael et al 2016.
34 Ibid.
35 Gebremedhin et al 2016.
36 Gebremedhin et al 2016 and confirmed anecdotally in interviews.
37 As indicated in an interview.
3 The Market System
The market system is the overall picture of how a sector operates. The market
system includes the supply-demand transactions in the core value chain -
from hatchery to producer to retailer to end consumer - and the ‘supporting
functions’ and ‘rules and regulations’ that shape the way in which businesses
and employees work in this core chain. The market system therefore takes a
broader scope, because different actors in the value chain do not operate in
a vacuum: their commercial success and well-being of the target group are in-
fluenced - directly and indirectly - by what happens in their surroundings. For
example, access to financial services, which is a supporting function, does
not directly operate within the poultry value chain, but strongly influences
how businesses set-up, grow and operate.
Figure 1 shows an illustrative market system for the poultry sector in Amhara
and Sidama. The figure includes a simplified value chain surrounded by the
supporting functions and rules/regulations, which strongly influence and
constrain market performance. Going forward, the sections on analysis
(Section 3) and opportunities (Section 4) sharpen the focus on women and
SMEs – the target beneficiaries of the programme – with a view to create
more and better jobs.
Poultry
Infrastructure
Feed
Currency Coordination
controls
Regulations
Taxes & Import
& Policy
Duties
Access to
Land
22 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
Local
Backyard
Sales Wholesalers
farmers
Agents
Local
Consumers
Retailers
Value Med-scale Small-scale
Hatcheries Collectors Super -
Chain businesses farmers
Actors markets &
Hospitality
Processors
Medium-Large-scale farmers
In the Ethiopian poultry lifecycle, the first 45 days X High feed cost incentivises these early-stage
are key to survival. Here, it is important for the businesses to cut corners on feeding the des-
chicks to receive a series of vaccinations and reg- ignated amounts and/or mix of feed, which
ular feeding, which keep healthy production on slows poultry growth at a critical stage. This
track while reducing mortality rates. Once they in turn, delays the time it takes for chickens
reach 45 days, they are then sold onto farmers to become full grown layers or broilers, and
ranging from household to large-scale size. affects their overall health and productivity
throughout their lifetime.
While hatcheries often raise chicks until they
reach 45 days, many hatcheries have decentral-
ised this activity to rural-based agents and SMEs
as a means of gaining rural market visibility and Production
penetration. These businesses receive a stock of Poultry production for both eggs and broilers is
DOCs at one time, then raise them for 45 days, where the highest number of actors are involved
sell them off and then look to receive the next in the value chain. Production can be character-
stock - different ages cannot be housed at the ised in two major segments: scavenging and
40 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC, 2020.
41 FAO 2019.
42 This is not the case for EthioChicken, which distributes chickens to rural areas for early stage production.
43 FAO 2019.
24 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
commercial, with the latter being broken down scales. The key characteristics of both these
into semi-intensive, small, and medium/large classes are summarised in Table 2 below.
Table 2: Ethiopian Poultry Producer Characteristics44
44 T able adapted from Appendix 1 of FAO 2019. It shoulr be noted that one stakeholder indicated another classification systems is
small (<2,000 chickens), medium (2,000-5,000 chickens), large (>5,000 chickens).
45 Hirvonen, Kalle, Kaleab Baye, Derek Headey, and John Hoddinott. Value chains for nutritious food: Analysis of the egg value chain in
the Tigray region of Ethiopia. IFPRI Ethiopia. October 2020
46 Hailemichael et al 2016.
47 FAO 2019.
The Market System
25
and selling butchered broiler meat and table eggs X Irregular consumer demand: Producers
(see graph below48). indicated that fasting seasons by Orthodox
Ethiopians, which occur about 30% of the year,
have an impact on end market demand and
Commericial Chicken Types in Ethiopia
market prices, which force them to take losses
(in millions)
for considerable parts of the year.
48 Ibid.
49 Hailemichael 2016.
50 Ibid.
51 FAO 2019.
26 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
value - costs have been cited at ETB 0.5-1.0 per sector. Currently, Ethiopian chicken meat and egg
egg, or around 8-15% of the final egg price52. consumption is low - consumers eat about one-
tenth of the chicken that an average African eats55
Medium and large-scale farms slaughter and
and annual egg consumption in Amhara and SNNP
pluck chickens, prepare them for freezing, and sell
are only about five and eight eggs per person56.
them directly to hotels, restaurants, supermar-
While this presents a considerable growth oppor-
kets and mini-markets. For eggs, medium-scale
tunity for market demand, some key challenges
farmers typically sell through collectors, whereas
that stand in the way of that growth include:
large-scale farmers sell direct to supermarkets or
market vendors53. X Religious traditions: Orthodox consumers do
not consume animal-based products for about
Despite lower operational and processing costs,
one-third of the year - largely in extended pe-
Ethiopia’s chicken meat price is not competitive
riods before both Orthodox Christmas and
in the global market, over 46% higher than the
Easter, which severely disrupts demand for
global market price54. Hence, hospitality and su-
fresh chickens and eggs. In addition to tem-
permarket buyers sometimes import chicken
porarily seizing up the market, prices for eggs
meat (mainly from Brazil) in Addis Ababa, as well
drop-off by about 30% from peak prices57.
as in Bahir Dar, Amhara and Hawassa, Sidama.
X Culinary tradition: Apart from featuring
in ‘Doro wot’, the Ethiopian traditional stew,
Retailers poultry meat does not feature in traditional
Retailers are broken into two segments: local mar- cuisine. As one stakeholder indicated, com-
kets and supermarkets/hospitality. Local markets mercial broilers are just for hotels with inter-
are where most Ethiopian consumers buy poultry national guests.
products which are from indigenous chickens.
X Preference for indigenous breeds: Consumers
This includes live birds and eggs that are some-
prefer to buy eggs from indigenous chickens
times sold on an individual basis. Higher value
and live indigenous birds that are technically
markets, such as supermarkets and mini-mar-
less productive than improved chickens - they
kets in Addis Ababa and regional cities sell both
pay USD 9-10 for a 1.5-1.8kg live bird instead of
processed broilers and commercially produced
the USD 4-5 per kg for a butchered, cleaned
eggs. Several stakeholders identified this higher
and frozen bird58. This has two key effects:
value market as a key growth market and anecdo-
1.) it slows the diffusion of improved poultry
tally more consumers in Addis Ababa seem to be
breeds; and 2.) limits sector value-addition op-
buying broilers from supermarkets.
portunities.
Restaurants targeting domestic consumers are
very limited. Standing stalls for selling roasted and X Cost: Given that a live bird costs USD 9-10,
grilled chickens are almost non-existent in Ethiopia, and that farmers typically earn a total bene-
contrary to common practice in neighbouring fits package of between USD50-80 per month,
countries. However, such a market seems to be the cost of poultry is out of reach for most
emerging as restaurants such as ‘Chicken Hut’, a Ethiopian consumers. Eggs are considered as
local chain with retail outlets at various locations one of the cheapest protein sources, but still
in Addis Ababa, are slowly introducing ways of are about five times more expensive per cal-
preparing and consuming chicken meat other than orie than wheat59.
‘Doro wot’, the Ethiopian traditional stew.
X Difficult to import vaccines: Businesses Poultry feed cost comparison per quintal
identified that it can take up to three years to
import and register a vaccine. These stake-
holders felt that the vaccines were not regis-
tered quickly because NVI makes money from
being the only vaccine provider and operates
as a government monopoly.
60 FAO 2019.
61 Ibid.
62 VCA Poultry, USAID - Feed the Future Ethiopia, 2017.
63 VCA Poultry, USAID - Feed the Future Ethiopia, 2017 citing “USDA GAIN, June 2017, Ethiopia’s Demand for Chicken Meat is
Expected to Grow”.
28 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
The most common poultry feed ingredients in- and concentrates have been cited as factors
clude cereal grains (60%), milling by-products such driving up feed prices67.
as wheat shorts and middling (10%) and oilseed
X Little competition: More than half of
cakes (23%) and a premix (7%)64. The figure on the
Ethiopia’s feed production comes from one
previous page shows a comparison of the costs
processor, meaning that the feed market func-
for key poultry feed ingredients versus the global
tions with a monopolistic structure68.
averages (though does not include premix) and
shows that the principal ingredients are collec- X Poor electricity supply: Poor electricity
tively about 75% more expensive in Ethiopia65. As supply limits the operating hours of feed pro-
feed costs represent 70% of production costs, if ducing companies or causes them to operate
feed input costs were brought to a level equal with on expensive diesel generators, which adds
the global average, the cost of Ethiopia commer- cost.
cial poultry production would drop by 30%.
Poultry farmers and feed producers identified a
rapid increase in the market price of poultry feed Skills
over the last few years. Last year alone, the feed
Skills have been flagged as key issues in several
price increased by ETB 200 - 300 (USD 5-7.50)
parts of the sector. At the hatchery level, busi-
per quintal. In February 2021 in Amhara, stake-
nesses have poor management practices and low
holders indicated that the feed price per quintal
technical knowledge. For early-stage producers,
had recently increased from ETB 1,200 to between
they often lack animal health knowledge that is re-
ETB 1,300 - 1,400, which was similar to the feed
quired at a crucial vaccination stage. Commercial
price offered by a major feed supplier cooperative
producers and workers generally lack knowledge
union in Sidama.
and skills on overall hygiene, upkeep and manage-
A number of the key factors which have driven ment of farms, vaccination, and medication re-
up the cost of feed and in turn reduced the sector quirements of poultry. Larger businesses whether
competitiveness include: in feed, hatcheries or commercial production,
identified extensive skills needs across the board,
X Supply-demand mismatch: The feed supply is
even in areas like finance or marketing.
not sufficient for the demand. As one estimate
suggests, the annual unmet feed demand is in A lack of poultry expertise in animal health ser-
excess of 120,000 metric tons66. vices is a key constraint. One stakeholder indi-
cated that veterinary students have 5-6 years
X Shortage of raw materials: Rises in domestic of veterinary courses, but just four credit hours
maize consumption, competition for raw ma- on poultry production. While these courses pro-
terials among other feed industries and raw vided a technical base, recent veterinary grad-
materials exports have put a squeeze on feed uates still needed upskilling before they were
supply, which has pushed local prices up in market ready to work in commercial producers or
major cereal crops and oilseed cakes. In some as early-stage producers/sales agents.
cases, businesses export raw soybeans at a
loss to generate foreign currency further More broadly, businesses indicated that univer-
exacerbating the shortage. sity training is too theoretical and lacked a
hands-on component to prepare students for
X Lack of domestic premix production: the workforce. As a result, one business with 1,500
Pre-mix, a key ingredient in concentrated feed employees indicated that it trained its entire staff,
formulation, is imported from abroad entirely. most via peer-to-peer training. They also sent
A handful of importers operate in a market some higher skilled workers abroad for training
that is severely constrained by shortage from their suppliers, as the commercial market
of hard currency, leading to an oligopolistic is still too small for higher-skilled specialised
market structure and price hikes. training. The resource investment into training
can become expensive given that some medium
X Taxation: Despite a recent removal of VAT and large-scale commercial businesses reported
on poultry feed, 15% VAT on imported sup- high staff-turnover.
plements and 53% import tax on premixes
64 FAO 2019 and Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
65 Calculated from figures in Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020
66 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
67 FAO 2019
68 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
The Market System
29
At the farm level, government extension services When construction work is fully completed, and
target scavenging production and provide little ownership is transferred to qualified operators,
support to graduate to more intensive and it is expected that each region will have up to 3
commercial production. Furthermore, exten- RTCs linked to the Bure and Yirgalem agro-indus-
sion service training generally targets knowl- trial parks.
edge transfer to men instead of the women
that manage the farm. While just 2% of men in
male-headed households manage poultry pro- Access to Finance
duction, men received poultry production training
Access to finance supports business growth and
without their spouses 85% of the time.69 This pro-
can help businesses enter the poultry market and
vides a serious barrier to women becoming more
existing businesses scale-up faster. For poultry
productive.
SMEs, capital is needed to purchase machinery
Beyond adequate extension services, farmer and equipment including drinkers, feeders,
graduation to more intensive poultry farming brooders, build housing infrastructure and cover
also requires a re-orientation of the business. This other start-up costs72.
will require a different set of skills, including busi-
In Ethiopia, financial services are provided
ness development services, which are largely
through an array of providers (see Box 473). The
lacking, particularly for rural women who could
state-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE)
benefit most from them.
and 16 private commercial banks provide regular
banking services, while a dedicated public policy
lending bank - the Development Bank of Ethiopia
Infrastructure (DBE) - primarily lends to prioritized sectors, in-
Poor quality infrastructure, particularly relative cluding agriculture.
to electricity, transport and cold storage, adds
product costs and can incur product losses at Box 4: Access to finance by numbers
each step of the production chain.
- 18 banks (16 private and 2 public)
X Erratic electricity supply has a disruptive - 18 insurance companies (17 private)
effect on incubation at hatcheries as pro-
ducers need continuous heat to hatch eggs. - 41 microfinance institutions (13 private, 11
public, and 17 NGOs)
Also, producers need quality lighting to rear
chicks properly and ensure that they remain - 6 Capital Goods Financing/Leasing companies
productive70. Commercial producers depend (5 public, 1 private/foreign)
on generators which adds production cost. - 19,000 Saving and Credit Cooperatives
New oilseed processing plants in Amhara
- ETB 271.2 billion (USD 6.75 billion) dispersed by
cannot operate at full capacity due to insuffi-
banks in fresh loans in 2019/20
cient electricity supply, limiting the production
of oilseed by-product which goes into feed. - 9.2% of the loans went to agriculture
X Transport vehicles with the necessary cold While the share of loans disbursed by banks to
chain facilities for transporting meat are in agriculture increased by 38.5% in 2019/2020 from
short supply and thus, their use comes at a the previous year, it still remains under 10% of
premium71. total loan disbursement - low relative to the im-
portance of agriculture in terms of employment
Positive developments in this regard include the
(~80%)74 and contribution to GDP (32.7%)75. At
Rural Transformation Centers (RTCs) that are close
practical level, entrepreneurs, farmers, and coop-
to being operational in both Amhara and Sidama
eratives find it difficult to borrow from banks for
regions. RTCs will be equipped with aggregation
reasons related to both the supply and demand
facilities for poultry and cold storage for eggs.
of loans.
69 Gebremedhin et al 2016.
70 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
71 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
72 VCA Poultry, USAID - Feed the Future Ethiopia, 2017
73 NBE Report 2019/20 for data on banks and MFIs, FCA 2020 data for SACCOs
74 Various sources
75 NBE Report 2019/20
30 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
The supply side: micro and small businesses through their group
X Banks view agriculture as highly risky, a lending methodology.
view that is reinforced by the highly publicised
Omo and Sidama, the MFIs operating in the
failure of large volumes of agricultural loans
Sidama region, disbursed 67% and 9% of their
made by the Development Bank of Ethiopia.
total loans to MSMEs in agricultural, respec-
Some banks have expressly indicated that they
tively.78 In poultry, youth and women associations
do not view poultry business as bankable due
reported accessing credit from Omo Microfinance
to the high level of risk involved76.
institutions, however, they complained that it
X The banking sector is closed to entry of takes too long to approve loans. In some cases,
foreign banks and thus, its liquidity con- it takes up to two years to obtain loans from the
strained. Hence, banks tend to be very se- time they complete their application and fulfil their
lective in lending, and most of their credit is initial saving obligations (~10% of loan amount).
channelled to businesses that offer collateral SMEs often fall outside of the lending offer -
worth 100% or more of the loan value. needing loans larger than MFIs or group lending
methods can provide, but not having the collateral
X Many banks lack the experience and knowl-
for larger size loans from more formal financial
edge of the agricultural sector, which makes
institutions. Recently established capital goods fi-
it difficult to properly assess and measure the
nancing companies were created to close this gap,
risk and benefits of financing actors in the
and play a key role in creating alternative means
sector. This perception results in asking for
for SMEs – and potentially agriculture cooper-
very high interest rates on agricultural loans.
atives – to obtain machinery and equipment for
agricultural production and processing. In Sidama
The demand side: and Amhara, South Capital Goods Financing and
X Farmers, cooperatives, and entrepreneurs Walia Capital Goods Financing Companies are
lack knowledge and skills in developing active capital leasing companies, respectively.
business plans and putting in place financial South has so far leased 2,000 machineries worth
management practices that help them qualify ETB 60 million (1.5 million) to 600 enterprises and
for loans. Walia has leased close to 8,300 machineries worth
ETB 643 million (USD 16 million) to over 3,000 en-
X Farmers and MSMEs often lack physical col- terprises.
lateral that can be pledged against the loan.
This is especially true for women entrepre-
neurs interviewed during the field research.
Land is provided on a leasehold basis (com- 3.3 Rules and Regulations
monly short recurring leaseholding arrange-
ments for small poultry producers) which
makes it unacceptable for banks as collateral.
Poultry enterprises also do not usually employ
Currency controls
high value fixed assets (machineries and A key challenge that permeates into every area of
equipment) that can be pledged as collateral. business is the limited availability of foreign cur-
rency (ForEx). As Ethiopia’s ForEX reserves con-
Apart from formal banks, the Savings and Credit
tinue to fall, the Ethiopian Birr has depreciated
Cooperatives (SACCOs) are informal service pro-
against the dollar by as much as 28% in Nov 2020.
viders funded by a membership base of over 2.9
To defend the currency and protect the ex-
million (46% are women), which dispersed ETB
change rate, the Ethiopian government imposes
3.9bn (USD 95 million) of fresh loans last year77.
restrictions on currency exchanges to foreign
The Amhara Credit and Saving Institution (ACSI),
currencies, which are needed to import goods. A
the principal MFI in Amhara, lent more than ETB
recent report estimates that, although monthly
11 billion to agriculture as of Dec. 2020, which rep-
imports total USD 900 million, the backlog of
resented 40% of Ethiopia’s MFI agriculture lending
unmet ForEx demand could be as large as USD 3-5
and over 50% of ACSI’s portfolio. In poultry, ACSI
billion and waiting times at banks for accessing
and other Amhara based MFIs provide loans to
foreign exchange are around four to six months.
toward semi-intensive poultry production, how- integrated producers with feed production op-
ever, some stakeholders criticise them as being erations. Interviewed stakeholders appreciated
overly ambitious or realistic. the strong advocacy role played by the associa-
tion towards the lifting of tax on feed. The asso-
Despite these recent efforts, the poultry sector
ciation continues to lobby for the introduction of
still has regulatory and policy shortcomings. For
investment incentives for feed crop production,
example, poultry processing currently lacks its
and provision of land for the production of forage,
own regulation that segments out the private
maize, and soybean exclusively for animal feed
and government responsibilities in relation to pro-
inputs. However, funding and financial capacity
duction, processing and marketing80. Additionally,
are too limited to continue to drive these critical
the government has yet to introduce a poultry
initiatives.
specific investment incentive policy. As a result,
the regulatory and policy landscape is not condu- The Ethiopian Poultry Producers and Processors
cive to poultry business operations or investment Association (EPPPA) indicated that it has banded
and such barriers prevent potential investors from together with EAFIA and the Ethiopian Milk
financing poultry projects. Producers and Processors Association to try to
work with the government to address the issue
Domestic investors find regional government res-
of rising feed costs. In addition to that, EPPPA in-
ervations in issuing land in urban and peri-urban
dicated that they are working to lobby for the re-
areas unfriendly. Regulations linking size of
moval of VAT from eggs.
flock to investment licenses, such as those dis-
cussed above for Sidama, seem to be putting new Despite their work, the EPPPA’s members had a
entrants into the business at a disadvantage. less optimistic view of its performance, citing it
as “extremely weak” and with “no voice with the
relevant parties”. The key causes for its underper-
Coordination formance include:
Strong coordination supports inclusive develop- X As is common in business membership organi-
ment. An active employers’ association can ensure sations , funding is limited, and thus, they do
that stakeholders work together to lobby for and not have sufficient staff to fulfil functions
address key sector challenges. A functioning that the industry needs. This is a product
trade union can ensure that sector growth does of the sector being relatively small with a
not come at the expensive of its workers. And small potential membership base to draw
effective rural primary cooperatives and cooper- from. As the association acknowledged itself,
ative unions can improve farmer productivity and they do not have someone who can knock on
market power. doors and follow-up activities to make this
more effective, and if a member needs to
The Ethiopian Poultry Producers and Processors
attend a meeting in Addis, he needs to drive
Association (EPPPA) represents 90 medium-scale
there at his own cost.
and 8 large-scale commercial producers. The as-
sociation operates with the objectives of advocacy, X Members criticised the association for lacking
capacity building and peer to peer experience the ability to bring the right actors to the
exchange. The association funds its activities pri- table – they might get the approval from one
marily through member contributions, but it has ministry but when they take it to another for
received financial support from the Netherlands approval, it would get stuck because it was not
Embassy through the Ethio-Netherlands Trade in their interests.
for Agricultural Growth (ENTAG) project. With
the ENTAG project closing at the end of 2020 and X The association has just two meetings a
the economic fall-out from COVID-19 reducing year which was not sufficient to get the in-
member capacity and interest to pay membership dustry together to discuss emerging issues
fees, the association’s organisational health and coordinate among each other.
looks quite weak.
X One member indicated that the government
On the feed side, Ethiopian Animal Feed coordination between regional planning
Industry Association (EAFIA) conducts policy offices and national ministries is also poor,
advocacy on behalf of over 100 members that are making it difficult for a coordination body to
engaged in supply of feed ingredients and feed, actually have influence given the divergent
cooperative unions producing feed, and vertically opinions.
80 Food and Beverages Processing and Auxiliary Industry Strategy, EIC & ATA, 2020.
The Market System
33
The Confederation of Ethiopian Trade Unions the cooperatives, but also another “intermediary
(CETU) indicated that two of the largest poultry level”. While some cooperatives and cooperative
businesses, ELFORA and Alema, have associations unions in Sidama and Amhara actively produce
which have CETU membership. CETU also indi- feed - such as Elto Coop Union and Alema in
cated that it has a good working relationship with Hawassa, primary cooperatives do not coordi-
those associations. However, discussions with a nate the production or marketing of small-scale
series of medium and large-scale businesses, in- or backyard production. This could potentially be
dicated that trade unions played little role in their due to the lack of facilities to keep live poultry
business or the sector in general. The lack of and eggs. Handling poultry products also
trade union presence could be a product of the assume a considerable risk relative to other
small, emerging, large-scale commercial side agriculture produce, as live poultry could catch
of the sector. disease and die in their custody and eggs are rel-
atively perishable.
In Ethiopia, smallholder farmers are organised
into producer and marketing primary coopera-
tives and cooperative unions, as well as saving
and credit cooperatives. Cooperative unions sit as
an apex body over a series of producer and mar-
keting (primary) cooperatives, adding strength to
34 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
Core Market
Supporting Functions
- Supply-demand mismatch
- Shortage of raw materials High costs and poor availability of feed
- Lack of domestic premix production increase production costs reduce the
Poultry Feed - Lack of foreign currency use of feed particularly at the small-
- High taxation on inputs scale level, reducing productivity and
- Little competition in feed production farmer incomes.
- Poor electrical supply
- Little inclusion of poultry in university veterinary
curricula
- Lack of practical training integrated into university
curricula Limits farmer yields and incomes
- Commercial market too small for higher skilled
Skills training Incurs training and human resourcing
- Extension services target household farming, have costs for processors and reduces
little commercial orientation and train men instead productivity.
of the farm managers, women
- Lack of business development services for women,
household farmers
The Market System
35
- Lack of government investment into power and Increased operating costs, and product
Infrastructure
transport losses at each step of the chain
Motivation /
Organisation Relevant Information
Capacity81
- Uppermost body of government with the mandate to capacitate, supervise, and regulate
Motivation:
the agriculture sector
Ministry of Medium
- Has extensive networks of extension programs, down to the smallest level of government
Agriculture
administration in all regions Capacity:
- Responsible to developing supply chains feeding into agro-industries High
- Reports directly to the Ethiopian Investment Board, chaired by the PM or his designee
- Responsible for promoting, attracting, and facilitating investment
- into agro-processing and other sectors Motivation:
Ethiopian - Has developed a strategy for promoting investment into Food, Beverages, Packaging, and High
Investment Auxiliary industries jointly with ATA
Commission - Has signed MoUs with both regional IPDCs for the attraction of investment into the agro- Capacity:
parks High
- Responsible for mobilising key agencies to provide one-stop-shop services in agro-parks
- Has the power to convene any and all agencies around investment issues
- Responsible for developing and operating agro-industrial parks
Motivation:
- Manage agro-parks that will be hosting 120 - 150 agro-processing companies
High
Regional Industrial - Responsible for overall coordination of support organisations and government organs to
Parks Corporations make the supply chains feeding into agro-parks work
Capacity:
- Leading technical steering committees made up of donor and government representatives
Medium
to push the agro-parks implementation agenda
Motivation:
Ethiopian Poultry - Membership based association representing 90 medium scale and 8 large scale High
Producers and commercial poultry producers
Processors - Undertakes advocacy, capacity, building, and experience sharing activities
Association - Collaboratively lobbying key improvements to the policy environment in the poultry sector Capacity:
Low
Motivation:
Ethiopian Animal - Association with a broad composition of membership from feed ingredient and feed High
Feed Industry suppliers, feed producers (cooperative unions and vertically integrated poultry farms)
Association (EAFIA) - Undertakes research, advocacy and experience sharing activities Capacity:
Low
- Large scale hatchery of Sasso dual purpose DOCs for meat and eggs
Motivation:
- Employs an innovative agent model to distribute DOCs nationwide including in Amhara
Medium
Ethio-chicken and Sidama (stronger presence in Sidama)
- Provides training, BDS, and input (feed and vaccines) to early stage rearing entrepreneurs Capacity:
- Works with MFIs to help agents access finance for operations High
- A fully integrated feed and poultry producer company
- Among the major companies importing breeding stocks and hatching eggs Motivation:
- Has hatchery and multiplication facility to produce DOCs for its own farm and distribution Medium
Alema Farms to smaller producers
- One of the largest suppliers of quality poultry feed in the country under a JV arrangement Capacity:
with a Dutch company High
- Close to realizing an expansion project for feed mill and poultry farming in Amhara
- Jointly with EIC, developed a comprehensive and detailed strategy for attracting
investment into Foods, Beverages, Packaging, and Auxiliary Industries Motivation:
Agricultural - Helping create a network of 30 Agricultural One Stop Shops across the country, with a few Medium
Transformation in Amhara and Sidama regions
Agency - Has well staffed and equipped regional offices in Sidama and Amhara Capacity:
- Part of the technical committee for value chains development around the agro-parks in High
Sidama and Amahara
- Quasi – government entity formed by a partnership betweenUNDP and the Ministry of
Motivation:
Urban Development and Housing (MoUDH)
Entrepreneurship High
- Est. in 2013, provides services to start - up, micro, and small enterprises
Development
- Has branch offices, training centres, and trainers in Hawassa and B/Dar
Centre Capacity:
- Provides training on entrepreneurship and BDS services
High
- Provides resource people for trainings organised by other organisations
81 M
otivation indicates the perceived organisational motivation to drive change in the sector. Capacity is related to human resource capacity
to drive change in the sector. Both of these were gauged by the team based on the semi-structured interviews which took place during the
field research.
Opportunities
39
household farming and underrepresented in
4.2
Potential areas commercial farming.
82 An alternative option to reduce DOC costs could be to support MoA in assessing the viability of setting up grandparent stock
multiplication centres. While it is recognised that the Ethiopian poultry market is currently too small to support grandparent
stock, such a feasibility study can help mark out a strategy for the future development of grandparent stock centres such that
they come online at the right time
40 A Market Systems Analysis of the Poultry Sector in Sidama & Amhara, Ethiopia
on that road map, some potential support areas respect to the training packages, the project could
could be developing an economic case for allevi- work from the BDS training networks, adapt the
ating import duties on premix and day-old chicks contents from the ILO’s existing BDS packages:
or working with government to open up access for Start and Improve Your Business83 (SIYB) or the more
feed companies to direct source raw feed inputs gender targeted GET Ahead.
from farmers rather than at the high price, lower
2.c) Work with financial service providers –
quality, Ethiopia Commodities Exchange.
formal or informal – to support lending to BDS
1.c) Enhance raw input production. As edible oil trained, semi-intensive female farmers. One
cake is the most expensive and over-priced feed key constraint is that financial institutions con-
input, the domestic supply shortage of the com- sider lending to agriculture, including to poultry
modity is an issue. The project will work to boost farming, as too risky. The project can intervene
supply through a series of interventions identified with awareness raising and training to financial
in the ProAgro Ethiopia edible oils market systems service providers – particularly those oriented
analysis. toward lending to females or those with funds
to lend - to increase their knowledge and un-
derstanding of the business. This would enable
Intervention Area 2: Enhance them to measure the risk better, price it in their
commercial orientation of semi- loan products, and potentially develop tailored
intensive female farmers financial products for the poultry sector to make
it more acceptable to lend to poultry businesses
2.a) Orient regional extension services to looking to expand. The project’s work in inter-
better target women. Current extension ser- vention 2b will help in this intervention as female
vices are directed toward household farmers. semi-intensive poultry farmers will create busi-
The issue is that these trainings overwhelmingly ness plans and improve business record keeping
engage men at the household level, when women to enhance their eligibility for loans.
are the ones actually doing the poultry farming. A
If the above work does not free up lending, the
first, minor step in positioning women to be more
project could use risk-sharing methods such as
productive household farmers would be to give
establishing a matching revolving fund and/or
them access to the existing extension services.
guarantee funds. The latter is more cumbersome
Here the project could work with the extension
administratively and requires a level of fund man-
service directorates in both regions to identify a
agement and technical assistance capacity in the
road map to better target extension services to
project team. The former can be done relatively
ensure that they actually train those doing the
easily - once the right partners have been identi-
poultry farming – women.
fied, the project and financial partner institutions
2.b) Enhance business development services can design appropriate funding and implemen-
(BDS) for female semi-intensive producer tation mechanisms and a practical phase-out
groups. Making a switch to more commercial strategy.
farming requires knowledge on some business
skills. Women in semi-intensive farming have al-
ready made a leap into a more productive busi- Intervention Area 3: Support
ness - which is a large transformation in itself sector investment policy
- however, they may still need to develop their busi-
3.a) Work with regional investment bureaus to
ness with some further upskilling. In this regard,
develop and enhance investment strategy, par-
the project could work with existing BDS pro-
ticularly in Sidama where the new regional gov-
viders to structure a training around targeted for
ernment structure is in the process of developing
semi-intensive poultry farmers. This could poten-
new policies and regulations. Here, the project
tially be paired with some basic technical training
could work with the Sidama regional government,
on more commercial farming techniques and an
as well as ATA and EIC - organisations trying to
assessment of return on investment for higher
incentivise investment into poultry production.
productive chickens and feed. To ensure that the
With these organisations, the project could work
BDS providers have a market for such services,
to address key investment barriers, particularly
the project could link BDS providers to regional
for women, to the start-up and develop poultry
bureaus in Amhara and Sidama and women’s
farms. The investment work should target a more
poultry producer groups as a first step. With
83 In particular the SIYB Association in Sri Lanka could be consulted as they have poultry training experience.
Opportunities
41
inclusive approach to help commercially oriented competitiveness. Linked to intervention area 1,
smaller-scale poultry farms invest into growth and this intervention would advance EAFIA’s efforts to
development. lobby the national government to create invest-
ment incentives for the production of raw animal
The first step would be to discuss with both re-
feed inputs. Work has started here, however,
gional authorities - including their livestock de-
EAFIA needs support to analyse and demonstrate
velopment teams - to understand the existing
the economic case for creating these investment
organisational and bureaucratic pain points and
incentives. The ILO could support EAFIA in cre-
incentives to bring about such a policy change.
ating the economic case as well as in setting-up
The ILO can support this technically to link to the
and facilitating a private-public dialogue platform
ProAgro policy work.
to bring key actors to the table to discuss the eco-
3.b) Support EAFIA to advocate for the opening nomic case, policy implications and way forward
up of investment lands for poultry feed inputs. to put these incentives into action. If this process
can push forward the necessary investment in-
The domestic supply shortage of poultry feed
centives, it can enhance both major gains in the
inputs such as edible oils and maize, drives up
poultry and edible oils sectors.
the cost of poultry feed, which in turn, increases
poultry production costs and reduces sector
42
5 Conclusion
The project has a considerable opportunity to develop the poultry sector in
Amhara and Sidama in a way that generates more and better jobs for female
workers and eventually reduces poverty for these individuals and their fam-
ilies. The analysis in this study provides the project with a starting point to
engage with and drive change in the sector and identifies eight potential
interventions to do so.
These interventions aim to incentivise sector investment and create more ef-
fective, less costly production to improve the sector’s competitiveness. In this
effort, the project must ensure it engages women and reduces the barriers
for women – who work in traditional, unproductive farming operations and
are underrepresented at the commercial scale. This will ensure that women
serve as an engine to the sector’s transformation from unproductive to com-
mercial farming rather than being left behind from the gains ahead.
Finally, it should be noted that although this analysis is considered compre-
hensive, the project should strive to revisit, update and build upon it as the
project team gathers more insights in the sector, its constraints and the
market actors. This will help the project more aptly adapt and deliver in a
rapidly changing sector.
Annex A: Research Interview List
43
Observations
Yirgalem Industrial Park, Sidama Region
Bure Industrial Park, Amhara Region (sector selection stages)
Bensa Rural Transformation Center, Sidama Region
Bensa Poultry Centre, Sidama Region
Supported by On behalf of Implemented by