Handout 2
Handout 2
Handout 2
The economic role of the government, in the context of the circular flow model, refers to transferring household
income to the government through taxation and government expenditure which makes tax revenue flow back to the
households.
Taxation is the withdrawal from the income flows to the households because they reduce private disposable income
and, therefore, consumption expenditure and savings. On the other hand, government expenditure is an injection into
the income stream. The government expenditure adds to the aggregate demand in form of government purchases of
factor services from the households and goods and services from the business sector. The transfer payments by the
government (e.g., old age pension, subsidies, unemployment allowance, etc) are injections to the circular flows.
They add to the household income which leads to increase in household demand for consumer goods.
The foreign sector consists of two kinds of international transactions: (i) foreign trade, i.e., exports and imports of
goods and services; and (ii) inflow and outflow of capital. The international transactions take place through a
complex system. For simplicity sake, however, following assumptions are made:
o The external sector consists of only exports and imports of goods and services.
o The export and import of goods and non-labour services are made only by the firms; and
o The households export only labour.
Exports make goods and services flow out of the country and make money (foreign exchange) flow into the country
in the form of ‘receipts from export’. This is, in fact, flow of foreign income into the economy. Thus, exports
represent injection into the economy.
Similarly, imports make flow of goods and services from abroad and flow of money (foreign exchange) out of
country. This is flow of expenditure out of the economy. Imports represent withdrawal from the circular flow of the
economy.
Another flow of income is generated by the ‘export of manpower’ by the households. The export of manpower
brings in foreign remittances in terms of foreign exchange. This is another inflow of income. These inflows and
outflows go on continuously so long as there is foreign trade and export of manpower.
So far as the effect of foreign trade on the magnitude of the overall circular flow is concerned, it depends on the
trade balance, which equals export minus import.
What happens to these commodities after being produced? Commodities are sold to the buyers. The buyer may, in turn,
be an individual/household or an enterprise/firm or government and the commodities purchased by that entity might be
for final use or for use in further production. Such an item that is meant for final use and will not pass through any more
stages of production or transformation is called a final good. Why do we call this a final good? Because once it has been
sold it passes out of the active economic flow. It will not undergo any further transformation at the hands of any
producer. It may, however, undergo transformation by the action of the ultimate purchaser during their consumption. Of
the final goods, we can distinguish between consumption goods and capital goods. Goods that are consumed when
purchased by their ultimate consumers are called consumption goods or consumer goods. Then there are other goods
(capital goods) that are of durable character which are used in the production process. They are also final goods yet they
are not final goods to be ultimately consumed. These goods form a part of capital, one of the crucial backbones of any
production process. As final goods they do not undergo any further transformation in the economic process. Of the total
production taking place in the economy a large number of products don’t end up in final consumption and are not capital
goods either. Such goods may be used by other producers as material inputs. These are intermediate goods (also known
as intermediate consumption). Thus we consider all the final goods and services produced in an economy in a given
period of time. They are either in the form of consumption goods (both durable and non-durable) or capital goods. As
final goods they do not undergo any further transformation in the economic process. Only final goods and services
should be counted and intermediate goods should be excluded while assessing the quantity of goods and services
(commodities) produced in the economy. Including intermediate goods will lead to double counting which will
exaggerate the total goods and services produced in the economy. Value of final goods and services produced in the
economy in a year is nothing but Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
Measuring/estimating the GDP:
In India, economic activities are classified into 8 groups (say industries/sectors) as follows:
1. Agriculture, forestry and fishing
2. Mining and quarrying
3. Manufacturing
4. Electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services
5. Construction
6. Trade, Hotels, Transport, Communication & Services related to Broadcasting
7. Financial, Real Estate & Professional Services
8. Public Administration, Defence & Other Services (education, health, recreation, and other personal services)
GDP = ∑Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices + Product taxes – Product subsidies
GVA at basic prices (value-added approach) = Value of output – Value of Intermediate Consumption
GVA at basic prices (income approach): Compensation of employees + Operating Surplus / Mixed Income +
Consumption of Fixed Capital (CFC) or Depreciation + Production taxes -
Production subsidies
Basic prices: For any commodity, the basic price is the amount receivable by the producer from the purchaser for a unit
of a product minus any tax on the product plus any subsidy on the product. However, GVA at basic prices will include
production taxes and exclude production subsidies available on the commodity because net production taxes (production
taxes minus production subsidies) are part of intermediate consumption.
Product taxes: Product taxes are paid on per unit of output basis. Some examples include Excise duty, sales tax, service
tax, and import and export duties
Product subsidies: Product subsidies are received on per unit of output basis. Some examples include food, petroleum
and fertilizer subsidies, interest subsidies given to farmers, households through banks, and subsidies for providing
insurance to households at lower rates.
Production taxes: Production taxes are paid with relation to production and are independent of the volume of actual
production. Some examples are: land revenues, stamps and registration fees, and tax on profession.
Production subsidies: Production subsidies are received with relation to production and are independent of the volume of
actual production. Some examples include subsidies to railways, input subsidies to farmers, subsidies to village and small
industries, administrative subsidies to corporations or cooperatives, etc
Gross National Income (GNI) = GDP + Net Primary Income from Rest of World (receipts minus payments)
a. Primary Incomes = Compensation of employees + Property and Entrepreneurial Income
Gross National Disposable Income (GDNI) = GNI + Other net current transfers from Rest of World (receipts
minus payments)
Net National Income (NNI) also known as National Income = GNI – CFC
Net National Disposable Income (NNDI) = NNI + Other net current transfers from Rest of World (receipts
minus payments)
Personal Income=
Net National Disposable Income (NNDI)
(-) Net Disposable Income of General Government
(+) Current taxes on income, wealth etc
(-) Net saving of public corporations
(-) Net saving of Private corporations
(-) Current taxes on income and wealth, paid by corporations
Can the increase in Per Capita Real GDP of a country be taken as an index of the welfare of the people of that country?
There are at least 3 reasons why even an increase in Per capita Real GDP of a country cannot be treated as an index
of the welfare of the people of that country.
1. Distribution of GDP – how uniform is it: If the GDP of the country is rising, the welfare may not rise as a
consequence. This is because the rise in GDP may be concentrated in the hands of very few individuals or firms.
For the rest, the income may in fact have fallen. In such a case the welfare of the entire country cannot be said to
have increased.
2. Non-monetary exchanges: Many activities in an economy are not evaluated in monetary terms. For example, the
domestic services women perform at home are not paid for. In barter exchanges, goods (or services) are directly
exchanged against each other. GDP does not account for these exchanges and hence may underestimate the
quantity of goods and services available for satisfaction of human wants in the country.
3.
Externalities: Externalities (also known as third-party effects) refer to the benefits (or harms) a firm or an
individual causes to another for which they are not paid (or penalized). Externalities do not have any market in
which they can be bought and sold.
a. Negative externalities: For example, oil refinery may be polluting nearby river which may lead to
adverse impact on users of river water, livelihood of fishermen, etc.
b. Positive externalities: For example, government expenditure on healthcare, tree plantation, etc
GDP does not account for externalities, thus it may overestimate/underestimate the actual welfare of the economy.
For example:
Nominal growth rate in 2023: [(Nominal GDP in 2023 – Nominal GDP in 2022)/Nominal GDP in 2022] * 100
Real growth rate in 2023: [(Real GDP in 2023 – Real GDP in 2022)/Real GDP in 2022] * 100
Structural change represents the fundamental changes that are occurring in the basic features of the economy over a long
period. Development is described as growth plus structural changes. Structural changes constitute to be the most
important part of development. Structural changes refer to long term and persistent shifts in the sectoral composition of
economic systems. Structure of the economy thus means the occupational structure, sectoral distribution of income,
industrial pattern, composition of exports, saving- GDP ratio etc. In this course, we focus only on percentage contribution
of primary, secondary and tertiary sectors to GDP/GVA.
Example: Suppose, only 4 commodities are produced, sold and consumed in an economy. Commodities are assigned
weights based on their respective significance in total output. Prices in year 2012 and 2013 are compared, where 2012 is
the base year. Base year value of any price index is 100 because base year actual prices are set equal to 100. Price index
for other years is calculated by using ‘price relative’ and compared with previous year. A price relative is the ratio of the
price of a specific product in one period to the price of the same product in some other period. Formula to calculate Price
Relative is as follows:
Price∈ period t
Price Relative = ×100
Price∈base year
Pt
P0 , t= ×100
P0
Commodit Unit Weight Price in Rs. Base Price Price Relative Price Relative * Weight
y (2012) (2013) [7] * [3]
(%) (2012) (2013)
100*([6]/[4])
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
A Kg 30 20 100 24 120 3600
B Mtr 20 150 100 225 150 3000
C Kg 40 40 100 50 125 5000
D Count 10 30 100 36 120 1200
100 12800
Price Index (base year, 2012): 100
Price Index (year 2013): 128
In the above example, price index was 100 in the year 2012 (because it is base year) and increased to 128 in the year
2013. Thus, price level in the year 2012 was 100 which increased to 128 in the year 2013. Price index is also used to
calculate inflation rate. There are three main concepts of inflation:
Inflation is defined as the percentage rate of increase in general level of prices (price index). In broader sense, a
persistent and appreciable rise in general price level is considered as inflation.
Disinflation is a decline in the rate of inflation or the rate of increase in general price level (price index).
Deflation is a negative rate of inflation, i.e., decline in general price level (price index).
Measurement of Inflation:
Inflation rate is measured as the percentage change in the price index. Price Index is a number which shows
weighted average of prices of goods and services and is used to compare price changes from a particular base year
with price index as 100.
Inflation Rate = 100 * [(PIN t – PINt-1)/PINt-1]; where PIN is Price Index Number, and ‘t’ is the period for which
inflation rate is being calculated and ‘t-1’ is the period in previous year.
Out of above three, CPI-Combined (CPI-C) is used for reporting the following 2 types of inflation at the macro level:
Headline Inflation: It is based on change in price of all 299 commodities included in the basket of commodities for
CPI-Combined. The three major subgroups of retail inflation (base year 2012=100) are, food, beverages and tobacco
(weight =45.86%); fuel and light (6.84%); and others including clothing and footwear, housing, household goods
and services, health, education, transport and communication, recreation and amusement and personal care
(47.30%).
Core Inflation: Inflation in non-food –non fuel group is called Core inflation.
RBI has been using headline CPI-Combined inflation as the nominal anchor for monetary policy formulation for inflation
targeting since April 2014. Before that, WPI was used as the nominal anchor for the monetary policy.
Labour Force
A: ‘Working’, engaged in an economic activity i.e., Employed
B. ‘Seeking’ or available for work i.e., Unemployed
The detailed activity statuses under each of the three broad activity statuses (viz. ‘employed’, ‘unemployed’ and ‘not in
labour force’) and the corresponding codes used in the survey are given below:
Unemployment is a situation in which a person is able and willing to work at prevailing wage rate does not get
employment. National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) defines employment and unemployment on the basis of following
activity statuses-
The detailed activity statuses under each of the three broad activity statuses (viz. ‘employed’, ‘unemployed’ and ‘not in
labour force’) and the corresponding codes used in the survey are given below:
Self-employed/ regular wage or salaried/ casual labour/ not working but seeking for work
(Constitutes labor force)
Neither working nor available for work (or not in labour force)
NSSO follows three approaches to measure unemployment which were recommended by M. L. Dantwala committee-
1. Usual status approach- Estimates only those persons as unemployed who had no gainful work for a major time
during a year (365) days preceding the date of survey. It includes usual principal activity status and usual
subsidiary economic activity status.
2. Weekly Status approach- Records those persons as unemployed who did not have gainful work even for an hour
on any day of the week preceding date of survey.
3. Daily status approach- Unemployment is measured for each day in reference week. A person having no gainful
work even for an hour is counted unemployed. Daily status also categorises employment on the basis of hours of
work-
0-4 hours- Employed for half day
Daily status approach is more inclusive and had advantage from other two as it captures not only the unemployment days
of those persons who are usually unemployed but also who are recorded unemployed on weekly status basis. That is why
unemployment is recorded highestby this approach in comparison to the other two approaches.
Key Employment and Unemployment Indicators
1. Labour force participation rate (LFPR): LFPR is defined as the number of persons/ person-days in the labour force
per 1000 persons /person-days
2. Worker Population Ratio (WPR): WPR defined as the number of persons/person – days employed per 1000
persons/person-days.
3. Proportion Unemployed (PU): It is defined as the number of persons/person-days unemployed per 1000
persons/person-days.
4. Unemployment Rate (UR): UR is defined as the number of persons/person-days unemployed per 1000
persons/person-days in the labour force (which includes both the employed and unemployed)