AD As Chapter 8 - Handout

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ECONOMICS CLASS XII STUDY MATERIAL

THE THEORY OF INCOME DETERMINATION (CHAPTER – 2)

(2 approaches of Equilibrium)
The equilibrium level of national
income is determined at the point
where AD equals AS.
The equilibrium is where
AD=AS ------- (i)
As we know we are studying two sector
model, therefore,
AD= C + I --------- (ii)
Since AS is the same as national income, and income is unable for
making consumption expenditure (C) or for savings (S), therefore
AS= C + S -------iii)
Putting (i), (ii) and (iii) together; we get
AD=AS
C+I = C+S
I = S or S = I

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The above derivation shows that the basic equilibrium condition
AD=AS can also be expressed as PS (Planned Savings) = PI (Planned
Investment)
This gives 2 approaches, AD=AS
PS=PI

According to Prof. Keynes


Determination of equilibrium level of
income, output and employment is based on
AD and AS and their respective components.

1) AD-AS approach

An economy is said to be equilibrium


when AD in the economy is equal to AS
during the financial year.

Assumptions
i) The determination of equilibrium output is to be
studied in the context
of two-sector model.
ii) It is assumed that investment expenditure is autonomous.
iii) Price level is assumed to remain constant.
iv) Equilibrium output is to be determined in context of short
run.

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Y C S I AD=C+I AS=C+S Remarks
0 40 -40 40 80 0 AD>AS
100 120 -20 40 160 100 AD>AS
200 200 0 40 240 200 AD>AS
300 280 20 40 320 300 AD>AS
400 360 40 40 400 400 AD=AS
500 440 60 40 480 500 AD<AS
Diagram
AS (NY)

Income / Output / Employment

i) AD=AS
In this situation, buyers/consumers are planning to buy the same
quantity which producers are planning to supply.
Equilibrium level is determined at a point where AD=AS i.e point E
(shown in the diagram)
OM is the level of income. If there is any deviation from
equilibrium level of income, interaction between AD & AS will
bring it back to the equilibrium.

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ii) AD>AS
In this situation, buyers are planning to buy more goods and
services than producers are planning to supply. Producers keep a
certain stock of goods called ‘inventory’.
When AD>AS, it means that buyers are buying faster than sellers
are supplying.
In this situation, inventories start falling and come below the
desired level.
To bring back the inventories at desired level, producers expand
production. To expand production, more people will be employed.
This raises the income level which keeps on rising till the AD and
the AS once again becomes equal.
This brings economy back to equilibrium.

iii) AD < AS

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2) PS-PI approach
Under this approach equilibrium level of income is determined at
a point where ex-ante (planned) savings in the economy are equal
to ex-ante (planned) investments.
Therefore, equilibrium condition will be:
Derivation: (Same as given in AD –AS Approach)

Assumptions:

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i) PS = PI
According to this approach, the equilibrium level of income is
determined at a level, when PS is equal to PI. As shown in the
diagram, it is point E1 where PS = PI and corresponding to this
point AD = AS.

ii) PS < PI
Prior to OY level of income, when PS < PI, this situation is
corresponding to the situation where AD > AS.

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In this case the major part of income is consumed and a minor part
is saved. It means buyers in the economy are buying faster than
suppliers are supplying. (AD>AS)

In this situation, inventories start falling and come below the


desired level.

To bring back the inventories at desired level, producers expand


production. To expand production, more people will be employed.
This raises the income level which keeps on rising till the AD and
the AS once again becomes equal.
This brings economy back to equilibrium.

iii) PS > PI

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QUESTION - DEFINE ‘PARADOX OF THRIFT’. (1/2 MARKS)
ANS-When two or more facts or qualities seem to contradict with each
other is known as a situation of Paradox. When people are over
cautious while using money and not wasting it, is called situation of
thrift.
This theory is given by Prof John Maynard Keynes.
 According to Prof. Keynes, where people start saving money
instead of spending it, in response to growing concern about a
recession, they actually make the recession worse.
QUESTION: DISCUSS ALL TYPES OF EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM (each
for 3-4 marks)

LEVELS OF EMPLOYMENT
EQUILIBRIUM
Full Under Over Full
Employment Employment Employment
Equilibrium Equilibrium Equilibrium

According to Prof. Keynes, equilibrium level of income, output and


employment can be determined either at:-
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Full employment equilibrium

It is a situation in the economy when AD = AS corresponding to full


employment.

• This means all the factors which are willing and able to work, get
the work at prevailing wage rate. This will also mean that there is
no involuntary unemployment in the economy during this period
of time.
• It is the ideal most situation for an economy since the basic aim of
an economy is to attain a situation where there is neither the
shortage nor the surplus of factors of production, output and
income generated.

Considering point Q on x-axis as full employment we gather the


following from the above diagram.
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a) OQ is the total volume of all the factors of production available
for employment in the economy.
b) AD & AS curves intersect (i.e AD = AS) exactly against OQ level of
employment in the economy.
c) All the factors of production available for employment are
employed or get employment in the economy.
d) Thus, equilibrium between AD and AS is corresponding to full
employment level of income and output in the economy.

Under Employment Equilibrium

It is a situation in the economy when AD=AS prior to full


employment level of income or output.

• This means all the factors which are willing and able to work
at prevailing wage rate does not get work.

• This will mean that there is involuntary unemployment


prevailing in the economy during this period of time.

• This is not a good situation for an economy, since there will


be surplus of idle factors of production which will reduce the
output and income in the economy.

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As shown in the above diagram, we observe:
a) OQ is the total volume of all the factors of production available
for employment in the economy.

b) Among OQ level of factors of production, only OQ1 level of


factors get employment in the economy.

c) Q1 Q= (OQ-OQ1) level of factors of production are unemployed.

d) Thus, we see that equilibrium between AD & AS is before full


employment level of income and output in the economy and
thus known as under employment equilibrium.

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Over full employment equilibrium

It is a situation in the economy when AD = AS after the full


employment level of output and income.

• It is known as beyond full employment equilibrium.

• There will be shortage of factors of production in comparison to


their demand.

• It is not a good situation for an economy since short supply of


factors of production in comparison to their demand will lead to
increase in wage rate.

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We observe from above diagram:-
a) In the diagram, AD1 = AS at point ‘E1’ which is higher than the full
employment level.

b) As OY1 is more than OY, point ‘E1which signifies over full


employment equilibrium.
Over full employment equilibrium creates inflationary pressure.

MULTIPLIER
 Relationships

1) Multiplier and MPC

The equation shows there is direct relationship between the


value of MPC and the value of multiplier.
The higher the value of MPC, the higher is the value of
multiplier.
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eg. If MPC= 0.8
Multiplier 5 times
And, If MPC= 0.2
Multiplier 1.25 times
Hence, it shows with a fall in MPC, Multiplier also decreases.

2) Multiplier and MPS

There is an inverse relation between the value of MPS and the value of
multiplier. The lower the value of MPS the higher is the value of
multiplier.
Eg. If MPS= 0.5
Multiplier = 2 times
If MPS = 0.2
Multiplier= 5 times
Hence, it shows with a fall in MPS, Multiplier increases.

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Algebraic relationship between multiplier and MPC
We know, at equilibrium, (Y) income is the sum total of C & I.

Similarly, any change in income, will


also be equal to ∆C & ∆I

Dividing both sides by ∆Y, we get

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INVESTMENT MULTIPLIER

Meaning: It is a measure of the effect of change in investment


on national income. According to Prof. Keynes, multiplier is a
quantitative expression of relationship between changes in
level of income because of specific change in investment.

The multiplier mechanism works on certain assumptions.


a) The economy is a two sector closed economy.
b) Investment expenditure is autonomous.
c) Consumption expenditure is linear.
d) The price level, wage rate, interest rate etc. are constant.

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MPC = 0.80
Rounds ∆I ∆Y ∆C ∆S
(Increase (Increase in (Increase in (Increase
in consumption) consumption) in savings)
investment)
I 100 100 80 20
II 80 64 16
III 64 51.20 12.80
IV - - -
- - -
- - -
All 100 cr. 500 cr. 400 cr. 100 cr.
rounds

K = 1/ 1- 0.80 = 1 / 0.20 = 5 Times


K = ∆Y
∆I
5 = ∆Y
100
Therefore, ∆Y = 100 × 5 = Rs. 500 cr.
WORKING OF MULTIPLIER

Suppose we are given that ∆I = rs.100 cr. and MPC = 0.80,


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Investment is undertaken to generate income. The total increase in
income is in several rounds, and not increases in one go.
1) First round
Investment means expenditure on producer goods. So, an
investment of Rs.100 cr. raises the income of the producers of
these goods by Rs. 100 cr.

2) Second round increase


Given the MPC = 0.80, people spend 80% of increase in income i.e
Rs. 80 cr. on consumption. This raises the income of producers of
consumer goods by Rs. 80 cr.

3) Third round increase


Given the MPC = 0.80, people again spend 80% i.e Rs.64 cr. on
consumption. This leads to another increase in the income of
Rs.64 cr. of the producers of consumer goods. At the end of third
round, total increase in income stands
at Rs. 244 cr. (= 100+80+64)

In this way, national income goes on increasing in round after


round. But the increase in each round is restricted to 80% of the
increase in previous round. It is important to note that, when
initial increase in investment (∆I) becomes equal increase in
savings (∆S), income stop rising.

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