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SALALE UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS GROUP ASSIGNMENT 2, INTRODUCTION ECONOMETRICS FOR FINANCE DUE DATE IS Copying answers from other is strictly forbidden Maximum number member is 5 Maximum marks: 15
Instruction: Answer the following questions accordingly
1. Consider the log of real GDP and log of nominal wage of a country (7 marks)
OLS Regression model: Dependent variable is log of wage
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -1.27404 0.062811 -0.28361 0.0000 LNGDP 0.745639 0.004957 150.4348 0.0000 R-squared 0.996565 Mean dependent var 8.112247 Adjusted R-squared 0.996521 S.D. dependent var 1.095522 S.E. of regression 0.064616 Akaike info criterion -.616032 Sum squared resid 0.325666 Schwarz criterion -.556482 Log likelihood 106.6413 F-statistic 22630.63 Durbin-Watson stat 0.301944 Prob(F-statistic) 0.00000
I. How do you interpret the coefficient of logGDP?
II. Is there autocorrelation problem? Why? Explain in detail III. Are log of GDP and w integrated of order zero (I(0))? ADF-test statistics Variables I(0) I(1) lngdp 0.528899 -4.83401 lnw 0.001598 -4.40925 Critical values 1% -3.5164 -3.5176 5% -2.8991 -2.8996 10% -2.5865 -2.5868 IV. Is the regression result spurious? V. Are the variables cointegrated? Variables I(0) I(1) Lngdp 0.528899 -4.83401 Lnw 0.001598 -4.40925 Residual -2.92463 Critical values 1% -3.5164 -3.5176 5% -2.8991 -2.8996 10% -2.5865 -2.5868 2. From data for 54 standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSA), Demaris estimated the following logit model to explain high murder rate versus low murder rate(5 marks): ^i = 1.1387 + 0.0014 Pi + 0.0561C i − 0.4050 Ri ln O se = (0.0009) (0.0227) (0.1568) where, O = the odds of a high murder rate, P = 1980 population size inthousands, C = population growth rate from 1970 to 1980, R = reading quotient, and these are the asymptotic standard errors. a) How would you interpret the various coefficients? b) Which of the coefficients are individually statistically significant? c) What is the effect of a unit increase in the reading quotient on the odds of having a higher murder rate? d) What is the effect of a percentage point increase in the populationGrowth rate on the odds of having a higher murder rate? 3. Briefly explain the major assumptions of classical linear regression model. Also discuss biasedness, efficiency and consistence of estimates. (1.5 marks) 4. Concisely discuss the classical linear regression model diagnostics focusing on causes, consequences, and solutions for Heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, multicollinearity, non-normality as well as model specification error. (5 marks) 5. Write the similarities and difference between the following models A. Linear probability model B. Probit Model C. Logit model D. Propensity score matching
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