Practice Questions - R5 and R6
Practice Questions - R5 and R6
PRACTICE PROBLEMS
1 Perkiomen Kinzua, a seasoned auditor, is auditing last year’s transactions for
Conemaugh Corporation. Unfortunately, Conemaugh had a very large number
of transactions last year, and Kinzua is under a time constraint to nish the
audit. He decides to audit only the small subset of the transaction population
that is of interest and to use sampling to create that subset.
e most appropriate sampling method for Kinzua to use is:
A judgmental sampling.
B systematic sampling.
C convenience sampling.
2 Which one of the following statements is true about non-probability sampling?
A ere is signi cant risk that the sample is not representative of the
population.
B Every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for
the sample.
C Using judgment guarantees that population subdivisions of interest are rep-
resented in the sample.
3 e best approach for creating a strati ed random sample of a population
involves:
A drawing an equal number of simple random samples from each
subpopulation.
B selecting every kth member of the population until the desired sample size
is reached.
C drawing simple random samples from each subpopulation in sizes propor-
tional to the relative size of each subpopulation.
4 Although he knows security returns are not independent, a colleague makes
the claim that because of the central limit theorem, if we diversify across a
large number of investments, the portfolio standard deviation will eventually
approach zero as n becomes large. Is he correct?
5 Why is the central limit theorem important?
6 What is wrong with the following statement of the central limit theorem?
Central Limit eorem. “If the random variables X1, X2, X3, …, Xn are a
random sample of size n from any distribution with nite mean μ and
variance σ2, then the distribution of X will be approximately normal, with a
standard deviation of n .”
7 Peter Biggs wants to know how growth managers performed last year. Biggs
assumes that the population cross-sectional standard deviation of growth man-
ager returns is 6% and that the returns are independent across managers.
A How large a random sample does Biggs need if he wants the standard devia-
tion of the sample means to be 1%?
B How large a random sample does Biggs need if he wants the standard devia-
tion of the sample means to be 0.25%?
8 Petra Munzi wants to know how value managers performed last year. Munzi
estimates that the population cross-sectional standard deviation of value
manager returns is 4% and assumes that the returns are independent across
managers.
A Munzi wants to build a 95% con dence interval for the population mean
return. How large a random sample does Munzi need if she wants the 95%
con dence interval to have a total width of 1%?
B Munzi expects a cost of about $10 to collect each observation. If she has
a $1,000 budget, will she be able to construct the con dence interval she
wants?
9 Find the reliability factors based on the t-distribution for the following con -
dence intervals for the population mean (df = degrees of freedom, n = sample
size):
A A 99% con dence interval, df = 20
B A 90% con dence interval, df = 20
C A 95% con dence interval, n = 25
D A 95% con dence interval, n = 16
10 Assume that monthly returns are normally distributed with a mean of 1%
and a sample standard deviation of 4%. e population standard deviation is
unknown. Construct a 95% con dence interval for the sample mean of monthly
returns if the sample size is 24.
11 Explain the di erences between constructing a con dence interval when sam-
pling from a normal population with a known population variance and sam-
pling from a normal population with an unknown variance.
12 Suppose we take a random sample of 30 companies in an industry with 200
companies. We calculate the sample mean of the ratio of cash ow to total debt
for the prior year. We nd that this ratio is 23%. Subsequently, we learn that the
population cash ow to total debt ratio (taking account of all 200 companies) is
26%. What is the explanation for the discrepancy between the sample mean of
23% and the population mean of 26%?
A Sampling error.
B Bias.
C A lack of consistency.
13 Alcorn Mutual Funds is placing large advertisements in several nancial pub-
lications. e advertisements prominently display the returns of 5 of Alcorn’s
30 funds for the past 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods. e results are indeed
impressive, with all of the funds beating the major market indexes and a few
beating them by a large margin. Is the Alcorn family of funds superior to its
competitors?
14 Julius Spence has tested several predictive models in order to identify under-
valued stocks. Spence used about 30 company- speci c variables and 10
market-related variables to predict returns for about 5,000 North American
and European stocks. He found that a nal model using eight variables applied
to telecommunications and computer stocks yields spectacular results. Spence
wants you to use the model to select investments. Should you? What steps
would you take to evaluate the model?
15 A population has a non-normal distribution with mean µ and variance σ2. e
sampling distribution of the sample mean computed from samples of large size
from that population will have:
A the same distribution as the population distribution.
Practice Problems 349
PRACTICE PROBLEMS
1 Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is correct?
A e null hypothesis is the condition a researcher hopes to support.
B e alternative hypothesis is the proposition considered true without con-
clusive evidence to the contrary.
C e alternative hypothesis exhausts all potential parameter values not
accounted for by the null hypothesis.
2 Identify the appropriate test statistic or statistics for conducting the following
hypothesis tests. (Clearly identify the test statistic and, if applicable, the number
of degrees of freedom. For example, “We conduct the test using an x-statistic
with y degrees of freedom.”)
A H0: μ = 0 versus Ha: μ ≠ 0, where μ is the mean of a normally distributed
population with unknown variance. e test is based on a sample of 15
observations.
B H0: μ = 5 versus Ha: μ ≠ 5, where μ is the mean of a normally distributed
population with unknown variance. e test is based on a sample of 40
observations.
C H0: μ ≤ 0 versus Ha: μ > 0, where μ is the mean of a normally distributed
population with known variance σ2. e sample size is 45.
D H0: σ2 = 200 versus Ha: σ2 ≠ 200, where σ2 is the variance of a normally
distributed population. e sample size is 50.
2 2 2 2 2
E H0 : 1 2 versus H a : 1 2, where 1 is the variance of one normally
2
distributed population and is the variance of a second normally distrib-
2
uted population. e test is based on two independent samples, with the
rst sample of size 30 and the second sample of size 40.
F H0: μ1 − μ2 = 0 versus Ha: μ1 − μ2 ≠ 0, where the samples are drawn from
normally distributed populations with unknown but assumed equal vari-
ances. e observations in the two samples (of size 25 and 30, respectively)
are independent.
3 For each of the following hypothesis tests concerning the population mean, μ,
state the conclusion regarding the test of the hypotheses.
A H0: μ = 10 versus Ha: μ ≠ 10, with a calculated t-statistic of 2.05 and critical
t-values of ±1.984.
B H0: μ ≤ 10 versus Ha: μ > 10, with a calculated t-statistic of 2.35 and a criti-
cal t-value of +1.679
C H0: μ = 10 versus Ha: μ ≠ 10, with a calculated t-statistic of 2.05, a p-value of
4.6352%, and a level of signi cance of 5%.
D H0: μ ≤ 10 versus Ha: μ > 10, with a 2% level of signi cance and a calculated
test statistic with a p-value of 3%.
4 For each of the following hypothesis tests concerning the population mean,
state the conclusion.
A H0: σ2 = 0.10 versus Ha: σ2 ≠ 0.10, with a calculated chi-square test statistic
of 45.8 and critical chi-square values of 42.950 and 86.830.
B H0: σ2 = 0.10 versus Ha: σ2 ≠ 0.10, with a 5% level of signi cance and a
p-value for this calculated chi-square test statistic of 4.463%.
C H0: σ12 = σ22 versus Ha: σ12 ≠ σ22, with a calculated F-statistic of 2.3. With
40 and 30 degrees of freedom, the critical F-values are 0.498 and 1.943.
D H0: σ2 ≤ 10 versus Ha: μσ2 > 10, with a calculated test statistic of 32 and a
critical chi-square value of 26.296.
5 Willco is a manufacturer in a mature cyclical industry. During the most recent
industry cycle, its net income averaged $30 million per year with a standard
deviation of $10 million (n = 6 observations). Management claims that Willco’s
performance during the most recent cycle results from new approaches and
that Willco’s pro tability will exceed the $24 million per year observed in prior
cycles.
A With μ as the population value of mean annual net income, formulate null
and alternative hypotheses consistent with testing Willco management’s
claim.
B Assuming that Willco’s net income is at least approximately normally dis-
tributed, identify the appropriate test statistic and calculate the degrees of
freedom.
C Based on critical value of 2.015, determine whether to reject the null
hypothesis.
Critical t-values:
8 1.860 2.306
9 1.833 2.262
10 1.812 2.228
11 1.796 2.201
12 1.782 2.179
13 1.771 2.160
14 1.761 2.145
15 1.753 2.131
16 1.746 2.120
17 1.740 2.110
18 1.734 2.101
19 1.729 2.093
20 1.725 2.086
21 1.721 2.080
(continued)
414 Reading 6 ■ Hypothesis Testing
6 Investment analysts often use earnings per share (EPS) forecasts. One test of
forecasting quality is the zero-mean test, which states that optimal forecasts
should have a mean forecasting error of zero. e forecasting error is the
di erence between the predicted value of a variable and the actual value of the
variable.
You have collected data (shown in the previous table) for two analysts who
cover two di erent industries: Analyst A covers the telecom industry; Analyst B
covers automotive parts and suppliers.
A With μ as the population mean forecasting error, formulate null and alterna-
tive hypotheses for a zero-mean test of forecasting quality.
B For Analyst A, determine whether to reject the null at the 0.05 level of
signi cance.
C For Analyst B, determine whether to reject the null at the 0.05 level of
signi cance.
7 Reviewing the EPS forecasting performance data for Analysts A and B, you
want to investigate whether the larger average forecast errors of Analyst A
relative to Analyst B are due to chance or to a higher underlying mean value
for Analyst A. Assume that the forecast errors of both analysts are normally dis-
tributed and that the samples are independent.
A Formulate null and alternative hypotheses consistent with determining
whether the population mean value of Analyst A’s forecast errors (μ1) are
larger than Analyst B’s (μ2).
B Identify the test statistic for conducting a test of the null hypothesis formu-
lated in Part A.
C Identify the rejection point or points for the hypotheses tested in Part A at
the 0.05 level of signi cance.
D Determine whether to reject the null hypothesis at the 0.05 level of
signi cance.
8 e following table gives data on the monthly returns on the S&P 500 Index
and small-cap stocks for a 40-year period and provides statistics relating to
their mean di erences. Further, the entire sample period is split into two subpe-
riods of 20 years each, and the return data for these subperiods is also given in
the table.
Practice Problems 415
Use a signi cance level of 0.05 and assume that mean di erences are approxi-
mately normally distributed.
A Formulate null and alternative hypotheses consistent with testing whether
any di erence exists between the mean returns on the S&P 500 and small-
cap stocks.
B Determine whether to reject the null hypothesis for the entire sample period
if the critical values are ±1.96.
C Determine whether to reject the null hypothesis for the rst subperiod if the
critical values are ±1.96.
D Determine whether to reject the null hypothesis for the second subperiod if
the critical values are ±1.96.
9 During a 10-year period, the standard deviation of annual returns on a portfolio
you are analyzing was 15% a year. You want to see whether this record is su -
cient evidence to support the conclusion that the portfolio’s underlying variance
of return was less than 400, the return variance of the portfolio’s benchmark.
A Formulate null and alternative hypotheses consistent with your objective.
B Identify the test statistic for conducting a test of the hypotheses in Part A,
and calculate the degrees of freedom.
C Determine whether the null hypothesis is rejected or not rejected at the 0.05
level of signi cance using a critical value of 3.325.
10 You are investigating whether the population variance of returns on an index
changed subsequent to a market disruption. You gather the following data for
120 months of returns before the disruption and for 120 months of returns after
the disruption. You have speci ed a 0.05 level of signi cance.
Mean Monthly
Return
Time Period n (%) Variance of Returns
A Formulate null and alternative hypotheses consistent with the research goal.
B Identify the test statistic for conducting a test of the hypotheses in Part A,
and calculate the degrees of freedom.
C Determine whether to reject the null hypothesis at the 0.05 level of signi -
cance if the critical values are 0.6969 and 1.4349.
416 Reading 6 ■ Hypothesis Testing
11 e following table shows the sample correlations between the monthly returns
for four di erent mutual funds and the S&P 500. e correlations are based on
36 monthly observations. e funds are as follows:
Fund 1 Large-cap fund
Fund 2 Mid-cap fund
Fund 3 Large-cap value fund
Fund 4 Emerging market fund
S&P 500 US domestic stock index
Fund 1 1
Fund 2 0.9231 1
Fund 3 0.4771 0.4156 1
Fund 4 0.7111 0.7238 0.3102 1
S&P 500 0.8277 0.8223 0.5791 0.7515 1
Test the null hypothesis that each of these correlations, individually, is equal
to zero against the alternative hypothesis that it is not equal to zero. Use a 5%
signi cance level and critical t-values of ±2.032.
12 In the step “stating a decision rule” in testing a hypothesis, which of the follow-
ing elements must be speci ed?
A Critical value
B Power of a test
C Value of a test statistic
13 Which of the following statements is correct with respect to the null
hypothesis?
A It can be stated as “not equal to” provided the alternative hypothesis is
stated as “equal to.”
B Along with the alternative hypothesis, it considers all possible values of the
population parameter.
C In a two-tailed test, it is rejected when evidence supports equality between
the hypothesized value and the population parameter.
14 An analyst is examining a large sample with an unknown population variance.
Which of the following is the most appropriate test to test the hypothesis that
the historical average return on an index is less than or equal to 6%?
A One-sided t-test
B Two-sided t-test
C One-sided chi-square test
15 A hypothesis test for a normally distributed population at a 0.05 signi cance
level implies a:
A 95% probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis.
B 95% probability of a Type I error for a two-tailed test.
C 5% critical value rejection region in a tail of the distribution for a one-tailed
test.
16 Which of the following statements regarding a one-tailed hypothesis test is
correct?
Practice Problems 417
1 −0.52 1.34
2 −0.13 0.40
3 −0.50 1.90
4 −1.01 1.50
5 −0.26 1.35
6 −0.89 0.50
7 −0.42 1.00
8 −0.23 1.50
9 −0.60 1.45
α p-Value
e mean return for US funds is μUS, and μE is the mean return for European funds.
ratios, debt features, and corporate governance to classify the rms into three
groups, with 1 indicating the least risky rms based on nancial leverage and 3
indicating the riskiest. e classi cation of the 250 rms is as follows:
1 40 40 40
2 30 10 20
3 10 50 10
A What are the null and alternative hypotheses to test whether the dividend
and nancial leverage groups are independent of one another?
B What is the appropriate test statistic to use in this type of test?
C If the critical value for the 0.05 level of signi cance is 9.4877, what is your
conclusion?
42 Which of the following statements is correct regarding the chi-square test of
independence?
A e test has a one-sided rejection region.
B e null hypothesis is that the two groups are dependent.
C If there are two categories, each with three levels or groups, there are six
degrees of freedom.