Practice Questions On Module 1
Practice Questions On Module 1
chosen at random from among those now in boxes B. What is the probability a blue chip
was transferred from box A to box B given that the chip chosen from box B is red?
14) Sixty percent of new drivers have had driver education. During their first year, new
drivers without driver education have probability 0.08 of having an accident, but new
drivers with driver education have only a 0.05 probability of an accident. What is the
probability a new driver has had driver education, given that the driver has had no
accident the first year?
15) One-half percent of the population has AIDS. There is a test to detect AIDS. A positive
test result is supposed to mean that you have AIDS but the test is not perfect. For people
with AIDS, the test misses the diagnosis 2% of the times. And for the people without
AIDS, the test incorrectly tells 3% of them that they have AIDS. (a) What is the
probability that a person picked at random will test positive? (b) What is the probability
that you have AIDS given that your test comes back positive?
16) A card is drawn at random from an ordinary deck of 52 cards and replaced. This is done
a total of 5 independent times. What is the conditional probability of drawing the ace of
spades exactly 4 times, given that this ace is drawn at least 4 times?
17) An urn contains 6 red balls and 3 blue balls. One ball is selected at random and is
replaced by a ball of the other color. A second ball is then chosen. What is the
conditional probability that the first ball selected is red, given that the second ball was
red?
18) Suppose box A contains 4 red and 5 blue chips and box B contains 6 red and 3 blue
chips. A chip is chosen at random from the box A and placed in box B. Finally, a chip is
chosen at random from among those now in boxes B. What is the probability a blue chip
was transferred from box A to box B given that the chip chosen from box B is red?
19) Each coefficient in the equation 𝑎𝑥 + 𝑏𝑥 + 𝑐 = 0can take the values 1,2,3,4 or 5. Find
the probability that the roots of the equation are imaginary.
20) There are seven letters and seven addressed envelopes. If the letters are placed in the
envelopes at random, find the probability that none of the letters is in the correct
envelope.
21) The chance that a doctor will diagnose a disease, say D, correctly is 60%. The chance
that a patient will die by his treatment after correct diagnosis is 40% and the chance of
death by wrong diagnosis is 70%. The patient of the doctor, who has disease D, died.
What is the chance that is disease was diagnosed correctly?
22) In the test an examiner either guesses or copies or knows the correct answer. The
probability that he makes a guess is 1/3 and the probability that he copies the answer is
1/6. The probability that his answer is correct, given that he copied it is 1/3 and the
probability that his answer is correct, given that he guessed it is 1/4. Find the probability
that he knew that answer, given that he correctly answered it.