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Ast 001

The document is a statistical techniques exam paper containing 7 questions testing concepts such as variance, regression, sampling, hypothesis testing, and quality control. It provides data and asks students to perform statistical calculations and analyses, interpret results, and identify whether production processes are in control.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views21 pages

Ast 001

The document is a statistical techniques exam paper containing 7 questions testing concepts such as variance, regression, sampling, hypothesis testing, and quality control. It provides data and asks students to perform statistical calculations and analyses, interpret results, and identify whether production processes are in control.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 21

No.

of Printed Pages : 21 AST-001


BACHELOR’S DEGREE PROGRAMME
(BDP)
Term-End Examination
June, 2022
AST-001 : STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES

Time : 2 Hours Maximum Marks : 50

Note : (i) Question No. 1 is compulsory.


(ii) Attempt any four questions from
question nos. 2 to 7.
(iii) Calculator is not allowed.

1. State whether the following statements are


true or false. Give brief justification for your
answers : 10
(a) If variance of X is 3 and Y = 5X – 3, then
variance of Y is 12.
(b) If 10X – Y + 5 = 0 is the line of regression
of X on Y, then for X = 3, the estimated
value 35 of Y is the best estimated
value.

P. T. O.
[2] AST-001

(c) Systematic sampling is suitable for


studying a population with linear trend.
(d) If the probability of being left-handed is
0.1, the probability that none of three
persons selected randomly is left-handed is
0.729.
(e) The sum of deviations of a set of n values
from their arithmetic mean is n.

2. (a) The following data gives the frequencies of


serum cholesterol level of 1000 males aged
between 25 and 35 years arrived at a
particular city hospital during the last one
year :
Cholesterol level Number of Males
80—120 12
120—160 145
160—200 380
200—240 292
240—280 118
280—320 35
320—360 11
360—400 7
[3] AST-001

Calculate the median for the data. Is


median as an average best suited for the
above data ? Justify. 3
(b) To determine the yield rate of rice in a
district, 5 groups were constructed of
5 clusters each. The data are given in the
following table :
Cluster Group Group Group Group Group
No. 1 2 3 4 5

1 10 8 17 14 15

2 12 5 15 8 12

3 9 12 20 6 17

4 20 18 18 10 8

5 8 6 25 16 10

Find the sample mean along with its


standard error using cluster sampling. 4
(c) The mean and standard deviation of a
characteristic of 100 items were found to be
60 and 10, respectively. At the time of
calculations, one item was wrongly taken
as 5 instead of 20. Calculate the correct
mean and standard deviation. 3

P. T. O.
[4] AST-001

3. (a) A company is interested in forecasting the


demand for one of its products. The data on
demand for the last 12 months are given
below :

Demand (in 100


Month
units)

1 15

2 14

3 16

4 17

5 15

6 18

7 20

8 22

9 23

10 21

11 24

12 26

Forecast the demand for the 13th month


using exponential smoothing techniques
for w = 0.2. Also plot the obtained values. 5
[5] AST-001

(b) Find the line of best fit y on x for the


following data. Also plot scatter diagram : 5
x y
2 3.0
3 5.0
4 5.5
5 6.0
6 8.0
7 9.5

4. (a) A bag contains 4 red and 3 blue balls. Two


draws of two balls each are made. Find the
chance that the first draw gives 2 red balls
and the second draw 2 blue balls, if (i) the
balls are returned to the bag after the first
draw; (ii) the balls are not returned. 3
(b) Find the probability that the most
5 defective fuses will be found in a box of
200 fuses if experience shows that 2% of
such fuses are defective. 4
(c) Define sampling and explain what
advantages it has over the census
approach. Explain with a situation. 3

P. T. O.
[6] AST-001

5. (a) In the amount of cosmic radiations to


which a person is exposed while flying
across a specific continent is a normal
random variable with mean 4.35 units and
S. D. 0.59 units. Find the probabilities that
the amount of exposure during such a
flight is (i) between 4.00 and 5.00 units,
(ii) at least 5.50 units. 4
(b) A simple random sample of size 100 has
mean 15 and population variance 25. Find
an interval estimate of the population
mean with a confidence level of 99% and
95%. 4
(c) A hypothetical population consists of the
numbers 2, 5 and 7. Write all possible
simple random samples of size 2 (with
replacement). Verify that the sample mean
is an unbiased estimator of the population
mean. 2

6. (a) The following random samples are


measurements of the heat producing
capacity in millions of calories per ton of
specimens of coal from mines :
[7] AST-001

Mine I Mine II
8260 7950
8130 7890
8350 7900
8070 8140
8340 7920
7840
Test at 5% level of significance whether the
difference between the means of two
samples is significant ? (You may like to
use the values given at the end of the
question paper.) 4
(b) A company operates four machines on
three separate shifts daily. The following
table presents the data for machine break-
downs resulted during a 6-month time
period :
Machine
Shift Total
A B C D
1 10 12 6 7 35
2 10 24 9 10 53
3 13 20 7 10 50
Total 33 56 22 27 138

P. T. O.
[8] AST-001

At 5% level of significance test the


hypothesis that for an arbitrary breakdown
in the machine causing the breakdown and
the shifts are independent. (You may like
to use the values given at the end of the
question paper.) 6

7. (a) The three drying techniques for curing a


glue were studied and the following times
were observed :
Formula A Formula B Formula C
13 13 4
10 11 1
8 14 3
11 14 4
8 2
8

At = 0.05, test the hypothesis that the


average times for three formulae are same.
(You may like to use the values given at
the end of the question paper.) 6
(b) The following data represent the number of
defects discovered at a factory on
20 successive batches of 10 cars each :
[9] AST-001

Batch No. No. of Defects


1 143
2 160
3 150
4 105
5 98
6 74
7 85
8 95
9 76
10 68
11 63
12 87
13 90
14 81
15 94
16 68
17 95
18 90
19 93
20 73
Does it appear that the production process
is in statistical control throughout ? Give
justification. 4
P. T. O.
[ 10 ] AST-001

Some values of use, if required :


Z-values t-values
P (0 < Z < 1.10) = 0.3643 t1,0.05 = 2.26

P (0 < Z < 0.59) = 0.2240 t10,0.05 = 1.812

P (0 < Z < 1.95) = 0.4744 t12,0.05 = 1.782

F-values -values

F2, 12, 0.05 = 3.89 2


0.05,6 = 12.59

F3, 12, 0.05 = 3.49 2 = 16.919


0.05,12

F4, 12, 0.05 = 3.26 2 = 21.026


0.05,9
[ 11 ] AST-001

AST-001

2022
-001

(i)
(ii)

(iii)

X Y 5X 3
Y
10X – Y + 5 = 0, Y X
X = 3 Y

P. T. O.
[ 12 ] AST-001

ª
80—120 12
120—160 145
160—200 380
200—240 292
240—280 118
280—320 35
320—360 11
360—400 7
[ 13 ] AST-001

1 10 8 17 14 15
2 12 5 15 8 12
3 9 12 20 6 17
4 20 18 18 10 8
5 8 6 25 16 10

P. T. O.
[ 14 ] AST-001

1 15
2 14
3 16
4 17
5 15
6 18
7 20
8 22
9 23
10 21
11 24
12 26

w 0.2
[ 15 ] AST-001

x
y

x y
2 3.0
3 5.0
4 5.5
5 6.0
6 8.0
7 9.5

]
(i)
(ii)

2%

P. T. O.
[ 16 ] AST-001

(i) 4.00 ] (ii)

99%

95%
[ 17 ] AST-001

I II

8260 7950
8130 7890
8350 7900
8070 8140
8340 7920
7840

5%

P. T. O.
[ 18 ] AST-001

A B C D

1 10 12 6 7 35

2 10 24 9 10 53

3 13 20 7 10 50

33 56 22 27 138

5%
[ 19 ] AST-001

A B C

13 13 4
10 11 1
8 14 3
11 14 4
8 2
8

= 0.05

1 143

P. T. O.
[ 20 ] AST-001

2 160
3 150
4 105
5 98
6 74
7 85
8 95
9 76
10 68
11 63
12 87
13 90
14 81
15 94
16 68
17 95
18 90
19 93
20 73
[ 21 ] AST-001

Z- t-

P (0 < Z < 1.10) = 0.3643 t1,0.05 = 2.26

P (0 < Z < 0.59) = 0.2240 t10,0.05 = 1.812

P (0 < Z < 1.95) = 0.4744 t12,0.05 = 1.782

F- -

F2, 12, 0.05 = 3.89 2


0.05,6 = 12.59

F3, 12, 0.05 = 3.49 2 = 16.919


0.05,12

F4, 12, 0.05 = 3.26 2 = 21.026


0.05,9

AST–001

P. T. O.

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