Probability
Probability
Probability 419
MORE POINTS TO REMEMBER
Equally likely outcomes: The outcomes of a random experiment are said to be equally
likely outcomes, when each outcome is as likely to occur as the other.
For example, when a coin is tossed, both outcomes H and T are equally likely to appear. Thus
H and T are equally likely outcomes. Similarly, when we throw a die then the outcomes, 1,
2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are equally likely.
Favourable outcomes: The outcomes which ensure the occurrence of an event are called
favourable outcome of that event.
For example, suppose experiment is throwing a die and event is getting even number, then
favourable outcomes are 2, 4 and 6.
Odds in favour or against of occurrence of event: If E and Er are complementary events,
then the ratio P(E) : P( Er ) is called as odds in favour of occurrence of event E while the ratio
P( Er ) : P(E) is called as odds against the occurrence of event E.
For example, suppose experiment is throwing a pair of die and event E is getting doublet.
6
P ( E) 36 6 1
Then, odds in favour of occurrence of E = = = =
r
P ( E) 30 30 5
36
30
P (Er ) 36 30
Odds against occurrence of E = = = =5
P ( E) 6 6
36
Playing cards: The details of playing card having 52 cards are as:
10.
Fig. 15.1
Probability 421
17. A card is drawn from a deck of 52 cards. The event E is that card is not an ace of hearts. The
number of outcomes favourable to E is [NCERT Exemplar]
(a) 4 (b) 13 (c) 48 (d) 51
18. A girl calculates that the probability of her winning the first prize in a lottery is 0.08. If 6,000
tickets are sold, how many tickets has she bought? [NCERT Exemplar]
(a) 40 (b) 240 (c) 480 (d) 750
19. A bag contains three green marbles, four blue marbles and two orange marbles. If a marble is
picked at random, then the probability that it is not an orange marble is
7 2 4
(a) (b) (c) (d) none of these
9 9 9
20. If a number x is chosen from the numbers 1, 2, 3 and a number y is selected from the numbers
1, 4, 9. Then P(xy < 9) is
3 4 1 5
(a) (b) (c) (d)
9 9 9 9
Answers
1. (d) 2. (d) 3. (a) 4. (c) 5. (b) 6. (c)
7. (a) 8. (a) 9. (c) 10. (b) 11. (c) 12. (b)
13. (c) 14. (c) 15. (b) 16. (a) 17. (d) 18. (c)
19. (a) 20. (d)
Complete the following statements with appropriate word(s) in the blank space(s).
1. Probability of an event E + Probability of the event ‘not E’= ______________ .
2. The probability of an event that cannot happen is ______________ . Such an event is called
______________ .
3. The probability of an event that is certain to happen is ______________ . Such an event is called
______________ .
4. The sum of the probabilities of all the elementary events of an experiment is ______________.
5. The probability of an event is greater than or equal to ______________ and less than or equal to
______________ .
6. The events which have equal chances to occur or no one is preferred over the other are called
______________.
7. When sum of probability of two events is 1, the events are called ______________ .
8. On a single roll of a die, the probability of getting a number 8 is ______________.
9. On a single roll of a die, the probability of getting a number less than 7 is______________ .
10. Someone is asked to mark a number from 1 to 100. The probability that it is a prime is
______________ .
11. A single letter is selected random from the word Probability, the probability it is a vowel
is______________ .
12. If I toss a coin 3 times and get head each time then the probability of getting head in next toss is
______________ .
13. Total number of red face card in a pack of cards is ______________ .
Answers
1. 1 2. 0, impossible event 3. 1, sure or certain event 4 1
5. 0, 1 6. equally likely events 7. complementary events 8. zero
1 4 1
9. one 10. 11. 12. 13. 6 14. favourable
4 11 2
15. negative
Probability 423
8. A card is drawn at random from a well shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability
of getting neither a red card nor a queen. [CBSE (AI) 2016]
Sol. Number of possible outcomes = 52
Number of red cards and queens = 28
Number of favourable outcomes = 52 – 28 = 24
24 6
P (getting neither a red card nor a queen) = =
52 13
9. 20 tickets, on which numbers 1 to 20 are written, are mixed thoroughly and then a ticket is
drawn at random out of them. Find the probability that the number on the drawn ticket is a
multiple of 3 or 7. [CBSE (F) 2016]
Sol. n(S) = 20, multiples of 3 or 7, A: {3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 7, 14}, n(A) = 8
8 2
\
Required probability = or
20 5
10. A number is chosen at random from the numbers −3,−2,−1,0,1,2,3. What will be the
probability that square of this number is less than or equal to 1 ? [CBSE Delhi 2017]
Sol. Favourable outcomes are –1, 0, 1 = 3
Total outcomes = 7
3
\
Required probability =
7
Probability 425
Short Answer Questions-II [3 marks]
1. Harpreet tosses two different coins simultaneously (say, one is of ™1 and other of ™2). What is
the probability that she gets at least one head?
Sol. When two coins are tossed simultaneously, the possible outcomes are (H, H), (H, T), (T, H), (T, T)
which are all equally likely. Here (H, H) means head up on the first coin (say on ™ 1) and head
up on the second coin (™ 2). Similarly (H, T) means head up on the first coin and tail up on the
second coin and so on.
The outcomes favourable to the event E, ‘at least one head’ are (H, H), (H, T) and (T, H).
So, the number of outcomes favourable to E is 3.
3
Therefore, P(E) =
4
3
i.e., the probability that Harpreet gets at least one head is .
4
2. A game consists of tossing a one-rupee coin 3 times and noting the outcome each time. Ramesh
wins the game if all the tosses give the same result (i.e. three heads or three tails) and loses
otherwise. Find the probability of Ramesh losing the game. [CBSE (F) 2016, Delhi 2017 (C)]
OR
A game consists of tossing a coin 3 times and noting the outcome each time. If getting the same
result in all the tosses is a success, find the probability of losing the game.
[CBSE 2019 (30/1/2)]
Sol. The outcomes associated with this experiment are given by HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH,
THT, HTT, TTT.
\ Total number of possible outcomes = 8
Now, Ramesh will lose the game if he gets HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT.
Probability 427
(ii) Now, the total number of possible outcomes = 4.
(a) Since, there is only one ace
\ Favourable number of elementary events = 1
1
\ Probability of getting an ace card =
4
(b) Since, there is no queen (as queen is put aside)
\ Favourable number of elementary events = 0
0
\ Probability of getting a queen = = 0.
4
7. A box contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles and 4 green marbles. One marble is taken out
of the box at random. What is the probability that the marble taken out will be (i) red ? (ii) not
green?
Sol. Here, total number of marbles = 17
\
Total number of possible outcomes = 17
(i) Since, there are 5 red marbles in the box.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 5
5
\
Probability of getting red marble =
17
(ii) Since, there are 5+8=13 marbles which are not green in the box.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 13
13
\
Probability of not getting a green marble =
17
8. A bag contains 5 red, 8 white and 7 black balls. A ball is drawn at random from the bag. Find
the probability that the drawn ball is:
(i) red or white. (ii) not black. (iii) neither white nor black.
Sol. Total number of balls = 5 + 8 + 7 = 20
5+8 13
(i) P (red or white ball) = =
20 20
7 13
(ii) P (not black ball) = 1 – P (black ball) = 1 –
=
20 20
5 1
(iii) P (neither white nor black ball) = P (red ball) =
= .
20 4
9. It is given that in a group of 3 students, the probability of 2 students not having the same
birthday is 0.992. What is the probability that the 2 students have the same birthday?
[NCERT]
Sol. Let E be the event of having the same birthday.
Therefore, Er is the event of not having the same birthday.
i.e., P ( Er ) = 0.992 (Given)
Now, we have
P(E) + P( Er ) = 1 ⇒ P(E) = 1 – P( Er ) = 1 – 0.992 = 0.008.
10. 1000 tickets of a lottery were sold and there are 5 prizes on these tickets. If Saket has purchased
one lottery ticket, what is the probability of winning a prize ?
Sol. Out of 1000 lottery tickets, one ticket can be chosen in 1000 ways.
\ Total number of elementary events = 1000
It is given that there are 5 prizes on these 1000 tickets.
Therefore, number of ways of selecting a prize ticket = 5
Probability 429
(iv) Since, there is only one jack of hearts.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 1
1
\ Probability of getting the jack of heart = .
52
(v) Since, there are 13 cards of spade.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 13
13 1
\
Probability of getting a spade = = .
52 4
(vi) Since, there is only one queen of diamonds.
\
Favourable number of outcomes (elementary events) = 1
1
\
Probability of getting a queen of diamond = .
52
2. One card is drawn from a pack of 52 cards, each of the 52 cards being equally likely to be
drawn. Find the probability that the card drawn is:
(i) an ace. (ii) red. (iii) either red or king. (iv) red and a king.
(v) a face card. (vi) a red face card. (vii) ‘2’ of spades. (viii) ‘10’ of a black suit.
Sol. Out of 52 cards, one card can be drawn in 52 ways.
So, total number of elementary events = 52
(i) There are four ace cards in a pack of 52 cards.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 4
4 1
Hence, required probability = = .
52 13
(ii) There are 26 red cards in a pack of 52 cards. Therefore favourable number of elementary
events = 26
26 1
Hence, required probability = = .
52 2
(iii) There are 26 red cards, including two red kings, in a pack of 52 playing cards. Also, there
are 4 kings, two red and two black. Therefore, card drawn will be a red card or a king if it
is any one of 28 cards (26 red cards and 2 black kings).
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 28
28 7
Hence, required probability = = .
52 13
(iv) A card drawn will be red as well as king, if it is a red king. There are 2 red kings in a pack
of 52 playing cards.
\
Favourable number of elementary events = 2
2 1
Hence, required probability = = .
52 26
(v) In a deck of 52 cards kings, queens, and jacks are called face cards. Thus, there are 12 face
cards. Favourable number of elementary events = 12
12 3
Hence, required probability = = .
52 13
(vi) There are 6 red face cards 3 each from diamonds and hearts. Favourable number of
elementary events = 6.
6 3
Hence, required probability = = .
52 26
Probability 431
(2, 6), (3, 5), (4, 4), (5, 3), (6, 2) (see figure) i.e.; 5
5
Hence, P(E) =
36
(ii) As you can see from figure, there is no outcome favourable to the event F, ‘the sum of two
numbers is 13’.
0
So, P(F) = =0
36
(iii) As you can see from figure, all the outcomes are favourable to the event G, ‘sum of two
numbers ≤ 12’.
36
So, P(G) = = 1.
36
5. A bag contains cards numbered from 1 to 49. A card is drawn from the bag at random, after
mixing the cards throughly. Find the probability that the number on the drawn card is:
[CBSE Delhi 2014]
(i) an odd number. (ii) a multiple of 5. (iii) a perfect square. (iv) an even prime number.
OR
Cards marked with numbers 5 to 50 (one number on one card) are placed in a box and mixed
throughly. One card is drawn at random from the box. Find the probability that the number
on the card taken out is
(i) a prime number less than 10 (ii) a number which is a perfect square.
[CBSE 2019 (30/5/1)]
Sol. Total number of cards = 49
\
Total number of outcomes = 49
(i) Odd number
Favourable outcomes : 1
, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25, 27, 29, 31, 33, 35, 37, 39,
41, 43, 45, 47, 49 i.e., 25
No. of favourable outcomes 25
Probability (E) = =
Total number of outcomes 49
(ii) A multiple of 5
Favourable outcomes : 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 i.e., 9
No. of favourable outcomes 9
Probability (E) = =
Total number of outcomes 49
(iii) A perfect square
Favourable outcomes : 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49 i.e.; 7
No. of favourable outcomes 7 1
Probability (E) = = =
Total number of outcomes 49 7
(iv) An even prime number
Favourable outcome : 2 i.e., 1
No. of favourable outcomes 1
Probability (E) = =
Total number of outcomes 49
OR
Similar solution as above only values are changed.
1 5
Ans. (i) (ii)
23 46
6. All the black face cards are removed from a pack of 52 playing cards. The remaining cards are
well shuffled and then a card is drawn at random. Find the probability of getting a:
(i) face card. (ii) red card. (iii) black card. (iv) king. [CBSE Delhi 2014]
Probability 433
Total number of cases of product of x and y = 16
Product less than 16 = (1×1, 1×4, 1×9, 2×1, 2×4, 3×1, 3×4, 4×1)
Number of cases, where product is less than 16 = 8
8 1
\ Required probability = or
16 2
a
9. In Fig. 15.3, shown a disc on which a player spins an arrow twice. The function is formed,
b
where ‘a’ is the number of sector on which arrow stops on the first spin and ‘b’ is the number
of the sector in which the arrow stops on second spin. On each spin, each sector has equal
a
chance of selection by the arrow. Find the probability that the fraction > 1.
b
[CBSE (F) 2016]
Sol. For a/b > 1, when a = 1, b can not take any value,
a = 2, b can take 1 value,
a = 3, b can take 2 values,
a = 4, b can take 3 values,
a = 5, b can take 4 values,
a = 6, b can take 5 values. Fig. 15.3
Probability 435
4. Apoorv throws two dice once and computes the product of the numbers appearing on the dice.
Peehu throws one die and squares the number that appears on it. Who has the better chance
of getting the number 36? Why? [NCERT Exemplar]
Sol. Apoorv throws two dice once.
So, total number of outcomes, n(S) = 36.
Number of outcomes for getting product 36,
n(E1) = 1 [(6 × 6)]
n (E1) 1
\
Probability for Apoorv getting the number 36 = =
n (S) 36
Also, Peehu throw one die.
So, total number of outcomes n(S) = 6
Number of outcomes for getting square of a number as 36.
n(E2) = 1 ( 62 = 36)
n (E2) 1 6
\ Probability for Peehu getting the number 36 =
= =
n (S) 6 36
Hence, Peehu has better chance of getting the number 36.
PROFICIENCY EXERCISE
QQ Objective Type Questions: [1 mark each]
1. Choose and write the correct option in each of the following questions.
(i) One card is drawn from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. The probability that it is black
queen is
1 1 1 2
(a) (b) (c) (d)
26 13 52 13
(ii) Which of the following can be probability of an event?
(a) 2 (b) –1 (c) 0.3 (d) 1.12
Probability 437
21. A die is thrown once. Find the probability of getting (a) a prime number (b) an odd number.
[CBSE 2019 (30/4/3)]
22. A pair of dice is thrown once. Find the probability of getting (i) even number on each die (ii) a
total of 9. [CBSE 2019 (C) (30/1/1)]
23. A bag contains some balls of which x are white, 2x are black and 3x are red. A ball is selected at
random. What is the probability that it is (i) not red (ii) white [CBSE 2019 (C) (30/1/1)]
24. A bag contains 6 white balls numbered 1 to 6 and 4 red balls numbered 7 to 10. Find the
probability of getting a:
(a) red ball with even number on it.
(b) an odd number ball.
25. A card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability of
getting a red face card.
26. Two coins are tossed simultaneously. What is the probability of getting at least one head?
27. What is the probability of getting atmost one tail when two coins are tossed simultaneously?
28. A letter of English alphabet is chosen at random. Determine the probability that the letter is a
consonant.
29. If P(E) = 0.75, what is the probability of ‘not E’?
30. If probability of success is 63%, what is the probability of failure?
31. There are 30 cards of same size in a bag on which the numbers 1 to 30 are written. One card is
taken out of the bag at random. Find the probability that the number on the selected card is not
divisible by 3.
In a simultaneous throw of a pair of dice, find the probability of getting:
32. a doublet of even numbers.
33. an even number on one and a multiple of 3 on the other.
34. neither 9 nor 11 as the sum of the numbers on the faces.
35. A number is selected at random from first 50 natural numbers. Find the probability that it is a
multiple of 3 and 4.
36. Two different dice are rolled simultaneously. Find the probability that the sum of numbers
appearing on the two dice is 10. [CBSE (F) 2014]
37. Two different dice are tossed together. Find the probability:
(i) that the number on each die is even.
(ii) that the sum of numbers appearing on the two dice is 5. [CBSE (AI) 2014]
QQ Short Answer Questions–II: [3 marks each]
38. Two dice are thrown simultaneously. Find the probability of getting the sum [NCERT Exemplar]
(i) 9.
(ii) 1.
(iii) a prime number.
39. Two dice are thrown at the same time. Determine the probability that the difference of the
numbers on the two dice is: [NCERT Exemplar]
(i) 0.
(ii) 2.
40. Two different dice are thrown together. Find the probability that the product of the numbers
appeared is less than 18. [CBSE (F) 2017]
Probability 439
51. A lot of 60 bulbs contain 12 defective ones. One bulb is drawn at random from the lot. What is the
probability that this bulb is defective? Suppose the bulb drawn in first attempt is defective and is
not replaced. Now, one bulb is drawn at random from the rest. What is the probability that this
bulb is not defective?
52. Rajani and Kanika are friends. What is the probability that both will have:
(i) different birthdays?
(ii) the same birthday? (ignoring a leap year)
QQ Long Answer Questions: [5 marks each]
53. The King, Queen and Jack of clubs are removed from a pack of 52 cards and then the remaining
cards are well shuffled. A card is selected from the remaining cards. Find the probability of
getting a card [CBSE 2018 (C) 30/1]
(i) of spade
(ii) of black king
(iii) of club
(iv) of jacks
54. The probability of selecting a green marble at random from a jar that contains only green, white
1
and yellow marbles is . The probability of selecting a white marble at random from the same
4
1
jar is . If this jar contains 10 yellow marbles, what is the total number of marbles in the jar?
3
55. Red queens and black jacks are removed from a pack of 52 playing cards. A card is drawn at
random from the remaining cards, after reshuffling them. Find the probability that the drawn
card is: [CBSE (AI) 2014]
(i) a king.
(ii) of red colour.
(iii) a face card.
(iv) a queen.
56. Cards numbered 1 to 30 are put in a bag. A card is drawn at random from this bag. Find the
probability that the number on the drawn card is:
(i) not divisible by 3.
(ii) a prime number greater than 7.
(iii) not a perfect square number. [CBSE (F) 2014]
57. A dice is rolled twice. Find the probability that:
(i) 5 will not come up either time.
(ii) 5 will come up exactly one time. [CBSE (F) 2014]
58. A box contains 90 discs which are numbered from 1 to 90. If one disc is drawn at random from
the box, find the probability that it bears (i) a two-digit number, (ii) a number divisible by 5.
[CBSE (F) 2017]
1 1 3
2. (i) (ii) 1024 (iii) (iv) (v) 1
4 8 7
1 1 3 4
3. 40 4. 2 5. 5 6. 14 7. 7 8.
7
1 4 5 1 1
9. 10. 11. 162 12. 13. (i) (ii)
4 13 8 6 12
6 43 1 1 5
14. (i) (ii) 15. 20 marbles 16. (i) (ii) 17.
49 49 3 2 34
9 3 1 1
18. Number of white balls=5 19. 20. 21. (i) (ii)
13 8 2 2
1 1 1 1 1 1
22. (i) (ii) 23. (i) (ii) 24. (a) 5 (b)
4 9 2 6 2
3 3 3 21
25. 26 26. 27. 28. 26 29. 0.25 30. 37%
4 4
2 1 11 5 2 1
31. 32. 33. 34. 6 35. 36.
3 12 36 25 12
1 1 1 5
37. (i) (ii) 38. (i) (ii) 0 (iii) 12
4 9 9
1 2 13 1 3
39. (i) (ii) 40. 41. (i) 6 (ii) 42. , 50 balls
6 9 18 3 10
25 11 2 17 7 7
43. (i) , (ii) 44. (i) (ii) (iii) 45.
36 36 3 24 24 13
1 2 1 81 8
46. (i) (ii) (iii) 47. (i) (ii)
10 5 2 89 89
3 5 4 5 1 5
48. P (not defective) = , P (2nd bulb defective) = 49. (i) (ii) 9 (iii) (iv)
4 23 9 3 18
11 1 48 364 1 3 1 10 3
50. 75 51. , 52. (i) (ii) 53. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv)
5 59 365 365 49 49 49 49
1 1 1
54. 24 55. (i) (ii) (iii) 1 (iv) 56. (i) 2 (ii) 1 (iii) 5
12 2 6 24 3 5 6
25
57. (i) (ii) 5 58. (i) 9 (ii) 1
36 18 10 5
Probability 441
SELF-ASSESSMENT TEST
Time allowed: 1 hour Max. marks: 40
Section A
1. Choose and write the correct option in the following questions. (4 × 1 = 4)
(i) Which of the following can be the probability of an event?
18 8
(a) – 0.04 (b) 1.004 (c) (d)
23 7
(ii) A card is selected at random from a well shuffled deck of 52 playing cards. The probability
of its being a face card is
3 4 6 9
(a) (b) (c) (d)
13 13 13 13
(iii) A bag contains 3 red balls, 5 white balls and 7 black balls. What is the probability that a ball
drawn from the bag at random will be neither red nor black?
1 1 7 8
(a) (b) (c) (d)
5 3 15 15
(iv) When a die is thrown, the probability of getting an even number less than 4 is
1 1 1
(a) (b) 0 (c) (d)
4 2 6
2. Fill in the blanks. (3 × 1 = 3)
(i) The probability of an event that is certain to happen is _______________ and such an event
is called _______________ .
(ii) If the probability of an event is P, the probability of its complementary event will be
_______________ .
(iii) The probability of an impossible event is _______________ .
Section B
QQ Solve the following questions. (3 × 2 = 6)
4. Two different dice are rolled simultaneously. Find the probability that the sum of numbers
appearing on the two dice is 10.
5. Two dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting:
(i) same number on both dice.
(ii) different numbers on both dice.
6. A coin is tossed 2 times. List the possible outcomes. Find the probability of getting:
(i) at least one head. (ii) atmost one head.
10. Five cards–the ten, jack, queen, king and ace of diamonds, are well shuffled with their faces
downwards. One card is then picked up at random.
(a) What is the probability that the drawn card is the queen?
(b) If the queen is drawn and put aside and a second card is drawn, find the probability that
the second card is (i) an ace (ii) a queen.
11. Cards, on which numbers 1, 2, 3, .........., 100 are written (one number on one card and no
number is repeated) are put in a bag and are mixed thoroughly. A card is drawn at random from
the bag. Find the probability that card taken out has
(i) an even number
(ii) a number which is a multiple of 13
(iii) a perfect square number
(iv) a prime number less than 20
OR
Peter throws two different dice together and finds the product of the two numbers obtained.
Rina throws a die and squares the number obtained. Who has the better chance to get the
number 25?
12. A game of chance consists of spinning an arrow on a circular board, divided into 8 equal
parts, which comes to rest pointing at one of the numbers 1, 2, 3, ..., 8 (Fig. 15.4), which are
equally likely outcomes. What is the probability that the arrow will point at (i) an odd number?
(ii) a number greater than 3? (iii) a number less than 9?
Fig. 15.4
Probability 443
Answers
1. (i) (c) (ii) (a) (iii) (b) (iv) (d)
2. (i) 1, sure event (ii) 1 – P (iii) zero
7 1
3. (i) (ii) (iii) 14
30 7
1 1 5 3 3
4. 5. (i) (ii) 6. {HH, HT, TH, TT}; (i) (ii)
12 6 6 4 4
9 13 10 1 13 2
7. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) 8. 45 9. (i) (ii)
49 49 49 49 20 5
1 1
10. (a) (b) (i) (ii) 0
5 4
1 7 1 2
11. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) OR Rina has a better chance
2 100 10 25
1 5
12. (i) (ii) (iii) 1
2 8
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