Research Proposal Draft April 23 2024 Updated
Research Proposal Draft April 23 2024 Updated
SUBMITTED TO
DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY
ID: GSD/3592/11
ADVISOR: ABEBAW KASSIE GUALU(PhD)
APRIL 2024 G. C.
Table of Contents
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background Considerations
1.2 Statement of the Problem
1.3 Research Question
1.4 Objectives of the Study
1.4.1 The Study or General Objective
1.4.2 Specific Objectives
1.5 Significance of the Study
1.6 Scope of the Study
1.7 Limitation of the Study
1.8 Organization of the Study
Acronyms
CBE: Commercial Bank of Ethiopia
Abstract
The purpose of this research is to evaluate the way Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) manages credit risk and
provide suggestions for improvement. self-administered Questionnaires and semi-structured interviews will be
conducted to collect primary data for this study.The research will use a mixed-method approach to analyze primary
data from CBE, focusing on credit appraisal and loan monitoring processes. Previous research has identified
shortcomings in CBE’s credit risk management, especially with regards to independent loan review mechanisms,
credit risk environment, and credit risk appraisal and monitoring challenges. The expected findings of this study
emphasize the need for effective risk identification, measurement, loan monitoring, and controlling credit risks to
ensure that the bank is profitable and stable. The study provides recommendations for improvement, including
introducing comprehensive loan review mechanisms, developing effective credit risk management policies and
procedures specific to banking activities, establishing an independent credit risk department, and emphasizing risk
identification, measurement, and treatment. The results of this research indicate that effective credit risk
management policies and procedures are vital for banks to remain stable, profitable and avoid significant losses due
to ineffective credit risk management practices. The findings of this study will be useful in guiding future research on
credit risk management practices in commercial banks, particularly in emerging markets.
Keywords: Credit risk management, Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, Loan monitoring, Credit appraisal.
CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION
Moreover, the credit risk management practices at the CBE continue to face challenges due to ineffective credit risk
appraisal and loan monitoring processes. However, the specific credit appraisal and loan monitoring processes that
need improvement within the bank are not well understood. Therefore, further research is necessary to identify the
specific factors affecting credit risk management practices in the CBE and provide recommendations to address
them.
The main objective of this study is to evaluate credit risk management practices in the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia
(CBE) and provide recommendations for improvement. The study aims to identify the gaps in credit appraisal and
loan monitoring processes in the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia and suggest possible improvements. The study will
contribute to the existing literature on credit risk management practices in commercial banks, provide insights for
improving credit risk management practices in the CBE, and guide the development of policies and procedures for
effective credit risk management in commercial banks in Ethiopia.
The significance of the study is for policymakers, regulators, commercial bank managers, and other stakeholders
interested in commercial banks’ credit risk management practices. The failure to manage credit risk effectively can
lead to significant losses, destabilize the financial system, and negatively affect the entire economy. Therefore, the
study’s findings will be critical in guiding future research on credit risk management practices in commercial banks,
particularly in emerging markets such as Ethiopia.
Managing credit risk is essential for the stability and profitability of commercial banks, particularly in emerging
markets where credit risk is high due to limited diversification of the economy, lack of information on borrowers’
creditworthiness, and existing regulatory frameworks (Asdecker et al., 2019). Effective credit risk management
enables banks to avoid over-exposure to risk, identify potential loan defaults, and take preventive measures.
Therefore, improving credit risk management practices in banks is crucial not only for their survival but also for the
growth of the economy.
Commercial banks worldwide have suffered significant losses due to ineffective credit risk management practices
(Saldanha, 2020). The Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) is one such bank that has faced this issue. Despite
several studies conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of credit risk management practices in the CBE, gaps still
exist in our understanding of the specific credit appraisal and loan monitoring processes that need improvement
within the bank.
For instance, Gebrewahd Tesfay Brhane’s (2016) study identified a gap in the CBE’s credit risk management
practices concerning independent loan review mechanisms. The study recommended the implementation of a
comprehensive loan review mechanism to enhance credit quality. Another study in Ethiopia by Zergaw (2019)
highlighted gaps in the credit risk management practices of banks, such as the absence of an appropriate credit risk
environment, challenges in credit appraisal measurement and monitoring, lack of market risk analysis, operational
risk issues, and difficulties in the credit granting process. Additionally, Francis’s (2022) study found that the CBE
needs to focus on risk identification, measurement, and treatment to enhance its credit risk management practices.
These studies collectively indicate gaps in credit risk management practices in the CBE, especially concerning credit
appraisal and loan monitoring processes. Further research is necessary to identify specific factors affecting credit risk
management practices in the CBE and provide recommendations to address them. The primary objective of this
research is to identify these gaps and provide recommendations to promote the stability and profitability of the CBE.
However, the study is limited by the potential for response bias from the employees of the CBE, which may affect
the reliability of the study's findings. Additionally, the study's recommendations may not be applicable to other
commercial banks in Ethiopia or other countries with different economic, regulatory, and social contexts.
Chapter Three will describe the research methodology and data collection procedures, including the sampling
technique, data collection instruments, and data analysis techniques. Chapter Four will present the data analysis and
findings from the survey questionnaire and semi-structured interviews. Finally, Chapter Five will provide a summary
of the study's findings, conclusions, and recommendations for improving credit risk management practices at the
CBE and other commercial banks in Ethiopia.
2.1 Introduction:
This chapter aims to review the existing literature on credit risk management practices in commercial banks. It
focuses on the theoretical and empirical literature related to credit appraisal and loan monitoring processes in
commercial banks. This chapter also identifies research gaps and presents a conceptual framework for the study.
2.2 Theoretical Literature
2.2.1 Introduction:
Credit risk management is a crucial aspect of maintaining the stability and profitability of commercial banks. This
theoretical literature review aims to explore relevant theories and concepts related to credit risk management
practices, specifically focusing on the case of the Commercial
Credit Risk
Credit risk refers to the potential loss arising from a borrower’s failure to meet their obligations under a loan or
credit agreement. It encompasses the uncertainty of repayment and the potential impact on a bank’s financial position
(Altman, 2018).
Basel Accords
The Basel Accords are international regulatory frameworks developed by the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision. Basel II and Basel III provide guidelines and standards for banks to manage credit risk, including
minimum capital requirements, risk measurement techniques, and risk management practices (Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision, 2006; 2010).
Credit Appraisal
Credit appraisal involves the evaluation of a borrower’s creditworthiness, including their financial position,
repayment capacity, and collateral. Effective credit appraisal techniques help banks assess the creditworthiness of
potential borrowers and make informed lending decisions (Chakraborty, 2018).
Credit Risk Models
Credit risk models are statistical tools used to estimate the probability of default and potential credit losses. These
models assist in quantifying credit risk, assigning risk ratings to borrowers, and determining appropriate risk
mitigation strategies (Altman & Saunders, 2008).
Loan Monitoring
Loan monitoring involves ongoing surveillance of borrowers’ financial performance, loan repayment behavior, and
changes in credit risk. Effective loan monitoring helps banks identify early warning signs of potential default and
take appropriate remedial actions (Chakraborty, 2018).
Risk-Based Pricing
Risk-based pricing is a strategy where banks adjust interest rates and loan terms based on the credit risk associated
with each borrower. It ensures that the pricing of Loans aligns with the inherent credit risk, thereby incentivizing
prudent lending practices (Altman & Saunders, 2008).
3.1 Introduction:
This chapter presents an overview of the research methodology, which is centered on the design, approach, sample
design, data sources, data analysis, and interpretation of the study. Additionally, the chapter discusses the model
specification, validity and reliability of the study, and ethical considerations.
3.4.1 Population
The population of the study includes all employees of the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia who are responsible for
credit risk management activities. The target population is important in this study since it enables the researcher to
draw conclusions that are representative of the entire population.
The sample size will be determined using the saturation method, which means that data collection will continue until
data saturation is achieved. The saturation method is the most appropriate sampling technique for this study since it
enables the researcher to collect data until a point where no new information or themes are emerging from the data.
Referances
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Research topic: assessment of credit risk management practices in a case of commercial bank of Ethiopia
Dear respondents: I would like to express my earnest appreciation for your generous time, honest and prompt
responses.
This questionnaire is designed to collect data about credit risk management practices in a case of commercial bank of
Ethiopia. The information that you offer me with questionnaire will be used as a primary data in my case research
which I am conducting as a partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Masters of Accounting and
Finance at Addis Ababa University. Therefore; this research is to be evaluated in terms of its contribution to our
understanding credit risk management practices in a case of commercial bank of Ethiopia and its contribution to
improve the area.
I need your help and would appreciate your golden time to complete the attached questionnaire on the assessment of
credit risk management practices in a case of commercial bank of Ethiopia. Results will be used to help and expand
our knowledge and understanding of any major shift in credit risk management practices in a case of commercial
bank of Ethiopia
All answers will be kept strictly confidential and only aggregate results will be reported.
Thank you in advance for your cooperation.
General Instructions
• There is no need of writing your name.
• In all cases where answer options are available please tick (√) mark on the space provided or circle it on the
five point scale accordingly.
Female
26-40 years
41-50
Above 50 years
Diploma
First Degree
4-7 years
8-11 years
Above 11 years
1
Question 2 3 4 5 (Strongly
(Strongly
Number (Disagree) (Neutral) (Agree) Agree)
Questions Disagree)
The credit risk
management practices
of the Commercial
1 Bank of Ethiopia are
effective in
minimizing potential
risks
Interview questions
1. Can you describe the current credit risk management practices at the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia,
specifically focusing on the credit appraisal and loan monitoring processes?
2. What factors, in your opinion, contribute to the weaknesses or gaps in credit risk management practices
at the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia?
3. How would you assess the effectiveness of the independent loan review mechanisms in place at the
Commercial Bank of Ethiopia? Are there any areas that require improvement?
4. What challenges or difficulties have you encountered in the credit risk appraisal and loan monitoring
processes at the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia? Can you provide specific examples?
5. Based on your experience and observations, what recommendations would you suggest for improving
the credit risk management practices at the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, particularly in terms of credit
appraisal and loan monitoring?