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Poisson Distribution 8

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15 views2 pages

Poisson Distribution 8

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prototypes6341
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Poisson distribution Suraj paudel

Problems on Poisson distribution:

1. Given λ= 4.2, for a Poisson distribution, find


a. P(x ≥ 5) b. p(x= 8) c. p(x< 2)
2. Calculate the mean and variance of a poisson variable X, if P(X=4)=P(X=5). (2013 Fall)
3. If the prices of new car increase an average of four times every 3 years, find the probability
of ( hint λ = 4)
a. No price hikes in a randomly selected period of 3 years. Answer 0.0183
b. Two price hikes. Answer 0.1464
c. Four price hikes. Answer 0.1952
d. Five or more hikes. Answer 0.3717
4. The quality control manager of Marilyn’s cookies is inspecting a batch of chocolate chip
cookies that have just been baked. If the production process is in control, the average number
of chip parts per cookies is 6.0. What is the probability that in any particular cookies being
inspected (P.U. 2008)
a. At most three chip parts will be found?
b. None of the chip parts will be found?
c. Exactly five chip parts will be found? Answer 0.1606
d. Five or more chip parts will be found? Answer 0.7149
e. Four or five chip parts will be found? Answer 0.2945
5. The average number of claims per hour made to the Gnecco and Trust Insurance Company
for damages or losses incurred in moving is 3.1. What is the probability that in any given
hour
a. Fewer than three claims will be made?
b. Exactly three claims will be made?
c. Three or more claims will be made?
d. More than three claims will be made?
6. If on average, three customers arrive per minute at the bank during the lunch hour, what is
the probability that more than two customers will arrive in a given minute? (Ans 0.576813)
e- 3 = 0.049787 (PU-2003)
7. Airline passengers arrive randomly and independently at the passenger screening facility at a
major international airport. The average arrival rate is 6 passengers per minute. (PU-2004,
2009)
a. What is probability that more than three passengers will arrive in a minute?
b. What is the probability that three or four passengers arrive in a minute?
c. What is the probability that exactly one passenger arrive in a minute?
d. What is the probability that at least two passengers arrive in a minute?
e. What is the probability that exactly one passenger will arrive in two minutes?
f. What is the probability that at least two passengers arrive in two minutes?
8. Vehicles arrive an intersection at the rate of 10 per minute. A traffic light cycle lasts 45
seconds. If the number of vehicles that arrive per cycle follows a Poisson distribution, what is
the probability that exactly 7 vehicles will arrive in a cycle?(Ans 0.1465) (PU-2005)
9. On the average, 4 customers per minute at any one of the checkout counters of a grocery
store. What is the probability that in the next one minute there will be (PU-2006)
a) No customers arriving at a checkout counter? (Ans 0.0183)
b) At most two customers arriving at checkout counter? (Ans 0.2381)
10. The number of 911 calls (the telephone number used in the US to call the police, fire or
ambulance service in an emergency) in Butte, Montana, has a Poisson distribution with a
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Poisson distribution Suraj paudel

mean of 10 calls a day. What is the probability of 2 or more 911 calls in a day? Answer
0.9995
11. The number of power outages at a nuclear power plant has a Poisson distribution with a mean
of 6 outages per year. What is the probability that there will be at least 3 power outages in a
year? Answer 0.9380
12. The Department of Commerce in a particular state has determined that the number of small
businesses that declare bankruptcy per month is approximately a Poisson distribution with a
mean of 6.4.Find the probability that more than 3 bankruptcies occur next month. Answer
0.881
13. The local police department must write, on average, 5 tickets a day to keep department
revenues at budgeted levels. Suppose the number of tickets written per day follows a Poisson
distribution with a mean of 6.4 tickets per day. Find the probability that less than 6 tickets are
written on a randomly selected day from this population. (PU2007)Answer 0.384
14. The standard deviation of Poisson distribution is 1.5. Find the probability that
a. X = 0
b. X = 3
c. X ≥ 1
d. 1 < X < 3.
Answer a) 0.1054 b) 0.20 c) 0.8946 d) 0.267
15. A hospital switch board receives an average of 3 emergency calls per minute. What is the
probability of receiving no calls in a one minute interval? Answer 0.0498

Poisson approximation on Binomial distribution:

16. Given a binomial distribution with n = 30 trails and p = 0.04, use the Poisson approximation
to the binomial to find
a. P(r = 25) b. P (r= 3) c. P(r = 5)
17. The Orange county Dispute settlement center handles various kinds of disputes but most are
marital disputes. In fact 96 percent of the disputes handled by the DSC are of a marital
nature.
a) What is the probability that, out of 80 disputes handled by the DSC, exactly seven are
non-marital? (Ans 0.02778)
18. Nepal Rastra bank is responsible for printing the country’s paper money. It has an
impressively small printing error only 0.5% of all bills are too flawed for circulation. What is
the probability that out of a batch of 1000 bills, (PU-2002)
a. None are too flawed for circulation.
b. Ten are too flawed for circulation.
c. Fifteen are too flawed for circulation.
19. Find the probability that at most 5 defective fuse will be found in a box of 200 fuses, if
experience shows that 2% of such fuses are defective.(e-4 =0.0183), Answer 0.785
20. On the average one on 400 items is defective. If items are packed in boxes of 100, what is the
probability that any given box of items will contain
a. No defectives
b. Less than two defectives
c. One or more defectives
d. More than or equal to three defectives.
Answer a) 0.7788 b) 0.9735 c) 0.2212 d) 0.0022

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