Quad EMA Strategy
Quad EMA Strategy
Quad-EMA (Part 1) Use this strategy to break the habits of using the wrong timeframe and having Stop Losses that are too tight.
The idea is that BTC tends to trend, so this strategy is good for finding your directional bias on any timeframe.
Co
ns
ol
id
at
Move stop down after swing
io
n EMA test and continuation.
tion
Entry
lida
C onso
Can add to
position on swings
Next swing lower.
Give some room here.
35%
Take 25-50%
profits after
large drops and
look to re-add.
65% Can build extra
Will need to use protection into
other TA to get out using the 34 EMA
so it doesn’t pull price cross exit.
back too much.
Technical exit still 21/55
Quad-EMA can be used on BTC 1H but not great. Good on stocks. Stocks are good with Quad-EMA on 1H, 2H, D, W.
1H chop Example:
Exit on re-cross
One of the good things about using
Set swing high Stop on a using on a LTF, is that you get
Long a re-cross without a lot of damage.
Patients here,
never crosses
then payoff.
Sell signal
Short Long Cons
olida
tion
Consolidation
Consolidatio n
Buy signal
Creates some trend.
Once you get your Buy signal
payoff, take some!
Once you’ve dropped your timeframe, you’ve going look for your 55 EMA
to be under or over your 200 EMA. (Death Cross / Golden Cross).
Then you are looking for interaction with either 55 EMA or 200 EMA to
find what you are going to identify as a support, resistance or rejection.
~9%
Entry here would use Drop to lower timeframe.
Ideal situation is to get a rejection candle
the swing high and
~5% add ATR 1 to 2.
After the rejection, your entry will be a candle that takes out the low or HTF Cross
Reenter on ugly rejection candle.
In this case would end as a
high of the rejection candle (wick included). See notes on mother candle begins neutral trade.
If you decided to take an entry here, 25 %
the stop above the 200s in this case
would be about ~9%. This is not ideal.
In this case you would use a swing
high and add 1 ATR.
Ideally you want to set your stop above the 200s. (Need to give room in At this point you’d be at 14% profit. You Rejects here but never see it
don’t want it to pull back on you. Use make a higher high and take
the beginning) Unless things are really volatile, you want to try to keep MA S&R levels to take 25% profits along the
way. Anything over 5% and you want to
out the low.
situation. Use local swing failures and ATR to find your stop. OR use S&R.
Remember, not all trades are going to be winners.
If you’re getting chopped up you need to move you timeframe up a little.
Short bias on the Daily
Ex: If on the 1H and you get chopped up 3-4 time in a row, move to the 2H
or 4H and wait for the signal. Trade opportunities
Example of a loss
Long bias on the Daily
Entry
Usually the cross will
protect you from chop
55 recross the
200 no more long
Rejection
Stop @ ~3% opportunities.
Stopped out
High level chop
No ideal
interaction
Trade opportunity on 4H
Mr.A: In the first box, you don't get a local low established after the MA
support and then as yo mentioned you got bear crossed
The real key is that the TF is too high for multiple trade set-ups. there are
going be to solid trades on a 4x smaller timeframes.
First, let's point out that as always you can do everything right and have it
go wrong. But, you are correct on the stoch The issue is that it was an inside
candle Remember, when it is an inside candle the actual candle is the first
candle which we call the mother candle! So, that big ass candle needed to
be taken out for a true local low.
Now, can you make the decision to play the inside candle? Absolutely In
which case, you are out on the bear recross.
Low TF Play Notes:
Moto: Weekly 21 bear crossed the 55 and appears we've had interaction. Same with the daily. Because of
this I'm leaning toward opening trades to the short side. Now I'm trying to use the 1 hr as a trigger. 21 bear
crossed the 55 last night on the 1 hr and PA is below 200. 55 EMA is still above the 200s. Looking for an
edge play - I'm currently waiting to see how Stoch resets from a position under the 200's and waiting for
interaction with the EMA's on 1 hr. Would that be a reasonable edge strategy? I'm thinking about shorting
next bounce and interaction as a front run to add to position with a 55 drop below 200's on the hr. For
example, I could see a retest of the 200's from below on the 1 hr - and that might be a point of interest.
Mr.A: Before I start don’t misinterpret what I am about to say I'm going to say i prefer low timeframes in
this situations which is not to suggest that anyone else should be on low timeframes give me a minute to
go deeper.
First, to answer you on H1 the first signal would have triggered a couple hours ago, on the test of the 8
EMA and subsequent established local high.
Now, on to my point after a sharp move (relative to your TF) I look towards lower timeframes until I get
some ample sideways (contraction) or I sit out.
Why? Well, the signal off of the 8 might end up being great! But, we did just leap down over 5% in an
instant not long ago.
So, an H1 has a better chance to get stopped IMO, so soon whereas the lower timeframe is looking to
piggy back the volatility and downside action.
So, the same plays on m15 have generated multiple signals since the initial drop and would have allowed
for a couple in and out scenarios.
So, the move would create a short tern downside bias and we allow the lower timeframe to be our litmus
test for our strategy.
If we are correct we can still accidentally fall into the same H1 trade that we are discussing without as
much potential SFP risk if Bulls decide to hold their ground at support.
Moto: Several good entry points. and the SFP correlated with stoch crossing back - especially the last
three.
Mr.A: The gift is the sharp drop because it buries the LTF Stoch and has it digging itself out of a helluva
hole until "time" brings the 200's back in sight.
Now, sometimes you get the "bart pattern" so, if you see the bear crosses are not being respected then
step away and play later.
“If you want to know everything about the market, go to the beach. Push and pull your hands with the
waves. Some are bigger waves, some are smaller. But if you try to push the wave out when it’s coming in,
it’ll never happen. The market is always right” Trade with the order flow
So, we want to find the rhythm and find the flow and JOIN it.
So, if you are in m15 or H1 or h2 or H4 or h12 or the daily and you keep getting ran over and you frustrated
and wondering “WHY do I keep getting stopped” etc. the likely answer is that you are fighting the wave
and it won’t work just as it won’t in the ocean. Therefore, enjoy the fact that you have realized it. Take a
step back and look again. Perhaps you just needed to be on a lower timeframe or perhaps you have to
Mr.A: I'm happy to ride these again and again until they buck me off but, I stay aware of the Horizontal adjust to make sure you are not getting taken by current. Either way it’s fixable once you see it.
S/R across the many timeframes that we are now staring at H4 and H2 both living between their 200's
so I want to see how that plays out.
Waiting is fine but, waiting doesn't mean we will get the higher timeframe play we seek sometimes they
turn right into a continued pressure campaign as you sort of alluded to in point out h6 and h12.
SO, if m15 and m30 FAIL I'll stick w/ them and see if they fall into an eventual clearer picture on the slight
higher timeframe (obviously h2 and h4 are low timeframes, but, higher than these micro timeframes we
are discussing) because assuming we see bearishness it can still come in 2 formats h2 or h4 bouncing and
failing or another leg down to lose support with an eventual h2 or h4 bounce failure thereafter
Trading EMA After Large Move (Member’s Market Update 20 May 2020)
21 reclaim on 4H
Buy
21 reclaim
Hold on 21
Wouldn’t want to lose the 8 or 13 so set stop
below this swing low. Cross
Backtesting entry
play on 1H (slope curling up). zone and you feel good about it, which is very shaky given the several supply & demand zones.
hundred dollar bounce so small
then start by looking for a lower low. position of 1% is required. This level
1H