AF525
AF525
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Introduction
Purpose: is to help the regional real estate company to determine whether the housing prices
in the regional market lower than the national market average, i.e., is the region lower or
higher than the national market average. The report will also determine whether the
square footage for homes in the Mountain region are different that the average square
Sample: A random sample of 500 houses was selected from the Mountain region. The
dataset comprises details regarding houses in the region, such as the house listing price,
Questions and type of test: for the selected sample, two hypothesis tests will be performed.
a) First hypothesis:
Hypothesis: test for the average listing price for homes in the Mountain region.
Description: We are testing whether the average pricing for the Mountain region is
b) Second hypothesis:
Hypothesis: test for the average square foot for homes in the Mountain region.
Description: We are testing whether the average square foot for the Mountain region
Level of confidence: a specified level of estimation will be used to reject or confirm the
hypothesis while confidence intervals will demonstrate where the highest estimations of
1-Tail Test
1. Hypothesis
a) Population Parameter:
Population parameter being tested is the average listing price for houses in the
Mountain region.
b) Hypotheses:
The hypothesis test is for the average listing price, i.e., to determine whether it is
lower than the national average statistics. For the test, u represents the average listing
Null hypothesis (Ho): u = $288,407. This means that the average listing prices
for houses in the Mountain region equals the national market average pricing.
Alternative hypothesis (Ha): u < $288,407. This means that the average listing
prices for houses in the Mountain region is lower than the national market
average pricing.
2. Data Analysis
b) Summary Statistics
In comparison to the national statistics, shown in Figure 3, the average listing price
histogram for the selected sample from the Mountain region is the same in terms of
shape (see Figure 1). Specifically, both histograms are symmetric, which means that
the mode, median, and mean are approximately equal. Furthermore, both histograms
Regional vs. National Housing Comparison Report 5
are right-skewed, implying that many of the values are near the lower end of the
range.
d) Conditions
The normal conditions for the test have been met, i.e., the sample was randomized and
Test statistic formula: sample mean minus target mean then divided by standard
deviation.
This means that the standard errors for the Mountain region’s sample mean is
b) Probability (p - value)
= T.DIST([10.367307],499,1 ) = 1.0
4. Interpretation
As shown in Figure 4 above, the p-value is 1.0 whereas the level of significance is
b) Decision:
The purpose of conducting a hypothesis test is to either reject or fail to reject the null
hypothesis to support the assumption based on the data. In this hypothesis test, the
null hypothesis is that the average listing price for the Mountain region equals the
national market listing price. However, the hypothesis test calculation shows that the
p-value is greater than the level of significance, which means that we fail to reject the
null hypothesis. Similarly, this does not mean that we accept the alternative
hypothesis, i.e., the average listing price for houses in the Mountain region is lower
c) Test Conclusion:
The hypothesis test fails to reject the null hypothesis and does not accept the
alternative hypothesis. In the context of the scenario, it means that the average listing
price for houses in the Mountain region is neither equal nor is it lower than the
national market listing price. Furthermore, the test statistic, as shown in Figure 4, is a
positive number, based on how the average listing price for the Mountain region is
higher than the national average ($354,612 and $288,407 respectively). Therefore,
the remaining assumption based on the calculations is that the average listing price
for houses in the Mountain region is higher than the national market listing price.
Regional vs. National Housing Comparison Report 7
2-Tail Test
1. Hypotheses
a) Population Parameter:
Population parameter being tested is the average square feet for houses in the
Mountain region.
b) Hypotheses:
The hypothesis test is for average square footage, i.e., whether it is higher or lower
than the national average statistics. For the test, u represents the average square foot
for houses.
Null hypothesis (Ho): u = $288,407. This means that the average square feet for
houses in the Mountain region equals the national market square footage.
Alternative hypothesis (Ha): u ≠ $288,407. This means that the average square
feet for houses in the Mountain region is not equal to the national market average
pricing.
2. Data Analysis
b) Summary Statistics
As shown in Figure 7 above, the shape of the histogram for the national square feet is
symmetric and the data set demonstrates a normal distribution since it is not skewed
to the right or left. In comparison, the histogram for the Mountain’s region sample
Regional vs. National Housing Comparison Report 9
(see Figure 5) is symmetric as well, but the dataset is positive skewed, i.e., the tail
pulls to the right. The difference between the two is that many of the values in the
National dataset are in the middle, whereas in the Mountain region dataset they are
d) Conditions:
The normal conditions for the test have been met, i.e., the sample was randomized and
Test statistic formula: sample mean minus target mean then divided by standard
deviation.
This means that the standard errors for the Mountain region’s sample mean is
b) Probability (p - value)
= T.DIST([14.94],499,2T ) = 5.59
4. Interpretation
significance is 0.05. Thus, the p value is greater than the level of significance.
b) Decision:
In this hypothesis test, the null hypothesis is that the average square feet for the
Mountain region equals the national market square footage. However, the hypothesis
test calculation shows that the p-value is greater than the level of significance, which
means that we fail to reject the null hypothesis. Additionally, we do not accept the
alternative hypothesis, i.e., the average listing price for houses in the Mountain
c) Test Conclusion:
The hypothesis test fails to reject the null hypothesis and does not accept the
alternative hypothesis. In the context of the scenario, it means that the average square
feet for houses in the Mountain region is not equal to national market square footage.
how the average listing price for the Mountain region is higher than the national
average 2,293sqft. and $1,944sqft. respectively). Therefore, the conclusion is that the
average square feet for houses in the Mountain region is different than the national
Figure 9 below shows the calculations of the 95% confidence interval. The calculation
for the confidence interval is the sample mean plus or minus the margin of error. The lower
Regional vs. National Housing Comparison Report 11
bound is the sample mean minus the margin of error. The upper bound is the sample mean
plus the margin of error. Thus, the 95% confidence interval is 2,249 and 2,341 sq. ft.
Therefore, we are 95% confident that the average square footage for the Mountain region is
Final Conclusions
The report has provided a comprehensive analysis regarding how the regional real
estate company can determine whether the Mountain region’s houses listing prices and square
footage re significantly different from the national market. Firstly, the 1-tail test led to the
conclusion that the housing prices for the Mountain region is not lower than the national
market average. In other words, property in the Mountain region costs more per square feet as
compared to the national statistics. Secondly, the 2-tail test led to the conclusion that the
square footage for homes in the Mountain region is significantly different than the average