Introduction To Geo Mathematics
Introduction To Geo Mathematics
net/publication/338698928
Introduction to Geomathematics
CITATIONS READS
0 2,672
1 author:
SEE PROFILE
All content following this page was uploaded by Osama Rahil Shaltami on 20 January 2020.
INTRODUCTION TO
GEOMATHEMATICS
12000
Age (years)
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
10 510 1010 1510 2010
Depth (cm)
Problem 2.11
150
Concentration (C)
100
50
0
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Problem 2.12
o 5.5
C = C F(d-1) = 200*(05)
which yields C = 4.4194
The gravity anomaly map shown here indicates that the mountainous region is associated with an
extensive negative gravity anomaly (deep blue colors). This large regional scale gravity anomaly
is believed to be associated with thickening of the crust beneath the area. The low density crustal
root compensates for the mass of extensive mountain ranges that cover this region. Isostatic
equilibrium is achieved through thickening of the low-density mountain root.
Solving isostatic equilibrium problems
cl m d c L m D
cl md c e l r m D
On Tuesday, from the foregoing
starting point, we derived a couple
basic relationships governing the
isostatic equilibrium processes.
These included:
e h
m
e r
c
In Class Problem: A 500m deep depression on the
earth's surface fills with sandstone of density 2.2
gm/cm3. Assume that the empty basin is in isostatic
equilibrium and that normal crustal thickness in
surrounding areas is 20km. Calculate the thickness
of sediment that must be deposited in the basin to
completely fill it. (Use crustal and mantle densities of
2.8 and 3.3 gm/cm3, respectively.)
Hint: Compute the initial thickness of the crust
beneath the empty basin and assume that the crustal
thickness beneath the basin does not change.
20 c b s l c r m
Recall that on Tuesday we
showed that l=16.7km - hence
3.3c b s r m
We also showed that
r = 20-e-l-b .. thus
3.3c b s (3.3 e b) m
After rearrangement
3.3c b s (3.3 e b) m
3.3( c m ) b( s m )
or
3.3( c m )
b
( s m )
&
b 1.5km
Recall that since l = 16.7km and lt does not
change as the basin is filled, we now have the
depth to the base of the crust in the rifted
region (b + l = 18.2km), after isostatic
equilibrium has been re-established. The base
of the crust now rests 1.8km above the base of
the continental crust in the surrounding un-
deformed area.
Recall, that when the basin was empty (0.5km
deep) the crust extended down to 17.2km and r
(the antiroot) was 2.8.
It took 1.5km of sediment to fill our half-
kilometer deep basin!
As sediment is deposited, the basin floor
gradually drops to maintain isostatic
equilibrium.
0.6
Depth to Top of Sedim ent
0.5
0.4
Deposits
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Thickness of Deposited Sedim ents
Take Home Problem: A mountain range 4km high is in
isostatic equilibrium. (a) During a period of erosion, a
2 km thickness of material is removed from the
mountain. When the new isostatic equilibrium is
achieved, how high are the mountains? (b) How high
would they be if 10 km of material were eroded away?
(c) How much material must be eroded to bring the
mountains down to sea level? (Use crustal and mantle
densities of 2.8 and 3.3 gm/cm3.)
25
Mountain Elevation &
Mountain Root (km)
20
Root Extent (km)
15
10
Mountain Elevation(km)
5
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Amount Eroded (km)
A few more comments on Isostacy
B C
A
At C C x 50 = 116 C=2.32
Statistics
y = mx + b
The best fit line is a line which minimizes the difference between the estimated and
actual values of y.
is the estimate of yi.
ŷi
yˆi mxi b
We want to minimize these differences for all yi.
.. and the best way to do this is to minimize the sum of the squares of these departures.
Mathematically the sum of the square of the departures or differences is
N
yi yi
2
ˆ
i 1
N 2
yi mxi b
i 1
Let the sum of these squared differences = D.
y ( x a) 2 ?
N 2
Given
D yi mxi b
i 1
there are two ways we could minimize this expression - one with respect to the
slope m - and the other with respect to the intercept b.
The end result -
The intercept
b y mx
n n n
n xi yi xi yi
i 1 i 1 i 1
m
n(n 1) s 2
Where s2=variance of x
It also turns out that
covariancexy
m
variancex
1 n
sxy
n 1 i 1
( xi x )( yi y )
or
s xy
m
s 2x
Back to statistics - remember the pebble mass
distribution? 224 322 353 384
242 324 355 386
256 324 355 389
256 326 355 389
265 327 357 393
269 329 358 394
277 330 359 394
283 331 359 395
283 331 364 397
Pebble masses collected from beach A 283 331 366 400
0.40 284 334 367 401
0.35
287 335 368 403
290 338 369 403
0.30
294 338 370 403
301 338 370 407
Probability
0.25
301 340 371 408
0.20
302 340 373 409
0.15 303 341 374 420
307 342 374 422
0.10
307 342 375 423
0.05 311 343 379 432
0.00
314 346 380 433
150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 317 346 383 435
Mass (grams) 318 350 384 450
318 352 384 454
Pebble masses collected from beach A
0.40
0.35
0.30
Probability
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550
Mass (grams)
The probability of occurrence of specific values in a sample often takes on that bell-shaped
Gaussian-like curve, as illustrated by the pebble mass data.
Probability Distribution of Pebble Masses
0.01
0.008
Probability
0.006 Series1
0.004 Series2
0.002
0
0 200 400 600 800
Pebble Mass (grams)
The Gaussian (normal) distribution of pebble masses looked a bit different from the probability distribution
we derived directly from the sample, but it provided a close approximation of the sample probabilities.
Equivalent Gaussian Distribution of Pebble Masses
0.01
0.008
Probability
0.006 Series1
0.004 Series2
0.002
0
0 200 400 600 800
Pebble Mass (grams)
We obtained one estimate of the population mean and this estimate is almost
certainly incorrect.
15
N
10
0
200 300 400 500
Mass (grams)
Sample1 <x>=348.84 Sample2 <x>=350.6
25 20
20 15 Note that each of the sample means
N 15 N differs from the population mean
10
10
5
5
0 0
200 300 400 500 200 300 400 500
Mass (grams) Mass (grams)
Sample 3 <x>=356.43 Sample 4 <x>=354.5
25 30
20 25
20
N 15 N Mean Variance Standard
15
10
10 deviation
5 5 348.84 2827.5 53.17
0 0 350.6 2192.59 46.82
200 300 400 500 200 300 400 500
Mass (grams) Mass (grams)
356.43 2124.63 46.09
354.5 1977.63 44.47
Sample 5 <x>=348.42 348.42 2611.3 51.1
20
15
N
10
0
200 300 400 500
Mass (grams)
The distribution of 35 means calculated from 35 samples drawn at random from
a parent population with assumed mean of 350.18 and variance of 2273 (s =
47.676).
Distribution of Means
12
10
N
6
0
330 335 340 345 350 355 360 365
Mass
Distribution of Means
12
10
N
6
0
330 335 340 345 350 355 360 365
Mass
The statistics of the distribution of means gives us information about the variability we can
anticipate in the mean value of 100-specimen samples.
Just as with the individual pebble masses observed in the sample, probabilities can also be
associated with the possibility of drawing a sample with a certain mean and standard
deviation.
This is how it works -
You go out to your beach and take a bucket full of pebbles in one area and then go to another
part of the beach and collect another bucket full of pebbles.
You have two samples, and each has their own mean and standard deviation.
You ask the question - Is the mean determined for the one sample different from that determined for the
second sample?
To answer this question you use probabilities determined from the distribution of
means, not from those of an individual sample.
The means of the samples may differ by only 20 grams. If you look at the range of
individual masses which is around 225 grams, you might conclude that these two
samples are not really different.
However, you are dealing with means derived from individual samples each consisting of
100 specimens.
The distribution of means is different from the distribution of specimens. The range of
possible means is much smaller.
35
Number of Occurrences
10
Number of occurrences
30
8
25
20 6
15
4
10
5 2
0
0
200 250 300 350 400 450 500
200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Recall that the standard deviation of means was only 4.64 and that this is just
about 1/10th the standard deviation of the sample.
This is the standard deviation of the sample means from the estimate of the true
mean. This standard deviation is referred to as the standard error.
se sˆ / N
What is a significant difference?
To estimate the likelihood that a sample having a specific calculated mean and standard
deviation comes from a parent population with given mean and standard deviation, one has
to define some limiting probabilities.
There is some probability, for example, that you could draw a sample whose mean might be
10 standard deviations from the parent mean. It’s really small, but still possible.
What chance of being wrong will you accept?
This decision about how different the mean has to be in order to be considered
statistically different is actually somewhat arbitrary.
In most cases we are willing to accept a one in 20 chance of being wrong or a one in
100 chance of being wrong.
The chance we are willing to take is related to the “confidence limit” we choose.
The confidence limits used most often are 95% or 99%. The 95% confidence limit
gives us a one in 20 chance of being wrong. The confidence limit of 99% gives us
a 1 in 100 chance of being wrong.
Whatever your bias may be - whatever your desired result - you can’t go wrong in your
presentation if you clearly state the confidence limit you use.
Number of Number of Number of
standard Area standard Area standard Area
deviations deviations deviations
0.0 0.000 1.1 0.729 2.1 .964
0.1 0.080 1.2 0.770 2.2 .972
0.2 0.159 1.3 0.806 2.3 .979
0.3 0.236 1.4 0.838 2.4 .984
0.4 0.311 1.5 0.866 2.5 .988
0.5 0.383 1.6 0.890 2.6 .991
0.6 0.451 1.7 0.911 2.7 .993
0.7 0.516 1.8 0.928 2.8 .995
0.8 0.576 1.9 0.943 2.9 .996
0.9 0.632 2.0 0.954 3.0 .997
1.0 0.683
In the above table of probabilities (areas under the normal distribution curve), you can see that
the 95% confidence limit extends out to 1.96 standard deviations from the mean.
The standard deviation to use when you are comparing means (are they the same or
different?) is the standard error, se.
Assuming that our standard error is 4.8 grams, then 1.96se corresponds to 9.41 grams.
Notice that the 5% probability of being wrong is equally divided into 2.5% of the area greater
than 9.41grams from the mean and less than 9.41 grams from the mean.
You probably remember the discussions of one- and two-tailed tests.
m2 m1
z
se
Remember the t-test?
Tests for significance can be improved if we account for the fact that estimates of the mean
derived from small samples are inherently sloppy estimates.
The t-test acknowledges this sloppiness and compensates for it by making the criterion for
significant-difference more stringent when the sample size is smaller.
The z-test and t-test yield similar results for relatively large samples - larger than 100 or so.
The 95% confidence limit for example, diverges considerably from 1.96 s for smaller
sample size. The effect of sample size (N) is expressed in terms of degrees of freedom
which is N-1.
Thanks
View publication stats