AL3451 Machine Learning Lecture Notes 1
AL3451 Machine Learning Lecture Notes 1
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REGRESeSloN
vaT jable
CUtput Consists of ene or mor Conbinvs
ContinouS
Kagossten algortm halp prodict
Martat trends, ueathor
Vamiabe Sodh as hsuee prias
pattens oi a d as pricos ect
Data points
inea easesie
600 Cmtmoous
madol
Jinar egsass im
*The objecti vos
f a
wrtb do focinimg
i a ine daba point
OmotRe
to add
omt
hawe change
existing
existi9
heed bo
to fit it
bot
modol
Jabla (cogsa), pdictiony
clasci-fiatsr predicts abep
modol Conbinoos- Voled fncbims classi-fiotiomr is Considarod
be Soperviuecd lornirq
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REGRESSIaN UNE
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too na of
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where
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b sope of tRe n e
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tha bestestimate tha
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Y= atbx
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vetbor
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art a d suenca2
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of fittima Straiaht
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o thor Vavables
oThed Vamablas
dapendlent Vamaba) is prediched ao k
lonstanis and
Whore the
ha betas ame
Chosen ha
ooot nda s upt point Thi's pro03S
IS
ecunsavily Con tinued
Advamtages
naar Taroiciom mbda
Toulmm a
Than mebhoo Such as
Usualy hueh fasler
hwsal nobwoyks
mo tmple ahd
YarsesSIon
wwodols
inaar
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LE AST S60ARE
The wetho d of lamsb Swanas ts abrob
Tcw Co,
How dao ine based bn tha
o Soch
FCy)atbX
MvLTIPLE RERESSIDN :
predtc bha
btha
Usel to
Rogreesie amalsis
Vogpbns03 ovm a Se of
Value Ohe or movm
also be usadr estimabe
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prodi chos. Preddchrs
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the Jinaan
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o
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ndepondont facod (Variabla) affecs tha oxoma
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use
is efemad a3 wlbipla unar Jeqosiem
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wodel
wwlbivaiate aast Squoe fitting.
Y
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Owe dapendant Vaiala
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Weakt Grradert
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T we ove bow ards haabiva qTadieni or
Seps
.mX+C
Ohee repoen bhe lope of tha Line
ino
amd c epsoaenls bhe ntertaps m Tha -y Ax i3
Axig
Staruira poin
oss
Value of welght
point of onYer ence
Whese the Cost mctiom is at
s miÜmum
The Aope Steapeo ab a Stestinq
Point
Point o6 osbitanH point but enever houd paramdeTS ane
Rwouwnn as
traimimg epoch
epoch.
A
A olassificbien algortAm a b makes
of Tha Charaderistic
a Jnao Combinati
Vaun af
noas clogsifier monga into
Lmagio eharacerisHa a dakino a
all the
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dimensimalihy raducbien
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thou
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- dosS
dois
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piecrmùnamt Analysis CNDA) or Disesiminamt Funchic
Anausis(DEA)
inao Discminanb amalysis C nO
0
huost popolar
Ppolar dimarsisvelihy Teducbieu techniqw used
for Soponvisad elaasifaon poocblems in wachine
of faahmas ag
bo clasciy boo
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dillesant clo&ses
houim
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LOGISTIc eEeRESSION
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GtENARAT*VE. ModEL
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Instead
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A odeuiston twe Simpla apoasentcdja-
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Advoniaaps
Rolas Simplo and to wdershemd
Disod Vamtaags'
Mos he algpithma euire thar Ra
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Omd vession issuesIo ML
qmd
woltiple cloifies to Solve a Copla pobla
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taes h ONebco
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fhe preoici vV acusa
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The elaate
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whtch we Wwt to build
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Appttah'on of Rando forezt+:
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thorve
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poCes that Covons nht forn Shnco data
Dha
ldertfttotitn to ocol doolepranb, odal bploant
cd wodol wainteyamte. A.b
Cutire activitos fall tdon bw0 brood oteros
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3uch as ML
bperotions .
has
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Mudol monionng
Busimaze qual
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Valie to be gaiet by Solbiog poblamy.
be abe to woasne bucimogS Vahe
Training
acurabe ML wodel Tauine
data pooLsi3 to Convert data into a Ugabla
fusmat
Data poosig steps indoda Colleefion
prepasiag data and tahne aginaiog
the procoss cf oreing
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DEpU MENT r data
MODEL DEVSopMENT:
After a model is tso'ne, ned
evalwvoated and Valiolated we cau
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made Dhto the prodcbior. we can mabo predich os
and infeseress aqimat to modol .
MbDEL DEECopME N1 :
ouolopnads Consids modal
boudng, traming, toning awmd enlovat tn
Meolal building inclodas seotirng a
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Gu1DELNES MACHINE LEARNING ExPERIMENTS
AlM OF THE SUDY :
glOhat are bie cbjecbives (eg
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SELECTTON OF TtE DegpoNSE VAR\ABE:
Ohat should e e
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CHOI CE OF PACTO2s AND Comdexiy, ec
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trmyauty Conclosi is
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tiat Dur Concosion
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set, a
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ingtead) in each derotibn, 0r dividd into
in.
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traung
ach iteration.
Macina daasne'
baialy iy
to prediet tie test data
to create mode)
So wa Tha traunubg duta fit The moda!
avnd teatng ata to Gest it .
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the reullo Unknon oeh s amed as Tho
test cet
CROsS VALIDAT1ON CCU) AND RESAMPLI NGt
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given cola set
Split ito a k womber of
Sectiors folds
ohere each old is used as testing et at Som
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Compojebien o .
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OVeY
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It is a nethod off ample sese tat
is wch mae
heral. "an cos aidatio
ha idaa is bo use 1o obseed
Sanple to astimate tfa populat un dishbuhon
amplas Cau be drauon fono tha
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csti mated popolatior ad Tha Sampling
dishibotioy o ay ype o estimato an itsel be
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paur Statistial tool. fat an be used to quautty
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is Machie laonming
tosk ttat
casifiakon.
Consists of more than huoo
Classes otputs
Each
of N deffenen
hraiming poimt belongs
belongs to Una
Closses
The goal is
Laich, given a
fnchion
data point, oil Conecty
pradict class Jho tha
point
kalanygs
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botMean
gtned Averagi
aNe Yoe poe LisiDo (MAp) ts also
alled
peusim at Seen ralevent docomank
Dt daermne preu'sion at each paih wben
neoo relevemds doomant yt
retrieed.
Avera of preusion Valo cbtalnay
docoment each bino a relwent
cscyment is ehieued.
MAP |
N
ohee
6 NUmber of elavont dolomOnt
for
NeOmber aquenes
P(aea
doe mans
MOutCLASS UASSIFICATION TECHNIQUES:
truig
aiffenent clos point balogs
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The gol Cenatvet a fachi
which guen a he dala polnt oi
Gaechmg
oo -
closs uoit te most
loss.deeisions r
\oing otedime
Degutnas Just peiy sise daesiong, it
predes class dabel.
A xXX
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One is Al (OvA)
example
Eror Comechg Doptpat Cedomg
yEoros Coechng code appro aches
o Conmbime bimamy cossi Aers tm
way that You exploit de
Corelation and Commeet
ko aBre,
Thus entisely
to dea! with pob lemo of Small Sanples. Bat
Ohe Ghold note that tae methods and teorg
q Sma ll Samples applicoble bo lange
Barnples but it Coveise
when
Sample &ine Sma |), as to ften
ease n paetie, tu Conttal linit
(leorem loes not
not appy ne must ton
èmpuse 8\icter aMunptcons on teu poplatioy
to quwe latstial valdik to te kestprocacha
asunpbio
Fáom bwich Tlu Sample b balken has
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normal Aobabiiby dostibution bo bogis wits
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* Dogee fheodom (di): ey degue freedom
we mean numbr classes bo whih
he value Can be
nignod asb taily Dr
or af
withot Asthidios Or
Ainiations plasd.
For ercanple ashe to
whose todal 5o. cleorly
we at feelonn
e
Mubes eSoy lo, 23, g but tu fourt5
rmter, fireol ine ttu botal
6o To- C1o +23+ )
7)i o . Thus'we e quen
a estkiction, hare bue qreedom asclaylcon
area tue
de taiks a tre t- lisibution is
tn tee tal[ te norma)
largor fan te area
utribution.
tte t- dstibuteon N olkpendent
6 qte 3hape
lnereales tiee cshibton
AS Sampe Siza
becomes Opprorimately nomal.
Tee Stand ard lewiaton } reater
than .
8
tre t- drstribufion
tails
Je
a hf greator than the area in the 6ails Of
Tuo Standayol norha listibution, betaue we
}ndsodueng further
an
estimate ot
Vaniabilety
q. e men, medlian , and mode fue t- ostaibution
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eual to
populor is ho) p
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o-efhcient Comelabin The
lation! Coe foy Test
Woma)
960 |:
|:962
O42 2
213|
251)
o25 totreodg lagnee
af
n
wonmal) te
ed dishobuon
Qre fofrocdan
r
to t a
dogsecs
f ous Vard too Vales Critical y
Valtag Citca) T-
numbeY&.
lore Lawg tue by claser
bo
get
values increOog
Sixe
n Sampe tte as
urve. olensity ma
l no
te toloser get luve
y teireasos In Sample tu'
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Shonat h of tto volahnship
desenbi
beean wo Vanad
CoYrolation
The Co-efdent tho clopo of
behemn wo Vana Ha
Yeopeslon
Vamabos aue bean andardiod
when bote
t a r moang aud aividing
Ssbhihgstandasod moang Or doation
\oy bolwaen
Comolation
rovg
mias one
plus
Casinptive
tohenSpecial dishhbutional assUmptiong
Shatisic, ho aboot t e Voaniates
wada
to be
whi ch
it is Calculated
Comelatien oefaens
fest fo
Rrmola
t r
with dagness
State moll and alemate hypotesis
Ho
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Ha p +0
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Hee p Is tta popuation Comelatior
Lo-oftiedent
Stote tho Significanto davel.
the fest eatisttes of Corobhn
to-efHelent oith
aboe - dahod
above
brma
do's ion Use
Vale approach or tha p- Vale approach
Fnalty Stete tfe Conlgion
Me emar's Test:
hominal aato
most
Juoo Oud one indopendent
ategones aud
toitt oo ConnoCted oops
Variabio
Vali'dation Sek V;
Tha percantagu of
Vali'dation Gets
clossiers (On
oordod as p and p?
buo obgcifiahisn alguitims
daue Some eor rate, Hhon we expect
Jhoue Same
ttthem o
eruvalently,te differenca of tfair maansis
Tates
in
,The difperera
ld i as Ri =P-P tu's a paied
test
that is or each both aloithns
bhe Sone
Validaim Ses
k
(Pi-m)
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*Undar coha hyoóllais ttok o,
have a Shatist t tat is 4- di'sibute
oith
Vanana in
the t statisti ray
Somattas Uhalosastimaded, te maan he
eshimated
regu in t Valos
large