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Herd Projection

The document outlines the technical and financial assumptions for a 10-herd dairy farm operation including herd composition, housing, feeding, labor costs, and projected herd growth over 5 years. Key assumptions include a herd of 10 cows consisting of Sahiwal and Holstein Friesian breeds, 1 bull, housing and feeding requirements, estimated expenses for facilities, supplies, and labor, and projected increases in herd size each year through calving and replacements.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
225 views4 pages

Herd Projection

The document outlines the technical and financial assumptions for a 10-herd dairy farm operation including herd composition, housing, feeding, labor costs, and projected herd growth over 5 years. Key assumptions include a herd of 10 cows consisting of Sahiwal and Holstein Friesian breeds, 1 bull, housing and feeding requirements, estimated expenses for facilities, supplies, and labor, and projected increases in herd size each year through calving and replacements.
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Table 1.

Technical Assumption of 10-herd level


A. Technical Assumption
Production System Semi-Intensive
Stocks
Cow Frieswal
70% Sahiwal
30% Holstien Friesian
Bull Frieswal
60% Sahiwal
40% Holstien Friesian
Bull to Cow Ratio 1:25
Carrying Capacity 1 to 1.5 animals/ha
Housing
Cow 7 sq m/head
Bull 7 sq m/head
Growing 4 sq m/head
Land Area 15 hectares for 10 cow-level
Type of Housing Semi-Concrete
Conception rate 80%
Calving per year 90%
Concentrate Consumption (lactating) 1.36kg/day per head x 365 days
Forage consumption (lactating) 26.11kg/day per head x 365 days
Concentrate Consumption (dairy bull) 1.4kg/day per head x 365 days
Forage consumption (dairy bull) 24.5kg/day per head x 365 days
Milking
Milk yield per day 10.5L
Calves milk consumption 3.5 L
Weaning period 7-8 weeks
Calf ratio 40% males and 60% females
Kinds of forage Napier, signal grass and leguminous
species
Mortality Rate 5%
Urea-molasses-mineral-block (UMMB) (dry season March-May)
Assumptions;
Sahiwal produce 1400-2500 liters per lactation.
(1400+2500)/2 = 1950 liters ave.
1950 liters /305 day of lactation = 6 liters/day
70% Sahiwal x 6 = 4.2
(6/42) x70 = 100%

1. Holstein Friesian produce 6000 to 7000 liters per lactation.

(6000+7000)/2 = 6500 liters ave.


6500 liters /305 day of lactation = 21 liters/day
30% Holstien Friesian x 21 = 6.3
(21/6.3) x 30 = 100%
Therefore, a frieswal produce 10.5 litters of milk per day.

Table 2. Financial Assumption of 10 -herd level


A. Financial Assumption

Unit Type and description Initial year

Amount/Unit Total
amount

3 Housing 900,000
2 cattle houses 800,000
1 milking parlor 100,000
(Harringbone Milking
Machine)
Colling tank 50,000
Pasteurizer 100,000

25 rolls (150 meters/roll, 1,789 Fencing 44, 725


pesos barb wire for
15 ha)
Other facilities 142,000
House for caretakers 80,000
Foot bath 2,000
Holding chute 50,000
Storage area (medicine supply, 10,000
animal supplements
etc.)

Water Supply (43.1 cubic 940/month 11,280


meter)

Forage and pasture 40,000


development

Concentrate feeds (Rice bran D1 P15/kg 80,125

Urea-molasses P2,000 6,000


Mineral- block (UMMB)

Wage of employees 280/day


3 caretakers 26,040/month 306,600

Electricity 3,000 /month 36,000

15 hectares Land rental 15,000/ha/year 15,000

Gasoline 1,500/month 18,000

Animal Stocks
1 Bull Acquire in NDA 0
10 Cow Acquire in NDA 0

Total Expenses: 1,749,790


Project Year
Particulars
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
I. Beginning Stock 10 19 22 28 26

Pregnant cows 9 9 12 13 18

Breedable cows 10 13 15 20

Bulls 1 1 1 2 1

Mortality 1 1 2

II. Cows that calves 8 8 11 12 16


a. Male calf 3 3 4 5 6

b. Female calf 5 5 7 7 10
III. Yearlings 8 8 11 11
a. heifer 5 5 7 7

b. Bull 3 3 4 5
IV. Replacement Stock
a. Bull 1
b. Heifer
V. Payback stock (NDA)
a. Bull 1
b. Heifer 2 2 2 2
V1. Sold
a. Bull 2 3 4 5

b. Heifer/cow
c. Original stock 11
V. Ending Inventory 19 22 28 26 35

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