Simulation
Simulation
1. Problem Definition
The initial step involves defining the goals of the study and determing what
needs to be solved. The problem is further defined through objective
observations of the process to be studied. Care should be taken to determine
if simulation is the appropriate tool for the problem under investigation.
2. Project Planning
The tasks for completing the project are broken down into work packages
with a responsible party assigned to each package. Milestones are indicated
for tracking progress. This schedule is necessary to determine if sufficient
time and resources are available for completion.
3. System Definition
This step involves identifying the system components to be modeled and the
preformance measures to be analyzed. Often the system is very complex,
thus defining the system requires an experienced simulator who can find the
appropriate level of detail and flexibility.
4. Model Formulation
Understanding how the actual system behaves and determining the basic
requirements of the model are necessary in developing the right model.
Creating a flow chart of how the system operates facilitates the
understanding of what variables are involved and how these variables
interact.
5. Input Data Collection & Analysis
After formulating the model, the type of data to collect is determined. New
data is collected and/or existing data is gathered. Data is fitted to theoretical
distributions. For example, the arrival rate of a specific part to the
manufacturing plant may follow a normal distribution curve.
6. Model Translation
The model is translated into programming software. Choices range from
general purpose softwares .
7. Verification & Validation
Verification is the process of ensuring that the model behaves as intended,
usually by debugging or through animation. Verification is necessary but not
sufficient for validation, that is a model may be verified but not valid.
Validation ensures that no significant difference exists between the model
and the real system and that the model reflects reality. Validation can be
achieved through statistical analysis. Additionally, face validity may be
obtained by having the model reviewed and supported by an expert.
8. Experimentation & Analysis
Experimentation involves developing the alternative model(s), executing the
simulation runs, and statistically comparing the alternative(s) system
performance with that of the real system.
9. Documentation & Implementation
Documentation consists of the written report and/or presentation. The results
and implications of the study are discussed. The best course of action is
identified, recommended, and justified.
1. Type of Problem
2. Availability of Resources
3. Costs
4. Availability of Data
Type of Problem: If a problem can be solved by common sense or analytically, the
use of simulation is unnecessary. Additionally, using algorithms and mathematical
equations may be faster and less expensive than simulating. Also, if the problem
can be solved by performing direct experiments on the system to be evaluated, then
conducting direct experiments may be more desirable than simulating. To
illustrate, recently the UH Transportation Department conducted field studies on
expanding the campus shuttle system. The department used their own personnel
and vehicles to perform the experiment during the weekend.. If the system is too
complex, cannot be defined, and not understandable then simulation will not
produce meaningful results. This situation often occurs when human behavior is
involved.
Availability of Resources: People and time are the determining resources for
conducting a simulation study. An experienced analyst is the most important
resource since such a person has the ability and experience to determine both the
model's appropriate level of detail and how to verify and validate the model.
Without a trained simulator, the wrong model may be developed which produces
unreliable results.
Costs: Cost considerations should be given for each step in the simulation process,
purchasing simulation software if not already available, and computer resources.
Obviously if these costs exceed the potential savings in altering the current system,
then simulation should not be pursued.
Availability of Data: The necessary data should be identified and located, and if the
data does not exist, then the data should be collectible. If the data does not exist
and cannot be collected, then continuing with the simulation study will eventually
yield unreliable and useless results. The simulation output cannot be compared to
the real system's performance, which is vital for verifying and validating the
model.
The basic steps and decisions for a simulation study are incorporated into a
flowchart as shown below:
Steps and Decisions for Conducting a Simulation Study
Simulators can also be used to look for operational conditions that would improve
already existing processes.