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Topic4 Slides

The document discusses valuation models for bonds and stocks. It covers the basic concepts of valuing pure discount bonds and coupon bonds, including how their prices are affected by interest rate changes. Formulas for calculating present value and yield to maturity are provided for both bond types.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
25 views23 pages

Topic4 Slides

The document discusses valuation models for bonds and stocks. It covers the basic concepts of valuing pure discount bonds and coupon bonds, including how their prices are affected by interest rate changes. Formulas for calculating present value and yield to maturity are provided for both bond types.

Uploaded by

revantcr7
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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07 33172

Corporate Finance
Topic 4 – Valuation of Financial
Assets

Objective
Explain and use valuation models for
financial assets (bonds and common
stocks)

1
Basic Building Blocks of Bond
Valuation: Pure Discount Bonds
(1)
• A pure discount bond is a security that
promises to pay a specified single cash
payment (face value or par value) at a specified
date called its maturity date
• There is no regular cash flow associated with
interest (i.e. no coupon payments)
• Pure discount bonds are purchased at a
discount from their face or par value
• We can always analyze any fixed income
contract as a sum of pure discount bonds (zero-
coupon bonds)
2
07 33172 – Topic 4
Basic Building Blocks of Bond
Valuation: Pure Discount Bonds (2)
Information needed for valuing pure discount
bonds:
– Time to maturity or investment period (T) = Maturity
date minus today’s date
– Face or future value (FV)
– Discount rate (r)
$0 $0 $0 $F

0 1 2 T 1 T
Present value (PV) of a pure discount bond or its price
at time 0:
FV
PV 
07 33172 – Topic 4
(1  r )T 3
Basic Building Blocks of Bond
Valuation: Pure Discount Bonds
(3)
• The pure discount bond is an example of the
present value of a lump sum cash flow
• The yield-to-maturity is the discount rate that
makes the present value of the cash flows from
the bond equal to the current price of the bond
• Solving for this, the yield-to-maturity (i) on a
pure discount bond is given by the relationship:
1
 FV 
FV  PV1 i
T T
 i    1
 PV  4
07 33172 – Topic 4
Basic Building Blocks of Bond
Valuation: Pure Discount Bonds
(4)
• Example
– You can purchase a pure discount bond for
$9,000, and it matures in two years with a
face value of $10,000
– What is the yield-to-maturity?

5
07 33172 – Topic 4
Basic Building Blocks of Bond
Valuation: Pure Discount Bonds
(5)
1 1
 FV  T 10,000  2
i   1     1  5.41%
 PV   9,000 

T i PV PMT FV

2 ? -9,000 0 10,000
5.41%

6
07 33172 – Topic 4
SHOWS POSITIVE RELATIONSHIP B/W RISK AND MATURITY CUZ
EXPECTED RETURN ALSO INCREASES WITH MATURITY
INCREASSING

US Treasury Yield Curve

7.50

7.00
Annualized Yield (%)

6.50

6.00

5.50

5.00

4.50
0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Years to Maturity

7
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Bonds (1)
• A coupon bond obligates the issuer to
– make periodic payments of interest (called
coupon payments) to the bond holder until
the bond matures
– at which time the face value of the bond is
also paid to the bond holder
– and the contract is satisfied

8
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Rate

• The coupon rate is the interest rate


applied to the face value to compute the
coupon payment
– A bond with a face value of $1,000 and a
coupon rate of 10% pays an annual coupon
of $100
– At maturity, the payment is $1,000 + $100

9
07 33172 – Topic 4
Price of a Coupon Bond

• The price of a coupon bond is the sum of


the present value of the coupon payment
annuity plus the present value of the face
value

10
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Bonds (2)
Information needed to value coupon bonds:
– Coupon payment dates, and time to maturity (T)
– Coupon payment per period (C) and face value (FV)
– Discount rate (r)

$C $C $C $C  $ FV

0 1 2 T 1 T
Present value (PV) of a coupon bond or its price at time 0:

C 1  FV
PV  1  
r  (1  r )T  (1  r )T 11
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Bonds: Example
Find the present value (as of January 1, 2004) of a 6-3/8 percent
Treasury coupon bond, with semi-annual payments, a maturity
date of December 31, 2009 and a face value of $1,000, if the
yield-to-maturity is 5-percent.
– On January 1, 2004 the size and timing of cash flows are:

$31.875 $31.875 $31.875 $1,031.875



1 / 1 / 04 6 / 30 / 04 12 / 31 / 04 6 / 30 / 09 12 / 31 / 09 BOND PRICES
GO UP WHEN
INTEREST RATE
FALSE= YTM

$31.875  1  $1,000
PV  1  12 
 12
 $1,070.52
.05 2  (1.025)  (1.025) 12
07 33172 – Topic 4 do seperately in calculator
Bond Prices Rise (Fall) as
Interest Rates Fall (Rise)
• Basic principle in evaluating known cash
flows
– A change in market interest rates causes a
change in the opposite direction in the
market values of all existing contracts
promising fixed payments in the future

• Volatile market rates imply volatile


market values
13
07 33172 – Topic 4
Behavior of Bond Prices Over
Time

• The expected price of pure discount


bonds rises exponentially to the face
value with time, and the actual price
never exceeds par
• Coupon bonds are more complex, and
their price may exceed their par value,
but at maturity they reach their par value
14
07 33172 – Topic 4
20-Year Coupon Bond Value Over Time

1060

1040

1020
with no volatility = theoretical journey
1000

Value
980

theoretical journey of discount bond


960

940
REALISTIC JOURNEY OF DISCOUNT BOND
920
20 15 10 5 0
Time to Maturity 15
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Bonds Trading at Par

• Coupon Bond Pricing Principle #1: Par


Bonds
– If a bond’s price equals its face value, then
its yield-to-maturity = current yield =
coupon rate.

– Current yield = Annual coupon / Price

16
07 33172 – Topic 4
Coupon Bond Pricing Principles
#2 and #3

• Coupon Bond Pricing Principle #2: Premium


Bonds
bond price > face value
 yield-to-maturity < current yield < coupon rate

• Coupon Bond Pricing Principle #3: Discount


Bonds
bond price < face value
 yield-to-maturity > current yield > coupon rate

17
07 33172 – Topic 4
Valuation of Common Stocks:
Discounted Dividend Model
(DDM)
• The DDM is a model that computes the
value of a share of a stock as the present
value of the expected future cash
dividends
• Notation:
– Pj is the stock value per share in year j
– Dj is the cash dividend per share in year j
– k is the required rate of return on the stock
18
07 33172 – Topic 4
Present Value of Dividends
• Current stock price based only on the first year’s
dividend is the present value of the expected
dividend for the year and end-of-year price, both
discounted at the required rate of return:
D1  P1
P0 
1 k
• Current stock price with perpetual dividends
growing at a constant rate g:

D1 D1(1 g) D1(1 g)2 D1(1 g)3 D1


P0      ... 
1 k1 1 k2 1 k3 1 k4 k g
19
07 33172 – Topic 4
Capital Gains Yield
D2 D (1  g ) D1
P1   1  (1  g )  P0 (1  g )
kg kg kg
P P
g 1 0
P0
=> The DDM implies that the capital gains
yield is equal to the dividend growth rate

20
07 33172 – Topic 4
DDM Examples
• No-Growth Stock
E1=D1=$15, k=15%, g=0%
P0=D1/(k – g)=$15/(0.15 – 0)=$100

• Growth Stock equivalent


• 60% of first year earnings reinvested at 20%
E1=$15, D1=$6 ($15 * 40%), k=15%,
g=12% (60% * 20%)
P0=D1/(k – g)=$6/(0.15 – 0.12)=$200

• Normal Profit Stock equivalent


• 60% of first year earnings reinvested at 15%
E1=$15, D1=$6 ($15 * 40%), k=15%,
g=9% (60% * 15%)
P0=D1/(k – g)=$6/(0.15 – 0.09)=$100
21
07 33172 – Topic 4
DDM Parameter Estimates

• Growth Rate
– g = earnings retention ratio * return on
equity
– How large should/can g be?
– What are the underlying assumptions?

• Discount Rate
– k : cost of equity capital (how can/should it
be estimated we will see later in the module)
22
07 33172 – Topic 4
Equivalently

• P0 = E1/k + NPV of future investments


(NPVGO)

23
07 33172 – Topic 4

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