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11 views2 pages

Assignment 3

Uploaded by

Sangam Amrutha
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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CE 564 Stochastic Hydrology

Assignment -3
Maximum Marks: 100
Each question carries 10 marks
(Due date: 25-September-2023 at 5:00 PM)

1. (a) Obtain the area under the standard normal curve for following cases

i. Between z = -0.7 and z = 0


ii. z < 0.8
iii. Between z = -1.2 and z = 2.4
(b) Obtain ‘z’ from standard normal curve, such that P[Z < z] = 0.75

2. A data set is assumed to follow exponential distribution, with


1 𝑥⁄
𝑓(𝑥) = 𝑒 − α x>0
α

In the data set, 60% of the values are less than 2.5, estimate the parameter α.

3. Obtain the parameters of the following distribution using method of moments

f(x) = (a+1) x a 0<x<1

4. The monthly flow of a stream is assumed to follow normal distribution with


mean of 280 m3/sec and standard deviation of 75 m3/sec.

i. Obtain the probability of the flow being greater than 200 m3/sec and less
than 350 m3/sec.

ii. Obtain the probability of flow being less than 50 m3/sec.

iii. Obtain the probability of flow being greater than 500 m3/sec.

5. A random variable X is assumed to follow normal distribution with following


probabilities.
P[X < 10] = 0.1 and P[X < 30] = 0.85

Obtain the mean and standard deviation of the random variable.

6. The annual rainfall ‘X’ is assumed to follow normal distribution over a basin
with mean 100 mm and standard deviation 70 mm. Annual runoff ‘Y’ (in mm)
from the basin is related to annual rainfall by Y = 1.5X – 30 (for X > 20mm)

i. Determine the mean and standard deviation of annual runoff.


ii. Obtain the probability that the annual runoff will exceed 80 mm.

7.The mean and standard deviation of annual rainfall of a basin is 1100 mm and
400 mm respectively. The annual rainfall is assumed to follow log-normal
distribution. Obtain the probability that the annual rainfall exceeds 1500 mm.

8. In a river basin, the mean time between two flood events of a given magnitude is
10 years. Assuming that the mean time follows an exponential distribution; obtain
the probability of the flood recurring within next 5 years if it has occurred in the
present year.

9. The mean and standard deviation of the monthly stream flow in a river basin are
300 m3/sec and 98 m3/sec respectively. Assuming that the monthly stream flow is
approximated by Gamma distribution, obtain the probability of average stream
flow being more than 500 m3/sec.

10. The hourly rainfall of a watershed exceeds 240 mm with a probability of 0.02
and exceeds 270 mm with a probability of 0.01. Assuming that the hourly rainfall
follows Gumbel’s (EV-I) distribution, obtain the probability that it exceeds 100
mm. Obtain the same probability if it follows Log-normal distribution.

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