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PureMaths2 20220524

The document describes a study investigating the effectiveness of a treatment for a disease affecting fruit trees. 400 trees were either given the treatment or not in a random sample. The number of years each tree remained disease-free was recorded. Chi-squared tests are used to determine if there is an association between receiving the treatment and number of disease-free years at the 5% significance level.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
37 views16 pages

PureMaths2 20220524

The document describes a study investigating the effectiveness of a treatment for a disease affecting fruit trees. 400 trees were either given the treatment or not in a random sample. The number of years each tree remained disease-free was recorded. Chi-squared tests are used to determine if there is an association between receiving the treatment and number of disease-free years at the 5% significance level.

Uploaded by

karuneshn
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 16

Please check the examination details below before entering your candidate information

Candidate surname Other names

Centre Number Candidate Number

Pearson Edexcel Level 3 GCE


Paper
reference 8FM0/23
Further Mathematics
 

Advanced Subsidiary
Further Mathematics options
23: Further Statistics 1
(Part of options B, E, F and G)
You must have: Total Marks
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Green), calculator

Candidates may use any calculator allowed by Pearson regulations. Calculators


must not have the facility for symbolic algebra manipulation, differentiation
and integration, or have retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
•• Use black ink or ball‑point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
• Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,
centre number and candidate number.
• Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are
clearly labelled.
• Answer the questions in the spaces provided
– there may be more space than you need.
• You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without
working may not gain full credit.
• Values from the statistical tables should be quoted in full. If a calculator is used
instead of the tables, the value should be given to an equivalent degree of accuracy.
• Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
•• AThebooklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
total mark for this part of the examination is 40. There are 4 questions.
• The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
• Check your answers if you have time at the end. Turn over

*P71967A0116*
P71967A
©2022 Pearson Education Ltd.

Q:1/1/1/1/
1. Stuart is investigating a treatment for a disease that affects fruit trees. He has 400 fruit
trees and applies the treatment to a random sample of these trees. The remainder of the
trees have no treatment. He records the number of years, y, that each fruit tree remains
free from this disease.
The results are summarised in the table below.

Treatment

Applied Not applied

y<1 15 25
Number of years free
1y<2 35 61
from this disease
2y 124 140

The data are to be used to determine whether or not there is an association between the
application of the treatment and the number of years that a fruit tree remains free from
this disease.
(a) Calculate the expected frequencies for

(i) Applied and y < 1

(ii) Not applied and 1  y < 2


(2)
( O − E )2
The value of ∑ E
for the other four classes is 2.642 to 3 decimal places.

(b) Test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there is an association between
the application of the treatment and the number of years a fruit tree remains free
from this disease.
You should state your hypotheses, test statistic, critical value and conclusion clearly.
(5)
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 *P71967A0316* Turn over
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(Total for Question 1 is 7 marks)

5
 *P71967A0516* Turn over
2. Xena catches fish at random, at a constant rate of 0.6 per hour.
(a) Find the probability that Xena catches exactly 4 fish in a 5‑hour period.
(2)
The probability of Xena catching no fish in a period of t hours is less than 0.16
(b) Find the minimum value of t, giving your answer to one decimal place.
(3)
Independently of Xena, Zion catches fish at random with a mean rate of 0.8 per hour.
Xena and Zion try using new bait to catch fish. The number of fish caught in total by
Xena and Zion after using the new bait, in a randomly selected 4‑hour period, is 12
(c) Use a suitable test to determine, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there
is evidence that the rate at which fish are caught has increased after using the new
bait. State your hypotheses clearly and the p‑value used in your test.
(5)
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*P71967A0616* 
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 *P71967A0716* Turn over
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*P71967A0816* 
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(Total for Question 2 is 10 marks)

9
 *P71967A0916* Turn over
3. In a game, a coin is spun 5 times and the number of heads obtained is recorded.
Tao suggests playing the game 20 times and carrying out a chi‑squared test to
investigate whether the coin might be biased.
(a) Explain why playing the game only 20 times may cause problems when carrying out
the test.
(1)
Chris decides to play the game 500 times. The results are as follows

Number of heads 0 1 2 3 4 5

Observed frequency 2 27 93 181 146 51

Chris decides to test whether or not the data can be modelled by a binomial distribution,
with the probability of a head on each spin being 0.6
She calculates the expected frequencies, to 2 decimal places, as follows

Number of heads 0 1 2 3 4 5

Expected frequency 5.12 38.40 115.20 172.80 129.60 38.88

(b) State the number of degrees of freedom in Chris’ test, giving a reason for
your answer.
(1)
(c) Carry out the test at the 5% level of significance.
You should state your hypotheses, test statistic, critical value and conclusion clearly.
(5)
(d) Showing your working, find an alternative model which would better fit Chris’ data.
(2)
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*P71967A01016* 
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 *P71967A01116* Turn over
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*P71967A01216* 
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(Total for Question 3 is 9 marks)

13
 *P71967A01316* Turn over
4. The discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution

x 0 2 3 6

P(X = x) p 0.25 q 0.4

(a) Find in terms of q

(i) E(X )

(ii) E( X )
2

(2)
Given that Var(X ) = 3.66
(b) show that q = 0.3
(3)
In a game, the score is given by the discrete random variable X
Given that games are independent,
(c) calculate the probability that after the 4th game has been played, the total score is
exactly 20
(3)
A round consists of 4 games plus 2 bonus games. The bonus games are only played if
after the 4th game has been played the total score is exactly 20
A prize of £10 is awarded if 6 games are played in a round and the total score for the
round is at least 27
Bobby plays 3 rounds.
(d) Find the probability that Bobby wins at least £10
(6)
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*P71967A01416* 
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 *P71967A01516* Turn over
Question 4 continued
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(Total for Question 4 is 14 marks)

TOTAL FOR FURTHER STATISTICS 1 IS 40 MARKS

16
*P71967A01616* 

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