Whitepaper - Destination Analysis Q3 2011

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UK Travel Whitepaper

Q3 2011: Destination Analysis

Table of Contents
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis Table of Contents ........................................................... 2 Introduction ................................................................... 3 Summary & Recommendations ...................................... 4 Hotel Destination Analysis .............................................. 5 Domestic Hotel Destination Trends .......................... 5 Foreign Hotel Destination Trends ............................. 6 Full list of Hotel Destination Analysis ........................ 7 Air Travel Destination Analysis ....................................... 8 Foreign Air Travel Destination Trends ....................... 8 City Break Air Travel Destination Trends................... 9 IATA Airport Code Trends .......................................... 9 Full list of Air Travel Destinations .............................. 10 Holiday Destination Analysis .......................................... 11 Top 10 Holiday Destinations ..................................... 11 Seasonality profiles of top growing destinations ...... 12 Biggest moving Holiday Destinations ........................ 12 Country names as Holiday Destinations.................... 13 Full list of Holiday Destinations ................................. 14 Car Hire Destination Analysis .......................................... 15 Top Domestic Car Hire Destinations ......................... 15 Foreign Car Hire Destination trends .......................... 16 Car Hire Query composition and growth .................. 16 Full list of Car Hire Destinations ................................ 17 Methodology ................................................................. 18
Q3 Travel Whitepaper 2

Introduction
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Global Recession, political unrest, a lot of snow, two ash clouds, and a rather big weddingwhere to start?
The past 24 months have been difficult for the UK Travel industry. After the initial low when the recession first hit, 2010 was expected to be a better year. But between the snow and ash cloud we never saw fruition of the peak season. By the time the snow storms of late 2010 arrived, we were ready for a break and looked forward to a robust 2011. January 2011 looked great, with a stellar few weeks and excellent query volumes and the bookings that followed. Alas, that was short lived as sales ended and bookings dropped. Will and Kate had their wedding, Easter followed and everyone was offline as Google saw query volumes dip. Some early good weather following Easter kept query volumes subdued and before you know it, 2011 was half gone. The world experienced various political uprisings, which played havoc in the holiday market, another Ash Cloud and a lates market that was shorter than anyone ever expected. Here we are in October with our heads still spinning. With all of that in mind, it can be difficult to know where to start to try and understand the behaviour of British tourists. This Whitepaper is an attempt to go beyond the usual trends and graphs that show the top level seasonality of the different travel products, and delve a bit deeper to try to help you understand your customers and align your strategy to those trends. Using Googles internal query data, we have compiled the top searched destinations per product, and where possible, we have tried to understand the trends in light of other research and publications available. We have provided some details on the methodology used, and referenced any other material so that you can look at both our data, and also the data that influenced our conclusions. We hope you find the information insightful and useful, and of course, please share your thoughts and feedback it is as welcome as always.

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Summary & Recommendations


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Suggested actions resulting from this paper to help you achieve your goals in 2012
Sub Vertical Key Destinations & Recommended Actions
London: Expect 2012 to be a big year for London due to the Olympics. Weve already seen a surge in interest and January 2012 is likely to be a huge period for this destination. Ensure budgets are uncapped for this busy period and Ad Texts are optimised with Olympic-specific call-to-actions to reflect user intent towards domestic tourism. Sharm El Sheikh: As stability returns to Egypt it is likely that interest will also return to pre 2011 levels. Ensure that budgets will be adjusted for this traditionally popular holiday destination. City Breaks: As the late summer season has truly ended, focus on city break destinations such as New York, Copenhagen, Berlin and Edinburgh. Increase CPCs on these destinations to ensure top positions during the AutumnWinter period when City Breaks are more popular. Egypt/Sharm el Sheikh: Just as in the Hotels sector, interest in Sharm el Sheikh in 2012 is likely to return. Allow for additional traffic through increased budgets. IATA Codes: Search queries on Airport codes have increased five fold. Ensure full coverage of these terms and optimise Ad Texts to capture the opportunity going forward. Short Haul Destinations: Our analysis indicates that 2011 has seen a clear shift towards short haul holiday destinations. Reduced disposable income and a weaker pound have made British travellers more likely to research short haul holidays than in 2010. Sharm el Sheikh: Just as for Air Travel and Hotels, Sharm el Sheikh and Egypt are seeing renewed interest in late 2011, so allow for additional budgets for these destinations in 2012. France: 2011 was a big year for Holiday queries related to France as a destination. Allow for additional budget in January on this destination and direct traffic to high quality landing pages for French destinations. Domestic Airports: Car hire queries related to domestic airport locations have seen the greatest increase in query volumes YoY. Search terms containing destination names have not seen similar levels of growth. Miami/Florida: Similar to trends in the other Sub-Verticals, Miami and Florida have seen large increases in both queries and rankings YoY this destination should continue to perform in 2012. Brand Queries Driving Growth: Branded queries have been driving the majority of the 2011 Car Hire query growth, growing 19% YoY. Ensure full coverage of generic, top level queries which cover the upper levels of the search funnel in order to drive brand awareness further along the funnel and closer to the point of purchase.

Hotels

Air Travel

Holidays

Car Hire

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Hotel Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Domestic hotel destinations drive growth as overseas travel numbers decline


Analysis of the top destinations searched for by users in the UK reveals seven of the top ten destinations are domestic, three of which have seen double digit growth in queries.
Top 10 Hotel Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +51% 1 1 0 100 14.82% 11.04% +2% 2 2 0 24 3.58% 3.94% +3% 3 3 0 23 3.34% 3.65% +1% 4 4 0 22 3.26% 3.65% +14% 5 5 0 21 3.11% 3.07% +20% 6 6 0 21 3.10% 2.91% +18% 7 8 +1 17 2.46% 2.34% +19% 8 10 +2 15 2.19% 2.07% +8% 9 9 0 15 2.16% 2.26% -9% 10 7 -3 13 1.96% 2.42%

Destination London Brighton Edinburgh Blackpool Paris Manchester Amsterdam Liverpool Bath New York

Table 1: Top 10 Hotel Destinations

In August 2011, The Office for National Statistics reported a drop in the numbers of visitors abroad for the fourth consecutive year since 2006.1 The weak Pound (1 = 1.46 in 2009, but only 1.17 in 2010), coupled with repeated disruption to Air Travel and political unrest in the Middle East and Africa contributed greatly to an increase in domestic tourism. This is reflected in the analysis above, with double digit growth in all but one of the top domestic Hotel destinations. With the decline in visits abroad, we can see that London continues to be the most searched for Hotel destination, with queries growing by 51% YoY and accounting for almost 15% of Hotel destination queries. This growing interest in London is likely to be due to the onset of research for accommodation for the 2012 Olympics. Edinburgh has managed to maintain its position, and even grow its share of queries - this can likely be attributed to the citys focus on hosting corporate events.2 Other notable movements in Domestic Destinations include Liverpool, Cardiff, Glasgow, Newcastle and Gatwick Airport all with double digit growth in queries and additional query share YoY.
Top 5 Domestic Movers Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +19% 8 10 +2 15 2.19% 2.07% +26% 11 16 +5 13 1.90% 1.69% +21% 14 17 +3 12 1.80% 1.68% +22% 17 19 +2 10 1.55% 1.42% +29% 24 27 +3 7 1.05% 0.92%

1. 2.

www.statistics.gov.uk http://www.hotelindustry.co.uk/2011/04/mice-industry2011/

Destination Liverpool Cardiff Glasgow Newcastle Gatwick

Table 2: Top 5 Domestic Movers

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Hotel Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Amsterdam leads growth in foreign destinations, but New York and Dubai fall behind
Looking at the trends in the top ten foreign destinations, we can see that Paris remains the fifth most searched destination in the Hotel category for UK users and has seen a 14% YoY query th increase. Amsterdam is the second most popular foreign destination, ranked 7 overall and has seen 18% YoY query volume growth. The Hotel Rate Parity Trends Study 2011, identified Amsterdam as the city with the lowest parity in Hotel prices when comparing offers on a Hotel brands website and an online aggregator. According to the research, for 80% of bookings it is cheaper to book an Amsterdam Hotel via an online aggregator than via the Hotel brand directly.3
Destination Paris Amsterdam New York Dublin Barcelona Dubai Las Vegas Rome Benidorm Ibiza Top 10 Foreign Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +14% 5 5 0 21 3.11% 3.07% +18% 7 8 +1 17 2.46% 2.34% -9% 10 7 -3 13 1.96% 2.42% +8% 13 13 0 12 1.81% 1.88% -1% 15 12 -3 11 1.67% 1.89% -3% 18 15 -3 10 1.48% 1.71% +14% 19 18 -1 10 1.47% 1.45% +5% 22 21 -1 9 1.27% 1.35% +22% 25 30 +5 7 0.97% 0.89% +18% 26 26 0 7 0.96% 0.92%

Table 3: Top 10 Foreign Hotel Destinations

The decline in New York queries is surprising as Air Travel related queries for New York have seen 70% growth YoY. It seems that while users are searching for New York flights, the same cannot be said for Hotel queries.4 The strong query growth in Dublin is a likely result of the online and offline efforts of Filte Ireland, an organization to promote tourism in Ireland. Even though Dublins overall query share has remained roughly the same, it could retain its position within the competitive environment of short-haul destinations. Las Vegas has seen very healthy growth, which would be expected given the growth it has th experienced in terms of Air Travel queries, again discussed later on. Las Vegas is ranked 19 on both the Hotel and Air Travel Destination Analyses, and has seen double digit growth in both areas, although a slight decline in rank in Hotels. Although not listed here, Sharm el Sheikh has rd dropped by over 50 places to 103 in our rankings. We can attribute this to the political unrest in Egypt earlier this year. Although the drop in hotel queries is quite dramatic (-45% YoY), this is not quite as severe across other areas such as flights and holidays, which are covered in the next section. In Table 4 on the next page we see the entire list of the top 50 hotel destinations. When looking past the top ranking destinations discussed above, the analysis shows a proportionally stronger query growth for destinations with smaller market share. The data suggest that users are becoming more and more specific when researching their destination and therefore driving stronger query growth to smaller UK as well as international destinations. Advertisers should ensure to meet this expanded query behaviour and cover a conclusive keyword universe for their underlying inventory. Q3 Travel Whitepaper 6

3.

4. 5.

Published in September 2011 by Hotel News Resource, a leading online information and knowledge base for the hospitality & travel industries http://www.hotelnewsresource.com/ar ticle57895.html http://www.hitwise.com/uk/registratio n-pages/quarterly-travel-review http://www.failteireland.ie/Information -Centre/Press-Releases/2011/DublinSet-to-Benefit-from-Growth-inTourism-in-20

Hotel Destination Analysis


Full list of top 50 Destinations
Destination London Brighton Edinburgh Blackpool Paris Manchester Amsterdam Liverpool Bath New York Cardiff Bournemouth Dublin Glasgow Barcelona Birmingham Newcastle Dubai Las Vegas Bristol Leeds Rome Oxford Gatwick Benidorm Ibiza Cambridge Scarborough Nottingham Venice Heathrow Belfast Southampton Jersey Inverness Tenerife Newquay Harrogate Llandudno Sheffield Portsmouth Aberdeen Windsor Windermere Majorca Prague Berlin Madrid Singapore Malta Top 50 Hotel Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +51% 1 1 0 100 14.82% 11.04% +2% 2 2 0 24 3.58% 3.94% +3% 3 3 0 23 3.34% 3.65% +1% 4 4 0 22 3.26% 3.65% +14% 5 5 0 21 3.11% 3.07% +20% 6 6 0 21 3.10% 2.91% +18% 7 8 +1 17 2.46% 2.34% +19% 8 10 +2 15 2.19% 2.07% +8% 9 9 0 15 2.16% 2.26% -9% 10 7 -3 13 1.96% 2.42% +26% 11 16 +5 13 1.90% 1.69% +4% 12 11 -1 13 1.90% 2.06% +8% 13 13 0 12 1.81% 1.88% +21% 14 17 +3 12 1.80% 1.68% -1% 15 12 -3 11 1.67% 1.89% +3% 16 14 -2 11 1.59% 1.74% +22% 17 19 +2 10 1.55% 1.42% -3% 18 15 -3 10 1.48% 1.71% +14% 19 18 -1 10 1.47% 1.45% +16% 20 20 0 10 1.43% 1.38% +13% 21 22 +1 9 1.33% 1.33% +5% 22 21 -1 9 1.27% 1.35% +19% 23 23 0 8 1.25% 1.18% +29% 24 27 +3 7 1.05% 0.92% +22% 25 30 +5 7 0.97% 0.89% +18% 26 26 0 7 0.96% 0.92% +16% 27 28 +1 6 0.94% 0.91% +11% 28 24 -4 6 0.93% 0.95% +17% 29 31 +2 6 0.91% 0.87% +10% 30 29 -1 6 0.89% 0.91% +6% 31 33 +2 5 0.80% 0.85% +5% 32 32 0 5 0.79% 0.85% +21% 33 38 +5 5 0.78% 0.72% +7% 34 35 +1 5 0.72% 0.76% +6% 35 37 +2 5 0.70% 0.74% +14% 36 40 +4 5 0.70% 0.69% -16% 37 25 -12 5 0.70% 0.94% +5% 38 36 -2 5 0.70% 0.75% +8% 39 39 0 5 0.69% 0.72% +21% 40 43 +3 5 0.68% 0.63% +12% 41 41 0 4 0.66% 0.67% +17% 42 44 +2 4 0.65% 0.63% +16% 43 46 +3 4 0.61% 0.59% +4% 44 42 -2 4 0.60% 0.65% +23% 45 50 +5 4 0.55% 0.50% -23% 46 34 -12 4 0.54% 0.79% -4% 47 45 -2 3 0.51% 0.61% +13% 48 49 +1 3 0.51% 0.51% +2% 49 47 -2 3 0.50% 0.55% +11% 50 48 -2 3 0.50% 0.51%

Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Hotel related search queries combined with individual destination names

Table 4: Full List of Top 50 Hotel Destinations

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Air Travel Destination Analysis


Foreign destinations continue to drive Air Travel growth
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis
Examination of the top destinations related to Air Travel shows that foreign destinations are driving YoY growth, with New York, Malaga, Florida and Paris driving growth in queries.
Top 10 Air Travel Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +71% 1 1 0 100 13.67% 9.25% -3% 2 2 0 29 3.91% 4.65% +11% 3 4 +1 28 3.78% 3.92% +10% 4 3 -1 25 3.48% 3.66% +17% 5 5 0 23 3.14% 3.09% +20% 6 6 0 22 3.04% 2.92% +15% 7 8 +1 21 2.90% 2.90% +8% 8 10 +2 20 2.78% 2.98% +5% 9 9 0 19 2.62% 2.87% +11% 10 11 +1 18 2.40% 2.50%

Destination New York Amsterdam Malaga Florida Paris Dublin London Dubai Barcelona Alicante

Table 5: Top 10 Air Travel Destinations

The growth in queries for New York is most interesting, growing more than 70% YoY, and growth in share of queries increased by almost 4.5 percentage points. According to Hitwises latest Travel Quarterly Review, British Airways have grown market share in 2011, the majority of which is down to increased traffic on New York and Las Vegas routes. Queries for Las Vegas are up 32% YoY and share of queries has grown by 0.2 of a percentage point. 6 As discussed in the Hotel analysis, Dublin is performing well due to high visibility from destination marketing organisations and has grown share of queries by 0.1 of a percentage point. Although Hotel queries for Amsterdam have grown by 19% YoY, Air Travel queries for Amsterdam have declined by 3% YoY, and share of queries has decreased by 7%. City break destinations have widely seen strong growth YoY, and the Post Offices annual survey of holiday costs indicates that costs have decreased in Dublin, Rome, Berlin, Paris, New York and Copenhagen all of these destinations have shown strong growth in queries YoY.
City Break Destinations wiht Decreased Costs7 7 City Break Destinations with Decreased Costs Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +71% 1 1 0 100 13.67% 9.25% +17% 5 5 0 23 3.14% 3.09% +20% 6 6 0 22 3.04% 2.92% +16% 13 14 +1 16 2.13% 2.12% +18% 21 23 +2 8 1.13% 1.11% +23% 64 73 +9 3 0.45% 0.45%

Destination New York Paris Dublin Rome Berlin Copenhagen

Table 6: City Break Destinations with Decreased Travel Costs


6. 7. http://www.hitwise.com/uk/registratio n-pages/quarterly-travel-review http://www2.postoffice.co.uk/travel/tr avel-extras/travellers-checklist/traveltips

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Air Travel Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

City break destinations on the rise for the Autumn/Winter Market 2011
We looked at the seasonality profiles of some key city break destinations in Autumn/Winter 2010 and saw that peak queries peaked in October around half-term. In the graph below, we can see that last year, New Yorks autumn peak occurred at the end of September, Edinburgh shortly after that, followed by Manchester and Berlin. Copenhagen saw its peak in November, making it the latest peaking city break destination.
2011 City Break Peaks

Figure 1: City Break Destinations Seasonality Profiles

A final note on Airport IATA Codes


The Hitwise Quarterly Travel Report made an interesting observation on the emergence of Airport Codes being searched on more and quotes a fivefold increase year on year 8. We have compared Hitwises findings and confirm that this is a trend being seen in Googles data, as illustrated below. As can be seen in figure 2 on the left, queries related to airport codes have grown almost 5x over the past 12 months, with a significant jump in May of this year. If this trend is to continue, ensure full coverage of Airport Code terms to capture this opportunity
Figure 2: Airport Code Query Trends

8.

http://www.hitwise.com/uk/registratio n-pages/quarterly-travel-review

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

Air Travel Destination Analysis


Full list of top 50 Destinations
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis
Destination New York Amsterdam Malaga Florida Paris Dublin London Dubai Barcelona Alicante Orlando Ibiza Rome Sydney Las Vegas Edinburgh Faro Dalaman Prague Belfast Manchester Berlin Miami Murcia Venice Nice Glasgow Bodrum Toronto San Francisco Jamaica Majorca Istanbul Geneva Lagos Athens Madrid Manila Lisbon Johannesburg Los Angeles Budapest Marrakech Cape Town Perth Vancouver Newquay Boston Pisa Munich Top 50 Air Travel Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 +71% 1 1 0 100 13.54% 9.17% -3% 2 2 0 29 3.87% 4.61% +11% 3 3 0 28 3.75% 3.88% +10% 4 4 0 25 3.45% 3.63% +17% 5 5 0 23 3.11% 3.06% +20% 6 7 +1 22 3.01% 2.89% +15% 7 8 +1 21 2.87% 2.87% +8% 8 6 -2 20 2.75% 2.95% +5% 9 9 0 19 2.60% 2.85% +11% 10 10 0 18 2.37% 2.48% +20% 11 13 +2 16 2.20% 2.11% +17% 12 12 0 16 2.16% 2.14% +16% 13 14 +1 16 2.11% 2.10% +8% 14 11 -3 15 2.08% 2.23% +19% 15 15 0 15 1.99% 1.93% +32% 16 17 +1 14 1.92% 1.68% +16% 17 18 +1 12 1.59% 1.58% -8% 18 16 -2 11 1.53% 1.91% +2% 19 19 0 10 1.31% 1.49% +29% 20 24 +4 10 1.30% 1.17% -6% 21 20 -1 9 1.15% 1.42% +28% 22 27 +5 8 1.13% 1.02% +18% 23 25 +2 8 1.12% 1.10% +7% 24 23 -1 8 1.10% 1.19% +23% 25 26 +1 8 1.09% 1.03% -15% 26 22 -4 7 0.99% 1.20% +23% 27 31 +4 7 0.98% 0.93% -8% 28 21 -7 7 0.97% 1.23% +15% 29 30 +1 7 0.94% 0.95% +23% 30 36 +6 7 0.92% 0.87% +17% 31 33 +2 7 0.92% 0.91% +11% 32 32 0 6 0.88% 0.92% +12% 33 35 +2 6 0.85% 0.88% -6% 34 28 -6 6 0.81% 1.00% +9% 35 37 +2 6 0.81% 0.86% +9% 36 38 +2 6 0.78% 0.82% -8% 37 29 -8 6 0.77% 0.96% +41% 38 54 +16 5 0.71% 0.58% +8% 39 39 0 5 0.70% 0.75% +11% 40 43 +3 5 0.69% 0.71% +7% 41 42 +1 5 0.68% 0.74% +25% 42 51 +9 5 0.68% 0.63% +19% 43 46 +3 5 0.67% 0.65% -14% 44 34 -10 5 0.67% 0.90% +32% 45 53 +8 5 0.67% 0.58% -0% 46 40 -6 5 0.64% 0.75% -4% 47 41 -6 5 0.62% 0.75% +7% 48 47 -1 4 0.60% 0.65% +53% 49 66 +17 4 0.60% 0.45% +4% 50 48 -2 4 0.57% 0.63%

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Flight related search queries combined with individual destination names

Table 7: Full List of Top 50 Air Travel Destinations

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

10

Holiday Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Top 10 destination rankings remain unchanged, but a clear shift towards short-haul destinations for UK Holidaymakers
Looking at the top ten destinations in the holidays market, the rankings are largely unchanged across the board. Although Florida and Dubai have lost some share YoY, the latter dropping almost 1 percentage point, there is still a way to go before we see a significant shift in the rankings.
Top 10 Holiday Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -5% 1 1 0 100 8.24% 8.94% -7% 2 2 0 84 6.91% 7.70% +6% 3 3 0 81 6.70% 6.55% -8% 4 4 0 69 5.68% 6.35% -3% 5 5 0 63 5.16% 5.52% +28% 6 6 0 63 5.15% 4.16% +14% 7 7 0 54 4.46% 4.03% +22% 8 8 0 47 3.89% 3.28% +31% 9 10 +1 45 3.72% 2.92% +22% 10 13 +3 39 3.18% 2.70%

Destination Florida Dubai Tenerife New York Las Vegas Malta Ibiza Majorca Benidorm Hawaii

Table 8: Top 10 Holiday Destinations

Despite the lack of change in the top 10 rankings, we can still see a very clear trend across the top ten. Short haul destinations, with the exception of Tenerife, have all seen double digit growth YoY. With this growth in short haul, we can also see a very clear decline in long haul holiday destinations. It is likely that the reduction in disposable income, the weaker pound and fuel charges are making holiday makers less inclined to travel farther afield for holidays. The only exception to this is the growth in Hawaii, but the rest of the trend is quite apparent. The decline in long haul destinations such as Florida, New York and Las Vegas is completely at odds with the analysis from Table 7 on the previous page. These destinations are seeing growth in air travel queries, but decline in holiday related queries. This would suggest that users are becoming more comfortable with booking single components of travel and putting their holiday together themselves instead of booking a package. A clear trend from the top ten destinations is the performance of Spanish destinations, with Tenerife, Ibiza, Majorca and Benidorm all performing well. The additional growth in Benidorm may be driven by the ITV sitcom Benidorm, which causes searches for the destination to surge by 159% on Friday evenings when the programme is on the air.9 A study performed by travelsupermarket.com has shown one in five British travellers have been inspired to go to a destination after seeing it in a TV production.9 Another interesting trend is the growth of Malta*, despite it being one of the most expensive holiday countries according to the Post Office Holiday Costs Barometer, which puts Malta as the second most expensive of those surveyed.10

9.

http://www.moneysupermarket.com/c /press-releases/the-benidorm-effectboosts-holiday-searches/0011119/ 10. http://www2.postoffice.co.uk/sites/def defa/files/Holiday_Costs_Barometer_2 020.pdf We have included Malta in the resorts destination analysis as it ranks highly, although it is a country term, and few Maltese resorts rank highly in the analysis.

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

11

Holiday Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Malta outperforming Ibiza in 2011, while Hawaii has several peaks throughout the year
2.5 Malta Ibiza Majorca Benidorm
2

Hawaii

Relative Query Volumes

1.5

0.5

0 Jan 10

Mar 10

May 10

Jul 10

Sep 10

Nov 10

Jan 11

Mar 11

May 11

Jul 11

Sep 11

Figure 3: Top Growing Holiday Destinations Seasonality Profiles

Sharm el Sheikh suffering after unrest in Egypt, while Santorini, Gibraltar and Los Angeles are biggest gainers
In terms of larger destinations, the decrease in query volume for Sharm el Sheikh is most th th alarming, but it has only fallen 3 positions in the holiday rankings from 15 to 18 , despite a 35% decrease in queries YoY and drop in share of queries from 2.31 to 1.46%. But while Sharm el Sheikh is falling, Santorini is showing impressive growth of 53% YoY, moving up 9 positions to th 19 , and increasing share from 0.96 to 1.42%. Indeed, Google is not the only organization to see this trend, with Thomas Cook citing Santorini in its top 11 Holiday Destinations for 2011.11 Not included here but worthy of noting Gibraltar has moved 16 places to make it into the top 50, th ranked 49 and showing 85% query growth, YoY.
10 Biggest Moving Holiday Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -35% 18 15 -3 18 1.46% 2.31% +53% 19 28 +9 17 1.42% 0.96% +20% 20 24 +4 17 1.41% 1.22% +24% 21 26 +5 17 1.39% 1.16% -15% 23 20 -3 16 1.32% 1.60% -17% 24 19 -5 16 1.29% 1.60% -6% 25 22 -3 15 1.26% 1.38% -2% 27 23 -4 14 1.16% 1.22% -13% 29 25 -4 12 0.98% 1.16% +64% 32 36 +4 10 0.83% 0.52%

Destination Sharm el Sheikh Santorini Rome Madeira Jamaica Amsterdam Orlando Barcelona Rhodes St Lucia
11.

http://www.thomascook.com/holidaydestinations-infographic/

Table 9: Ten Biggest Moving Holiday Destinations

Q3 Travel Whitepaper

12

Holiday Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Country names as important as resort names for holiday search queries


When we include country names the Destination Analysis, we see some interesting trends. Instead of Florida as the top destination, Turkey is by far the most searched for when with more than double the search volume of Florida. Spain is second largest, with 20% more searches. In keeping with the trends discussed on page 11, we can see that Spain has grown YoY, albeit slightly. Given the strong growth in queries for Spanish resorts, it appears that users are more savvy about where they would like to go. Table 10 below, shows the top 30 Holiday Destinations and the impact of country names as destinations.
30 Top Holiday Destinations Including Countries Based on YTD Query Volumes Destination Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 Turkey -13% 1 1 0 100 10.69% 12.44% Spain +1% 2 2 0 55 5.90% 5.89% Florida -5% 3 3 0 43 4.59% 4.88% Greece -2% 4 6 +2 37 3.92% 4.06% Cyprus -7% 5 4 -1 36 3.90% 4.24% Dubai -7% 6 5 -1 36 3.85% 4.20% Tenerife +6% 7 7 0 35 3.73% 3.57% New York -8% 9 9 0 30 3.16% 3.47% Cuba +19% 10 12 +2 29 3.05% 2.59% Las Vegas -3% 11 10 -1 27 2.88% 3.01% Malta +28% 12 14 +2 27 2.87% 2.27% Mexico +9% 13 13 0 26 2.75% 2.55% Maldives -0% 14 11 -3 25 2.70% 2.74% Ibiza +14% 15 15 0 23 2.49% 2.20% Majorca +22% 16 16 0 20 2.17% 1.79% France +52% 17 23 +6 20 2.14% 1.42% Benidorm +31% 18 19 +1 19 2.07% 1.60% Hawaii +22% 19 22 +3 17 1.77% 1.47% Barbados +1% 20 17 -3 16 1.66% 1.66% Lanzarote +3% 21 20 -1 14 1.55% 1.53% Goa -5% 22 21 -1 13 1.41% 1.50% Jersey +4% 23 24 +1 13 1.38% 1.35% Mauritius -22% 24 18 -6 12 1.24% 1.61% Gran Canaria +3% 25 26 +1 11 1.23% 1.20% Zante +14% 26 27 +1 10 1.10% 0.98% Bali +13% 27 28 +1 9 0.99% 0.88% Australia +6% 28 31 +3 8 0.85% 0.81% Sharm el Sheikh -35% 29 25 -4 8 0.81% 1.26% Santorini +53% 30 44 +14 7 0.79% 0.52%

Table 10: 30 Top Holiday Destinations Including Countries

It is difficult to draw a solid conclusion regarding country terms. As with resort terms, some country terms are growing and some are declining. Its worth noting the growth of France, Cuba and Australia; however, France has moved 6 places year on year, and has grown share of queries by almost 0.7 of a percentage point a huge jump from a relatively small base. There have been smaller but significant jumps of 2 and 3 places respectively for Cuba and Australia. In Table 11 on the next page we see the entire list of the top 50 holiday destination. Similar to the Hotel destination analysis, Holiday specific data suggest that the majority of growth is triggered by smaller, more specific destinations. The data suggest that users become more and more specific when researching their holiday destination; making it increasingly important to cover a conclusive keyword universe. Q3 Travel Whitepaper 13

Holiday Destination Analysis


Full list of top 50 Destinations
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis
Destination Florida Dubai Tenerife New York Las Vegas Malta Ibiza Majorca Benidorm Hawaii Barbados Lanzarote Goa Jersey Gran Canaria Zante Bali Sharm el Sheikh Santorini Rome Madeira Corfu Jamaica Amsterdam Orlando Paris Barcelona Cancun Miami St Lucia Rhodes Venice Marbella Marrakech Antigua California Guernsey Canaries Dubrovnik Phuket Hong Kong Prague Singapore Newquay Blackpool London Florence Grenada Abu Dhabi Gibraltar Phoenix Top 50 Holiday Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -5% 1 1 0 100 8.24% 8.94% -7% 2 2 0 84 6.91% 7.70% +6% 3 3 0 81 6.70% 6.55% -8% 4 4 0 69 5.68% 6.35% -3% 5 5 0 63 5.16% 5.52% +28% 6 6 0 63 5.15% 4.16% +14% 7 7 0 54 4.46% 4.03% +22% 8 8 0 47 3.89% 3.28% +31% 9 10 +1 45 3.72% 2.92% +22% 10 13 +3 39 3.18% 2.70% +1% 11 9 -2 36 2.98% 3.04% +3% 12 11 -1 34 2.78% 2.80% -5% 13 12 -1 31 2.52% 2.75% +4% 14 14 0 30 2.48% 2.47% +3% 15 16 +1 27 2.20% 2.20% +14% 16 17 +1 24 1.97% 1.79% +13% 17 18 +1 22 1.78% 1.62% -35% 18 15 -3 18 1.46% 2.31% +53% 19 28 +9 17 1.42% 0.96% +20% 20 24 +4 17 1.41% 1.22% +24% 21 26 +5 17 1.39% 1.16% -3% 22 21 -1 16 1.32% 1.41% -15% 23 20 -3 16 1.32% 1.60% -17% 24 19 -5 16 1.29% 1.60% -6% 25 22 -3 15 1.26% 1.38% +29% 26 27 +1 15 1.23% 0.98% -2% 27 23 -4 14 1.16% 1.22% +10% 28 29 +1 12 1.00% 0.94% +5% 30 30 0 12 0.95% 0.93% +64% 32 36 +4 10 0.83% 0.52% -13% 29 25 -4 12 0.98% 1.16% -5% 33 32 -1 9 0.77% 0.84% +2% 31 31 0 11 0.88% 0.89% +2% 34 33 -1 9 0.76% 0.77% -26% 36 34 -2 5 0.45% 0.62% +26% 37 40 +3 5 0.44% 0.36% -10% 38 38 0 4 0.37% 0.42% +12% 41 47 +6 4 0.35% 0.32% +8% 35 35 0 8 0.63% 0.60% -21% 40 37 -3 4 0.35% 0.46% +17% 48 54 +6 3 0.26% 0.22% +14% 44 51 +7 4 0.30% 0.27% +2% 39 41 +2 4 0.36% 0.36% +8% 42 46 +4 4 0.34% 0.32% +12% 43 50 +7 4 0.30% 0.28% -16% 47 48 +1 3 0.26% 0.32% -9% 53 52 -1 3 0.22% 0.25% +66% 60 68 +8 2 0.18% 0.11% +21% 51 60 +9 3 0.24% 0.20% +85% 45 61 +16 4 0.29% 0.16% -27% 50 45 -5 3 0.24% 0.34%

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Holiday related search queries combined with individual destination names. These queries consist of holidays to florida, package holidays to florida, florida all inclusive holidays etc....

Table 11: Full List of Top 50 Hotel Destinations

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Car Hire Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Domestic destinations showing largest growth in Car Hire Queries


The decline in foreign trips in 2011 is very evident in the Car Hire analysis, which reveals that of the top 50 Car Hire destinations, 14 are domestic and 9 of those 14 are growing YoY. Of the remaining 34 foreign destinations, only 9 have seen YoY increases in query volumes.
Top 10 Car Hire Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -17% 1 1 0 100 9.81% 10.70% -15% 2 2 0 57 5.64% 5.98% -9% 3 3 0 54 5.27% 5.25% -16% 4 4 0 40 3.92% 4.22% -15% 5 5 0 34 3.30% 3.50% -9% 6 6 0 34 3.30% 3.27% -9% 7 7 0 30 2.98% 2.96% -8% 8 10 +2 22 2.18% 2.15% -11% 9 8 -1 22 2.17% 2.21% +7% 10 11 +1 22 2.16% 1.83%

Destination Spain London Malaga France Cyprus Florida Alicante Orlando Faro Edinburgh

Table 12: Top 10 Car Hire Destinations

The apparent overall decrease in destination queries YoY is concerning, and at first glance it may indicate that Car Hire queries have declined as a whole, but we know this to be untrue and have reported between 12 and 17% YoY growth in Car Hire queries in 2011, depending on the periods compared. On the next page we have discussed the composition of Car Hire queries, and have determined the growth rates of the different types of queries, but for the purposes of this section of the Whitepaper, we will focus on understanding the movements in destination rankings.
Domestic Car Hire Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -15% 2 2 0 57 5.64% 5.98% +7% 10 11 +1 22 2.16% 1.83% +6% 12 12 0 20 2.00% 1.71% +24% 17 21 +4 16 1.59% 1.16% +38% 20 29 +9 15 1.42% 0.93% -11% 23 20 -3 12 1.17% 1.19% +23% 26 35 +9 11 1.11% 0.81% -4% 28 30 +2 10 0.97% 0.91% +3% 29 34 +5 10 0.94% 0.82% +10% 35 43 +8 8 0.82% 0.67% +22% 37 52 +15 8 0.79% 0.58% +54% 43 61 +18 7 0.70% 0.41% -11% 46 40 -6 7 0.68% 0.69% -12% 47 41 -6 7 0.66% 0.68%

Destination London Edinburgh Glasgow Aberdeen Brighton Manchester Inverness Heathrow Belfast Liverpool Gatwick Dundee Leeds Bristol

Table 13: Domestic Car Hire Destinations

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Car Hire related search queries combined with individual destination names

Looking at the movement in destination rankings, we can see that airport destinations in the UK have seen the largest increases in both rankings and queries YoY. The only airport specific destination to decrease YoY is Heathrow, but it has still gained 2 places in the rankings YoY.

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Car Hire Destination Analysis


Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Despite general decline in foreign destinations for Car Hire, some clear trends still emerge
Orlando and Miami have gained in rankings (Miami by 12 places) while Florida, although th unchanged in rank, is placed 6 overall. This is strong performance for Miami and Florida overall when we consider the Hotel, Air Travel and Holiday Destination Analysis Miami has grown in th all areas with increases of 11 places in Hotels, 2 places in Air, and holding 30 place in Holidays.
Top Foreign Gainers in Car Hire Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Destination Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 Orlando -8% 8 10 +2 22 2.18% 2.15% Ibiza +0% 18 19 +1 15 1.48% 1.33% Dublin +4% 22 23 +1 13 1.32% 1.15% Mallorca -0% 24 25 +1 12 1.16% 1.06% Las Vegas +2% 25 26 +1 12 1.13% 1.01% Miami +12% 34 46 +12 8 0.82% 0.66% Birmingham -6% 36 38 +2 8 0.80% 0.76% Dubai +7% 39 49 +10 8 0.76% 0.64% Los Angeles -0% 40 45 +5 7 0.73% 0.66% San Francisco +0% 41 47 +6 7 0.73% 0.66% Fuerteventura -5% 42 44 +2 7 0.71% 0.67% Corfu +2% 45 50 +5 7 0.69% 0.61%

Table 14: Top Foreign Gainers in Car Hire

A clear change in search query trends


Query Type Relative Size YoY Growth Offer 5.34% 1.36% Brand 49.63% 19.05% Airport 5.37% 5.71% Destination 17.26% 1.47% Van 22.39% 7.72%

Table 15: Car Hire Query Composition and Growth

Looking at query composition, we see that Branded queries not only make up the largest proportion of queries in the UK, but are also driving YoY growth. Destination specific queries make up a significant portion at 17% of all queries, but these have only grown by 1.5% YoY. This suggests users have started to go direct to Car Hire websites more than searching on generics or longer tail destination terms. When we look deeper at the composition of Brand queries, we see that Aggregator searches are consistently up more than 50% YoY, while Supplier searches are only up 20-30%, depending on the period examined. This change in query trends implies the obvious opportunity to align your strategy to user behaviour: if you havent seen significant growth in your brand traffic, direct competitors have, and this is through ensuring full coverage of generics at the upper end of the search funnel. Generic queries drive brand awareness early in the path to purchase, and brand queries drive conversions closer to the time of purchase. You can then utilise brand building platforms such as the Google Display Network and YouTube to further grow your brand. Another opportunity arising from this analysis is the clear growth in van related queries if van rentals are part of your business, ensure this is being addressed in your ad creative. Q3 Travel Whitepaper 16

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Car Hire related search queries combined with individual destination names

Car Hire Destination Analysis


Full list of top 50 Destinations
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis
Destination Spain London Malaga France Cyprus Florida Alicante Orlando Faro Edinburgh Ireland Glasgow Tenerife Lanzarote Majorca Menorca Aberdeen Ibiza Malta Brighton Australia Dublin Manchester Mallorca Las Vegas Inverness Crete Heathrow Belfast Geneva Jersey Paphos Nice Miami Liverpool Birmingham Gatwick Murcia Dubai Los Angeles San Francisco Fuerteventura Dundee Cape Town Corfu Leeds Bristol Turkey Barcelona Pisa Top 50 Car Hire Destinations Based on YTD Query Volumes Queries YoY Rank 2011 Rank 2010 Rank Change Size Share 2011 Share 2010 -17% 1 1 0 100 9.81% 10.70% -15% 2 2 0 57 5.64% 5.98% -9% 3 3 0 54 5.27% 5.25% -16% 4 4 0 40 3.92% 4.22% -15% 5 5 0 34 3.30% 3.50% -9% 6 6 0 34 3.30% 3.27% -9% 7 7 0 30 2.98% 2.96% -8% 8 10 +2 22 2.18% 2.15% -11% 9 8 -1 22 2.17% 2.21% +7% 10 11 +1 22 2.16% 1.83% -11% 11 9 -2 22 2.12% 2.15% +6% 12 12 0 20 2.00% 1.71% +0% 13 13 0 19 1.88% 1.69% -0% 14 14 0 19 1.84% 1.67% +0% 15 15 0 19 1.82% 1.65% -3% 16 16 0 18 1.73% 1.61% +24% 17 21 +4 16 1.59% 1.16% +0% 18 19 +1 15 1.48% 1.33% -3% 19 18 -1 15 1.47% 1.37% +38% 20 29 +9 15 1.42% 0.93% -17% 21 17 -4 14 1.40% 1.52% +4% 22 23 +1 13 1.32% 1.15% -11% 23 20 -3 12 1.17% 1.19% -0% 24 25 +1 12 1.16% 1.06% +2% 25 26 +1 12 1.13% 1.01% +23% 26 35 +9 11 1.11% 0.81% -13% 27 24 -3 11 1.09% 1.13% -4% 28 30 +2 10 0.97% 0.91% +3% 29 34 +5 10 0.94% 0.82% -17% 30 28 -2 9 0.90% 0.98% -11% 31 31 0 9 0.89% 0.90% -14% 32 32 0 9 0.85% 0.89% -34% 33 22 -11 9 0.85% 1.15% +12% 34 46 +12 8 0.82% 0.66% +10% 35 43 +8 8 0.82% 0.67% -6% 36 38 +2 8 0.80% 0.76% +22% 37 52 +15 8 0.79% 0.58% -28% 38 27 -11 8 0.78% 0.99% +7% 39 49 +10 8 0.76% 0.64% -0% 40 45 +5 7 0.73% 0.66% +0% 41 47 +6 7 0.73% 0.66% -5% 42 44 +2 7 0.71% 0.67% +54% 43 61 +18 7 0.70% 0.41% -16% 44 39 -5 7 0.70% 0.76% +2% 45 50 +5 7 0.69% 0.61% -11% 46 40 -6 7 0.68% 0.69% -12% 47 41 -6 7 0.66% 0.68% -28% 48 36 -12 7 0.65% 0.81% -35% 49 33 -16 6 0.63% 0.88% -34% 50 37 0 6 0.57% 0.78%

Source: Google Internal Data based on a bucket of Car Hire related search queries combined with individual destination names

Table 16: Full List of Top 50 Car Hire Destinations

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Methodology
Q3 Travel Whitepaper UK Destination Analysis

Discussion of how we analyse destinations to help you understand this paper


Destination analysis has proven time and again to be difficult to conduct for a myriad of reasons. To begin with, we need a list of destinations to analyse, and coming up with these can be very tricky. Then theres the decision regarding what qualifies as a destination. Do resort names, provinces, cities, counties, countries or all of the above count as destinations? Then theres query matching for products. Long tail queries are very important, but where do we draw the line? In additiion to head and long tail queries, we also have branded queries. But which brands to include? All of these questions mean that there are differing approaches to destination analysis, and most will give different results. Below we have detailed our methodology so you can compare any efforts of your own, or of others, to our data and make the most informed decision. Unfortunately it is too difficult to classify every destination related query that is searched for on Google, so instead of this mammoth task, we have chosen to use a bucket of queries for each product and insert destination names into the queries. The benefit of this method is that it standardises the approach across each destination and ensures that the same queries are being benchmarked against each other. The drawback is that some of the more long tail queries are absent from the list, but this drawback is generally negated as all head terms are covered in the bucket, and we find that usually, the trend of the head terms dominates the overall destination trend. In each table presented in this paper, the following metrics are used: Queries YoY (Sum of Queries from Jan 1 2011:September 5 st th Queries from Jan 1 2010:September 5 2010)-1
st th

2011 Sum of

Rank 2010 and 2011

Rank of the destination based on sum of queries for Jan 1 th September 5 of that year.

st

to

Rank Change

Rank 2010 Rank 2011 (Positive movement is seen as a decrease in th rd the numerical value of rank, i.e. from 5 to 3 ) The most popular destination is that with the highest rank and largest number of queries for year to date 2011. This is set to 100 and every other destination is sized based on that top destination. For example, if London is sized 100 and Brighton is sized 24, then for every 100 search queries related to London, there are 24 for Brighton. This is a variation of the size metric which is sometimes seen in other reports, so has been included here. This metric is the share of all queries on the batch of 115 destinations which we have measured. For example, if there are 1.5m queries for all of these destinations, and London has 10% share of these queries, there were 150k queries for London. As per Googles data sharing policy, we cannot share actual numbers of queries. 18

Size

Share 2010 and 2011

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Q3 Travel Whitepaper

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