Updated-Notes On Derivatives and Risk Management
Updated-Notes On Derivatives and Risk Management
Updated-Notes On Derivatives and Risk Management
Natural Logarithm = Ln
Derivatives Instruments to
Unsystematic Risk Zone Reduce Systematic Risk
Derivative Instruments
Concept in Mathematics
X ---- Independent
Y ------------------- Dependent
Change in Y/ Change in X
Y = f( X)-----------------------Linear Relationship
Example
Suppose RIL is trading at Rs 2572/- in Cash Market/ Spot/ Equity. You
want to buy 100 shares of RIL after one month however you have an
understanding that the price of RIL is most likely to increase by Rs
200/- within 1 months’ time.
Currently you don’t have money to buy RIL right now however you
want to buy the stock after one month.
How you can hedge the risk associated with market fluctuation likely to
have after month.
Solution
To hedge the risk associated with the equity market, the investor can
enter into a contract with Derivative market.
Suppose for each share of RIL buyer has to pay Rs 2/- as a commission
to the seller.
Profit / Loss to Buyer
If the Price of RIL reaches to Rs 2000/- as per the buyer’s expectation
then following pay off will happen to the buyer
Derivative ----------------------------Hedge------------Hedging
Hedging is the process through which price fluctuations (Price
Volatility) in the cash/spot/equity market can be hedged by entering into
a contract in the derivative market.
Participants in the Derivative Market
OTC Platform-
Bank/Financial Institution
Buyer of a Derivative Seller of a
Contract Derivative Contract
Exchange (BSE/NSE)
Terminology
Spot Price- Is the price which is available in spot market/cash
market/equity market.
Future Price- Future Price is the price which is available in the future
market.
Contract Cycle- Three Months Cycle is available in derivative contract
of the Indian Exchanges
Near Month Contract – for October 2020 near month expiry is 26th
October
Next Month Contract- for October 2020 is 29th November 2020.
FP = So* (1+r)t
854.70 = 851.30 *(1+r)t
Finding out the “r” solving the above equation will determine our Cost
of Carry
Spot Price
3787.25
Future Price
3797.05
Risk Free Rate of Interest – Treasury Bill Rate (T-Bill) = 3.3 ( 91 day)
Expiry – 29th of October
= 39519
(Loss)
= 13001
Enhanced Eligibility Criteria for Stock to be included in F & O Segment of NSE
Arbitrage opportunity
Equilibrium Price
Long Hedge
It’s mean long on a contract (Buy Derivative Contract). The investor is bullish on
the stock / Index thereby he is expecting that stock / Index will move upward or
will have a bullish trend. So he wants hedge the risk associated with the upward
2000
+500
It’s mean short on a contract (Sell Derivative Contract). The investor is bearish on
the stock / Index thereby he is expecting that stock / Index will move downward or
will have a bearish trend. So he wants hedge the risk associated with the
-500 2000
Stock = 1500
+500
1000
CROSS Hedge
Cross Hedge contract happens when a contract is entered into to hedge
the original asset. These types of contracts are entered because of the
non-availability of contract of original asset.
Investor would enter into a contract in the F&O segment with a similar
asset as the original asset is not available in F&O segment. There by any
profit out of the similar will pass on to the original asset. This type of
arrangement is known as CROSS HEDGE.
Simple Regression
Change in Y---------------Dependent
------------------------
Change in X--------------------Independent
Delta Y
---------
Delta X
Y = a +b X + e (e =unexplained Variable)
Return of ACC = a+ b Return of Index +e
b = Coefficient of the Independent = 1.2
Y R Square = 89%
R Square = Coefficient of Determination, how much Dependent is
explained by the Independent Variable.
b
a X
Y = a+b X
Y = 0+1.2X
Y = 2+1.2X
Assignment -1
How to Calculate Hedge Effective and Minimum Variance Hedge
Ratio
1. Identify a stock traded in both Cash and future Market of NSE
2. Download historical data of the cash price and future price of
the stock
3. Covert the data into return series (Holding Period Return )
Current Price
--------------------------
Previous Price
Derivative Assignement-1
Steps to follow
1. Visit NSE Website
2. Download historical data of the stock that you
have chosen
3. Link- https://www.nseindia.com/get-
quotes/equity?symbol=ACC
Y = a +b X + e (e =unexplained Variable)
Return of a Stock = a+ b Return of Index +e
R stock = α+β *R index+ e
Option Contract
1. The buyer of the Contract has the Option to come out of the
contract.
2. The buyer has the right to execute / perform the contract, however
he/ she doesn’t have the obligation to the perform the contract.
Option Contract
Call Option gives the buyer of the option contract to buy a contract
Put Option gives the buyer of the option contract to sell a contract
Parties to Option Contract
Suppose X is the buyer of RIL then he is going to buy the contract from
the writer. Writer will sell the contract to the buyer.
Volatility
(Fluctuations in the Prices/ Changes in Prices of Index / Stock)
However if we reverse the prices (now Spot Price = 2500, Strike Price =
2400), then
In the Money Spot Price>Strike Price Strike Price > Spot price
At the money Spot Price= Strike price Spot Price= Strike Price
Out of the Money Spot Price< Strike Price Strike Price < Spot Price
Option Premium
18.11.2 80 85 5 5 0 (85-80)-5=0
020
20.11.2 86 85 5 0 5 -5 (Option
020 Premium
that you
already
Paid)
22.11.2 90 85 5 0 5 -5(Option
020 Premium
that you
already
Paid)
24.11.2 78 85 5 7 2 (85-78)-5=2
020
26.11.2 75 85 5 0 0 85-75=10-
020 5=5
18.11.2 80 85 5 5 0 80-85
020
=-5+5=0
20.11.2 86 85 5 0 5 Profit=
020 LTP= 5
22.11.2 90 85 5 0 5 Profit=LTP
020 =5
24.11.2 78 85 5 7 2 78-85=-
020 7+5=-2
26.11.2 75 85 5 10 0 75-85=-
020 10+5=-5
Advanced Option Trading Strategies
1.
Single Stock and Single Option Strategy
Protective Covered
Put Put Protective Call Covered
Strategy Call
Protective Put
1. Single Stock
2. Put Contract
Put – Call Parity
Drink Pepsi Be Cool
STOCK + PUT = Bond + Call
Buying a Stock and Put Contract equals to Buying Bond
and Call Option Contract
An Investor may be bullish on stock and would like go
long (Buy) with an understanding that the stock has 80%
probability of going up, however he is not ignoring the
20% probability that stock may go down or may go
against his anticipation. Now to protect the 20% chance
of stock falling down he would like to enter into Put
contract in the derivative market.
Stock Price = Rs 1200
Strike Price = Rs 1200
Option Value = Rs 50 (LTP/ Premium)
After One Month
Stock Price = Rs 900
Strike Price = Rs 1200
Profit or Loss
Cash Market = Profit / Loss = -300 (900- 1200)
Profit or Loss in Derivative = +1200
Option Premium Paid = -50
----------------
Net Profit = 1150
Put – Call Parity
S + P = B + C
Protective Put Fiduciary Call
To Satisfy Put – Call Parity the Following Conditions
must be considered
1. It should be European
2. The Strike of Put and Call should be equal
3. The Present Value of the Bond equals to the Strike
Price of Put/ Call
Bond= Deep Discount Bond / Zero Coupon Bond
Deep Discount Bond or a Zero Coupon (Interest)
Bond is a kind of issued at value lower than the Face
Value. This bond does not carry any rate of interest
however rate of interest is implied in the bond.
Face value of the Bond = 100
Issue Price of the bond = Rs 90
Maturity Value = Rs 100
Interest = Rs 10
Strike Price Put = 100, Strike Price of Call = 100,
Value of Bond on Maturity = 100
Put – Call Parity (3 months Contract)
Situations Market S P = B C
price
I 200 200 0 = 100 100
II 150 150 0 = 100 50
III 80 80 20 = 100 0
IV 70 70 30 = 100 0
Protective Put
Reliance Industries as on 26.11.2020 = Spot = 1943(MP)
Diagram - 1
2100
80% Prob
1943(Market Price) Put Contract (Re.90) 1900
20% Prob
1700
(Single Step Binominal Tree)
Suppose the Stock went against your anticipation, then
what would be profit / loss? (ignore Premium)
Investor’s Position
- Long on Stock ( He/ She wants to Buy the
Stock)
- Long on Put ( He wants to have a long Put
Contract)
- The Investor has Bullish Market
Covered Put (As Investor you are Short on Stock)
Investor’s Position
- Short on Stock ( He/ She wants to Sell the
Stock)
- Short on Put ( He wants to have a Short Put
Contract)
- The Investor has Bearish Market view
- Suppose he bought the stock @1500 (few
months back)
Spot Price = 1943
Diagram -2
2100
20% Prob
1943(Market Price) Put Contract (Rs 90) 1900
80% Prob
1700
(Single Step Binominal Tree)
if the stock goes down to 1700 as per his anticipation then
what would his profit or loss (Ignore Premium)
Covered Call
Investor’s Position
- Long on Stock ( He/ She wants to Buy the
Stock)
- Short on Call ( He wants to have a Short Call
Contract)
- The Investor has Neutral to Moderately
Bullish Market
Spot Price = 1943
Diagram -3
2100
50% Prob
1900(Market Price) Short on Call Contract (Re.90)1900
50% Prob
1700
(Single Step Binominal Tree)
if the stock goes down to 1700 as per his anticipation then
what would his profit or loss (Ignore Premium)
Total Collection from Call
Premium = 90
Price = 1900
Cost of the stock = 1943 (CMP) - the price which he
bought the stock
Protective Call
Investor’s Position
- Short on Stock ( He/ She wants to Sell the
Stock)
- Long on Call ( He wants to have a Buy Call
Contract)
- The Investor has Bearish Market
80% Prob
1700
(Single Step Binominal Tree)
if the stock goes down to 1700 as per his anticipation then
what would his profit or loss (Ignore Premium)
Spread Strategies
Bull Spread Bear Spread
Bull Spread
- Market is Bullish ( there has been a rally in the
Market) Bull Call Spread
- Bull Spread
Bull Put Spread
Bull Call Spread
- Buy Call Option
- Sell a Call Option
- Date of expiry of both the contract has to be
same.
- Strike Price of Call Option Sold > Strike Price
of Call Option Bought
- Call Option Sold has lower premium than call
option bought
Example from Option Chain dated – 27.11.2020
Date of Expiry = 31st December 2020
Reliance Industries = 1935
Call Position Strike Price Premium
Short on Call (K2) 1950 83
Long on Call (K1) 1700 268
Net Cash Inflow/ Out flow -185 (net outflow of
premium)
If the Market Price < Strike Price of Long on Call
Situation on the Date of Expiry
1. Then the investor will buy the stock from the spot
market as the market price less. Then he will forego
the contract and the net outflow would be only the
premium.
2. If the K1< Market < K2
1700< 1935< 1950
if the above situation prevails on the date of expiry then
the investor will buy the call from the option market
(1700) , however the call sold will lapse.
3. if K1<K2< Market Price
1700< 1950< 2100
Both the Call will be exercised.
Bear Spread
- Market is moderately Bearish
Bear Spread