Modeling Multisystemic Resilience
Modeling Multisystemic Resilience
Modeling Multisystemic Resilience
Modeling Multisystemic
Resilience
Connecting Biological, Psychological,
Social, and Ecological Adaptation in
Contexts of Adversity
Michael Ungar
Introduction
Although resilience has been studied across a great number of scientific disciplines with a
substantive body of knowledge established in fields like psychology and systems ecology,
transdisciplinary approaches to studying resilience are still lacking. This situation can be at-
tributed to a range of problems such as definitional ambiguity of the construct, disciplinary
blinders, difficulty funding multisystemic research, methodological challenges designing
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good studies, and problems with analyzing complex sources of data that are typically not
included in the same models. Despite these challenges, there is growing interest in thinking
about resilience as a multisystemic concept.
The term resilience enjoys many different definitions, although all emphasize the
same shift in focus from breakdown and disorder to processes of recovery, adaptation, or
systemwide transformation before, during, and after exposure to adversity (Masten, 2014;
for exception, see Brown, 2016; Xu & Kajikawa, 2017). Even when focused on a single or-
ganism (i.e., a human being or a coral reef), the process of resilience is concerned with the
changing condition of one or more systems when they are exposed to an atypical amount of
stress. A child, for example, demonstrates resilience when she shows positive developmental
outcomes despite early exposure to adversity related to extreme neglect often associated with
abusive parents or placement in substandard institutional care (Masten, 2006). By its very na-
ture, then, resilience implies an interaction between nested or contingent and co-occurring
Michael Ungar, Modeling Multisystemic Resilience In: Multisystemic Resilience. Edited by: Michael Ungar, Oxford University Press (2021).
© Oxford University Press. DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190095888.003.0002
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systems (e.g., a child’s individual strengths, a foster placement that compensates for a difficult
start in life, and human services that address a child’s developmental delays) that help one or
more of these systems do better than expected when disturbed.
To glimpse how complicated a systemic understanding of resilience can be, one has
only to try to define a system itself. In general, a system is “a group or set of related or
associated things perceived or thought of as a unity or complex whole” (“System,” 2018).
Defining a system by its internal relations and distinction from other systems, however,
creates its own problems. The medical, psychological, and social sciences, for example, tend
to think about systems as having easily perceived boundaries that distinguish one from
the other even as they interact. To illustrate, our neurological stress response system, the
hypothalamic–pituitary–adrenal axis, is distinct from, but interacts with, our microbiome
and our genome at a biological level; likewise, our response to stress depends on the quality
of our interactions with our family, peers, and other social systems like online communities
and the economy, as well as the toxicity of our natural and built environments (Böbel et al.,
2018; Doan et al., 2016; Ungar & Perry, 2012). Social ecological systems scholars, mean-
while, tend to view a system as embracing all the elements that interact at different scales of
a single, unified system. Whereas the medical anthropologist might see an intricate weave
of different systems, the ecologists sees a single system with many different layers, or scales
(Figure 1.1). The distinction is subtle but significant when developing theory as, depending
on one’s perspective, multiple systems could be seen holistically as a single system with mul-
tiple scales or as multiple systems in their own right that are contingent on one another’s ac-
tions. For ease of discussion (and because I am more a social scientist than social ecologist),
I will talk about mutually dependent supraordinate and subordinate systems (rather than
scales) whenever there is a reasonable assumption that a cluster of “related or associated
things” work closely together. Regardless of how a system is defined, the science of resilience
Complex Scales
Biopsychosocial- X
ecological
System X Natural
Environment
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X
Built
Environment
X
X Social
Environment
Psychological
Systems
Biological
Systems
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8 | M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e
requires that multiple systems (and scales of systems) are accounted for as no single vari-
able can be wholly responsible for the complexity of the processes associated with resilience
and the outcomes that result. System variables can, in fact, look very different from one an-
other. They might be the neurons of the parasympathetic system of the brain that moderates
trauma, the economic and political aspects of a community recovering from a hurricane,
or the interacting flora and fauna of a forest rejuvenating after a fire. With the term system
defined (albeit arbitrarily), it becomes easier to see a shift in thinking occurring from single
system explanations for complex social and biological processes (like resilience) to more
contingent models that account for the way systems cope with external and internal threats
to their sustainability.
When brought together, systemic thinking and theories of resilience produce new
ways of understanding processes of change that involve human and nonhuman systems
and their many parts. In the area of trauma research, for example, we now understand the
need to stop asking individuals who have been traumatized, “What is wrong with you?”
and instead ask, “What happened to you that is causing you to behave the way you do?”
This second question shifts attention away from a single system’s (i.e., the individual) re-
sponsibility for recovery, adaptation, or transformation and focuses instead on the environ-
mental triggers that influence patterns of change (i.e., in the case of human resilience after
exposure to war, protective factors include being resettled in a host country as a refugee,
access to health care, and family reunification; Ott & Montgomery, 2015). When studying
the resilience of human populations under stress, the most pertinent question is, “What
happened to individual lives that made them different from what would be expected given
the amount of stress they have experienced?” This pattern of inquiry reflects a change in
thinking from simple explanations for complex behaviors to a multisystemic understanding
of interactions between two or more systems (i.e., people and their environments), with as
much emphasis on the interactions between systems as the pattern of adaptation evidenced
by any one system (Folke et al., 2010).
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In other areas, including the physical sciences, these same themes of sustainability and
change are becoming commonplace. For example, in architecture, the term resilience is syn-
onymous with “a process for creating sustainable, successful places that promote wellbeing,
by understanding what people need from the places they live and work” (Woodcraft, Bacon,
Caistor-Arendar, & Hackett, 2012, p. 16). In computing science, the resilience of networked
systems produces a “system that continues to offer an acceptable level of service even in the
face of challenges” (Hutchison & Sterbenz, 2018, p. 1).
The term resilience has also become well recognized in the psychological sciences where
there has been intense scrutiny of promotive and protective processes that function when
human biological, psychological, social, economic, and political systems become stressed.
Masten (2014), a developmental psychologist, is known for her definition of resilience that
has evolved to take a more systemic approach. She writes:
The study of human psychology has shown that this pattern of adaptation can appear in
many different ways, ranging from persistence in one’s behavior when confronting stress to
forcing systems to transform themselves in ways that result in entirely new regimes of beha-
vior to avoid a stressor altogether. For example, victims of sexual abuse may choose a number
of viable strategies to cope with their abuse. Where they perceive the consequences of disclo-
sure as too high (e.g., stigma or being blamed for the abuse), a possible coping strategy may
be to avoid the abuser and persist with previous patterns of behavior, sublimating potentially
traumatizing thoughts and feelings. This is not an optimal strategy for the individual victim
or society as a whole, but it is a contextually reasonable adaptation in contexts where victims
of abuse may risk further abuse if they disclose (Priebe & Svedin, 2008). When social move-
ments give victims a collective voice (e.g., the #MeToo movement), a different pattern of re-
silience becomes possible, one that transforms broader social institutions and the individual’s
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identification of himself or herself as a victim with rights. In this sense, manifestations of psy-
chological resilience are a reflection of how broader systems interact with individual choices
to produce patterns of coping that are more or less effective.
It is becoming increasingly clear (as the chapters in this volume show) that there is a
synergy in how resilience is defined when describing the functioning of different systems.
Masten’s definition, for example, shares much in common with those in distantly related
fields like disaster resilience, where the focus is on “the ability to prepare and plan for, ab-
sorb, recover from or more successfully adapt to actual or potential adverse events” (Cutter,
2016a, p. 742). My own work on the resilience of human systems that accounts for changes
in multiple psychological, sociocultural, and institutional systems integrates dimensions of
social justice, defining resilience as the capacity of systems (whether that system is an indi-
vidual, a community, or an institution) in contexts of adversity to navigate to the resources
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10 | M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e
necessary to sustain well-being and the ability of these human systems to negotiate for pro-
motive and protective resources to be provided in contextually and culturally meaningful
ways (Ungar, 2011).
Although these definitions all focus on the functioning of different systems or parts of
systems, they share a number of similarities. First, resilience only exists where there has been
a perturbation that is unusual and stressful for one or more interdependent systems. The result
is destabilization that threatens the capacity of the system to maintain its functioning. Second,
all resilient systems engage in processes of one kind or another that give them opportunities to
persist, resist, recover, adapt, or transform (I will discuss each of these processes later). What
these contextually specific processes look like, however, is always a reflection of the stressors
placed on a system, the resources that are available to protect the system’s functioning, and
the desirable outcomes that are sought. In this sense, resilience is contextually specific, much
as evolving thinking in the field of public health now emphasizes “precision public health”
that identifies localities most at risk and then targets interventions to their unique contexts,
rather than always looking for generalizable mechanisms that sustain the well-being of entire
populations (Dowell, Blazes, & Desmond-Hellmann, 2016). The third quality of resilience re-
flects this need for sensitivity to the local context, acknowledging the different levels of power
each system (or part of a system) has and its capacity to influence the individual or collective
well-being of a system (or systems) as a whole. This expression of power is always a matter
of negotiation that leads to trade-offs as different parts of systems compete for the resources
each needs to cope with internal and external stressors. A system is perceived as showing re-
silience only when it functions in ways that are valued positively by its constituent parts or co-
occurring systems. In practice, this means that a family that embraces criminal behavior as a
way of managing social marginalization or an economy that resists modernization to preserve
the livelihoods of a few individuals may both be described as resilient from the perspective of
those who benefit from these patterns of adaptation (Ungar, 2016).
While these three aspects of resilience (i.e., exposure to an atypical perturbation, con-
textual specificity of the protective processes, and negotiated outcomes) may seem abstract,
in practice, resilience in response to a disturbance that produces patterns of adaptation
that benefit some parts of a system more than others has been the basis for voluminous
amounts of study in many different disciplines. For example, Annarelli and Nonino (2016)
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have adapted Hollings’s work on social ecological systems to examine the resilience of supply
chains, linking their resilience to the functioning of the multiple systems upon which they
depend. These include both distal environmental systems (e.g., disruptive weather and polit-
ical strife can be disruptive to supply chains) and the everyday practices used by management
(e.g., labor strikes and poor financial decisions can affect the planned production of goods
and services). While it may seem that the only desirable outcome of supply chain resilience
is stable production (recovery), a return to business as usual is too narrow an understanding
of what resilience can look like. A system that recovers may, in fact, be one that has failed to
account for changes in its environment or adapted to mismanagement when it resumes doing
what it did before a crisis. While resilience may in such circumstances be synonymous with
recovery, with recovery comes a trade-off if ineffective management systems are allowed to
persist at the expense of the entire business adapting to changing market conditions. Seen
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from the perspective of the long-term viability of the enterprise, a better outcome might be
the removal of the current management and their replacement with a new system of gov-
ernance that prepares a business for the next unanticipated stressors in the marketplace,
diversifying the goods and services it produces, finding new markets, or sourcing new inputs.
Whether such a broad definition of a process that characterizes so many systems is
useful is a point of debate (Brown, 2016). What is likely most useful about a more systemic
understanding of resilience is the potential it brings to discern patterns across systems that
explain how the resilience of one system might influence the resilience of other co-occurring
systems. The more we know about how resilience works, the better we will be able to influ-
ence systems to change in ways that are desirable to different parts of those same systems.
Seldom, however, have researchers in the natural and human sciences explored collabora-
tively the full extent of the links between the resilience of one system and the resilience of
mutually dependent, co-occurring supraordinate and subordinate systems (for exception,
see Brown, 2016; Xu & Kajikawa, 2017).
In this chapter, I propose an algebraic expression to conceptually guide studies of sys-
temic resilience as a way to account for all the complex reciprocal interactions that make
resilience contextually responsive. Elaboration of the model is followed by the presentation
of seven principles common to the resilience of different systems. In the final part of the
chapter, I explore the implications of systemic resilience for the design of interventions and
social policies that have the greatest potential to make the resilience of human, built, and
natural systems more likely to occur.
adults need a sense of self-worth, efficacy, and problem-solving skills, under conditions of
war or forced displacement due to climate change these aspects of cognitive functioning
may look quite different as individuals adapt how they think about themselves and to whom
they attribute the locus of control for change (Tol, Song, & Jordans, 2013). There may also be
protective psychological processes like social withdrawal that are functional only in contexts
of exposure to overwhelming amounts of external stress (Obradović, Bush, Stamperdahl,
Adler, & Boyce, 2010). Resilience, then, always occurs in contexts where the amount of stress
a system experiences is above that which is accepted as optimal for the system’s functioning
(some stress is, after all, necessary and can inform the development of healthy coping strat-
egies for all systems). Expressed algebraically, there must be above-normal levels of exposure
to adversity to trigger resilience. This can be summarized as ∑A > average A for a population
where A is adversity.
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12 | M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e
The assessment of risk, then, is a precondition for understanding resilience. Risk, how-
ever, is seldom contained to one or two narrowly defined proximal systems but instead oc-
curs in mixtures of risk factors at different systemic levels. The Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention in the United States, for example, describe the exposome as the measure of all
the exposures an individual experiences over his or her lifetime and how these exposures in-
fluence the individual’s health. The study of resilience is not about understanding these risks
or their negative sequelae that follow risk exposure, such as disorder, dysfunction, or disease.
The study of resilience (in contexts of adversity) focuses attention on the factors that prevent
a potentially traumatizing event from causing a system to function poorly.
The challenge when theorizing resilience is to address the complexity of resilience across
interrelated systems and create models to capture the interactions between systems (Adger,
Barnett, Brown, Marshall, & O’Brien, 2013). The expression in Figure 1.2 is one such effort
to account for the many dimensions of resilience as they co-occur within and between sys-
tems, whether that system is biological, psychological, social, mechanical, or environmental.
Figure 1.2 is an expression of resilience that adapts the work of famed social psycholo-
gist Kurt Lewin. Lewin (1951) suggested that behavior is a function of a person’s interaction
with his or her environment, expressed as B = f (P,E). Expanding that simple expression
produces a succinct story of interacting resilience systems and their component parts. The
resilience of any single system (Rsystem) is mutually dependent upon the resilience of
other co-occurring, supraordinate and subordinate systems at a particular moment in time
(Rsystem1,2,3,. . .), whether those systems are as small as a gene or as large as a family, computer
network, government, or biosphere. This reciprocity is captured by the left-hand side of the
expression. At the level of each system, resilience is first a function of the system’s capaci-
ties (Sc) and vulnerabilities (Sv; this includes factors like gender, physiology, and genetics of
human systems; social and built capital of community systems; and biodiversity and chem-
ical composition of ecological systems). These interact with aspects of a system’s distal and
proximal physical and social environment (E) in ways that either sustain a system’s current
regime of behavior or compel it to change.
Rsystema
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Rsystemb
Rsystem 1, 2, 3
(Oav Oac )(M)
f(ScvE)
Rsystemc…
Recovery/Adaptation/Transformation*
F I GUR E 1.2 An expression of resilience (in contexts where a population is exposed to above-normal levels
of adversity). R = resilience; O = opportunity; M = meaning; E = environment; av = availability of resources;
ac = accessibility of resources; cv = capacities and vulnerabilities. Adapted from Ungar (2011).
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M o d e l i n g M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e | 13
These interactions, however, will have a greater or lesser impact on the system’s re-
silience based on the opportunities (O) that are more or less available (Oav) and accessible
(Oac) to the system, which limit the system’s expression of its purpose or function. Available
resources may be near at hand but not accessible due to barriers occurring across scales (e.g.,
a sanctuary for orphaned elephant calves may be available, but weaknesses in funding or
transportation infrastructure make it inaccessible to animals that need care and protection).
Opportunities are, in turn, influenced by meaning systems (M), which are expressed through
the relative power of each part of the system to privilege solutions of one kind over another
(Adger et al., 2013). Finally, as systems go through the process of coping with adversity, they
exert an influence on other mutually dependent systems (returning again to the left-hand
side of the expression). These coping processes can appear as a recovery to a previous regime
of behavior, as an adaptation to ongoing adversity through engagement in new coping strat-
egies, or can force the transformation of contingent systems that decreases or buffers expo-
sure to adversity in the future.
A comprehensive model of resilience like this is intended to broaden the scope of re-
search that focuses on patterns of recovery, adaptation, and transformation of any system.
The enhanced breadth of factors that should be accounted for may also help to better in-
form sustainable solutions to “wicked” problems, whether those are the high rates of suicide
among racially marginalized and structurally disadvantaged indigenous peoples or ecolog-
ical problems caused by the Anthropocene era, such as climate change and the decreasing
diversity of ecological systems. Besides helping guide the design of resilience research, the
expression is also useful for interpreting research findings where multiple systems have been
implicated in the successful development of one or more focal systems.
explain how the resilience of one system might affect the resilience of other co-occurring
systems. A new generation of studies that include far more scope to their data collection,
however, is showing that when systems are described in sufficient detail, correlations can
be found between conditions in one system and performance of other contingent systems
(Kaplan, Collins, & Tylavsky, 2017; Noble, Norman, & Farah, 2005). For example, a U.S.-
based study of pediatric neuroimaging and genetics found strong correlations between child-
hood socioeconomic factors and different aspects of brain structure among 10-year-olds
(Noble et al., 2015). Parental educational attainment and family income accounted for indi-
vidual variation in brain structural development in regions associated with the development
of language, executive functions, and memory. While the study was focused on explaining
the factors that inhibit brain development rather than those that facilitate positive develop-
ment in stressed environments, the results are useful in demonstrating that economic sys-
tems affect biological systems (brain development) through the moderating effect of parental
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14 | M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e
educational attainment, family income, and social marginalization related to class structure.
Given these findings, it is very likely possible (although as yet relatively unstudied) that as
opportunity structures change and economically marginalized families are better resourced,
they are more likely to raise children with better neurological functioning and improved
ability to break cycles of poverty. This is a hypothesis that still needs to be tested, although
longitudinal studies of child development without neurological testing have shown that the
cumulative effect of multiple resilience factors at different systemic levels are likely to con-
tribute to better than expected outcomes among children who experience early disadvantage
(Beckett et al., 2006; Boivin et al., 2013; Werner & Smith, 2001). In this sense, the resilience
of one system (e.g., the education system, social welfare system, or political system) can mean
that other systems or scales are more resistant to problems and better able to recover, adapt,
or transform. Simpler models of resilience that seek to explain resilience as change in just one
or two systems are unlikely to produce sufficiently robust accounts for why resilience does or
does not occur when problems are complex and solutions unsustainable in contexts where
there are multiple forms of disadvantage and stress.
It is not surprising, then, that increasingly complex models are being proposed to ac-
count for reciprocity between systems as they change, with empirical evidence that show that
processes like recovery, adaptation, and transformation by one system contributes to con-
current or sequential change in other subordinate and superordinate systems or scales. To
illustrate this pattern with an example that reaches beyond the human sciences, Hutchison
and Sterbenz (2018) have shown that the design of resilient computer architecture is de-
pendent upon the resilience of the critical infrastructure that it needs to function, like the
Internet; management structures in the corporation that hosts it; and the capacity of end-
users to exploit the technology in ways that are meaningful and improve their lives. If one
thinks, for example, of handheld devices as a networked computing system, then it is clear
that their sustainability as a communication tool relies on software systems, especially social
media platforms, and mobile phone companies to ensure handheld devices continue to fulfill
a meaningful function for consumers. The technology, then, is a system networked to other
systems, even the biology of the users (e.g., the production of stress hormones like cortisol is
influenced by the use of handheld devices) and the political environment created by humans
(e.g., election meddling and the proliferation of “fake news” on social media). Much has been
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made of the cascading negative effects of a technology like handheld devices or the potential
for negative outcomes when these computer networks are stressed by outside agents.
The resolution of risk and enhancement of resilience to sustain connectivity and con-
venience depend on more than their hardware and software (two important, mutually de-
pendent technical systems). Hutchison and Sterbenz (2018) propose the formula D2R2+DR
(defend, detect, remediate, recover; then diagnose, refine) as the stages in a recurring process
by which the architecture of a computer system evolves its capacity to withstand attacks.
Each part of the process is reliant on contingent systems like government regulation (that
prevent security breaches), financial markets (that monetize these networks and support
their proliferation), and psychological systems (that create favorable attitudes toward new
forms of communication). Together, these and many other systems create recursive environ-
ments that respond to expanding computer networks.
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[Because] attacks can happen at any layer of the communication stack (e.g., hidden
attacks exploiting vulnerabilities of web application in legitimate network packets),
various detection and protection mechanisms usually co-exist at different levels
to mitigate security threats. However, if security management is localized only to
corresponding layers, the security related information will be fragmented, which fails
to give a big picture for situation awareness and prompt and correct responses. (p. 3)
The better integrated resilient systems are, the more likely they are to benefit from each
system’s efforts to remain sustainable.
The downside to this systemic understanding of resilience is that no one study is likely
to account for every dimension of resilience found in Figure 1.2. The science, however, is
continuing to build toward a comprehensive understanding of recovery, adaptation, and
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transformation under stress through incremental research that investigates more than one
system at a time (this trend is evident in the chapters that are included in this volume). This
incrementalism is, for example, demonstrated by many multidisciplinary studies, such as
those by Böbel and his colleagues (2018) in the field of molecular psychosomatics and Dinan
and Cyran’s (2013) work on immunology. Both programs of research have proven a link be-
tween the diversity of the human microbiome (e.g., gut bacteria) and the ability of the human
immune system to suppress inflammation and reduce the incidence of a range of psychiatric
disorders including depression and anxiety. For example, in a recent study of the potential
protective function of exposure to a more diverse natural biome, healthy young men who
spent the first 15 years of their lives on farms with animals were compared with those who
grew up in an urban environment without animals (Böbel et al., 2018). A number of char-
acteristics distinguished the two samples. First, when given the Trier Social Stress Test in a
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16 | M u lt i s y s t e m i c R e s i l i e n c e
laboratory setting (a test of public speaking skills and stress reactivity), urban participants
raised in the absence of animals showed increases in stress-related immune system secretion
of the interleukin 6 and suppressed anti-inflammatory secretion of interleukin 10. These two
types of cytokines, or proteins, help cells signal one another and have been linked to different
levels of inflammation that affect neurological and psychological functioning. This pattern
of biological response suggests that urban participants had more immunoregulatory deficits
when stressed. Participants were also subjected to a number of psychological tests and had
samples of their plasma cortisol and salivary α-amylase (a protein enzyme) assessed, all of
which showed that rural participants experienced the Trier Social Stress Test as more diffi-
cult. Although the results are still preliminary due to the relatively small sample size and use
of a nonclinical population, studies like this are providing an interesting clue to the potential
benefits of exposure to a healthy and diverse natural environment and its positive influence
on human biological and psychological processes, particularly the “missing-microbes” or
“old friends” (Rook, Lowry, & Raison, 2013) as some bacteria have come to be known. From
an evolutionary point of view, the presence of these microbes likely helped establish regula-
tory (i.e., protective) immune pathways that are now lacking in urban environments because
of increased sanitation, water treatment, the overuse of antibiotics, lower rates of breast-
feeding, and cesarean sections (it is believed that during the birthing process the mother’s
microbiome is transferred, like a baton, to the child during a vaginal birth). Once again, sys-
tems that potentiate greater resilience of one system, like better sanitation, may inadvertently
compromise the resilience of other systems, just as the resilience of co-occurring systems can
also create cascades of positive change.
These theories have been proven in laboratory experiments and through careful
sampling of populations with differential rates of exposure to more diverse ecosystems.
Combined, they suggest that exposure to the right amount and type of stressors (such as
bacteria) can produce a “steeling effect” (Rutter, 2012) that make systems more robust when
exposed to future stressors. For example, children from more traditional Amish communi-
ties in the United States had better immune system activation than Hutterite farm children
where the farm work is more mechanized (Rook & Lowry, 2008). Thus, Stanford, Stanford,
and Grange (2001) proposed the “hygiene hypothesis,” which attributes recent spikes in
psychiatric disorders and diseases to compromised immune systems among people in in-
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dustrialized and heavily urbanized settings where there is minimum contact with natural
environments. It appears to be a truism of resilience research that the right amount of stress
is required for successful development of all systems. Stress a system too much, however, and
it fails. Stress a system the right amount, and it will demonstrate increased capacity for resil-
ience when dealing with future disturbance.
This understanding of resilience as a systemic process is found in numerous other
studies of very different systems. Looking outward toward the quality of the natural envi-
ronment (rather than its component microbial parts), Lederbogen and his colleagues (2011)
were able to show that a 90-minute walk in a natural, but not urban, setting was able to de-
crease self-reported rumination and concurrent neural activity in the subgenual prefrontal
cortex of human subjects. The findings indicate a heightened capacity of people to with-
stand stress following contact with nature. In this example, an externally diverse, natural
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environment is able to enhance the capacity of neurological resilience to stress, which makes
the placement of green spaces contiguous to urban environments a potentially important
buffer against the physiological changes that follow from urbanization. Not only might these
enhanced spaces increase neurological capacity to cope with stress, they might also permit
greater access to microbial diversity that could produce yet another positive influence on the
human biological system. It is these complex and reciprocal relationships between resilient
systems that justify the need to account for multiple systems at the same time when studying
resilience.
Returning to Figure 1.2, there is plenty of evidence from studies of multiple systems
(from the microbiome to the engineered systems like computer networks) that by strength-
ening any one system, other co-occurring and contingent systems will also benefit, although
the lines of causality are far from linear. That is because it remains difficult to privilege any
single behavioral regime of one or more systems as a resilience ideal. Every behavioral regime
benefits some portion of an entire ecosystem (Holling, 1973). Change opportunity structures,
meaning systems, or the context in which a system operates and what resilience looks like
will also change. Indeed, one always needs to ask, “Resilience to what? Resilience for whom?”
(Cutter, 2016b). Even when a system is not anthropomorphic, the same question can be
adapted to ask, “Resilience to what, and for which part of a system’s benefit?” Researchers of
human resilience, however, have tended to privilege certain outcomes over others, positing
resilience as a process of recovery to a previous level of functioning, adaptation to new ways
of coping with stress, or the forced transformation of one or more systems to ensure that in-
dividual and social systems thrive in ways that are socially constructed (Cutter et al., 2008).
There is typically a bias, however, in the psychological and social sciences toward positive
(socially desirable) outcomes that benefit human systems as a whole over those that benefit
natural systems or subsystems (Rutter, 1987). An increasingly complex story of systemic re-
silience is showing that the teleological view, which sees some systems as worthwhile only if
they serve the needs of human beings in the short-term, is being challenged as we come to
realize that even systems with the potential to threaten human health may, in the long-term,
be in our best interest to maintain. Thus, a less anthropocentric understanding of resilience
leads to the conclusion that a resilient system does not always function for the benefit of
humans and that even behavioral regimes of human systems that are labeled as suboptimal
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can sometimes protect contingent systems. For example, social withdrawal after a traumatic
event like child abuse may help to maintain lower levels of cortisol and preserve biological
homeostasis, even if that coping strategy compromises long-term social development (Alink,
Cicchetti, Kim, & Rogosch, 2012).
Resilience cannot, therefore, be understood as a linear set of causal relationships
without accounting for trade-offs. Where ecological and human understandings of resilience
intersect, the resilience of ecological and human systems has been found to be mutually de-
pendent (Quinlan, Berbés-Blázquez, Haider, & Peterson, 2015). In the example of the “old
friends” discussed earlier, protective factors like access to antibiotics, which enhance oppor-
tunities for health and improve the resilience of human beings to debilitating diseases, may
actually compromise the viability of other systems necessary for the resilience of the same
organism they are meant to sustain.
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Seven Principles
Despite this potential for cross-disciplinary modeling, there has been little effort to synthe-
size our diverse conceptualizations of resilience. Ecologists have remained largely focused on
patterns of resilience in the ecosphere, although social ecological systems theorists like Folke
(2006), Brown (2016), and Gunderson (Gunderson, Allen, & Holling, 2010) point to the im-
pact of humans on the resilience of natural environments, and vice versa. Ecopsychologists
and epigeneticists, meanwhile, talk about environmental triggers, but their conceptualiza-
tions of resilience focus mostly on individual human processes (Ellis & Del Giudice, 2014).
Some authors have suggested that despite a common lexicon, the fields are fundamentally
too different to bring together into a single model (Olsson, Jerneck, Thoren, Persson, &
O’Byrne, 2015). There is plenty of resilience-related research that suggests otherwise. A re-
cent review of the principles that govern resilience across diverse bodies of research (Ungar,
2018) identified seven common principles that can account for much of what we understand
about how resilience functions when a system (human, built, or natural) is stressed. These
include (1) resilience occurs in contexts of adversity; (2) resilience is a process; (3) there
are trade-offs between systems when a system experiences resilience; (4) a resilient system
is open, dynamic, and complex; (5) a resilient system promotes connectivity; (6) a resilient
system demonstrates experimentation and learning; and (7) a resilient system includes diver-
sity, redundancy, and participation.
a three-year period starting in early adolescence. Rather than focus on normative develop-
mental processes, however, they put an unusual amount of effort into assessing children’s
social environments to better understand how children’s anticipation of future consequences
and their beliefs that they could influence their futures are associated with the shifting bal-
ance between exposure to contextually specific risk factors (e.g., caregiver–child closeness,
peer relations, school engagement, positive community environment, and access to services)
and the internal and external resources the children experience over time. Findings show
that as the equilibrium between risk and resources changes and children are able to cope with
an abnormally high burden of expectations placed on them by their families and communi-
ties, their level of future orientation steadily increases despite, and possibly as a consequence
of, stress exposure. To model this association, Oshri et al. (2018) used growth mixture mod-
eling to distinguish three developmental trajectories for future orientation as a cognitive
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coping strategy: low start/increasing; high start/decreasing; and high persistent. Each trajec-
tory was explained by the quality of the child’s experience with external conditions, including
the degree of physically abusive discipline they received, the quality of their peer relation-
ships, their level of engagement in school, the disorganization of children’s communities,
and their gender. As access to supportive resources improved, children’s future orientation (a
protective factor against psychological problems) also improved. By disaggregating the data
by gender, it was further shown that girls (who are, statistically, more at risk for depression)
tended to more consistently report high future orientation. All of this raises questions with
regard to how children’s experiences of the proximal systems that influence them shape in-
ternal cognitive coping strategies. In this example, a commonly assumed metric of personal
resilience, children’s ability to use cognitive strategies to solve problems and maintain opti-
mism, depends on the capacity of both internal and external systems to manage both prox-
imal and distal stressors. As the example illustrates, resilience only exists when a system is
under stress but exhibits a desirable behavioral regime.
Resilience is a Process
Drawing together models of resilience from ecological and human sciences is fraught with
ontological and epistemological problems. Ecologists tend to describe resilience as a system
state in which equilibrium is reached (Folke et al., 2010), while psychologists lean toward re-
silience as a process. For example, researchers concerned with ecological systems talk about
a system’s resilience as its capacity to maintain homeostasis while under threat (Gunderson &
Holling, 2002). Psychologists, however, dating back half a century have come to see resilience
as a set of protective processes that contribute to positive developmental goals (Rutter, 1987).
To reconcile this difference, scholars are concluding that resilience is a process that increases
the capacity of a system to withstand or adapt to a present or future insult. A system that
shows resilience is one that is able to optimize its capacity to successfully cope under stress.
Resilience-promoting processes can look very different depending on the context
in which they occur. At least five processes have been found to be associated with resil-
ience: persistence, resistance, recovery, adaptation, and transformation.
outside threats are dealt with by other co-occurring systems that insulate it enough to
allow the focal system to continue unchanged. In ecology, a nature preserve with armed
guards creates the conditions for rare species of mammals like rhinos to persist with rel-
atively little change in their behavior despite the threats posed to them. In psychology,
children who have been described as “orchids” (Ellis & Boyce, 2011) are genetically sus-
ceptible to stress but excel in conditions where their social environments protect them
(i.e., a child susceptible to anxiety, but also a gifted artist, will thrive in an alternative
school where she can avoid bullying). In each example, the resilience of a system under
threat is only possible if co-occurring systems protect the focal system from stressors that
would force the system to change.
b. Resistance. Resistance may look the same as persistence, but the focal system maintains
its behavioral regime by actively pushing back against outside threats (i.e., an immune
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system is activated to avoid infection of the host organism, maintaining the host’s health).
Most systems will demonstrate a pattern of resistance before they recover, adapt, or trans-
form. For example, communities facing the loss of a large employer may seek government
intervention to subsidize an industry that might otherwise fail. In each instance, the focal
system is only as resilient as the subordinate and supraordinate systems it can actively
mobilize to avoid change.
c. Recovery. The process of recovery means that a system’s defenses, whether internal or ex-
ternal, were insufficient to resist perturbation and the system’s capacity to cope has been
compromised temporarily. Recovery is a description of a system’s return to a previous level
of functioning, although in actual fact systems are changed by their experience of insult and
recovery. Hutchison and Sterbenz (2018), for example, suggest that a computing system’s
recovery is never a return to a previous state, but usually results in an improvement in its
engineering as it learns to avoid the same breakdown twice. Likewise, a forest may recover
from a fire with increased nutrients in the soil (e.g., potassium, calcium, and magnesium).
In each instance, the recovered system may look and function similar to its previous state
but is likely to have new capacities as a result of having survived a disturbance.
d. Adaptation. Adaptation refers to a system changing in ways that make it possible for it
to accommodate itself to stress. For example, an invasive species imposes the need for
adaptation on an ecosystem, which may lose some of its diversity—species—to accom-
modate the intruder or develop compensatory means of coping with the invader (e.g.,
weaker parts of the system may die off, leaving the remaining parts more genetically ro-
bust). In humans, adaptation is particularly common in studies of resilience. For example,
O’Brien and Hope (2010) found that elderly persons who live mostly on their own or in
substandard nursing homes are more vulnerable to centralized energy systems, which are
likely to fail during extreme weather events. Once stressed, elderly people who are socially
isolated are more likely to die from heat stroke when air conditioning fails or from ex-
posure or carbon monoxide poisoning when heating systems do not work. One possible
adaptation is to provide these people with more localized energy solutions (like home-
based solar units that feed energy into the grid) that have more capacity to withstand cat-
astrophic weather events. This change in energy policy facilitates the adaptation of energy
systems to the needs of vulnerable elderly even though it does not fundamentally change
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These five processes are not agentic. Systems do not “choose” one coping strategy over
another. They, instead, optimize their functioning by exploiting co-occurring systems for
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resources that make different strategies more or less feasible. Change the resources available,
and the meaning of those resources to the system (i.e., their value), and the process a system
uses to improve its resilience will also change. In this sense, the locus for change that explains
which process a system uses depends as much on the condition of the environment that sur-
rounds a system as it does the system’s own resources to cope with unusually high amounts
of stress.
practices that define the relationships between humans and their environments. As they
show through a review of the literature, cultural narratives about the relationship between
people and the natural environment interact with beliefs and cultural practices in ways that
may prevent rational response to a scientifically demonstrable threat (e.g., the reluctance of
some adherents of fundamentalist religions to acknowledge climate change occurring as a
result of our exploitive relationship with nature). In such cases, systems are unable to change
(to show resilience) because they remain closed, stable, and simple. In such contexts, even
advocates for responsible social policy are likely to fail if the changes they propose conflict
with the dominant discourse that defines “business as usual” as sustainable. A more resil-
ient system shows openness to new explanations for human experience, is nimble enough to
change, and is capable of integrating new technologies and ideologies to effectively address
threats to the system’s long-term viability. This nod to complexity, and the multiple ways
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in which resilience is manifest, reflects emerging science across many disciplines, not just
ecology. Current thinking in the field of human psychological resilience is also moving from
more deterministic and simplified models of human behavior to more complex explanations
(Cutuli & Herbers, 2018).
have shown that the experience of citizenship and media literacy are protective factors that
contribute to personal attitudes that endorse national accountability, reinforce participatory
democracy, and support institutional practices like voting. In turn, these protective factors
enhance the efficacy of political and legal systems that ensure responsive governance. Each
of these systems is, in turn, most effective when they learn from earlier efforts to adapt, and
the lessons learned in one system (e.g., providing people with opportunities to be lifelong
learners through educational reform) leads to sustained change in many different dimen-
sions of citizenship. For example, digital literacy implicates a number of contingent systems,
including cognitive capacities and values (a psychological system), and cultural systems that
must be robust enough to help voters distinguish important issues from manipulation by
those in power. Alt and Raichel (2017) argue that well-connected people (principle 5) with
access to the technology required to connect and a cognitive mindset to seek out opposing
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points of views (cognitive disruptions) can be created through a personal learning network,
which includes information already handy in the environment and social media. The better a
system is at learning from past efforts to stabilize and able to be influenced positively by other
systems, the more likely that system is to thrive when confronted with an atypical stressor.
puzzles are sets of printed pieces with predictable patterns of association that snap together
in only one predetermined way. Each edge of a puzzle piece is intended to properly lock
with only one other. Arguably, much of the empirical research on resilience has searched
for these “pieces” and their relationship with other pieces. Complexity is introduced by in-
cluding more and more parts of the puzzle, but the assumption is that the pieces will come
together in some orderly way. This approach to empiricism is well-reflected in much of the
research cited so far in this paper. Change a mouse’s environment and the pattern of resil-
ience changes in a predictable way. Change an elderly person’s access to energy, and she is
less vulnerable to social isolation. Protect a computer system from hacks, and it better fulfils
its function for users.
The metaphor of the picture puzzle, however, is not theoretically sound when it comes
to explaining the principles of resilience. What we observe through research is an artifact
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(a)
(b)
F I GUR E 1.3 Visual representations of resilience as puzzle (a) and tangram (b).
of observation and study design. Patterns of adaptation and transformation look predict-
able because researchers control the conditions of study to select for predetermined patterns.
A better metaphor for systemic resilience is the tangram. A tangram is comprised of a set of
unique geometric shapes that can associate together to form one shape (a square) or many
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shapes (a triangle, a bird, etc.). Thinking about resilience as a tangram allows us to appre-
ciate both the equifinality and multifinality of the patterns that predict resilience of one or
more systems at the same time. Equifinality is defined as multiple means to a single outcome.
Multifinality means there are multiple means to many different outcomes, all of which may
be desirable to a system under stress. In the case of the tangram (and unlike a puzzle), there
are many different ways of using the pieces in the set to form either the same shape (a square)
or using the same pieces to create a number of other imaginative designs.
Studies of family resilience are an illustration of these patterns of resilience and the
multiple systems involved (Ungar, 2016). Family, and related terms like clan or kinship net-
work, tends to be defined as a group of people united by sexual and/or affective bonds or
legal and/or economic ties, structured as an open, socially recognized, culturally normative
system that fulfils a series of fundamental functions for the survival and development of its
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members and the society of which each family is a part. These functions (much like puzzle
pieces) include a long list of possible outcomes, such as procreation and the raising of chil-
dren; mutual support; or collection, consumption, and distribution of wealth. These out-
comes are assumed to be part of one cohesive whole and reflect normative family functioning
within a single cultural space (Walsh, 2012). Broader cultural forces (meaning systems) and
economic opportunities are often controlled for through purposeful or randomized sam-
pling, which makes it possible to describe families much like puzzles. Each family, depending
on sociohistorical factors, seeks to achieve a more or less similar set of outcomes regardless of
their form. In this sense, there is equifinality. Many culturally nuanced patterns of behavior
are assumed to fulfill the same roles required of families in every context.
Other research, however, suggests that families can also show patterns of multifinality.
A study by Hordge-Freeman (2015) on racial diversity within families and the “Russian
roulette of genetics” that produces varying skin tones among Afro-Brazilian populations,
documented the variability in how families fulfill their basic functions. As an example of
multifinality, Hordge-Freeman found that families employ coping strategies that are expe-
dient in the racially marginalizing context they and their children live. Through qualitative
research with 116 families, Hordge-Freeman discovered that how love is expressed between
parent and child has much to do with a child’s phenotype. Parents adapt their child-rearing
practices to enhance a child’s ability to withstand racism, often using harsher discipline
with children who are darker skinned to protect them against future social stigma. Hordge-
Freeman does not argue that this strategy is socially just or even effective, but her work, like
that of Ungar (2016), documents how many different, contextually relevant patterns of family
resilience are associated with the many different outcomes that families strive for in contexts
of adversity.
This same multifinality can be found in other domains of research such as commu-
nity resilience. A community’s resilience is the capacity of its human, institutional, built,
and natural capital to withstand stress (Hobfoll, 2011; Longstaff, Armstrong, Perrin, Parker,
& Hidek, 2010; Norris, Sherrieb, & Pfefferbaum, 2011). Although the factors that produce
community resilience are many, there have been very few studies that have looked at the
interactions between psychological protective factors, ecological protective factors, and the
many different ways a community’s resilience is manifested. Furthermore, the many different
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ways communities show resilience have tended to be overlooked in favor of a narrow set of
outcomes such as employment, safety, and good governance. Cox and Perry (2011), how-
ever, suggest that resilience may be far more heterogeneous. Writing about the McClure fire
in western Canada in 2003, they found that the disorientation that comes from catastrophic
events like this are long-lasting, challenge identities, destroy social capital, and undermine
community cohesion. However, such events sometimes bring unintended positive outcomes
(such as improvements in family functioning) and many new regimes of social interaction
that have the potential to improve a community in unanticipated ways over the long-term.
This tension between predetermined expressions of resilience and multifinality was reflected
in their finding of an opening for creative expressions of resilience that was caused by the
disaster’s disruption. In this example, there are multiple patterns to recovery (a tangram of
possible forms that community resilience can take), but very few are privileged. Those that
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are preferred (like puzzle pieces already printed and ready to assemble) tend to occur fast and
celebrate a community’s normal capacity to recover. Atypically slower patterns of growth,
and new patterns of community social and economic well-being that may be more sustain-
able, can be just as viable but have not received the attention they deserve. Examples such as
this demonstrate that the processes associated with the resilience of systems, whether a com-
munity, a family, the human genome, or a natural environment, all exhibit diverse patterns of
coping that are influenced by factors within and between systems.
to be that exposure to intimate partner violence is experienced by all women in much the
same way (ignoring differences by class, education, or proximity to family supports), while
DNA is assumed to be sensitive to a large number of factors, which biologists account for
in their designs. Social scientists make a similar error when they control for a single bio-
logical marker like salivary or hair cortisol as a proxy for stress while explaining in great
detail the psychosocial, political, and economic aspects of a person’s life when coping with
political violence, war, or a natural disaster. While it goes without saying that no study can
account for all the variations in biological, psychological, social, and environmental factors
that contribute to risk and resilience (at least not yet), emerging approaches to research,
greater capacity to analyze large amounts of data, and the still nascent preference for mul-
tidisciplinary teams and transdisciplinary perspectives are introducing more complexity to
how resilience is modeled.
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Conclusion
This chapter has demonstrated that there is synergy in how the concept of resilience is the-
orized across disciplines. Each system’s resilience is mutually dependent upon the resilience
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of resilience is described multisystemically, with all its complexity, the more the concept will
be of use to scholars, policymakers, and those designing individual, institutional, and envi-
ronmental interventions.
Key Messages
1. A multisystemic understanding of resilience explains how the resilience of co-occurring
systems are mutually dependent.
2. How a system (whether biological, psychological, social, built, or natural) experiences re-
silience depends on the variability in the system’s exposure to adversity, the availability of
resources, and the desired outcomes of competing systems.
3. There are seven principles and five processes that account for the patterns that systems
show when maintaining their functioning during periods of disruption and stress.
4. The more the concept of resilience is described multisystemically, the more useful it is
when designing research and interventions that address the “wicked” problems that indi-
viduals and environments face.
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