Chương 1. TCQT
Chương 1. TCQT
Chương 1. TCQT
Email: [email protected]
Phone: 0989142988
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Outlines
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Textbook
Class rules
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CHAPTER 1:
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL
MARKET
Outlines
OVERVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL
FINANCIAL MARKET
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NATURE OF INTERNATIONAL
FINANCIAL MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL
INTERNATIONAL
CAPITAL
MONEY MARKET
MARKET
INTERNATIONAL
Eurocurrency STOCK MARKET
Euronotes
INTERNATIONAL
BOND MARKET
Euro CP
FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
MARKET
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Global Capital Markets
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Global Currency Trading: The Trading
Day
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET (FX MARKET)
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AN OVERVIEW OF
THE FX MARKET
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Foreign exchange includes all
payment instruments that are used
in international settlements
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COMPONENTS OF FX
• Foreign currencies
• Financial instruments denominated
in foreign currencies
• International Standard Gold
• Domestic currency held by non-
residents
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Foreign currency
The currency of other countries or the EUR
and other official currencies (of a zone) used in
regional and international settlements
(including the Special Drawing Right - SDR).
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was created by IMF in 1969
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International standard gold
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Domestic currencies held by non-residents
Which one is FX of Vietnam:
•A British man is working in a Vietnamese
enterprise for 2 years and have account in BIDV
Ha Thanh denominated 2 billion VND
• A Lao student at BAV holds 10m VND.
•An overseas Vietnamese hold two accounts in
Vietcombank: one is denominated in VND, the
other is in USD.
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FOREX MARKET
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Buy
Sell
Anywhere
currencies
Sell
Buy
Sell
Buy
are bought
and sold
Buy
Sell
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Buy
Sell
Interbank
Sell
market
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Buy
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Broad • Any place where currencies
meaning are bought and sold against
others
FOREX
Narrow • The foreign exchange
meaning Interbank market
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Characteristics of Forex
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Space market
2 Non-stop global market
3 Commercial banks are main players
4 Trade and contact via communication network
5 Most Liquid Market in the World
6 Extremely sensitive to political, social,…events
7 USD is the most commonly used currency
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FOREX = 100%
Non – Interbank
15%
Interbank
85% Customer -
Bank –
Customer Customer
14% 1%
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Exhibit 5.2 Evolution of the Modern
Currency Trading Marketplace
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Exhibit 5.4 The Foreign Exchange
Market Today
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Transactions in the Foreign Exchange
Market (1 of 6)
• Spot Transactions
– The purchase of foreign exchange with delivery and payment between
banks taking place normally on the second following business day.
– Value Date
▪ The date of settlement
– Clearing House Interbank Payments System (CHIPS)
▪ Most dollar transactions in the world are settled through the
computerized CHIPS in New York
▪ Calculates net balances owed by any one bank to another and
which facilitates payment of those balances by 6:00 p.m. that
same day in Federal Reserve Bank of New York funds
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Transactions in the Foreign Exchange
Market (2 of 6)
• Forward Transactions aka Outright Forward
Transactions
– Requires delivery at a future value date of a
specified amount of one currency for a specified
amount of another currency
– The exchange rate is established at the time of the
agreement, but payment and delivery are not
required until maturity
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Transactions in the Foreign Exchange Market
(4 of 6)
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Transactions in the Foreign Exchange
Market (5 of 6)
• Geographical Distribution
– London continues to be the world’s major foreign
exchange market in traditional foreign exchange
market activity with 37% of the global market,
followed by the New York with 19%
– Currency trading in Asia is growing due to the
growth of the Asian economies, markets, and
currencies
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Transactions in the Foreign Exchange
Market (6 of 6)
• Currency Composition
– The currency composition of trading indicates a
number of global shifts
▪ The U.S. dollar increased its presence in global
currency trades
▪ The Japanese yen and the European euro both
showed declines
▪ The Chinese renminbi’s proportion, although
small, has recently doubled
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Daily FX Trading by Currency Pair
(percent of total) (2 of 2)
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FUTURE
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OPTION
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Commercial banks
Central Banks
Consultants
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Retailers
This group includes the local and foreign
citizens wishing to buy/sell foreign currencies
on the foreign exchange market to cater for
investment, lending, business trip or travelling
or when receiving investment profits or
transfers in form of foreign currencies
• Retail customers rarely transact with each
other due to the costs incurred relating to:
time, location, quantity and payment risks...
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Commercial Banks
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Central Banks
Central Bank participates to perform 3 main
tasks:
- Supervise and intervene to influence the
level of the exchange rate by buying/selling
the domestic currency
- Buying/selling, converting currencies in order
to change the structure of the foreign reserves
- Buying/selling on behalf of the government
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Brokers
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1. Exchange rate
• 1USD = 23,260VND
Exchange rate (E) is
the price of one • Commodity - C
currency expressed in
terms of another • Term - T
currency
• Quoting bank
• Asking bank
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Exchange rate
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Commodity Foreign currency
1 kg rice
1 USD
1 cow
1 SGD
1 Int’l
Finance 1 GBP
book
1 laptop 1 EUR
Direct (Price)
quotation
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? Kg rice
? USD
? cow
? SGD
1 Int’l
Finance ? GBP
book
? laptop ? EUR
Indirect (Volume)
quotation
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Direct quotation
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Indirect quotation
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In the Interbank market, all currencies are
quoted against USD, in which
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In practice
Bid – Ask
Ex: 1USD =23,350VND USD/VND =23,350
In academics
Bid - Ask
Ex: 1USD =23,350VND VND/USD =23,350
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Point
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=
The number of digits
before the decimal
point in the regular
quotes plus 3
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3. Spread
Absolute form:
Spread = Offer rate – Bid rate
Relative form:
Offer – Bid
Spread = ∗ 𝟏𝟎𝟎%
Bid
Spread depends on:
The amount of the currency dealt
The size or reputation of financial centers
The volatility of currencies
The frequencies of currencies in transaction
Means of transaction: paper notes, credit cards, bank
transfers, …
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Cross rates
Definition
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Why to calculate
cross rates?
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Definition:
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How to calculate:
Case 1: USD plays the role as the commodity
currency in both of the exchange rates
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E(USD/VND) = (a,b)
E(USD/SGD) = (c,d)
E(SGD/VND) = (x,y)
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y
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E(USD/VND) = (a,b)
E(GBP/USD) = (c,d)
E(GBP/VND) = (x,y)
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x
VND
1 GBP = a*c VND
Buy
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GBP
1 GBP = b*d VND
Buy
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USD is term currency
E(AUD/USD) = (a,b)
E(GBP/USD) = (c,d)
E(GBP/AUD) = (x,y)
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y
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Profits and losses in FX trading
Flow Exchange
Direction
USD (C) VND (T) rate
Buy USD (C) +1 -23,260 23,260
Sell USD (C) -1 +23,380 23,380
Profits 0 +120
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Flow Exchange
Direction
USD (C) VND (T) rate
Buy VND (T) -4.2772 +100,000 23,380
Sell VND (T) +4.2992 -100,000 23,260
Profits +0.0220 0
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Profits and losses in FX trading
Exchange
Direction
USD (C) VND (T) rate
Buy USD (C) +1 -23,380 23,380
Sell USD (C) -1 +23,260 23,260
Loss 0 -120
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Exchange
Direction
USD (C) VND (T) rate
Buy VND (T) -4.2992 +100,000 23,260
Sell VND (T) +4.2772 -100,000 23,380
Loss -0.0424 0
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Question 1
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Question 2
For the following parameters:
Reuter:
E (USD / VND) = 21,510 - 21,520
E (EUR / USD) = 1,3185 - 1,3190
Bank X:
E (EUR / VND) = 28,350 - 28,357
Question:
1) Calculate the cross exchange rate E (EUR/VND) according to market
parameters using the table of transaction method and the quick calculation
method.
2) What is the arbitrage opportunity?
3) Show business results by drawing a table of cash flow.
4) What happens when the exchange rate arbitrators comes into play?
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Question 3:
Thang Long Import-Export Company will receive 170 million JPY
from exporting goods to Japan and have to pay SGD 1.6 million for
imported goods. Parameters on the forex market:
In Hanoi: USD / VND = 21,695-21,703
In Singapore: USD / SGD = 1.2647-1,2653
In Tokyo: USD / JPY = 121.12-121.19
Question:
1) Calculate cross rates SGD/VND, JPY/VND and SGD/JPY?
2) Show the options for calculating the company's income in VND?
3) As an import-export trader, which option would you choose?
Why?
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Question 5
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BORKER’S RATE
USD/JPY
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ARBITRAGE
• Definition: buying a security in one market and
simultaneously selling it in another market at a higher
price, profiting from a temporary difference in prices
• Steps of conducting arbitrage
Select the lowest bid (Bid min) from the perspective of
Asking bank
Select the highest ask/offer (Ask/Offer max) from the
perspective of Asking bank
If Bid min < Ask max Arbitrage takes place
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Arbitrage 0 +0,0004
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SPECULATION
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1 Trạng thái nguyên tệ của 1 ngoại tệ
• Chênh lệch giữa tổng TSC và tổng TSN của ngoại tệ này,
bao gồm cả các cam kết ngoại bảng tương ứng.
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Nguyên tắc tính TTNT
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Internet Exercises
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